VIEW: EURUSD-Cut your losses short and let your winners run.
-The market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.
-In investing, what is comfortable is rarely profitable.
-Trade what you see, not what you think.
CONFIRMATION
-Price is bullish
-Strong order block
-BOS
-Liquidity sweep
-FVG filled
-Price retraced
NB: Do not ever compare yourself to other traders. Take regular breaks from trading Maintain a trading journal Love your craft Learn from other successful traders.
Smcanalysis
XAUUSD 1H | Bearish Order Block Reaction + Liquidity Sweep🔻 XAUUSD 1-Hour Breakdown — May 14, 2025
Gold gave a strong supply rejection at a marked Order Block zone. This isn’t just a pullback — it’s a potential continuation setup targeting lower lows. Here’s what’s cooking:
🧩 1. Market Structure
Clean rejection from premium OB zone at ~$3,220
Massive bearish impulse candle right after sweeping demand zone liquidity
Price formed a lower low and is now forming a lower high
🛠 2. Key Confluences
🟪 Order Block: Solid rejection with no candle closes above
💧 Liquidity Sweep: Deep wick into OB zone → trapped breakout buyers
🔺 Strong High Protected: Market respects structure, suggesting continuation
🔻 Weak Low Targeted: Clean draw to imbalance & potential sweep zone near $3,116
🧠 3. Trade Setup
Entry: Rejection near $3,207–3,220 OB
SL: Above $3,229 (invalidates structure)
TP: First TP zone near $3,116, extended TP: $3,100
RRR: 1:4 to 1:6 setup depending on partials
⚠️ 4. Risk Management
Watch for NY session reversal attempts
Secure profits at first demand zone reaction
Consider trailing stop above last bearish engulfing candle
📌 Price respects structure. If bulls don’t step in quick, sellers will run the table. This is a classic SMC bearish continuation off OB + liquidity grab — don’t sleep on it!
💬 Type “🔻” if you're riding this short wave with us!
🎯 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for sniper SMC plays every day!
USDCHF Premium Tap into Order Block🚨 USDCHF Smart Money Setup Unfolding – One Shot, One Kill Opportunity
Here’s why this setup is packed with confluence and how Smart Money might be laying the perfect trap before a big drop...
🧠 Structure Breakdown:
We’re currently seeing a textbook retracement into premium pricing after a clear bearish move, and Smart Money seems ready to strike again.
✅ Swing High to Low Fib Analysis
We’ve pulled from the most recent swing high to the swing low — and price is now retracing into the 61.8%–79% golden zone. That’s classic territory for Smart Money to reposition short.
📍 Premium Trap Zone:
Between 0.8375 and 0.8395, we’re stacking multiple confluences:
Fib Golden Zone (61.8% – 79%)
Bearish Order Block
Strong High (Liquidity Pool)
Diagonal Trendline Resistance
Break of structure beneath current price
Price action is walking up cleanly, likely to attract late longs — but we know better. This is liquidity engineering at its finest. 📊
🧱 Smart Money Zones:
🔲 Order Block (OB) at ~0.8380–0.8395)
This OB aligns beautifully with 79% fib retracement and sits right below a Strong High — where liquidity is waiting to get grabbed.
🎯 Entry Logic:
Wait for a tap + bearish rejection candle inside the OB.
Set stop loss just above the Strong High.
Ride the momentum back down toward discount zones.
🎯 Target Zones:
TP1: Back to 0% fib level (~0.8325)
TP2: Extension to -27% fib (~0.8295)
TP3 (if momentum flows): Sub 0.8280 levels
This setup offers a clean 1:3+ RRR with sniper-level precision. Low risk, high reward — exactly what we love!
🧘♂️ Psychology of This Move:
Smart Money creates the illusion of bullish strength to:
Lure breakout traders above the high.
Fill institutional sell orders inside the OB.
Sweep weak lows after rebalancing inefficiencies.
This is not a random pullback — it’s a calculated liquidity sweep before expansion. 🚀
⚡ Game Plan:
✅ Wait for price to reach premium zone
✅ Look for rejection (engulfing or SMC candle confirmation)
✅ Enter with SL above high
✅ Take partials at equilibrium and trail to discount
✅ Don’t rush — let price come to you 💎
🧨 Risk Management Tip:
This is a surgical setup — you don’t need to overleverage to win.
Let the chart do the heavy lifting. Stick to 1–2% risk and let the RRR carry the profit.
