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Weekly Outlook | XAUUSD June 30 – July 4, 2025Welcome to a new trading week. Let’s break down the gold chart from a clean, high-timeframe perspective. No setups, no noise – just structure, momentum, and zones that matter. 🌐 Macro Overview This week concentrates all key USD events into one tight window: Tuesday: ISM Manufacturing + Fed Chair Powell speech Wednesday: ADP Employment Thursday: NFP, Unemployment Rate, ISM Services PMI Friday: US holiday – markets closed 📌 This means liquidity and momentum will peak by Thursday, then fade into the weekend. Expect gold to stay in range until macro data breaks direction. 🧠 Weekly Structure & Momentum Gold remains in a bullish macro structure, but price is hesitating below 3300. Last two weekly candles printed long upper wicks with no body follow-through – clear sign of distribution, not continuation. We’re still trading above the 21EMA Weekly, which maintains the uptrend’s integrity. RSI (14): sitting at ~59 → no real momentum breakout, just consolidation. 📌 The chart is not reversing, but it’s also not trending anymore. We’re in a decision zone. 📍 Key Weekly Areas of Interest 3430 – 3500 → W1 Imbalance + March High Sweep This is a wide weekly imbalance left unfilled since March, paired with the prior 2024 swing high. 3500 is also a psychological round number. If price pushes into this area, it becomes a liquidity target, not an entry – unless a clear rejection forms. 3330 – 3230 → Weekly Decision Block This is the current consolidation range. It includes multiple W1 candle bodies, wick highs/lows, and volume cluster. – Weekly close above 3330 = likely bullish continuation toward 3430+ – Weekly close below 3230 = confirms weakness and opens path to the next major support 3080 – 2970 → Weekly Demand + Fib 38% Clean block of accumulation from April–May, aligned with the 38.2% retracement of the 2024 rally. This is where we’d expect institutional buying interest on a deeper pullback. A weekly candle with a long wick into this zone + strong close would reset bullish structure. 2850 – 2720 → Last Macro Demand Zone This zone includes the 50EMA weekly, a weekly FVG from late 2023, and unmitigated demand before the full 2024 breakout. If price ever gets here, we’re no longer in a healthy uptrend – we’re correcting structurally. But this zone will matter if that happens. 🧭 Summary & Expectations Gold is still inside a large weekly range. Until we break above 3330 or below 3230, it’s just consolidation on the HTF. Thursday’s data will decide the candle. Don’t predict direction — let the W1 close speak. 📌 Final Notes: Above 3330 = room toward 3430–3500 Below 3230 = risk opens toward 3080–2970 Inside = no directional edge — stay reactive, not biased 🔥 If you enjoy this clean breakdown: hit that 🚀, follow & drop your thoughts below! Stay sharp traders — we execute with precision. — GoldFxMinds
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
1
DXY Swing Short! Sell! Hello,Traders! DXY keeps falling down And the index broke the Key wide horizontal level Around 97.800 which is now A resistance and the breakout Is confirmed so we are very Bearish biased and we will Be expecting a bearish Continuation on Monday Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TVC:DXYShort
by TopTradingSignals
1
XAUUSD – End-of-Month Liquidity Play Ahead📌 Market Narrative & Liquidity Shift The final day of June coincides with a critical macro liquidity event: the U.S. Treasury must roll over $6 trillion in COVID-era debt. This creates a significant supply-demand imbalance in the USD market, potentially sparking short-term dislocations in gold pricing. Price action during the Asian session triggered a sweep of the previous demand zone around the 327x range, followed by a quick rebound. However, structural context on the 4H–1H charts still reflects bearish market order flow, with a clear BOS (Break of Structure) confirming bearish intent. 🧠 Smart Money Flow & Political Catalyst Displacement Logic: Recent price action printed a BOS after mitigation from a prior supply block around 3301. Liquidity engineering above this level suggests possible inducement traps. Fundamental Overlay: Trump’s call for aggressive Fed rate cuts to 1%-2% reinforces a dovish narrative that supports precious metals in the short term. But this is more likely to create fake buy pressure before another liquidity grab higher. 🔍 Current SMC Structure: 🔻 Premium Zone: 3327 – 3333 → Ideal for sell-side setups (internal liquidity pool). 🔺 Discount Zone: 3247 – 3259 → Untapped demand + potential SSL grab. 🟪 Internal CHoCH detected near 3272. Price reclaiming this level could initiate short-term bullish displacement toward imbalance zones. 🧭 Trade Map for Today (30/06) 🔹 BUY SETUP #1 – Countertrend Reclaim Entry: 3272 – 3274 (on CHoCH confirmation) SL: 3268 TP: 3282 → 3288 → 3301 🧠 Logic: Entry on reclaim of internal structure + inefficiency fill. 