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SMC

NZDSGD - Potential Long from Key Support ZoneOANDA:NZDSGD is approaching a key support level that has previously acted as a strong demand zone, leading to bullish momentum. The recent decline into this area suggests a potential opportunity for buyers to step in and push prices higher. A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candle, or long lower wick, would increase the likelihood of an upward move. If buyers regain control, the price may head toward the 0.76630 level. This setup indicates a potential short-term rebound within the broader market structure This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in. Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments. Best of luck , TrendDiva
Long
by TrendDiva
2
EURCAD: Sell Setup After Impulsive Move to ResistanceFOREXCOM:EURCAD is approaching a significant resistance zone, marked by historical price rejections. This level aligns with a key area of interest where sellers have previously regained control, causing substantial bearish moves. The current market structure suggests that a potential rejection could occur if price action confirms it. If we observe bearish signals, such as a bearish engulfing candle or clear wicks rejecting the zone, the market may reverse and head lower. I anticipate that if sellers take control, the price could move downward toward the 1.50000 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure.
Short
by DanieIM
2
BTCUSDT Fresh Short Setup: Targeting Key Support Zones with SMC Description: This trade setup presents a Bitcoin short opportunity on the 4H timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. After a significant reaction from the supply zone, Bitcoin's price structure aligns with bearish confluences, signaling potential downside. Additionally, external events, such as the recent announcement of China's AI application "DeepSeek," may have amplified market volatility, further supporting the setup. Trade Setup: Entry: Between 103,300 and 104,500 Take-Profit Levels (TP): 101,897 99,825 97,565 95,208 Stop Loss (SL): Above 105,975 Analysis and Confluences: Market Structure: Bitcoin remains in a bearish trend on the 4H timeframe, with consistent lower highs and lower lows. Supply Zone: The price is entering the 103.3k–104.5k supply zone, a key resistance area where sellers are expected to dominate. Fibonacci Confluence: This zone overlaps with the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, a high-probability reversal area. Liquidity Sweeps: Liquidity above previous highs has been swept, leaving the path clear for potential downside. Bearish Targets: The targets align with previous demand zones and liquidity pools at 101,897, 99,825, 97,565, and 95,208. Trade Plan: Confirmation: Wait for bearish price action signals or smaller timeframe BOS (Break of Structure) within the supply zone before entering. Risk Management: Adjust position size to keep risk within acceptable levels. After reaching TP1, move your stop loss to breakeven and secure partial profits. Final Note: While bearish bias dominates, unexpected macroeconomic events can cause reversals, so use tight risk management.
Short
by AdasX
1
GBPZAR Approaching Resistance Zone: Potential Sell SetupOANDA:GBPZAR is approaching a key resistance zone, a level defined by previous price rejections and significant selling pressure. While the current bullish momentum may drive the price into this area, there is a strong probability of a correction once the zone is tested. If sellers regain control, a rejection at this resistance area could lead the price to drop toward the 23.2084 level. This setup aligns with the expectation of a short-term correction after an impulsive move. I'll wait for clear rejection signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or strong wicks, before taking action. Let me know if you agree with this analysis or if you have additional insights to add!
Short
by DanieIM
EURUSD at Key Support: Bullish Continuation Ahead?OANDA:EURUSD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend. The price has recently pulled back into a demand zone, which has previously acted as strong support. This confluence of support and the lower boundary of the channel suggests the potential for a bullish continuation. If the price confirms a rejection from this zone, I anticipate an upward move toward the 1.05200 level, which aligns with the previous resistance level. However, a breakdown below the demand zone and channel support would invalidate this setup and signal possible bearish pressure. This setup aligns with the idea of trend continuation within an ascending channel. Let me know your thoughts or if you have any alternative perspectives!
Long
by DanieIM
1
EURUSD 28 Jan 2025 W5- Intraday - US Durable Goods & ConfidenceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 28 Jan 2025 W5 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Tariff Discussions Continue: President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant focused on tariff policies in their recent statements. Bessant's Proposal: Bessant suggested a universal tariff starting at 2.5%, with a gradual monthly increase of 2.5%, potentially reaching up to 20%. Trump's Tariff Plans: President Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on computer chips, pharmaceutical producers, and industries like steel, aluminum, and copper. Trump's Push for Higher Tariffs: Trump expressed a desire for tariffs significantly higher than 2.5%, contradicting Bessant's proposal. This added further uncertainty to the market. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Continuation after BOS 2️⃣ 🔹INT structure continuing bullish after the bullish BOS. We expect that at anytime the Swing Pullback will start. 🔹With price failing to close above Weak INT High, there is a HP that we are going to target the INT Low which will facilitate the Bullish Swing Pullback. 🔹Price is currently mitigating the 4H Demand and we could see some bullish move to facilitate the LTF pullbacks only. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectation is set for price to continue Bearish to facilitate the Daily Bearish Continuation. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Pullback Phase 2️⃣ 🔹Swing structure turned bearish after mitigating the Daily Supply zone. 🔹With the bearish BOS, a pullback is expected during the session today as we are mitigating the 4H Demand zone. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectation is set to continue bearish to facilitate the 4H Swing pullback and Daily Bearish continuation.
