"BTC Just Slammed Into a Major OB! Will Bears Strike Back Hard?"⚡ BTCUSD Analysis - 4H Timeframe | April 28, 2025
📈 What's Happening:
BTC has pushed deep into the Premium Area and wicked into a key Order Block (OB).
Strong bearish reactions are starting to show = potential trap for late buyers! 🚨
🚨 Critical Levels Highlighted:
Strong High = Main invalidation level (~99,999).
Order Block (OB) = Primary supply zone where Smart Money could step in.
Weak Low = Major liquidity target (~74,458).
🧠 Key Observations:
Smart Money hunted liquidity by forcing price into Premium.
OB Reaction shows potential rejection = perfect sniper hunting zone!
If bears step in, that Weak Low will be the magnet 🧲.
🎯 2-SCENARIO PLAN:
Plan A — Short Setup (Main Bias):
✅ Watch for strong bearish reaction inside the OB.
✅ Confirm short entries with bearish structure shift on M15/M5.
✅ TP1 = Minor lows around 88,000–90,000. TP2 = Full Weak Low sweep (~74,458).
✅ SL = Above Strong High (~99,999).
Plan B — Breaker Play (Alternative):
✅ If BTC breaks Strong High cleanly, flip bias to bullish.
✅ Look for Breaker retest setups targeting new highs.
📊 Risk Management Tip:
"Patience at Premium Zones = Maximum Risk-to-Reward setups. No chasing allowed."
🧘♂️ Summary:
✅ Liquidity Swept
✅ OB Reaction Starting
✅ Premium Area Reached
✅ Weak Low Target In Sight
🔥 Smart Money has a saying: "Trap first, profit second."
➡️ Save this setup to your playbook!
➡️ Comment "TRAP THEN ATTACK" if you're locking in for that premium sniper shot! 🧨
SMC
AUD_CAD RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅AUD_CAD has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a horizontal resistance of 0.8950
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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DXY (Dollar index) Shorts from 1hr supply zone My general outlook on the DXY this week leans bearish, as I expect price to continue trending lower. I’ve identified a nearby 1H supply zone, where we could see price react and begin pushing lower. There is also a larger supply zone further above, but it’s currently out of reach unless price pulls back significantly.
Looking back, the 2-day demand zone I marked over a week ago has played out well, with a strong bullish reaction from that level — price is still rising from that zone. During this move, a new 11H demand zone has formed, which also led to a change of character to the upside. If price revisits that zone, we may see another bullish continuation from there.
Key Points:
Overall bearish trend expected to continue in the short term.
1H supply zone nearby is a potential trigger point for a sell-off.
2D demand zone previously marked is still holding and influencing price.
11H demand zone has caused a bullish shift and could provide another long opportunity if price returns.
P.S. This is my general DXY outlook for the week. I don’t trade the dollar directly, but I use it as a key confluence when analysing and executing trades across other major pairs.
NZD-JPY Swing Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A bullish breakout of the
Falling resistance and the
Breakout is confirmed so
We are bullish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bullish continuation
Buy!
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EUR/USD Short term longs to a supplyThis week, I’ll be watching to see how much downside momentum remains after price reacted from my 8H supply zone. Just below the current price action, there’s a clean 3H demand zone I’m expecting price to mitigate — which could spark a bullish reaction or a short-term bounce.
My next supply zones are further above on the 2H and 5H timeframes, so I’ll be waiting to see whether we get another break of structure from this move, which could create a new, tradable supply zone. Ideally, I’ll wait for a Wyckoff schematic to develop at one of these key POIs before committing to a trade.
Confluences for EUR/USD Buys (Short-Term):
- Multiple liquidity points to the upside that price may seek to take out.
- A clean, unmitigated 3H demand zone just below the current level.
- The DXY is still showing weakness, aligning with bullish short-term EU moves.
- This could be a counter-trend opportunity before a larger sell-off resumes.
P.S. While my bias leans more towards selling from higher up, I’ll be open to counter-trend longs if the lower POIs hold. Just remember to keep your risk management tight and only take trades with clear confluence and confirmation.
GBP_AUD BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅GBP_AUD made a bearish
Breakout so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A local pullback and then a
Further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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EUR-CAD Will Keep Falling! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CAD is going down
Now and the pair broke
The rising support line
Made a retest and is going
Down again now so we are
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
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XAU/USD buy to sell outlookThis week, I’ll be monitoring potential long entries from the nearby 3H demand zone, but my primary focus will be on price retracing into the 4H supply zone around 3,300, where I’ll be watching for a sell opportunity.
This zone aligns with the current bearish momentum we've seen recently, and I’ll wait for price to slow down and show signs of distribution once it reaches this area.Once we see that slowdown, I’ll aim to refine a clean order block for entry, ensuring a clear change of character and avoiding any potential smart money traps or false moves.
Confluences for Gold Sells:
- A clean 4H supply zone has formed, which caused a break of structure to the downside.
- There's significant liquidity resting below, making further downside likely.
- Gold has been heavily overbought and saturated, which supports this correctional bearish move.