🔹 BUY SETUP #2 – Deep Discount Re-entry Entry: 3249 – 3251 SL: 3244 TP: 3265 → 3282 → 3295 🧠 Logic: Entry near SSL + unmitigated imbalance zone. 🔻 SELL SETUP #1 – Reaction from Supply Entry: 3298 – 3300 SL: 3304 TP: 3292 → 3282 → 3270 🧠 Logic: Rejection from partially filled FVG + minor liquidity pocket. 🔻 SELL SETUP #2 – Liquidity Grab in Premium Entry: 3329 - 3332 SL: 3337 TP: 3322 → 3310 → 3298 → 3282 🧠 Logic: Price taps liquidity above internal high + confirms reversal. 📍 Final Thoughts End-of-month flows often bring unexpected volatility. Combine that with macro liquidity rotation and political pressure, and we have a ripe setup for liquidity raids, inducements, and fakeouts. Stick to SMC structure and manage risk with discipline.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EliseLunaTraders
DXY: Local Bullish Bias! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse DXY together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 96.706 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 96.819.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
ETHUSD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse ETHUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 2,437.2 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 2,426.5..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
USDCAD RT of Supply Zone then ShortPrice has retraced back into a key supply zone just under the June High. We are now watching for strong bearish price action (PA) to confirm a potential short entry from this area. Key Zone to Watch: Supply Zone: 1.3756 – 1.3796 Optimistic stops can be placed above the zone if strong rejection occurs Plan: Seek bearish PA within the highlighted supply zone Wait for confirmation via a bearish candle close Enter below the trigger candle once setup forms Targets: Target 1: 1.3622 Extended Target / June Low: 1.3543 If no rejection occurs and price breaks above the zone with conviction, the setup becomes invalid and we reassess. Execution will be reactive, not predictive — we trade confirmation, not speculation.
Short
by SKA_CAPITAL
US30 looking for the short on Bearish PAI believe we can expect a pull back down to JuBias: Short-term Bearish (Contingent Setup) Context: Price is currently trading just below a high-probability supply zone between 44,048 – 44,277. This area aligns with prior highs and liquidity, making it a prime zone to look for a short-term rejection if strong bearish price action (PA) appears on the 4H or Daily timeframes. We are currently seeing strong bullish momentum on the Weekly, Daily, and H4 candles. Any short positions from this zone must be reactive — not anticipatory. A clear bearish signal (e.g., engulfing, structure break, supply confirmation) is required to consider entry. Key Zone: Seek bearish PA between 44,048 – 44,277 Contingency: If price breaks and closes above 44,250 (2024 highs), expect continuation toward 45,000 Short Targets if Rejection Occurs: Target 1: 43,350 Target 2: 42,500 Extended Target: 41,734 (June Low) Post-Rejection Bullish Scenario: If we do get a rejection and targets are met, we will then look for bullish PA in the demand zones (42,500 or 41,700) to consider long setups back toward the 2024 highs and potentially beyond. Breakout Scenario: If price breaks and closes above the 44,277 zone early this week, we anticipate the next leg to 45,000 before any meaningful reversal. At this stage, it’s a waiting game — let price action lead. We don’t predict, we react.ne lows before an
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by SKA_CAPITAL
GU Friday Bearish ReviewHi everyone, GBP/USD played out exactly as per forecast (link below if you'd like to revisit): It was fairly simple price action to forecast, price sweeped 1.375 initially, taking out the Asian highs and the similar equal highs (liquidity) Before then creating its bearish leg towards the next liquidity zone of 1.37. I was able to jump onto a few moves throughout both London & NY (have thrown in those screenshots onto the chart for you guys) Regards, Aman | SMC Wolf FX 1-1 student onboarding is currently open (website in my signature & profile)
by SMCWolfFX
EUR-NZD Bullish Bias! Buy! Hello,Traders! EUR-NZD is trading in a Strong uptrend and the pair Is printing higher highs and Higher lows while breaking Important key levels such As 1.9270 which is now A support and the pair Is consolidating above the New support so we are Bullish biased and we will Be expecting a further move Further up on Monday Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TopTradingSignals
1
