SMC
XAU/USD: Bearish Continuation Setup with SMC Framework~On the 4H chart, the previous bullish structure shifted to bearish intent after breaking the recent major higher low (HL). This confirmed a change of character (CHoCH) and suggested a potential trend reversal. Following the break, price took out buy-side liquidity (BSL) as inducement and fully mitigated the supply zone/order flow area, solidifying the bearish bias.
~Lower Timeframe Plan (30M & 5M):
As we approach the Sunday evening or Monday opening, I am closely watching the 30-minute chart for confirmation of a CHoCH that aligns with the 4H bearish intent. Once the CHoCH on the 30M is validated, I will refine my entry on the 5-minute chart by looking for a CHoCH flip into a precise order block or order flow zone.
Expectations:
I anticipate price to respect the mitigated supply zone on the 4H and continue its bearish trend. My targets are set at liquidity zones aligned with the higher timeframe structure. I will patiently wait for the setup to develop in alignment with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles, focusing on structure, liquidity inducements, and precise entries.
Key Levels:
• 4H bearish intent confirmed after HL break.
• 30M CHoCH confirmation: Awaiting.
• 5M entry: Pending precise setup during Sunday evening or Monday open.
Let’s Connect:
Does this setup align with your perspective on XAU/USD? Drop your thoughts or questions below!
Bless trading!
CADJPY - Buy Setup at Clear Support LevelOANDA:CADJPY is approaching a strong support zone, an area that has previously attracted buyers. The recent bearish momentum has pushed price closer to this zone, making it a key level to watch for potential buying interest.
If buyers step in and confirm the support with bullish price action—such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing candles, or increasing buying volume—I anticipate a move toward 107.710. However, if price breaks below this level, it could signal further downside and invalidate the bullish outlook.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, whether it’s a strong rejection candle or a spike in volume, before making a move.
Your support means the world! Every like and comment motivates me to share more insights. Also, let me know your thoughts in the comments—I’d love to hear your perspective!
Best of luck , TrendDiva
EUR_USD SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅EUR_USD is approaching a demand level of 1.0340
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bullish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
LONG🚀
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GBPUSD Bearish Continuation – Targeting 1.22100OANDA:GBPUSD is trading within a descending channel, indicating the continuation of the bearish trend. The price recently rejected the upper boundary of the channel, which aligns with a key resistance zone. This confirmed rejection suggests the potential for further downside, with the next target around the 1.22100 level.
The bearish scenario assumes that the price respects the descending channel and maintains its downward momentum. A clear move below minor support zones along the way could further confirm this bearish continuation. However, a break above the channel would invalidate this setup and indicate potential bullish pressure.
Let me know your thoughts or if you have an alternative perspective!
GOLD at Critical Resistance – Reversal Incoming?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading at a key resistance zone, a level where sellers have previously taken control. If buyers fail to break through, we could see a rejection that sends the price lower toward $2,740.
I anticipate a move downward if we get bearish confirmation—such as rejection wicks, a bearish engulfing candle, or weakening buying pressure. However, a strong breakout and sustained hold above this zone could invalidate the setup, shifting momentum bullish and opening the door for new highs.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
USDMXN Approaching Resistance – Potential for Short-Term DropOANDA:USDMXN is approaching a key resistance level, a zone where sellers have previously stepped in to drive prices lower. If the resistance holds and a rejection occurs, the market could see a short-term pullback toward the 20.62025 level, a logical target based on recent price swings and momentum shifts.
Traders should watch for confirmation patterns such as bearish candlesticks or rejection wicks at the resistance level. This could signal a potential move lower. Conversely, a break above this resistance would invalidate the bearish scenario and could indicate continued bullish momentum.
This setup presents a potential short-term opportunity. Feel free to share your insights or alternate perspectives in the comments below!
Platinum Approaching Key Resistance — Will It Drop to 1,010$?OANDA:XPTUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, an area where sellers have previously stepped in to drive prices lower. This area has historically acted as a supply zone, making it a key level to watch for potential rejection.
If price struggles to break above and we see bearish confirmation—such as rejection wicks, a bearish engulfing candle, or weakening bullish momentum—I anticipate a pullback toward the $1,010 level. However, a strong breakout and hold above resistance could invalidate the bearish outlook, potentially opening the door for further upside.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
EURZAR at Key Demand Zone – Potential Buy OpportunityOANDA:EURZAR has reached a significant demand zone. This level has been a strong support in the past, with multiple historical rejections, suggesting that buyers could step in here again.
