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SMC

NOKJPY - Buy Setup from Key SupportFOREXCOM:NOKJPY is currently at a significant demand zone that has historically attracted buyers, triggering bullish reversals. This support level has been pivotal in past price actions, forming a solid base for potential upward momentum. The appearance of a strong bullish candle reinforces the setup, suggesting the likelihood of an upward movement, with a target around 13.7785. However, if the support level is breached, the bullish sentiment could fade, allowing for a possible decline. Traders should remain alert in this zone for signs of buyer strength before taking long positions. Proper risk management is critical to mitigate the risk of losses.
Long
by TrendDiva
2
USDCHF – Potential Bearish Continuation Toward SupportThe USDCHF pair has broken below a key ascending trendline, signaling a potential shift in momentum. This move aligns with a bearish bias, suggesting that price action may now head lower. If the price retraces back to the broken trendline or nearby resistance levels and forms bearish confirmations—such as rejection patterns, bearish engulfing candles, or long upper wicks, it could reinforce the likelihood of further downside movement. Should this scenario materialize, sellers may target the 0.90484 level as the next area of interest. A sustained breakdown below this support zone could pave the way for continued bearish pressure. However, traders should remain cautious. A break back above the resistance zone or strong bullish momentum could invalidate this outlook.
Short
by TrendDiva
1
BTCUSD | 1D SMC Short Setup with Refined SL and TargetsDescription: This analysis identifies a high-probability short opportunity for BTCUSD on the 1D timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. The chart shows clear bearish confluences, including market structure, supply zones, liquidity levels, and Fibonacci retracement zones. I believe the current bullish momentum is merely a manipulation driven by inflation news and the upcoming Trump inauguration. Following these events, I anticipate a significant market correction. Here’s the detailed breakdown and trade plan: Analysis: Market Structure: Break of Structure (BOS): Price has confirmed a bearish trend with BOS to the downside, signaling a continuation of lower highs and lower lows. Trendline Resistance: A well-defined downward trendline indicates selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish bias. Key Zones and Liquidity: Supply Zone: Highlighted in purple at $102,000-$104,000 . This zone represents an area where strong selling previously occurred, creating an imbalance. Golden Zone (Fibonacci Retracement): Located around $101,000-$103,000 , this area aligns with the 61.8%-78.6% retracement levels and offers a high-probability reversal opportunity. Weak High: The high near $104,000 represents untapped liquidity, which smart money may target for a liquidity grab before reversing lower. Equal Lows (EQL): Around $92,000 , these act as a bearish target where liquidity rests, aligning with the continuation of the bearish trend. Confluences for Short Entry: Price is approaching the supply zone and Fibonacci Golden Zone , indicating a potential reversal point. The weak high may trigger a liquidity grab to entice buyers before sellers regain control. Previous BOS and trendline resistance add further validation to the bearish bias. Trade Plan: Short Entry Setup: Entry Zone: $102,000-$104,000 (inside the supply zone and Golden Zone). Stop Loss (SL): $105,500 (above the supply zone and imbalance to account for liquidity grabs). Take Profit Levels: TP1: $97,000 – Close partial profits at this imbalance mitigation level. TP2: $92,000 – Target the equal lows and resting liquidity. TP3: $88,000 – Final target near the blue demand zone for maximum reward. Risk-Reward Ratio: With the entry at $103,000 (midpoint of supply), SL at $105,500, and TP at $92,000, the trade offers a 1:4 RR or better, depending on execution and scaling. Additional Notes: Monitor the price action closely as BTC approaches the supply zone for confirmation, such as bearish candlestick patterns or lower timeframe CHoCH (Change of Character). Scaling into the trade in smaller portions across the supply zone can improve overall entry precision. Adjust stop loss or take profit levels as market conditions evolve
Short
by AdasX
2
EURUSD 20-24 Jan 2025 W4 - Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 20-24 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart AnalysisDaily Chart Analysis4H Chart AnalysisEconomic Events for the Week Market Sentiment Interest Rate Differentials: The widening gap between US and Eurozone interest rates favors the USD. Higher US yields attract capital flows, supporting the USD against the euro. Inflation Trends: While inflation in the Eurozone remains subdued, the US continues to grapple with sticky inflation, keeping the Fed cautious about easing policy. This divergence further supports the USD. Energy Prices: Elevated energy prices, driven by geopolitical tensions or supply disruptions, could weigh on the Eurozone’s trade balance and economic growth, adding pressure to the euro. Weekly Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹Internal Bearish 🔹In Swing Discount 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS) 3️⃣ 🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase. 🔹Expectations is for price to start a pullback phase from the Weekly demand zone / or from the liquidity sweep from the Nov 2022 low (Require Daily/4H confirmation). Daily Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish approaching the weekly demand zone. 3️⃣ 🔹After the receint iBOS, price pulled back to EQ (50%) of the INT Structure but currently failed to create a new iBOS with a Bullish CHoCH forming a new Demand. 🔹Expectations is not clear as we could start a deep pullback to intiate the Weekly Pullback Phase required or the current failure to creare a new Bearish iBOS is just a pause in market for more bearish move to at least the Weekly Demand. More development required from LTFs. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Fractal) 2️⃣ 🔹After the Bearish BOS, price pulled back to the Swing EQ (50%) tapping into a Daily and a 4H Supply that caused a Bearish CHoCH and forming a Supply that price is contained within it. 3️⃣ 🔹Price is currently ranging between Supply and Demand which clearly makes price indecisively have a clear direction. More developments required on LTFs to have a clear expectation. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
