SMC
Gold- Order Block Hunting! ICT and VSA Setup!As gold dropped today and sweep the order block near asian low there was also liquidity zone. and now gold bouncing from these level. gold can hit now 2899 and if gold breakout 2907 then we can see a new ATH on friday
Support: 2879-2876
Resistance Area: 2901
Liquidity Zone: 2899
EURAUD at Key Resistance: Potential Sell OpportunityOANDA:EURAUD is currently in a well-defined downtrend, trading within a descending channel. The price is approaching a significant resistance zone, which aligns with previous structural rejections. This level is critical as it may act as a supply zone where sellers could regain control.
The projected scenario suggests a potential rejection at this resistance area, leading to a continuation of the bearish trend. If price action confirms a rejection—such as forming bearish candlestick patterns or strong wicks—there is a high probability of a downward move toward the 1.63590 level, which aligns with a key support zone.
This setup follows the broader market structure, suggesting that sellers may remain in control unless a significant breakout above the resistance zone occurs.
AUD/USD: Precision Entry Loading….4H bulls are in full control—momentum is pushing, and I’m not here to question it. Dropped to the 30M, got my CHoCH, and now structure is fully bullish.
Now? Just waiting. Price needs to sweep inducement, then I’ll step in off the order block after my final 5M confirmation. No rushing, no second-guessing—just letting price do what it has to do.
Most traders chase. I let price come to me. Let’s see if AUD wants to play its part.
#AUDUSD #SMC #SmartMoney #OrderBlocks #LiquiditySweep #PriceAction
Bless Trading!
EURUSD 12 Feb 2025 W7 - Intraday Analysis - CPI, Powell & TariffThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 12 Feb 2025 W7 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
In my Weekly Analysis, tariffs continue to dominate the narrative, yet market reactions have become the primary focus. The critical question is whether investors have grown accustomed to tariff-related news—leading to muted responses—or if the persistent tariff war rhetoric will trigger renewed market anxiety.
Notably, Powell’s testimony yesterday failed to offer any fresh insights; however, there is hope that today’s session might shed some light on future policy directions. Additionally, the USD’s weakness observed at the close of trading yesterday appears to have been driven more by reports of a territorial swap in Ukraine’s peace deal—and possibly an initial leak of the CPI data—rather than by Powell’s remarks.
Today’s CPI report is expected to be a significant driver of market volatility. Investors are eagerly anticipating softer CPI numbers, which could encourage the Fed to consider not only an earlier rate cut but potentially two cuts this year, contrasting with the current market consensus of just one. While tariffs are clearly contributing to upward inflationary pressures and prompting a cautious stance from the Fed, the immediate volatility is likely to stem from the CPI data. The market will be closely watching whether the tariffs are being employed as a negotiating tactic—or if they signal an intentional escalation towards a trade war.
Markets face a tug-of-war between CPI-driven rate hopes and tariff-induced risks. While CPI may spark a tactical rally if soft, tariffs remain the swing factor – any escalation (e.g., new retaliatory measures) would overshadow short-term data. Position for choppy trading until Trump’s tariff strategy crystallizes.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios:
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
🔹The reaction from the recent 4H Demand Zone formed a Bullish CHoCH and a fresh Demand zone where price can pullback to after tapping the recent 4H Supply Zone.
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to Bearish to target the Weak INT Low as long LTFs turning Bearish.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹At Swing Premium
2️⃣
🔹With yesterday PA, price failed to continue Bearish and created a Bullish i-BOS.
🔹Price reached the 4H supply as anticipated and mitigated the 15m Supply within the 4H to maybe initiate the Bullish INT Structure pullback phase and if the swing is going to continue Bearish there is a high probability to target the Strong INT Low.
🔹The current Bullish i-BOS aligns with the 4H Swing where we have also a high probability that we can target the 15m Strong Swing High.
🔹With the inconsistency of Time frames alignments, a clear direction is difficult to identify which requires a sit back and watch till we have a clear direction.
3️⃣
🔹From an intraday perspective, expectations are set to Bearish to facilitate the Bullish INT Structure pullback.
🔹Today’s CPI, Powell and Tariffs talks will have high volatility that could direct me tomorrow or next week for a clearer direction move.
