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Bitcoin - Trend Shift Confirmed, Eyes on $102.8K LiquidityMarket Context Bitcoin showed signs of exhaustion after a strong short-term rally within a clean upward channel on the 1H chart. Price action had been respecting the trend structure until a key deviation occurred near $108,500, where we saw an internal liquidity sweep that hinted at potential distribution. Fake-Out Confirmation and Shift in Momentum After taking out local highs around $108.5K, price failed to continue higher and instead reversed sharply, confirming the sweep as a classic fake-out. This kind of internal liquidity grab is typically used to trap breakout buyers before reversing and targeting previous lows. Break of Structure and Channel Retest The rising channel was broken convincingly, and price has now retested the underside of the channel, aligning with the 50% equilibrium of the entire high-to-low range. This reinforces the bearish bias and suggests the market has likely shifted from accumulation to distribution. Downside Targets and Key Levels Immediate support sits around $104.6K, which served as a consolidation base during the earlier run-up. If this level fails to hold, the next key target would be a sweep of the previous significant low at $102.8K. This area is marked as a point of interest and could offer a reaction or reversal. Price Expectations and Trade Outlook As long as price remains below the broken channel and under $107K, the bearish scenario remains in play. I’m watching for bearish continuation into $104.6K first, and a potential full sweep toward $102.8K if that support fails. Conclusion The internal sweep followed by impulsive rejection, combined with a clear channel breakdown and retest, shifts the bias to bearish. A move into the $104.6K region seems probable, with a lower liquidity target at $102.8K in sight if downside pressure accelerates. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by TehThomas
52
Bitcoin– bearish momentum builds after rejection at $109KIntroduction Bitcoin (BTC) is currently showing weakness after forming a lower high at $109,000. This level acted as a significant point of rejection, and since then, BTC has been moving lower. The price has broken through key support areas, indicating a possible shift in market structure. In this analysis, we’ll break down the recent price action, explain the technical signals behind the move, and discuss what could be expected in the short term. Rejection from the 0.786 Fibonacci Level The rejection at the $109,000 level aligns perfectly with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement on the 4-hour timeframe. This level is often seen as a strong resistance point during corrective moves, and in this case, it held firmly. The precision of this rejection gives it more weight, and since hitting that point, BTC has been steadily declining. This move down suggests that buyers were unable to push through the resistance, leading to increased selling pressure. Break of the 4H Bullish FVG As BTC started its decline from $109,000, it broke through the bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) that had formed earlier on the 4-hour chart. This gap previously served as a support zone but has now been decisively broken with strong volume. The loss of this level is significant, as it marks a breakdown of the bullish structure and opens the door for further downside movement. In the process of this move lower, BTC has created a new bearish FVG on the 4-hour timeframe. This gap remains open and could potentially act as a magnet for price to revisit, offering a possible short entry if price retraces into that zone. However, the clear break below the previous bullish FVG indicates a shift in momentum and supports a more bearish bias for now. Downside Target at $102.7K Given the recent breakdown, the next key level to watch is around $102,700. This area marks the wick low on the 4-hour timeframe and stands out due to the size and sharpness of the wick. Such large wicks often leave behind unfilled orders, which markets tend to revisit over time. The presence of these resting orders makes this level a likely target for the ongoing move down. It also acts as a strong area of potential support, where buyers might step back in if the price reaches that point. Conclusion With the rejection from the 0.786 Fibonacci level and the failure to hold the bullish 4H FVG, BTC has shown clear signs of weakness. The breakdown in structure suggests a continuation to the downside is likely, with $102.7k being the most immediate target. This level could serve as a strong support zone due to the unfilled orders left behind by the previous wick. Until BTC reclaims key support levels or shows a shift in momentum, the bias remains bearish in the short term, and traders should remain cautious while expecting further downside. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
8
Positive market: OIL rises sharply - Important area to watch forThe recent escalation of tensions in the Middle East has had a strong ripple effect across all commodities market. Just as we observed with Gold, it’s no surprise we’ve seen oil prices climb as well, given this uncertainty. If you’ve seen my latest Gold analysis, you’ll understand how market sentiment has turned uneasy, and in times like these are what people trust when everything else feels risky. And naturally, with everything going on, Gold is seeing stronger demand again, and I expect the price to steadily climb and reach new highs because the momentum is unmistakable. On Friday the 13th, oil prices spiked abruptly before pulling back slightly, showing just how sensitive the market is to potential supply disruptions. What’s fueling this rally is obvious, and it’s the fear around supply from such an important oil-producing area. This creates a great opportunity to take a position. As you can see in my analysis, the price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and may come back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would really confirm the bullish bias and make the move towards my anticipated target of 77,50 high probability, towards the next resistance zone level at 77,50 and 79,50. If the price remains over this support zone, my bullish outlook stays the same. But, if it doesn’t hold above this level we could see a slight pullback before another definitve move up. In such times, it’s important to watch price action closely especially near key technical levels, and let the market show your next move.
