XAUUSD Sniper Plan – June 18, 2025Hey GoldMinds! 💛
After a messy reaction to today's Retail Sales miss, Gold continues to coil inside a premium range. With FOMC projections, rate statement, Powell’s press conference, and Unemployment Claims lined up next — volatility is far from over. Here’s our refined tactical plan 👇
🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Context
• US Retail Sales disappointed — signaling cracks in consumer demand, potentially weighing on the USD.
• Unemployment Claims up next — job market weakness could add pressure on USD if claims increase.
• FOMC day: Expect massive liquidity sweeps during economic projections, rate decision, and Powell’s press conference.
• Geopolitical tensions persist — no ceasefire in Middle East conflicts (Israel–Iran), and Russia–Ukraine remains unstable. Safe haven bids may still support gold on dips.
🧭 Bias: Tactical Neutral → Bearish
• Price remains capped under 3415–3445 supply
• EMAs are showing indecision: H1 trapped between EMA 5–21, H4 leaning weakly bullish
• RSI on most TFs is neutral → market waiting for event catalyst
• Structure suggests bull trap risk if 3415 holds
🔑 Key Sniper Zones
🔻 Sell Zones
1️⃣ 3405 – 3415
→ H1-H4 OB + FVG + sweep confluence
→ Premium liquidity pocket — ideal trap for reactive sellers
→ Watch M15 for rejection confirmation
2️⃣ 3430 – 3445
→ Upper inducement + clean OB + imbalance
→ Only valid if price spikes irrationally post-FOMC
→ Stronger reversal setup likely here
🟡 Pullback Monitor Zone
3390 – 3398
→ No trade zone — watch for signs of rejection or continuation
→ Could act as short-term resistance before deeper moves
🟢 Buy Zones
1️⃣ 3365 – 3380
→ Bounce zone with clean confluence: FVG, OB, previous HL
→ Best used for reactive entries after wick flushes
→ Key pivot zone with HL structure
→ OB + FVG combo, ideal for tactical long bounces with M15/M30 confirmation
2️⃣ 3335 – 3345
→ Deeper structure retracement zone
→ Contains H4 OB, imbalance + golden Fibo pocket
→ Most reactive buy zone post-event volatility
🧠 Battle Plan Recap
• If price fails to break 3415, we prepare for further bearish continuation
• Bounces expected at 3365–3380 — confirmation needed
• Final long setup lives at 3335–3345 — cleanest buy zone if FOMC triggers selloff
• 3390–3398 is not for entries — only reaction monitoring
• FOMC + Claims = high risk day → trade only sniper zones
✨ Final Notes
Volatility creates traps. Structure gives clarity.
We don’t predict — we react to the third move.
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Let’s trade like pros, not guessers — GoldFxMinds 🧠✨
