SMC
FRA40 at Critical Resistance Zone: Bearish Move Ahead?FX:FRA40 is currently trading within a significant resistance zone. This area has previously acted as a turning point, suggesting the potential for a bearish reversal if sellers regain control.
The current price action indicates that the market is testing this resistance zone, and any signs of rejection, such as bearish candlestick patterns or wicks signaling supply absorption, could confirm a potential move to the downside.
If the resistance holds, I anticipate a downward move toward the 7,573.08 level, which is a logical target for potential profit-taking.
AUDHUF Testing Key Demand Zone: Bullish Bounce Ahead?PEPPERSTONE:AUDHUF is currently trading within a significant demand zone, marked by historical price reactions and a concentration of buyer activity. This area has previously acted as a strong support level, suggesting the potential for a bullish reversal if buyers regain control.
The current price action indicates the market is testing this demand zone, and signs of bullish momentum, such as bullish candlestick patterns or a higher low formation, could confirm a potential upward move.
If the demand zone holds, I anticipate a move toward the 248.570 level, which is a logical target for short-term bullish momentum.
AUD_USD WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅AUD_USD will be retesting a resistance level of 0.6300 soon
From where I am expecting a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
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EURUSD at Key Resistance - Will it Drop to 1.03628?EURUSD is at a critical resistance zone that has consistently acted as a barrier for bullish momentum. This area aligns with prior supply levels and may attract seller interest.
If rejection patterns, such as bearish engulfing candles or long upper wicks, appear, I anticipate a move toward 1.03628. Conversely, a break above this resistance could indicate a shift in sentiment.
Traders should monitor this zone closely and wait for confirmation before entering short positions. If you have anything to add or a different perspective, I’d love to hear from you in the comments!
EURCAD: Sell Setup at Key ResistanceEURCAD is approaching a key resistance area, marked by historical price reactions and strong selling pressure. If bearish confirmation emerges, such as strong upper wicks or bearish candlestick patterns, I expect the price to move toward 1.48645. A breakout above this resistance, however, would invalidate the bearish scenario.
Traders should remain cautious and use proper risk management when approaching this level.
GOLD at Key Resistance Zone – Potential Bearish CorrectionGOLD is at a significant resistance zone, marked by historical price rejections and heightened interest from sellers in the past. If the price confirms a rejection from this resistance level, I anticipate a short-term bearish move toward the 2,692.88 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. This setup aligns with the expectation of a correction after a sharp rally into resistance.
Traders should monitor this zone closely for rejection signals, such as bearish candlestick formations or increased selling pressure, to confirm the likelihood of a pullback.
GBPCHF at Key Support – Bullish Bounce ExpectedGBPCHF is approaching a key demand zone, marked by historical price reactions and strong buying pressure in the past. This area has consistently acted as a turning point, where buyers regained control, driving prices higher.
There is a high probability of a bullish reversal if price action confirms buying pressure (e.g., bullish engulfing candles or long lower wicks signaling rejection).
I anticipate a bullish move toward the 1.11691 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure.
NZDJPY at Key Support – Bullish Reversal LikelyNZDJPY is trading at a key demand zone, marked by previous price rejections and strong buying interest. This area has consistently acted as a turning point, where buyers regained control and pushed prices higher.
The recent bearish move has brought the price into this critical support area. Given the strength of the demand zone, there is a high probability of a bullish reversal if price action confirms buying pressure (e.g., bullish engulfing candles or long lower wicks signaling rejection).
I anticipate a bullish move toward the 88.40 level, which represents a logical target for this setup based on prior resistance. This setup aligns with the expectation of a short-term recovery within the broader market context.
USDZAR Bearish Setup: Break and RetestThe USDZAR pair has broken below the channel, signaling a shift in market sentiment toward bearish momentum. The price is currently retesting the trendline, which now serves as a potential resistance area.
If the price confirms rejection at the retest of the trendline, I anticipate a bearish move targeting the 18.66384 level, which represents a logical target for this setup.
This setup highlights the potential for a trendline break-and-retest continuation to the downside. Traders should look for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or rejection wicks, before considering short positions.
USOIL Bearish Setup: Reversal from Supply ZoneUSOIL is at a significant supply zone, marked by historical price rejections and strong selling pressure in the past. This zone has previously acted as a turning point, where sellers regained control, driving prices lower.
The recent bullish rally has pushed the price into this critical resistance area. However, given the strength of this supply zone and the overextended bullish move, there is a high probability of a bearish reversal if price action confirms rejection (e.g., bearish engulfing candles or long upper wicks signaling selling pressure).
I anticipate a bearish move toward the 75.50 level, which represents a logical target for this setup.This setup aligns with the expectation of a potential correction within the broader market context.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
MSFT – Potential Buy Opportunity at Support LevelThe MSFT stock price is approaching a key demand zone, which has served as strong support in the past. This zone has witnessed significant buyer interest during previous tests, making it a critical area to watch for a potential reversal.
