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Could this be the fall of the Dollar???The dollar is about to break the last significant structure on the monthly time frame. We have seen the dollar dropping over the last few months after its reaction from the last swing high. Market structure shows price creating lower lows and lower highs which are confirmed by endless BOS. We can see a clear 11min OB has been left from the last low that price created once it tapped into the 18h demand which may allow us a buying opportunity to buy the dollar up to the 1h supply where we will continue to see it fall to it's untimely demise. previous price action from this 18H however, didn't create much movement despite the fact it also took ASL liquidity possibly suggesting buying power in the market has no strength what so ever. We have to also consider the possibility price may not even be able to push back up but rather fall targeting the Asian lows as this would be considered a magnet for price movement.
TVC:DXYShort
by JamelCapital
EUR/USD to push above to 1.12299 We can see price on the Euro has been moving bullish as of recent as it is currently retracing on the HTF. I suspect price will push up to the 2day supply I have marked out. price may perform either one of two scenarios before reaching this zone in order to ultimately continue in it's HTF downtrend. Scenario A: Market open price pushes down taking both equal low liquidity and trendline liquidity tapping into the 1H demand at the swing low beneath the Asian low then pushing up into the 2day supply taking the triple equal highs. Scenario B: Price pushes up at Market open and taps into my 38min zone and continue in its HTF downtrend taking all the liquidity to the downside. This zone is validated by a LTF Change of character. It is also possible price may react from this zone in order to carry out scenario A. Although scenario B is likely I believe that Scenario A is most likely to play out as this is supported by price breaking structure to the upside and the amount of strong bullish candles to the upside. This also correlates with the Dollar as I am expecting price to be bearish this week on DXY. It is also possible that price may push straight into this 2 day supply without tapping into any of my zones which I would then use as liquidity points and TP targets. Ultimately, my objective is to be open minded and understand the different possibilities and outcomes of what the market can do and be able to adapt to each scenario accordingly. Hope this analysis helps you going into this week :D
Long
by JamelCapital
1