GBP_NZD LOCAL BULLISH REBOUND|LONG|
✅GBP_NZD made a strong
Move up from the rising
Support just as we predicted
Then broke a local key level
Of 2.1940 which is now a
Support so we are bullish biased
And after the retest of the new
Support we will be expecting a
Local bullish rebound
LONG🚀
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GBP_CAD APPROACHING RESISTANCE|SHORT|
✅GBP_CAD is going up to retest a horizontal resistance of 178.720
Which makes me locally bearish biased
And I think that we will see a pullback
And a move down from the level
Towards the target below at 177.290
SHORT🔥
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USD-JPY Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY made a rebound
From the key levels below
And is now growing fast
So we are locally bullish
Biased but after the pair hits
The horizontal resistance
Level of 154.500 we will
Be expecting a local
Bearish correction
Sell!
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GBPCHF Approaching Key Resistance: Will Sellers Target 1.12630?OANDA:GBPCHF is approaching a significant resistance zone, marked by prior strong price rejections and selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a strong supply zone, suggesting the potential for a bearish reversal if sellers step in.
The current market structure indicates that if the price confirms rejection within this zone, we could see a move downward toward the 1.12630 level. This target aligns with the broader range-bound behavior observed in the pair.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or strong rejection wicks, to validate potential short positions.
CAD-CHF Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-CHF made a rebound
From the horizontal support
Below just as we predicted
And keeps growing in a strong
Uptrend but the pair is locally
Overbought so after the retest
Of the horizontal resistance of 0.6409
Above we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
Sell!
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USDCHF Analysis and Setup In this video I go through my analysis of USDCHF the forex pair and offer ideas for a trade setup based on my own methodologies which mostly originate from ICT concepts.
Quick summary is there I am anticipating higher prices.
I'll let the video do the talking because that is why I made the video to begin with.
Enjoy!
- R2F Trading
ACCUMULATION MANIPLUTION DISTRIBUTION EXPLAINED SMCHere i explained how you can use accumulation manipulation distribution trade . As a smart money concept trader you need to under when price is ranging and when is manipulating so you can take advantage of distribution. Using this can maximize your profit and reduce loss.
Trading Recaps & LessonsHey,
In this video I share the charts of GBP/CAD and GBP/CHF.
As explained in prior video's our mechanical trading plan is always the same.
This video helps you understand how to execute it in action.
But I recommend watching our other video's as well.
The trades are verified, as most educators sadly never do, which is a large problem in this industry and holds many traders back.
Kind regards,
Max Nieveld
EURUSD 11 Feb 2025 W7 - Intraday Analysis - Powell & Tariffs!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 11 Feb 2025 W7 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
My Weekly Analysis HERE still the same as Tariffs is the main theme but market reaction is the key.
Is the market got used to the Tariffs news so reactions will be soft and fade or we are going to see more fear in the market with Tariff War narrative?
Today Powell will be the market mover as investors are waiting for a clue for direction.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios:
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to Bearish to target the Weak INT Low as long LTFs are staying Bearish.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹Price reached the Strong Swing High (4H CHoCH) sweeping the liquidity and turning INT structure to bearish with iBOS.
🔹INT Structure continuing Bearish following the 4H Bearish INT structure Continuation.
🔹Since yesterday market open, price is ranging within the Bearish INT structure.
🔹Current INT High is the 4H CHoCH which could be taken out as liquidity for continuation down.
🔹After reaching the Bearish INT structure extreme price is moving down in a corrective PA and currently in the extreme discount of the INT Structure.
🔹For me, I’d prefer to short from the 4H Supply after sweeping the 15m INT High (4H CHoCH). No Long setups/confirmations are clear for me.
3️⃣
🔹Expectation is for price to continue Bearish targeting the 15m Weak Swing Low.
GOLD Key Levels: Where To Take Profit?
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in a strong
Uptrend and as we are will
Be expecting the price to hit
The strong supply supply
Area around 3000$
From where some traders
Might wanna take some profits.
A correction by 7% from the
Resistance above is likely
With the retest of the
Horizontal demand area
Around 2790$
After the correction the
Uptrend will likely continue
Buy!
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GBP-JPY Will Keep Falling! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-JPY is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair
Broke the key horizontal
Level of 189.000 and the
Breakout is confirmed so
We will be expecting a
Further bearish continuation
Sell!
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