SMC
GOLD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in an uptrend
Along the rising support line
And the price made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 2940$ which reinfrces
Our bullish bias and makes
Us expect a further
Bullish continuation
Buy!
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Bearish on GBP/USD |15M TF analysis This is my analysis on GU. We took buy side liquidity and then broke structure to the downside. Waiting for price retrace back up into a 30 minute order block with a 15M imbalance inside of it and liquidity resting right below it. Will scale down to lower timeframe 1-5M and see what price action does from this zone.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – A Complete GuideWhat Are Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)?
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a price imbalance on a chart that occurs when the market moves aggressively in one direction, leaving an area where price did not trade efficiently. These gaps are often created by institutional traders (banks, hedge funds, and large market participants) executing big orders.
Key Characteristics of a FVG:
✅ Occurs when price moves impulsively, creating an imbalance
✅ Appears in a three-candle formation
✅ The gap forms between the wicks of the first and third candles
How to Identify a FVG:
1️⃣ Look for a strong price move (bullish or bearish).
2️⃣ Find a three-candle sequence where the middle candle has a large body and a gap between the first and third candle wicks.
3️⃣ Mark the area between the first and third candle wicks—this is your Fair Value Gap.
Example:
Imagine price explodes upward with a big green candle, skipping multiple price levels without much resistance. This creates an inefficiency because price hasn’t traded fairly in that area, making it likely that price will revisit it later to fill the imbalance.
Here you can see that price completely filled up that gap and moved higher.
Same here:
How to Use Fair Value Gaps in Trading
FVGs can serve as key zones where price is likely to react. Here’s how you can use them to improve your trading:
1️⃣ Fair Value Gaps as Support & Resistance
Bullish FVG (Support Zone):
If price retraces into a bullish FVG (gap formed in an uptrend), it can act as support and push price higher.
This is a good area to look for buying opportunities.
Bearish FVG (Resistance Zone):
If price retraces into a bearish FVG (gap formed in a downtrend), it can act as resistance and push price lower.
This is a good area to look for selling opportunities.
2️⃣ Using FVGs for Trade Entries & Exits
Price often revisits a Fair Value Gap before continuing its original trend.
A trader can wait for price to fill the gap and then look for confirmations like candlestick patterns or volume spikes before entering a trade.
Stop-loss placement: Put your stop-loss below/above the FVG zone to reduce risk.
3️⃣ Liquidity & Institutional Activity
Institutional traders often target these inefficiencies to fill their orders.
When price returns to an FVG, it may be because institutions are executing trades at those levels.
Why Are Fair Value Gaps Useful?
They act as magnets for price – Price tends to revisit these gaps before continuing its move.
They provide high-probability trade setups – FVGs help traders find potential reversal or continuation zones.
They improve risk management – You can use them for better stop-loss placement.
They align with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) – Institutions often use these levels for liquidity.
Tips & Tricks: How to Combine Fair Value Gaps with Other Strategies
1️⃣ FVG + Order Blocks = Strong Confirmation
If a Fair Value Gap aligns with an Order Block, it becomes a powerful area of interest.
This increases the chances of a successful trade.
2️⃣ FVG + Fibonacci Retracements
If an FVG aligns with a key Fibonacci level (like 61.8% or 50%), the chances of a price reaction increase significantly.
3️⃣ FVG + RSI or Divergence
If price revisits a FVG while RSI is overbought or oversold, it signals a high-probability reversal.
4️⃣ Higher Timeframe FVGs Are More Reliable
FVGs on the 1-hour, 4-hour, or daily charts are more effective than those on smaller timeframes.
5️⃣ Monitor News Events
If an FVG is formed due to a major news event (e.g., Fed announcement, CPI data, earnings report), be cautious, as price may act differently than expected.
Final Thoughts
Fair Value Gaps are a powerful tool that help traders identify key levels of liquidity and institutional price action. They work best when combined with other strategies like Order Blocks, Fibonacci, and RSI to increase accuracy.
By understanding how and why price moves back into these gaps, traders can anticipate potential high-probability trade setups and trade alongside smart money.
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EURJPY Approaching Major Support – Will Buyers Step In?OANDA:EURJPY is approaching a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the pair toward the 160.000 level, a logical target based on past price behavior and structural confluence.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
EURUSD 20 Feb 2025 W8 - Intraday - US Unemployment ClaimsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 20 Feb 2025 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Some USA economic news today:
US : Unemployment Claims & Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
The market still in the same sentiment detailed in my Weekly Analysis . Below a summary:
Short-Term Bias: Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD, driven by optimism over delayed tariffs, geopolitical progress, and hopes for softer inflation.
Key Risks:
A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness.
Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand)
🔹INT Bearish (Reached Extreme Supply)
🔹INT-INT Bullish (Reached EQ (50%)
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move):
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
🔹With the recent moves, Minor Supply is holding and demand is failing to facilitate the INT-INT Bullish structure Pullback which reached the structure EQ (50%).
3️⃣
🔹After the Bullish ii-BOS, price pulled in a corrective PA to the structure EQ (50%) and currently within the Daily Demand.
🔹Still expectation is set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High as long LTFs holds Bullish structures. Also, In my mind I’m not neglecting the current Bearish 4H INT structure and we already reached that structure extreme where we are getting the current corrective Bearish OF.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing EQ (50%)/Discount
🔹Swing Pullback Phase
2️⃣
🔹The 15m Bullish Swing pullback phase is still intact with continues Bearish INT structures.
🔹Price had reached Swing extreme demand in Swing Discount.
🔹With the recent Bearish iBOS, price had formed Liq. above the 15m Demand which was sept with the break of the Weak INT Low, mitigating the 15m Demand and forming a Bullish CHoCH to initiate the Bearish INT Structure Pullback.
🔹Technically Shorts is the straight forward play (Played very well yesterday as per expectations and executions), but keep in mind that the Bearish INT structures task is to facilitate the 15m Swing Pullback and we are currently in the Swing Discount Zone and if the Swing is going to continue Bullish, there is a high probability that the INT Structure is going to shift Bullish.
3️⃣
🔹It’s a crossroads! Expectations is for price to turn Bullish and create a Bullish INT structure to confirm the Swing Pullback is over and the start of the Swing Bullish continuation Phase (Bullish iBOS for confirmation).
🔹Will be looking for longs after Bullish iBOS. As for Shorts, not in my interest currently based on where we are within the 115m Swing (Discount)/15m & 4H Demand even with the INT structure is Bearish.
SPY Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SPY is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the index made
A bullish breakout of the key
Horizontal level around 608$
So we are bullish biased and
We will be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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USDMXN at Key Support - Potential Buy SetupOANDA:USDMXN is currently trading at a major demand zone, where buyers may step in to support the price. This level has historically acted as a strong support area, leading to bullish reversals.
If the price confirms a rejection from this demand zone, we could see a move upward toward the 20.4440 target level. A bullish reaction from this zone would align with the expectation of a short-term correction within the broader market structure.
NZDCHF at Key Resistance: Potential Sell Setup OANDA:NZDCHF is currently trading at a key resistance zone, where sellers may regain control. This level has been a significant area of interest in the past, leading to reversals. The recent push into this zone suggests a potential for bearish continuation if price action confirms rejection.
If the market provides a clear rejection pattern, such as bearish engulfing candles or wicks signaling rejection, I anticipate a move downward toward the 0.51500 target level. This setup aligns with the expectation of a short-term correction within the broader market context.
If you have additional insights or an alternative perspective, feel free to share your thoughts!
USDCAD - Sell Opportunity After Support BreakOANDA:USDCAD has broken below a major support level, signaling a shift in momentum. If the price will retest the zone at 1.42600, which previously served as support, this area may now act as resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation.
If sellers confirm resistance at this level, the price is likely to move downward toward the 1.41130 level, which represents a logical target for this setup. Conversely, a failure to hold resistance could suggest a potential bullish shift.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or increased selling volume, before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
DAX RISKY LONG|
✅DAX(INDEX) is trading in an uptrend
Along the rising support line
Which makes me bullish biased
And the index is about to retest the rising support
Thus, a rebound and a move up is expected
With the target of retesting the level above at 22,614
LONG🚀
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AUD-CAD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CAD is trading in a
Local uptrend and the pair
Is making a strong rebound
From the wide horizontal
Support level of 0.9005
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
NZDSGD at Key Resistance – Potential Sell SetupOANDA:NZDSGD has reached a clear resistance zone, an area where price has previously struggled to break through. This level has historically acted as a strong supply zone, making it a key area to watch for potential reversals.
If sellers step in and confirm a rejection from this resistance, we could see a move lower toward the 0.76570 level, which aligns with the current market structure. However, a strong breakout above this resistance could invalidate the bearish outlook and signal further upside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
GBPZAR at Clear Resistance Zone - Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:GBPZAR has reached a significant resistance zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, indicating the potential for a pullback if sellers regain control.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance zone, there is a high likelihood of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 23.1620 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure.
GBPCHF Bullish Continuation - Targeting 1.13980OANDA:GBPCHF remains within a well-defined ascending channel, with price pulling back toward a key demand zone near 1.13600. This level aligns with the lower boundary of the channel, making it a critical area to watch. If buyers step in, we could see a bullish continuation toward 1.13980 and potentially higher.
However, if sellers break below this key zone, the structure could weaken, opening the door for further downside.