MARKETSCOM:OILLong
by TrendDiva
33
XAUUSD Sniper Plan – June 18, 2025Hey GoldMinds! 💛 After a messy reaction to today's Retail Sales miss, Gold continues to coil inside a premium range. With FOMC projections, rate statement, Powell’s press conference, and Unemployment Claims lined up next — volatility is far from over. Here’s our refined tactical plan 👇 🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Context • US Retail Sales disappointed — signaling cracks in consumer demand, potentially weighing on the USD. • Unemployment Claims up next — job market weakness could add pressure on USD if claims increase. • FOMC day: Expect massive liquidity sweeps during economic projections, rate decision, and Powell’s press conference. • Geopolitical tensions persist — no ceasefire in Middle East conflicts (Israel–Iran), and Russia–Ukraine remains unstable. Safe haven bids may still support gold on dips. 🧭 Bias: Tactical Neutral → Bearish • Price remains capped under 3415–3445 supply • EMAs are showing indecision: H1 trapped between EMA 5–21, H4 leaning weakly bullish • RSI on most TFs is neutral → market waiting for event catalyst • Structure suggests bull trap risk if 3415 holds 🔑 Key Sniper Zones 🔻 Sell Zones 1️⃣ 3405 – 3415 → H1-H4 OB + FVG + sweep confluence → Premium liquidity pocket — ideal trap for reactive sellers → Watch M15 for rejection confirmation 2️⃣ 3430 – 3445 → Upper inducement + clean OB + imbalance → Only valid if price spikes irrationally post-FOMC → Stronger reversal setup likely here 🟡 Pullback Monitor Zone 3390 – 3398 → No trade zone — watch for signs of rejection or continuation → Could act as short-term resistance before deeper moves 🟢 Buy Zones 1️⃣ 3365 – 3380 → Bounce zone with clean confluence: FVG, OB, previous HL → Best used for reactive entries after wick flushes → Key pivot zone with HL structure → OB + FVG combo, ideal for tactical long bounces with M15/M30 confirmation 2️⃣ 3335 – 3345 → Deeper structure retracement zone → Contains H4 OB, imbalance + golden Fibo pocket → Most reactive buy zone post-event volatility 🧠 Battle Plan Recap • If price fails to break 3415, we prepare for further bearish continuation • Bounces expected at 3365–3380 — confirmation needed • Final long setup lives at 3335–3345 — cleanest buy zone if FOMC triggers selloff • 3390–3398 is not for entries — only reaction monitoring • FOMC + Claims = high risk day → trade only sniper zones ✨ Final Notes Volatility creates traps. Structure gives clarity. We don’t predict — we react to the third move. 👇 Found this valuable? Hit the 🚀, follow for more sniper plans, and comment your bias! Let’s trade like pros, not guessers — GoldFxMinds 🧠✨
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
GOLD - Selling opportunity on the horizonLooking at gold. We have a nice bearish continuation orderflow on the 15min TF. We have a nice potential inducement level of liquidity that we are more than likely to take before moving lower. This is a reduced risk entry due to where we are on the higher TF as we are pulling into a potential demand zone on the higher timeframe. ITS REALLY IMPORTANT to remember where we are in terms of structure and as we well know Gold doesn't tend to fall for to long as it remains bullish the majority of the time. so in regards to the HTF like I mentioned above we are still bullish so we are expecting a reversal for the longer term at some point in the near future so this could be a case of get what we can from the market and then look for our LTF orderflow to switch Bullish before then looking for them long entries
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BenFxLDN
EURUSD: Potential Rebound at Key Point Within Ascending ChannelOANDA:EURUSD is moving within a clearly defined ascending channel, with the upper boundary acting as long-term resistance and the lower boundary providing dynamic support. The price has respected this channel, with multiple touches on both the upper and lower boundaries, reinforcing its structure. The recent pullback has pushed the price back to the lower boundary of the channel, where buyers are now looking to step in. If buyers manage to defend this support level, we could see a move towards the upper boundary of the channel near 1.17650. However, failure to hold the trendline support may weaken the bullish outlook, potentially leading to a breakdown and further bearish pressure. Price action around this key area will be crucial in determining the next directional move. Traders should monitor candlestick patterns and volume for confirmation. As always, effective risk management is essential when trading this setup. If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
Long
by Jessica_Paul
EURUSD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.16075 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.15775..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Short
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
EURUSD pullback complete – Will it rise to 1.17765 next?OANDA:EURUSD remains firmly within a well-defined uptrend channel, continuing to respect the key boundaries of the channel and showing sustained bullish momentum. The price has been consistently forming higher highs and higher lows, signaling that the uptrend is still intact. The recent pullback seems to be a healthy correction, which could pave the way for another upward move. The price is now approaching a significant support zone, defined by the lower boundary of the channel and a previous demand level. If this area holds strong, it could offer an excellent re-entry point for buyers, with the next target being 1.17765 , which coincides with the middle of the uptrend channel. As long as the price remains above this support level and the rising trendline, the bullish trend remains in play. However, any breach below these levels could signal the end of the bullish setup and open the door to a deeper pullback. Always confirm your setups and ensure appropriate risk management. Wishing you successful trades!
Long
by Jessica_Paul