CADJPY - Potential buying opportunity in sightOANDA:CADJPY is trading near a clear support level that triggered bullish reversals in the past. The recent bearish move into this area creates a potential opportunity for buyers to regain control.
If bullish confirmation appears, such as increased buying volume or candlestick reversal patterns, I expect the price to move toward 105.550. On the other hand though, a break below this support would weaken the bullish scenario and suggest further downside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice.
Best of luck in the markets.
SMC
NICKEL - Buy Setup at Key Support LevelPEPPERSTONE:NICKEL has reached a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish bounce if buyers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the pair toward 15,578, a logical target based on previous price behavior and the current market structure. However, if the price breaks below this zone, the bullish outlook may be invalidated and we could potentially see further downside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
NZD_USD REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅NZD_USD went down from
The rising resistance just as
We predicted in our previous
Analysis now the pair has
Reached the horizontal support
Of 0.5690 from where we are
Already seeing a local bullish
Reaction and we will be
Expecting a further bullish rebound
LONG🚀
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GBPNOK at Key Resistance – Potential Drop to 14.0670FOREXCOM:GBPNOK has reached a significant resistance zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong selling interest. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms resistance within this zone, we could see a bearish move. A successful rejection could push the pair toward the 14.06700 level, a logical target based on previous price behavior and current market structure.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
GBPAUD - Short Setup at Key Resistance LevelOANDA:GBPAUD is approaching a major resistance zone, an area where sellers have consistently stepped in, leading to notable reversals in the past. This level is marked by strong selling interest and historical price reactions, increasing the likelihood of a bearish move if sellers regain control.
The current price action suggests that if the pair confirms resistance through bearish engulfing candles, long upper wicks, or increased selling volume, we could see a downward move toward the 1.99200 level. However, if the price breaks above this zone, the bearish outlook could be invalidated, opening the door for further upside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
Liquidity Sweeps: A Complete Guide to Smart Money Manipulation!🔹 What is a Liquidity Sweep?
A liquidity sweep occurs when price temporarily moves beyond a key level, such as a previous swing high or low to trigger stop-losses and lure breakout traders into bad positions before reversing in the opposite direction. This is a classic smart money technique used to grab liquidity before initiating the real move.
Financial markets need liquidity to function, and institutions (smart money) can’t enter or exit large positions without it. Instead of chasing price like retail traders, they manipulate price to engineered levels where liquidity is resting, allowing them to fill their orders without causing massive slippage.
🔹 How Liquidity Works in the Market
To understand liquidity sweeps, it’s important to know where liquidity pools exist. These are areas where a high number of stop-loss orders and pending market orders are placed.
Stop-loss liquidity: Traders set stop-losses above swing highs and below swing lows. When price hits these levels, stop-loss orders trigger as market orders, adding fuel for big moves.
Breakout trader liquidity: Many traders enter buy trades when a high is broken and sell trades when a low is broken. Smart money often uses these breakout orders as liquidity before reversing the market.
Essentially, liquidity sweeps allow smart money to take the opposite side of retail traders’ positions before moving the market in their favor.
🔹 Identifying Liquidity Sweeps on the Chart
A valid liquidity sweep has three key components:
1️⃣ A Key Liquidity Zone:
Look for well-defined swing highs and lows where stop-losses are likely sitting.
Equal highs and equal lows are prime targets because many traders place stops there.
Areas with high trading activity (volume profile levels, POCs) are also potential liquidity pools.
2️⃣ A Quick Price Spike Through That Level:
Price briefly moves beyond a high or low, triggering stop-losses and luring breakout traders in the wrong direction.
This move often happens suddenly, with a sharp candle wick or a short-term breakout that quickly fails.
3️⃣ An Immediate Reversal (Rejection):
Price fails to hold above/below the liquidity level and reverses aggressively.
Strong rejection candles like long wicks, bearish engulfing (after a buy-side sweep), or bullish engulfing (after a sell-side sweep) confirm the sweep.
The stronger the rejection, the higher the probability that smart money just manipulated price to collect liquidity before the real move.
🔹 Types of Liquidity Sweeps
🔸 Buy-Side Liquidity Sweep (Bull Trap)
Price spikes above a key high, triggering stop-losses from short sellers and inducing breakout buyers.
If price fails to hold above that level and quickly reverses, it confirms the sweep.