The current downtrend could find support in this demand zone, leading to a bullish bounce. If the price shows clear reversal signals, such as long lower wicks or bullish engulfing candles, buyers could push the price higher. The first potential target for this move would be around the $433.25 level.
What do you think about this analysis? Feel free to share your insights or alternative perspectives in the comments!
CADCHF - Short Setup at Key ResistanceThe CADCHF pair just entered a notable resistance zone that has times before acted as a supply zone, leading to bearish movements. A confirmation of selling pressure, such as a bearish engulfing pattern or multiple rejection wicks at the resistance level, would increase the likelihood of a downward move.
If sellers take control at this level, the pair could move downward, with a target around the 0.63230 level.
EURCZK: Potential Sell Setup at ResistanceOANDA:EURCZK is at a key resistance zone that aligns with prior price rejections and key supply levels. This area has historically attracted strong selling interest, making it a critical point to watch.
If bearish confirmation appears, such as strong upper wicks or bearish candlestick patterns, I anticipate a move toward 25.17333. Conversely, a break above this level could signal further upside and invalidate the bearish setup.
Traders should carefully evaluate price action at this zone before entering positions.
NOKJPY - Buy Setup from Key SupportFOREXCOM:NOKJPY is currently at a significant demand zone that has historically attracted buyers, triggering bullish reversals. This support level has been pivotal in past price actions, forming a solid base for potential upward momentum.
The appearance of a strong bullish candle reinforces the setup, suggesting the likelihood of an upward movement, with a target around 13.7785. However, if the support level is breached, the bullish sentiment could fade, allowing for a possible decline.
Traders should remain alert in this zone for signs of buyer strength before taking long positions. Proper risk management is critical to mitigate the risk of losses.
USDCHF – Potential Bearish Continuation Toward SupportThe USDCHF pair has broken below a key ascending trendline, signaling a potential shift in momentum. This move aligns with a bearish bias, suggesting that price action may now head lower.
If the price retraces back to the broken trendline or nearby resistance levels and forms bearish confirmations—such as rejection patterns, bearish engulfing candles, or long upper wicks, it could reinforce the likelihood of further downside movement.
Should this scenario materialize, sellers may target the 0.90484 level as the next area of interest. A sustained breakdown below this support zone could pave the way for continued bearish pressure.
However, traders should remain cautious. A break back above the resistance zone or strong bullish momentum could invalidate this outlook.
BTCUSD | 1D SMC Short Setup with Refined SL and TargetsDescription:
This analysis identifies a high-probability short opportunity for BTCUSD on the 1D timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. The chart shows clear bearish confluences, including market structure, supply zones, liquidity levels, and Fibonacci retracement zones. I believe the current bullish momentum is merely a manipulation driven by inflation news and the upcoming Trump inauguration. Following these events, I anticipate a significant market correction. Here’s the detailed breakdown and trade plan:
Analysis:
Market Structure:
Break of Structure (BOS): Price has confirmed a bearish trend with BOS to the downside, signaling a continuation of lower highs and lower lows.
Trendline Resistance: A well-defined downward trendline indicates selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Key Zones and Liquidity:
Supply Zone: Highlighted in purple at $102,000-$104,000 . This zone represents an area where strong selling previously occurred, creating an imbalance.
Golden Zone (Fibonacci Retracement): Located around $101,000-$103,000 , this area aligns with the 61.8%-78.6% retracement levels and offers a high-probability reversal opportunity.
Weak High: The high near $104,000 represents untapped liquidity, which smart money may target for a liquidity grab before reversing lower.
Equal Lows (EQL): Around $92,000 , these act as a bearish target where liquidity rests, aligning with the continuation of the bearish trend.
Confluences for Short Entry:
Price is approaching the supply zone and Fibonacci Golden Zone , indicating a potential reversal point.
The weak high may trigger a liquidity grab to entice buyers before sellers regain control.
Previous BOS and trendline resistance add further validation to the bearish bias.
Trade Plan:
Short Entry Setup:
Entry Zone: $102,000-$104,000 (inside the supply zone and Golden Zone).
Stop Loss (SL): $105,500 (above the supply zone and imbalance to account for liquidity grabs).
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: $97,000 – Close partial profits at this imbalance mitigation level.
TP2: $92,000 – Target the equal lows and resting liquidity.
TP3: $88,000 – Final target near the blue demand zone for maximum reward.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
With the entry at $103,000 (midpoint of supply), SL at $105,500, and TP at $92,000, the trade offers a 1:4 RR or better, depending on execution and scaling.
Additional Notes:
Monitor the price action closely as BTC approaches the supply zone for confirmation, such as bearish candlestick patterns or lower timeframe CHoCH (Change of Character).
Scaling into the trade in smaller portions across the supply zone can improve overall entry precision.
Adjust stop loss or take profit levels as market conditions evolve