by Amr-Sadek
Yesterday, the chart dropped sharply. What should we do next?Based on the plan I made for the week, I anticipated that the price of XAUUSD wouldn’t drop below 2735. However, the result was that on just Monday alone, the chart dropped significantly, breaking through all 3 demand zones I had planned for. Therefore, today we’ll adopt a day-to-day strategy. For today, the focus will be on selling since the price has shifted CHoCH at 2735 in both H1 and H4. We will wait for the chart to retrace to our POI zone , form a CHoCH in the smaller timeframe , and then look for an entry point from the newly created supply zone."
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by D-Nakharin
AUDUSD - Potential Bullish Continuation SetupOANDA:AUDUSD is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel, reflecting a strong bullish market structure. The price is approaching a key support zone, which aligns with the lower boundary of the channel. If the price holds at this support and buyers step in, a bullish continuation toward the 0.63380 level is likely, making it a reasonable target for an upward move. Trade Considerations: Wait for confirmation of buying pressure before entering a position. Monitor for invalidation if the price breaks below the demand zone and the channel boundary, as this would signal potential downside momentum. This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in. Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments. Best of luck , TrendDiva
Long
by TrendDiva
2
Gold Approaching Major Resistance – Will It Drop to 2,736$?OANDA:XAUUSD is nearing the upper boundary of an ascending channel, which aligns with a major resistance zone. This area has acted in the past as a reversal point, making it a key level to watch for potential bearish movements. If the price confirms rejection at this level, I anticipate a move downward toward the 2,736$ level, consistent with the channel’s structure and a nearby support zone. Conversely, if this resistance is breached, it could signal increased buying pressure and a continuation of the bullish trend.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by TrendDiva
3
EURAUD: Sell Setup at Key Resistance Zone OANDA:EURAUD is testing a significant resistance zone, a level where price has historically struggled to break higher. This area represents a potential reversal point, as the market structure suggests sellers may regain control. If the price confirms a rejection at this resistance zone, I anticipate a potential move downward toward the 1.65600 level, which represents a logical target for this setup. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Short
by DanieIM
1
SEKJPY at Major Resistance - Could it Reach 14.133?SAXO:SEKJPY is approaching a key resistance level that has previously triggered bearish reversals. While current bullish momentum has driven the price into this zone, it could present an opportunity for sellers to step in. If bearish signals such as rejection wicks or bearish engulfing candles appear, a move toward 14.133 could follow. On the other hand, a breakout above this resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and signal potential for further upside. Key Takeaway: Wait for clear rejection patterns before considering short positions.
Short
by TrendDiva
3
CADJPY - Bearish Continuation After Support BreakOANDA:CADJPY has broken through a key support level and is now retesting this level as resistance. If the resistance holds, it could pave the way for a deeper move downward, with the 106.600 level emerging as the next major area of interest. This level also aligns with a significant support zone, making it a critical area where buyers may attempt to regain control. Traders are advised to monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candlestick patterns, rejection wicks, or strong selling volume at the retested resistance level. Such signals would reinforce the probability of a continuation to the downside. However, a decisive break back above the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish scenario
Short
by TrendDiva
1
USDJPY Key Support Broken — Bearish Momentum in PlayFOREXCOM:USDJPY has broken below a key support zone, indicating that sellers may have gained control. This area was previously a strong demand zone, but the decisive break suggests bearish momentum is taking over. The current market structure implies the potential for a retest of the broken support level, which could act as resistance before a continuation to the downside. If the price confirms rejection at the retest with bearish candlestick patterns or wicks, I anticipate a further decline toward the 153.700 level, where a stronger demand zone resides. This setup aligns with the concept of a classic break-and-retest scenario, where the market resumes the downward move after a corrective pullback.
Short
by DanieIM
1
NZDJPY Approaching Key Support Zone: Potential Buy SetupOANDA:NZDJPY is trading near a significant support zone marked by prior price reactions. This area has historically acted as a strong demand zone, leading to reversals in the past. The current price action suggests that the pair may soon test this zone again. If buyers regain control and we see bullish rejection patterns, such as pin bars or engulfing candles, the price could rebound toward the 88.091 level, which represents a logical target for this setup. If the price breaks below this support zone, further downside could follow. If this analysis resonates with you or you have a different perspective, feel free to discuss in the comments!
Long
by DanieIM