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Bitcoin – Respecting $103k FVG, Approaching ATH.Bitcoin failed to fully fill the large 4h and 1h FVG around the $100,000 zone, front-running the level before bouncing sharply. This type of price behavior suggests strong demand, with buyers stepping in aggressively before the inefficiency could be completely mitigated. The market is now shifting back to a more bullish tone after establishing a short-term bottom near the key higher-timeframe FVG. Consolidation Structure The price action has been messy and range-bound over the past few days, stuck between the major 1h/4h demand zone around $102,000 and the $105,000 resistance level. Within that broader range, Bitcoin created a new 1h FVG on the push off the lows, which has already been respected intraday around the $103,000 area. That newly formed FVG now acts as short-term support as price grinds upward again toward the prior resistance. Bullish/Bearish Scenarios On the bullish side, if Bitcoin flips the $104,500 to $105,000 resistance area cleanly into support with a convincing displacement and consolidation above it, there’s a good chance it will break out and target higher inefficiencies above $106,000. That would confirm buyers are in full control and using each FVG as a stepping stone higher. However, if price gets rejected again inside the resistance zone without showing signs of strength or accumulation just below it, we could see another rotation lower back to the $100,000 FVG or potentially even a deeper retest of the broader $97,500 area. A rejection at the highs could align with a sweep of local buy-side liquidity and serve as a trigger for a short-term reversal. Price Target and Expectations Upside breakout targets sit around $106,200 and higher, based on the previous price inefficiencies and trend structure. On the downside, if we see rejection, price may revisit $100,000 and possibly test the deeper 4h imbalance zone closer to $97,500 again. Current Stance For now, price is trading inside the upper portion of the range and grinding into a known resistance area. There’s no clear confirmation yet of either a breakout or rejection, so the next move depends heavily on how price reacts within the $104,500 to $105,000 zone. Watching for either bullish continuation (with a clean flip and hold above) or a strong rejection setup for a possible fade back into the midrange. Conclusion Bitcoin continues to respect FVGs both to the downside and upside. The bounce from the 1h/4h demand confirms higher timeframe interest, and the respect of the new 1h FVG around $103,000 shows short-term strength. The next major decision point is the $105,000 resistance. A clean break and flip could signal continuation, while rejection there may trap longs and send price back toward demand.
Long
by TehThomas
43
SILVER: Bears Are Winning! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 32.229 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 31.986.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
How to Master Premium & Discount For Better EntriesA lot of traders talk about premium and discount, but very few actually know how to use it properly. Most just draw Fibonacci tools on random legs and try to catch reactions at the 61.8% level. That kind of trading lacks structure and context. If you're serious about using Smart Money Concepts the right way, then you need to understand where value exists in the market and how to position yourself accordingly. This guide is all about mastering the premium vs discount model using a 4H bias, entries on the 1H or 15M, and refinements based solely on Fair Value Gaps. No order blocks. No guessing. Just clean structure, displacement, and a focus on institutional logic. Establishing a Valid 4H Dealing Range Your entire analysis starts with the 4H chart. That’s where you define the dealing range, the leg of price that caused a significant shift in market structure, usually confirmed by displacement and a break of a previous swing. To do this correctly: Identify a 4H swing high to swing low (or low to high) that broke structure and created an imbalance. Anchor your range from that swing point to the extreme, this becomes your dealing range. Mark the 50% of this range — this is your equilibrium line. Everything above this midpoint is premium, everything below is discount. You’re not drawing fibs for retracement levels. You’re using them to separate cheap price from expensive price. Premium vs Discount: Why It Matters The logic is simple: institutions buy at discount and sell at premium. They don’t place large positions in the middle of the range, they accumulate when price is cheap and distribute when price is expensive. Once you’ve marked out your 4H range, you now have a framework: Price in discount (below the 50%) = potential buy setups. Price in premium (above the 50%) = potential sell setups. The key is to