3
BTC at major Resistance Zone? Will it drop to 102,100 $?COINBASE:BTCUSD is trading in a robust resistance zone that aligns with prior price rejections and key supply levels. This area has in the past attracted strong selling interest, making it a critical point to watch. If bearish confirmation appears, such as strong upper wicks or bearish candlestick patterns, I anticipate a move toward 102,100. Conversely, a break above this level could signal further upside and invalidate the bearish setup. Traders should carefully evaluate price action at this zone before entering positions. Do you see this playing out similarly? Let’s discuss in the comments below!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by TrendDiva
5
EURUSD - Potential Short from Resistance ZoneThe EURUSD pair is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating a continuation of bearish momentum. The price has recently bounced from the lower boundary of the channel and is now approaching a key resistance zone , aligning with the channel's upper boundary. If the price rejects this resistance zone, it could signal a resumption of the downtrend. Confirmation of bearish momentum, such as rejection patterns, bearish engulfing candles, or long upper wicks, would strengthen the likelihood of a downward move. In this scenario, the next target for sellers would be the 1.02029 level. A break below this support could extend the bearish trend further toward lower levels. Traders should closely monitor price action near the resistance zone for signs of rejection or a potential breakout.
Short
by TrendDiva
3
COTTON: Potential Sell from Resistance ZoneFOREXCOM:COTTON is nearing a significant resistance level that has previously acted as a ceiling for bullish momentum. The current upward move into this zone suggests potential selling opportunities if rejection signals appear. If bearish patterns such as long upper wicks or bearish engulfing candles emerge, I anticipate a move toward 6,818.0. Traders should wait for clear confirmation before initiating short positions. If you have anything to add or a different perspective, I’d love to hear from you in the comments!
FOREXCOM:COTTONShort
by DanieIM
EURNOK - Potential Sell from Key Resistance ZoneOANDA:EURNOK is nearing a key resistance zone that has been a critical area for bearish reversals in the past. The current price action suggests sellers may regain control at this resistance level. If bearish patterns appear, such as long upper wicks or bearish engulfing candles, I anticipate a move toward 11.73160. Conversely, a break above this resistance could invalidate the bearish bias and indicate potential for further upside. Traders should monitor this area closely and use proper risk management strategies. If you have any thoughts or agree with this analysis, I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments!
Short
by DanieIM
1
USDCAD - Buy Opportunity After Resistance BreakOANDA:USDCAD has broken above a critical resistance level and is aligning with bullish trend continuation by retesting this level as support. If the support holds, I expect a move upward toward 1.45300, aligning with the bullish trend. Conversely, if the support is broken, the bullish outlook could weaken, paving the way for further declines. Traders should monitor this zone closely for signs of buyer strength before taking long positions. Do you see this playing out similarly? Let’s discuss in the comments below!
Long
by DanieIM
AUDSGD: Buy Setup at Key Support ZoneOANDA:AUDSGD is near a significant support zone, which has historically been a turning point for bullish moves. The recent bearish pressure brings the price into this critical area, creating a potential buying opportunity. If bullish signals emerge, such as strong buying volume or bullish candlestick patterns, I expect the price to move toward 0.86163, aligning with the overall market structure. However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further declines. Traders should be patient and wait for confirmation of bullish strength before entering long positions.
Long
by DanieIM
1
GBPNOK at Key Support: Will It Surge to 14.04732?FOREXCOM:GBPNOK is trading at critical support zone that has historically led to strong bullish reactions. The recent price action suggests that this area may act as a base for a potential upward move. A strong bullish candle has confirmed the setup, signaling potential upward movement toward the 14.04732 level. However, if the price fails to maintain this momentum or hold key support, the bullish scenario could be invalidated, opening the door for further downside. What’s your outlook on this setup? Share your ideas or feedback in the comments below!
Long
by DanieIM
GBPNZD: Sell Opportunity After Support BreakOANDA:GBPNZD has broken a key support zone signaling a potential increase in bearish momentum. The price is currently retesting this broken support, which now serves as resistance. If sellers confirm resistance at this level, I expect the price to move downward toward 2.15600, aligning with the bearish trend. On the other hand, a failure to hold resistance could indicate a bullish shift. Traders should watch for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or strong selling volume, before entering short positions.
Short
by DanieIM
1