SMC
EURCAD at Major Resistance – Short Opportunity Ahead?OANDA:EURCAD is currently testing a significant resistance zone. This area has seen strong selling pressure, leading to notable bearish moves. The recent bullish push into this resistance zone suggests a potential for sellers to regain control.
A bearish confirmation, such as rejection candles, bearish engulfing patterns, or long upper wicks, would increase the probability of a downward move. If this scenario unfolds, the price could head toward the 1.49017 level.
Traders should remain cautious and wait for clear signs of selling pressure before considering short positions. Proper risk management is essential, given the possibility of a break above the resistance zone.
EURCAD Testing Key Resistance Zone - Short Setup PotentialOANDA:EURCAD is testing a significant resistance zone, marked by historical price rejections and strong supply on the 4H timeframe. Given the overextended move into resistance, we could see a reversal if the price shows clear signs of rejection. Look for bearish confirmation signals such as a pinbar, long upper wicks, or bearish engulfing candles. If sellers regain control at this level, I anticipate a move downward toward the 1.49110 level.
EURUSD 21 Jan 2025 - Intraday Analysis - German ZEWThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 21 Jan 2025 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings.
Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook.
US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT)
🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme)
2️⃣
🔹After the Bearish BOS, price pulled back to the Swing EQ (50%) tapping into a Daily and a 4H Supply that caused a Bearish CHoCH and forming a Supply that failed yesterday with price creating a bullish INT Structure.
3️⃣
🔹As price reached the Bearish Swing Extreme, if we are going to continue bearish, this is the area that I prefer to be short from. Also note that after the Bullish iBOS, there will be a pullback required.
🔹Expectations is set to Bearish with more development on LTF to confirm.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT)
🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme)
2️⃣
🔹Price finally broken the range from Jan 16 and reached the bearish Swing Extreme forming Bullish INT Structure.
🔹There is probability that Swing High may be broken based on the Daily/Weekly requirements for pullback and the current market sentiment (Risk Off) as of US Tariffs announcement from Trump yesterday.
3️⃣
🔹My technical expectations is set to Bearish and looking for Shorts but I need to see a bearish iBOS before any executions.
EURCAD - Potential Sell From Resistance ZoneEURCAD is testing a major resistance zone that has previously led to significant bearish reversals. The recent bullish momentum into this area increases the likelihood of seller interest.
If bearish confirmation emerges, such as rejection wicks, bearish engulfing candles, or increased selling volume, I anticipate a move toward 1.48608. However, a breakout above this resistance could signal further bullish continuation.
Traders should remain cautious and wait for clear signals of rejection before taking positions. Agree with this analysis? Let’s discuss further in the comments section!
FRA40 at Critical Resistance Zone: Bearish Move Ahead?FX:FRA40 is currently trading within a significant resistance zone. This area has previously acted as a turning point, suggesting the potential for a bearish reversal if sellers regain control.
The current price action indicates that the market is testing this resistance zone, and any signs of rejection, such as bearish candlestick patterns or wicks signaling supply absorption, could confirm a potential move to the downside.
If the resistance holds, I anticipate a downward move toward the 7,573.08 level, which is a logical target for potential profit-taking.
AUDHUF Testing Key Demand Zone: Bullish Bounce Ahead?PEPPERSTONE:AUDHUF is currently trading within a significant demand zone, marked by historical price reactions and a concentration of buyer activity. This area has previously acted as a strong support level, suggesting the potential for a bullish reversal if buyers regain control.
The current price action indicates the market is testing this demand zone, and signs of bullish momentum, such as bullish candlestick patterns or a higher low formation, could confirm a potential upward move.
If the demand zone holds, I anticipate a move toward the 248.570 level, which is a logical target for short-term bullish momentum.
AUD_USD WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅AUD_USD will be retesting a resistance level of 0.6300 soon
From where I am expecting a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
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EURUSD at Key Resistance - Will it Drop to 1.03628?EURUSD is at a critical resistance zone that has consistently acted as a barrier for bullish momentum. This area aligns with prior supply levels and may attract seller interest.