US100 – Extended Rally, Eyes on Pullback to Key SupportUS100 continues to show impressive strength, with no real signs of slowing down yet. The recent push above the previous all-time high came with strong bullish candles and high volume, confirming the breakout as legitimate rather than a false pump. This surge followed a clean retest of the fair value gap below, which acted as a springboard for the next leg higher. Imbalance Retest and ATH Break Before the breakout, price perfectly respected the FVG just above the 20,800 zone. That retest was crucial, showing institutional interest in defending higher prices. From there, the index cleared the old ATH with authority, and we are now trading comfortably above it, establishing new highs in the process. Support Zone Outlook While momentum remains bullish, the market doesn’t move in a straight line forever. A short-term cool-off is possible. I’m eyeing the marked-out support zone just above 21,400, which previously acted as resistance and now flips to demand. If we do pull back, this is the most logical area for buyers to step back in. Potential Price Path The dotted projection outlines two possible paths: one, a minor pullback followed by immediate continuation, and two, a deeper retest into the green support zone before resuming the uptrend. Both scenarios remain bullish as long as price stays above that support. A retest into this level would be healthy and provide a clean long entry for continuation. Key Levels to Watch The area around 21,400 to 21,700 is critical. If we revisit this zone, I’ll be watching for bullish price action to confirm continuation. On the upside, we’re now in price discovery mode, so upside targets are more open-ended, but 23,000+ becomes a magnet if momentum stays intact. Conclusion US100 is in strong bullish territory, with institutional signs backing the move. A pullback would be welcome and likely provide a high-probability long setup. Until the structure breaks, I remain bullish on this index, watching for a healthy dip into the support zone for potential continuation higher. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by TehThomas
37
NI225: Move Down Expected! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse NI225 together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 40,150.79 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 39,753.50..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
TVC:NI225Short
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
SMC Trading Basics. Change of Character - CHoCH (GOLD FOREX) In the today's post, we will discuss one of the most crucial concepts in SMC - Change of Character. Change of Character relates to market trend analysis. In order to understand its meaning properly, first, we will discuss how Smart Money traders execute trend analysis. 🔘Smart Money Traders apply price action for the identification of the direction of the market. They believe that the trend is bullish , if the price forms at least 2 bullish impulse with 2 consequent higher highs and a higher low between them. The market trend is considered to be bearish , if the market forms at least 2 bearish impulses with 2 consequent lower lows and a lower high between them. Here is how the trend analysis looks in practice. One perceives the price action as the set of impulse and retracement legs. According to the rules described above, USDCAD is trading in a bullish trend because the pair set 2 higher lows and 2 higher highs. 🔘Of course, trends do not last forever. A skill of the identification of the market reversal is a key to substantial profits in trading. Change of Character will help you quite accurately identify a bullish and bearish trend violation. 📉In a bearish trend, the main focus is the level of the last lower high. While the market is trading below or on that, the trend remains bearish . However, its bullish violation is a very important bullish signal, it is called a Change of Character, and it signifies a confirmed violation of a bearish trend. In a bearish trend, CHoCH is a very powerful bullish pattern. Take a look, how accurate CHoCH indicated the trend reversal on Gold. After a massive selloff, a bullish breakout of the level of the last lower high confirmed the initiation of a strong bullish wave. 📈In a bullish trend, the main point of interest is the level of the last higher low. While the price is trading above that or on that, the trend remains bullish. A bearish violation of the last higher low level signifies the violation of a current bullish trend. It is called a Change of Character, and it is a very accurate bearish pattern. Take a look at the example on Dollar Index below. In a bullish trend, bearish violation of the last higher low level quite accurately predicted a coming bearish reversal. Change of Character is one of the simplest , yet accurate SMC patterns that you should know. First, learn to properly execute the price action analysis and identify HH, HL, LL, LH and then CHoCH will be your main tool for the identification of the trend reversal. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
7