This is a signal that price is likely to drop as smart money absorbs liquidity before selling off.
Example of a buy side liquidity sweep (BSL)
🔸 Sell-Side Liquidity Sweep (Bear Trap)
Price dips below a key low, triggering stop-losses from long traders and trapping breakout sellers.
If price fails to hold below that level and quickly reverses, it confirms the sweep.
This is a signal that price is likely to rise as smart money collects liquidity before pushing higher.
A liquidity sweep is not just a random wick, it’s a strategic price move designed to trap traders before a reversal.
Example of a sell side liquidity sweep (SSL)
🔹 Why Liquidity Sweeps Matter
Liquidity sweeps provide traders with some of the highest probability reversal signals because they:
✔ Show where institutions and smart money are active
✔ Confirm major support and resistance levels
✔ Help traders avoid false breakouts
✔ Provide excellent risk-to-reward setups
Once a liquidity sweep is confirmed, price often moves aggressively in the opposite direction, as smart money has finished collecting liquidity and is now driving price toward their true target.
🔹 How to Use Liquidity Sweeps in Your Trading
1️⃣ Identify Key Liquidity Zones
Mark previous swing highs and lows where traders are likely placing stop-losses.
Pay attention to equal highs/lows and tight consolidations, as these areas tend to hold a lot of liquidity.
Use volume profile tools to see where the highest liquidity clusters exist.
2️⃣ Wait for a Liquidity Sweep & Rejection
Don’t enter just because price broke a high/low, wait for confirmation.
A strong rejection candle (wick, engulfing pattern, pin bar, etc.) signals that the sweep was a trap.
Lower timeframes (5m, 15m) can help confirm entry after a sweep happens on higher timeframes.
3️⃣ Combine with Other Confluences
Liquidity sweeps are most effective when combined with:
✅ Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): Price often sweeps liquidity before filling an imbalance.
✅ Order Blocks: Smart money enters positions at order block levels after a sweep.
✅ Fibonacci Retracements: Sweeps often happen near the Golden Pocket (0.618 - 0.65).
✅ Volume Profile (POC): If a sweep happens near a Point of Control (POC), it adds extra confluence.
The more confirmations you have, the higher the probability of a successful trade!
🔹 Common Mistakes Traders Make with Liquidity Sweeps
Entering too early: A liquidity sweep needs confirmation. Wait for a clear rejection before trading.
Ignoring higher timeframes: The strongest sweeps happen on 1H, 4H, and Daily charts. Lower timeframes can be noisy.
Forgetting the invalidation rule: If price closes above/below the liquidity sweep level, the move may not be valid.
Chasing price after a sweep: Always look for an optimal entry (retracement to a key level) rather than impulsively entering.
🔹 Advanced Tips for Trading Liquidity Sweeps
📌 Use Time-of-Day Analysis:
Liquidity sweeps often occur before major sessions open (London, New York, etc.).
Many sweeps happen during high impact news releases, be cautious.
📌 Look for Repeated Sweeps at the Same Level:
If price sweeps liquidity multiple times without follow through, it increases the chance of a strong reversal.
A double or triple sweep is a powerful confirmation that smart money is manipulating price before a real move.
📌 Use Liquidity Sweeps for Entry & Exit Points:
Entering after a confirmed liquidity sweep can provide great risk-to-reward setups.
Use liquidity sweeps as take-profit targets if price is approaching a key high/low, expect a sweep before reversal.
📌 Final Thoughts: Mastering Liquidity Sweeps
Liquidity sweeps are one of the most powerful tools in a trader’s arsenal because they reveal smart money’s true intentions. By understanding how they work, traders can:
✅ Avoid being trapped by false breakouts
✅ Identify high-probability reversal points
✅ Follow smart money instead of fighting it
Next time you see price breaking a high or low, don’t immediately assume it’s a breakout. Look for the liquidity sweep if it happens, it could be a game changer for your trading strategy. 🚀
Also, check out our Liquidity sweep indicator!
__________________________________________
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NZDUSD at Key Support - Bullish Continuation SetupOANDA:NZDUSD has broken above a key resistance zone, which has now flipped to support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. The recent retest of this level held successfully, indicating strong buyer interest and reinforcing the bullish outlook.
After making a new high, price has now pulled back for another retest of this support zone, presenting a potential continuation setup.
If buyers step in at this level, the price could resume its upward momentum toward 0.57610 as the next key target. A strong rejection from this zone would further confirm bullish strength.