If rejection patterns, such as bearish engulfing candles or long upper wicks, appear, I anticipate a move toward 1.03628. Conversely, a break above this resistance could indicate a shift in sentiment.
Traders should monitor this zone closely and wait for confirmation before entering short positions. If you have anything to add or a different perspective, I’d love to hear from you in the comments!
EURCAD: Sell Setup at Key ResistanceEURCAD is approaching a key resistance area, marked by historical price reactions and strong selling pressure. If bearish confirmation emerges, such as strong upper wicks or bearish candlestick patterns, I expect the price to move toward 1.48645. A breakout above this resistance, however, would invalidate the bearish scenario.
Traders should remain cautious and use proper risk management when approaching this level.
GOLD at Key Resistance Zone – Potential Bearish CorrectionGOLD is at a significant resistance zone, marked by historical price rejections and heightened interest from sellers in the past. If the price confirms a rejection from this resistance level, I anticipate a short-term bearish move toward the 2,692.88 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. This setup aligns with the expectation of a correction after a sharp rally into resistance.
Traders should monitor this zone closely for rejection signals, such as bearish candlestick formations or increased selling pressure, to confirm the likelihood of a pullback.
GBPCHF at Key Support – Bullish Bounce ExpectedGBPCHF is approaching a key demand zone, marked by historical price reactions and strong buying pressure in the past. This area has consistently acted as a turning point, where buyers regained control, driving prices higher.
There is a high probability of a bullish reversal if price action confirms buying pressure (e.g., bullish engulfing candles or long lower wicks signaling rejection).
I anticipate a bullish move toward the 1.11691 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure.
NZDJPY at Key Support – Bullish Reversal LikelyNZDJPY is trading at a key demand zone, marked by previous price rejections and strong buying interest. This area has consistently acted as a turning point, where buyers regained control and pushed prices higher.
The recent bearish move has brought the price into this critical support area. Given the strength of the demand zone, there is a high probability of a bullish reversal if price action confirms buying pressure (e.g., bullish engulfing candles or long lower wicks signaling rejection).
I anticipate a bullish move toward the 88.40 level, which represents a logical target for this setup based on prior resistance. This setup aligns with the expectation of a short-term recovery within the broader market context.
USDZAR Bearish Setup: Break and RetestThe USDZAR pair has broken below the channel, signaling a shift in market sentiment toward bearish momentum. The price is currently retesting the trendline, which now serves as a potential resistance area.
If the price confirms rejection at the retest of the trendline, I anticipate a bearish move targeting the 18.66384 level, which represents a logical target for this setup.
This setup highlights the potential for a trendline break-and-retest continuation to the downside. Traders should look for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or rejection wicks, before considering short positions.
USOIL Bearish Setup: Reversal from Supply ZoneUSOIL is at a significant supply zone, marked by historical price rejections and strong selling pressure in the past. This zone has previously acted as a turning point, where sellers regained control, driving prices lower.
The recent bullish rally has pushed the price into this critical resistance area. However, given the strength of this supply zone and the overextended bullish move, there is a high probability of a bearish reversal if price action confirms rejection (e.g., bearish engulfing candles or long upper wicks signaling selling pressure).
I anticipate a bearish move toward the 75.50 level, which represents a logical target for this setup.This setup aligns with the expectation of a potential correction within the broader market context.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
MSFT – Potential Buy Opportunity at Support LevelThe MSFT stock price is approaching a key demand zone, which has served as strong support in the past. This zone has witnessed significant buyer interest during previous tests, making it a critical area to watch for a potential reversal.
The current downtrend could find support in this demand zone, leading to a bullish bounce. If the price shows clear reversal signals, such as long lower wicks or bullish engulfing candles, buyers could push the price higher. The first potential target for this move would be around the $433.25 level.
What do you think about this analysis? Feel free to share your insights or alternative perspectives in the comments!
CADCHF - Short Setup at Key ResistanceThe CADCHF pair just entered a notable resistance zone that has times before acted as a supply zone, leading to bearish movements. A confirmation of selling pressure, such as a bearish engulfing pattern or multiple rejection wicks at the resistance level, would increase the likelihood of a downward move.
If sellers take control at this level, the pair could move downward, with a target around the 0.63230 level.