- The DXY recently reacted bullish from a strong 2-day demand zone, adding confluence for downside in gold.
- After last week’s sharp decline, a retracement is expected before further downside continuation.
P.S.: There’s also liquidity to the upside in the form of uncollected Asia highs, so don’t be surprised if price sweeps those first before tapping into our supply zone.
Let’s stay patient and smart with entries — have a great weekend, everyone!
USDJPY: Bullish Trend Reversal?! 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY formed a strong bullish reversal pattern on a daily,
breaking the underlined daily resistance and confirming
a Change of Character CHoCH.
I believe that the pair will steadily return to a global bullish trend.
The price may grow at least to 147.0 level after a completion of a retracement.
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DAX: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 22,904.4 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 22,755.9..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 1.13431 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 1.13119.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Bitcoin - Repeating History: 100k Next Target?Bitcoin is continuing to move with clean structure, driven by demand imbalances and breakout continuation setups. After the initial breakout from the mid-April range, price moved in a highly technical fashion, consolidating, breaking out, forming a fair value gap, and then retesting it before continuation. That exact structure looks like it's playing out again. Bitcoin just broke out of another multi-day consolidation and left behind a fresh 4h imbalance, suggesting the potential for another leg higher if it respects that zone on a pullback.
Consolidation Structure
The prior breakout came from a tight range just below $86,000. BTC spent several days compressing in that area, then broke out impulsively, creating a 4h FVG and retesting it cleanly. That retest held perfectly and launched a rally of nearly $10,000.
The current setup is structurally the same. BTC spent 8 days consolidating under $95,000, repeatedly testing the resistance without breaking it. It finally closed decisively above, leaving behind another fair value gap. The sequence is familiar, sideways accumulation, breakout, FVG left behind, and now a setup for retest.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
The bullish scenario is centered on a retest of the new 4h FVG, located between roughly $94,200 and $95,000. If price pulls back into that imbalance and buyers defend it, the setup for continuation is clean. Based on recent behavior, a successful retest here could easily carry BTC toward the $100,000 level.
If price instead breaks back below $94,000 and falls into the previous consolidation range, that invalidates the breakout structure. In that case, Bitcoin could either enter another range-bound phase or trap longs with a deviation. That would shift the focus to reassessing structure instead of chasing continuation.
Price Target and Expectations
The short-term upside target is $100,000. That level is both a psychological milestone and a likely liquidity magnet. From a structural perspective, it aligns with the last breakout leg, which moved over $9,000 after a similar retest setup. If buyers defend the FVG, there is not much in the way until $100,000.
The momentum behind the breakout supports that expectation. The move was impulsive, clear, and not showing signs of exhaustion. As long as structure holds, price is in a strong position to continue toward that key round number level.
Current Stance
This setup is not a breakout chase, it’s a retest setup. The breakout already happened, and the market left behind a fair value gap that now needs to be tested. If price pulls into the $94K to $95K zone and reacts strongly, that would confirm demand. That’s the moment to step in, with invalidation placed below the FVG and former resistance.
Until then, it's about staying patient and letting price come to the key level. The structure is clear, the plan is defined, and there’s no need to force a trade in the middle of the range.
Conclusion
Bitcoin looks like it’s repeating the exact same structure we saw earlier this month. Range, breakout, FVG, retest, that sequence played out before and led to a major leg higher. It’s playing out again now with nearly identical timing and behavior.
If the 4h imbalance holds, the next phase of this rally likely targets $100,000. The structure is clean, the behavior is technical, and there’s no reason to overcomplicate it. Let price do its thing, wait for the retest, and if the reaction is strong, follow the same playbook that’s already worked once this month.
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SILVER: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 32.356 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 32.538.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,260.03 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,281.72.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD - CONSOLIDATION TO MANIPULATION?OANDA:EURUSD is currently going through consolidation on daily time frame, i expect price to manipulate a little by taking out the relatively equal lows below to tap into the weekly and daily fair value gap below around 1.12000 price level as illustrated in the chart attached.
Overall, my bias on EURUSD still remain bullish until the weekly time frame shift market structure to bearish.
Monthly bullish, weekly bullish, now I will wait for daily to correct and turn bullish back for me to take a trade.
EUR_CAD BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅EUR_CAD made a bearish
Breakout of the support
Cluster of the rising and
Horizontal support lines
Around 1.5672 and the
Breakout is confirmed so
We are bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DXY Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY keeps strengthening
These last days and the index
Has almost reached a horizontal
Resistance level of 100.500
From where we will be expecting
A local bearish pullback and
A local move down
Sell!
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AUD_JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅AUD_JPY will be retesting a resistance level of 93.500 soon
From where I am expecting a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
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EUR-JPY Free Signals! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-JPY keeps growing
But the pair will soon hit
A horizontal resistance
Of 164.930 from where
We can enter a short trade
With the Target Level of 163.778
And the Stop Loss of 165.018
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
US30: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 40,968.4 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 41,302.5 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,224.64 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,201.23..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 32.154 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 31.906.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️