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EURUSD 23 Jan 2025 W4- Intraday Analysis - US Jobless ClaimsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 23 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Nothing much changed in sentiment since Tramp inauguration Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings. Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook. US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Continuation after BOS 2️⃣ 🔹As expected, price created a bullish BOS as per the Daily/Weekly requirement for a pullback. 🔹Price didn’t mitigate any supply after the BOS so there is a high probability that we will continue up till we reach the 4H or Daily supply to initiate a BOS pullback phase (Can’t be ruled, we always have the expectation that a pullback will start at any time after any break of structure). 🔹Currently price is within a 4H FLIP zone that caused the BOS. Which could keep price bullish to target the weak INT high. 3️⃣ 🔹My expectations is set for price to continue bullish till we mitigate a 4H/Daily supply. 🔹Will be following the LTF to follow the expectation of bullish continuation while putting in consideration the probability of a bearish move for the bullish BOS pullback phase that can start anytime. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Continuation 2️⃣ 🔹Price created a bullish BOS. After a BOS we expect a pullback phase. 🔹We didn’t mitigate any supply zone to initiate the Swing Pullback Phase yet so we could continue bullish. 🔹Price is currently within the 4H FLIP zone and at the INT Structure extreme. 🔹The last defined demand zone within the INT structure failed and there is a probability that the INT structure could turn bearish to fulfill the BOS requirement for a Pullback Phase. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectations is still bullish until we have a confirmed bearish iBOS to initiate the Pullback Phase. 🔹Longs: As the demand failed, I’ll be waiting for a shift in the OF to bullish and demand to start holding to target the Weak INT High. 🔹Shorts: Will be waiting for bearish iBOS for pullback phase.
by Amr-Sadek
USDCHF Breaks Ascending Channel – Bearish Move ExpectedThe USDCHF pair has broken below an ascending channel, signaling a shift in momentum. If the price will retest the zone at 0.91200, which previously served as channel support, this area may now act as resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation. The market structure suggests further downside if the rejection holds at the current levels. I anticipate that the price will move downward toward the 0.90276 level, which represents a logical target for this setup. This setup aligns with the idea of a trend reversal after a channel break, offering a shorting opportunity on rejection from resistance.
Short
by DanieIM
GBPJPY at Support – Bullish Bounce ExpectedGBPJPY is trading within a key demand zone, marked by historical price reactions and strong buying pressure. The recent bearish momentum has brought the price into this critical support zone. Given the strength of this demand area, there is a high probability of a bullish rebound if price action confirms rejection (e.g., bullish engulfing candles or long lower wicks signaling buying interest). I anticipate a bullish move toward the 192.66 level, which represents a logical target for this setup. This setup aligns with the expectation of a short-term recovery within the broader market context.
Long
by DanieIM
4
EURUSD 22 Jan 2025 W4- Intraday Analysis - ECB Lagarde speechThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 22 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings. Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook. US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT) 🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme) 2️⃣ 🔹After the Bearish BOS, price pulled back to the Swing EQ (50%) tapping into a Daily and a 4H Supply that caused a Bearish CHoCH and forming a Supply that failed and created a bullish INT Structure. 3️⃣ 🔹As price reached the Bearish Swing Extreme, if we are going to continue bearish, this is the area that I prefer to be short from. Also note that after the Bullish iBOS, price pulled back to the INT Structure EQ (50%) but didn't mitigate the 4H demand and just reacted from the previous INT structure range. 🔹With the current PA, there is a high probability that price will take out the Bearish Swing High to fulfil the Daily/Weekly requirement for a pullback. More LTFs development required for a clear direction. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT) 🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme) 2️⃣ 🔹INT Structure turned bearish yesterday after failing to break the Bearish Swing Strong High. 🔹Price pulled back after the Bearish iBOS and swept the liquidity above the Strong INT High. 3️⃣ 🔹As mentioned in the 4H analysis, with the current PA there is a high probability that the Swing High will be broken but still no confirmation and technical is all pointing for bearish moves. 🔹My technical expectations still bearish till we have a Bullish BOS.
by Amr-Sadek
Smart Money Strategy: Short Opportunity with EUR/JPY Smart Money Strategy: Opportunity with EUR/JPY at Key Fibonacci Levels The EUR/JPY pair is currently facing downward pressure, trading around 161.10, as speculation mounts over a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). With market expectations nearing a 92% likelihood of a rate increase by the BoJ in their upcoming January meeting, this could push short-term borrowing rates to the highest since the 2008 financial crisis, bolstering the Japanese Yen. Key Levels for Strategic Entry: Optimal Short Entry : Focus on the 162.103 level, where the pair may encounter significant resistance. Fibonacci Reversal Points : The 0.75 and 0.71 levels are more than technical markers; they are critical points where institutional investors—often referred to as the 'smart money'—typically engage. These levels are key for identifying potential shifts in market dynamics. This trade is not just about capitalizing on market trends—it's about strategically positioning at a technically significant level to maximize the potential for profits. Follow for more insights and ideas #tradingforex #trading #forex #tradingstrategy #Smartmoneyconcept #SMC #tradingtips #trader
Short
by InwardTrader
AUDCHF at Key Resistance: Will It Drop To 0.56714?OANDA:AUDCHF is at a significant resistance area that has consistently acted as a barrier for bullish momentum. The recent price action suggests a potential for sellers to step in and drive prices lower from this zone. If rejection signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or upper wicks, appear, I expect a move toward 0.56714. A break above this resistance, however, could indicate a shift in market sentiment. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering short positions and ensure proper risk management. If you have any thoughts or agree with this analysis, I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments!
Short
by TrendDiva