only look for trades in the right part of the range. If price is in premium and you're trying to long, you're working against smart money. If it's in discount and you're trying to short, you're fading accumulation. Refining the Setup on 1H or 15M Once price enters the zone you’re interested in, premium or discount. Drop to the 1H or 15M charts to look for entries. But we’re not trading any structure or supply/demand zone. We’re only interested in Fair Value Gaps. Why? Because FVGs are the cleanest way to spot imbalance — they show where price moved too aggressively and left inefficiency behind. Here's what to do: Watch for displacement on 1H or 15M once price taps into the 4H premium or discount zone. The move should break short-term structure and leave a clear FVG. Wait for price to retrace into that FVG. Entry is placed inside the gap, preferably in the upper or lower third depending on direction. Your invalidation is the low or high of the displacement move. The FVG gives you a clean risk-to-reward setup that is backed by structure, context, and smart money intent. Example: Long from Discount Let’s say price is trading inside the discount zone of a 4H bullish dealing range. You now drop to 15M and see a sharp move higher that breaks structure and creates a clean 15M FVG. Now you wait. If price retraces into that gap and shows some form of reaction (volume, reaction wick, or small lower timeframe shift), you have a valid long. The trade is high probability because: It’s inside 4H discount The 15M displacement confirms smart money is stepping in The FVG is your refined entry zone Target is always the next liquidity pool inside premium. Example: Short from Premium Opposite logic applies. If price trades into the premium zone of a 4H bearish range, you drop to 1H or 15M and wait for displacement to the downside. When you get a strong bearish move that leaves behind a Fair Value Gap and breaks intraday structure, you mark the FVG. When price retraces into it, you execute your short. Stop is above the displacement high. Target is the first liquidity level inside discount, such as an old low or a clean equal low. Rules for FVG Entries (1H/15M) To keep your execution sharp, stick to these: Only enter FVGs that form from displacement moves. The FVG must break intraday structure. It must form inside the 4H premium or discount zone, no exceptions. Avoid FVGs that form in the middle of the range or during chop. Make sure higher timeframe context supports the direction. This filters out 90% of weak setups and forces you to trade in sync with value. Targets and Exits Where you enter is based on imbalance and structure, but where you exit is based on liquidity and the premium/discount model in reverse. If you long from discount, you should be targeting premium levels. If you short from premium, you should be targeting discount levels. More specifically: Look for old highs/lows Clean equal highs/lows Unfilled FVGs in the opposite zone This way, you’re always exiting into areas where the market is likely to reverse or stall, and not overstaying your trade. Conclusion Trading from premium or discount zones isn’t just a concept, it’s a framework that puts you in line with institutional activity. When you combine it with FVGs, you have a clean, mechanical way to structure your trades. Keep your bias on the 4H. Mark your ranges clearly. Drop to 1H or 15M only when price is in a valid zone, and only take entries on FVGs that form from strong displacement. If you stay disciplined with this model, you’ll avoid chasing price and start trading from areas of true value. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this guide helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
CAPITALCOM:US100Education
by TehThomas
66
EURUSD - at Resistance: Will it drop to 1.11300?OANDA:EURUSD price is now at a strong resistance level, this is an area where it has struggled to break through in the past and reversed to the downside. It's also where sellers have stepped in before, so it’s worth keeping an eye on, especially for anyone considering short trades. If we start seeing signs that the price is getting rejected here: like long wicks, bearish candles, or buyers starting to lose momentum, I think we could see a move down toward the 1.11300 level. But if price breaks through this zone clearly, that might dismiss the bearish idea and suggest even more upside will continue. This area is pretty important and could give us a better idea of where price is headed next. Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk wisely.
Short
by TrendDiva
91
NZD-CHF Free Signal! Sell! Hello,Traders! NZD-CHF hit a horizontal Resistance of 0.5002 and Its a strong supply area so We will be expecting a local Pullback, which means we Can enter a short trade With the Take Profit of 0.4950 And the Stop Loss of 0.5016 Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TopTradingSignals
1