However, a deeper breakdown below the support area could indicate a shift in momentum. Monitoring price action for bullish confirmation will be key before entering long positions.
What’s your outlook on this setup? Let me know your thoughts!
AUDJPY at Key Support Level – Potential Rebound to 95.900OANDA:AUDJPY has reached a significant demand zone, where past price action shows strong buying interest. This area has historically acted as a key support, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction if buyers re-enter the market.
If the support holds, a bullish reversal could push the pair toward 95.900, a logical target based on previous price behavior and market structure. Confirmation signals to watch for include bullish engulfing candles, long lower wicks, or increased buying volume, which would strengthen the case for an upside move.
However, if the price breaches this zone and sustains below it, the bullish outlook may be invalidated, increasing the likelihood of further downside. Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical level is crucial for identifying potential trade opportunities.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
EURUSD 26 Feb 2025 W9 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 26 Feb 2025 W9 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Today economic news:
No Major economic news scheduled today.
The market still in the same sentiment detailed in my Weekly Analysis . Below a summary:
Short-Term Bias: Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD, driven by optimism over delayed tariffs, geopolitical progress, and hopes for softer inflation.
Key Risks:
A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness.
Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand)
🔹INT Bearish (Reached Extreme Supply)
🔹INT-INT Bullish (Reached EQ (50%)
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move):
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
🔹With this week open, price continued Bullish as expected and created another ii-BOS after which price started PB for the ii-BOS and reached the recent Demand which we could see the next Bullish move from.
3️⃣
🔹Still expectation is set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High as long LTFs holds Bullish structures. Also, In my mind I’m not neglecting the current Bearish 4H INT structure and we already reached that structure extreme.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Reached Swing EQ (50%)/Discount
🔹Swing Continuation Phase
2️⃣
🔹After the 15m Bullish BOS, price initiated the Swing PB Phase.
🔹Price reached the 15m Swing EQ (50%) and turned Bullish after the INT structure changed to Bullish iBOS indicating that the Swing PB maybe over and we are currently starting the Swing Bullish continuation Phase.
🔹As price continued Bullish yesterday with Bullish iBOS. Currently with the recent iBOS we started the pullback and reached the INT structure extreme Demand where price can start the INT structure Bullish continuation and target the Weak INT High and ultimately the Weak 15m Swing High.
🔹If price failed to hold the INT structure Bullish and Turned Bearish, there is a high probability that we will continue Bearish based on the DXY PB Phase on 4H (PB after Bearish iBOS) and price may target the Strong 15m Swing Low.
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to continue Bullish with the 15m / 4H INT & Swing are all Bullish while also cautious about the possibility of price to turn Bearish iBOS.
USOIL POTENTIAL LONG|
✅USOIL is about to retest a key structure level of 68.50$
Which implies a high likelihood of a move up
As some market participants will be taking profit from short positions
While others will find this price level to be good for buying
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bullish correction
LONG🚀
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GBP-NZD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-NZD keeps growing
Just as I predicted in my
Previous analysis but the
Pair will soon hit a horizontal
Resistance of 2.222 from where
We will be expecting a local
Bearish correction
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
GBPNZD - Potential Sell Opportunity at Resistance LevelOANDA:GBPNZD is approaching a significant resistance zone, marked by previous strong price rejections. This area has consistently acted as a turning point, suggesting the potential for another bearish reaction if sellers step in.
If the price shows clear signs of rejection from this resistance zone, I anticipate a move downward toward the 2.20620 level, which serves as a logical target for this setup. Conversely, a clean breakout above the resistance zone could signal a potential bullish continuation.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles, long upper wicks rejecting the resistance, or increased selling volume before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
ALUMINIUM at Key Resistance – Potential Drop to 2,630FUSIONMARKETS:XALUSD has reached a significant resistance zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong selling pressure. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance zone, there is a high likelihood of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 2,630 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
EURCAD – Bullish Continuation Toward 1.49730OANDA:EURCAD has broken above a key resistance zone around 1.49000, which has now flipped to support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. The recent retest of this level held successfully, indicating strong buyer interest and reinforcing the bullish outlook.
With momentum favoring the upside, the next logical target is 1.49730, aligning with the upper boundary of the ascending channel. As long as the price remains above the 1.49000 support, the bullish bias stays intact.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts here!