The current price action within the zone is crucial. If the price forms a clear bullish rejection pattern (such as bullish engulfing candles or long lower wicks), it may indicate a reversal, with a potential upward move toward the 19.40058 level. However, if the price consolidates further or breaks below this demand zone, it would signal weakness, and sellers could take control, invalidating the bullish outlook.
If you have additional insights or a different perspective, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Bullish Setup on CHFJPY — Watching for Confirmation!OANDA:CHFJPY has reached a critical demand area where buyers have previously stepped in, leading to strong bullish momentum. This zone has historically provided a solid base for upward momentum, making it a key level to watch.
If we see bullish confirmation—such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing candles, or a surge in buying volume—I anticipate a move toward 171.180, aligning with previous market structure. However, a decisive breakdown below this zone could weaken the bullish outlook and shift momentum downward.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
AUDJPY at Key Support Zone - Will Buyers Regain Control?OANDA:AUDJPY has reached a significant demand zone marked by prior price reactions. This level aligns with a key support level that has historically shown buyer interest, suggesting a potential for reversal.
The recent bearish move appears to be testing this demand zone, and if the price shows a clear rejection through bullish price action signals—such as a strong engulfing candle or wicks rejecting lower prices—there is a likelihood of a rebound. I anticipate that if the demand zone holds, the market may see a rally toward the 97.300 level.
Let me know your thoughts on this analysis or if you see any alternative scenarios. Feel free to share in the comments!
GENERAL ELECTRIC Soars Higher – Bullish Continuation to 211.50NYSE:GE is trading within a strong uptrend supported by a rising trendline. The consistent higher highs and higher lows confirm the bullish structure, signaling that buyers remain in control.
The price has recently bounced off the trendline, showing that it continues to act as a reliable dynamic support. This suggests a potential continuation of the uptrend. If buyers maintain control, the stock could rally toward the 211.50 target level, which aligns with recent highs and a measured move projection.
What’s your take on this setup? Do you see further upside potential, or are you anticipating a shift in momentum? Let me know your thoughts below!
EURJPY Testing Key Support Zone – Potential Buy SetupOANDA:EURJPY is approaching a key demand zone, an area where buyers have historically stepped in. The current market structure suggests the possibility of a bullish bounce if the price confirms a rejection from this zone.
The target at 161.857 is based on the expectation of buyers gaining momentum. If bullish price action confirms the demand zone as valid support, this setup offers a high-probability scenario.
Keep an eye on bullish confirmation signals, such as strong wicks or bullish engulfing candles, to validate the setup.
What’s your take on this analysis? Do you think the demand zone will hold, or do you anticipate further downside? Share your perspective below!
EURUSD 31 Jan 2025 W5- Intraday Analysis - ECB CPI - US Core PCEThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 31 Jan 2025 W5 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
The combination of the Fed's steady rate policy and the administration's aggressive trade measures has led to a cautious market outlook. Investors are balancing optimism about domestic economic resilience with concerns over potential disruptions from international trade tensions.
Federal Reserve's Decision: The Fed maintained the federal funds rate at 4.25% to 4.50%, citing stable economic growth and a low unemployment rate.
Fed's Outlook: Chair Powell emphasized a cautious approach, indicating no immediate plans to adjust rates and highlighting the need to assess the economic impacts of forthcoming policies from the Trump administration.
Presidential Response: President Donald Trump criticized the Fed's decision, attributing ongoing inflation issues to the central bank's policies and pledging to address inflation through measures such as enhancing energy production, deregulation, and trade adjustments.
Economic Reports today: ECB CPI Expectations and US Core PCE.
Overall, while the U.S. economy continues to exhibit strength, uncertainties stemming from trade policies and geopolitical factors are contributing to a mixed market sentiment.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Continuation after BOS
2️⃣
🔹INT structure continuing bullish after the bullish BOS. We expect that at anytime the Swing Pullback will start.
🔹With price failing to close above Weak INT High, there is a HP that we are going to target the INT Low which will facilitate the Bullish Swing Pullback.
🔹Price managed yesterday to create a Bullish CHoCH but again demand failed today which again adds the confluence that the Daily and 4H bearish move is in control and there is a HP that we are going to break the 4H INT Low.
3️⃣
🔹Expectation is set for price to continue Bearish to target the Strong INT Low to facilitate the 4H Bullish Swing Pullback and the Daily Bearish Continuation.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹At Swing Extreme Discount
2️⃣
🔹Price managed yesterday with US News and Lagarde Press Conference to create a Bullish BOS.
🔹After a BOS we expect a Pullback, where price pulled back to the Bullish Swing Extreme.
3️⃣
🔹Expectation is set for price to continue Bearish based on the Daily Bearish Continuation, 4H Swing Pullback and the current market sentiment.