✍️ In Summary:
USDCHF is retracing into a major premium zone packed with Smart Money confluence — Order Block, Fib, BOS, liquidity, and trendline resistance.
This could be one of the cleanest bearish setups this week if you stay patient and time it right.
🗣️ Drop "USDCHF READY" in the comments if you're planning to catch this setup!
📲 Tag your trading partner and don’t let them miss this sniper entry!
BTCUSD 30M | OB Rejection + FVG Target | Liquidity BelowSmart Money Concept Breakdown | May 18, 2025
This BTC setup is screaming institutional manipulation — and we’re ready to ride the wave. The most recent candle shows another clean rejection from the 30M Order Block, giving high confidence in bearish continuation.
🔍 Key Breakdown:
Entry Confluence:
Bearish OB between 103,569–103,634 tapped with a perfect wick
Candle rejected CRT High (high-probability manipulation zone)
Rejection confirmed with a bearish engulfing candle structure
Target Mapping:
Sell Side Liquidity: 102,643.59
Fair Value Gap: 102,200 zone
Weak Low: 101,420.70 (likely final draw on liquidity)
RR Setup:
Entry: 103,570 zone
SL: Just above CRT High at 103,811
TP1: SSL pool
TP2: FVG
TP3: Weak Low
Risk-Reward Range: From 1:2.5 to 1:5+ 💰
🧠 Institutional Logic:
The rally into the OB was likely a buy-side liquidity grab, faking retail breakout traders before dropping. If price breaks below 102,643 with momentum, expect a sweep of the FVG and weak low.
🎯 Bonus Watch:
If price returns to the OB but fails to break CRT High again = solid re-entry confirmation 📉🧠
Week of 5/11/25: EURUSD AnalysisEU has clean structure with Daily, 4h, and 1h bearish.
1h internal structure is bullish at the moment and we're waiting for that to break bearish before looking for any shorts.
We're going to be patient and wait for internal before looking for high probability trades.
Major news:
China trade talks - Monday
CPI - Tuesday
PPI/Unemployment - Thursday
what is fair value gap ? what is fair value gap ?
-This Analysis is based on educational purposes using the concepts of Smart Money and Liquidity Sweep area
- We create two fair Value gaps in which market will act on that
first one is between 3247 to 3260 area expecting move down from that point and touched 3192 to 3165 which is a strong liquidity zone
Week of 5/4/25: EURUSD AnalysisEurusd has been consolidating internally, but has made a final push bearish from Friday NFP. We're looking for a short at the flip zone of the 1h POI, but if it goes past that to the extreme of the internal structure, we will be cautious and wait for a break to switch bullish.
Thanks for stopping by!
Major News:
FOMC - Wednesday
Unemployment - Thursday
Week of 5/4/25: AUDUSD AnalysisAfter a hellish week of consolidation, price has made its move higher (finally) and we're back to a trendy chart.
My analysis the beginning of the week shows 2 POIs that I am interested in for longs, and if it breaks the level that I pointed out bearish, I will look for shorts.
Thanks for tuning in!
Major News:
FOMC - Wed
Unemployment - Thurs
How Smart Money is Positioning in EUR/USD – 5 Scenarios UnfoldedLiquidity Maps & Trap Zones: EUR/USD 1H Breakdown
EUR/USD SMC Analysis – Scenarios Overview
1. Case 1 – Immediate Pump:
The market may pump directly from the current market price (CMP) and take out the external range liquidity resting above the current highs.
2. Case 2 – 15-Min Demand Reaction:
The market could react to the 15-minute demand zone , showing a bullish response and pushing higher toward the 1H supply zone .
3. Case 3 – Inducement & Distribution:
Combined with Case 2, the market may first mitigate the 15-minute demand , then take out the inducement (IdM ) near the 1H supply zone . From there, distribution may begin within that supply range, leading to a drop toward the discount zone .
This would likely involve a fake breakout to the upside (liquidity sweep), trapping buyers and hitting the stop-losses of early sellers before reversing sharply.
4. Case 4 – 1H CHoCH and Triangle Breakdown:
A Change of Character (CHoCH) may occur on the 1H timeframe directly from the current price, leading to a downside move. This scenario would also break the rising triangle pattern , triggering entries from price action traders and increasing market volatility as liquidity accelerates the move downward.
5. Case 5 – 1H Supply Rejection & Free Fall:
The market may react from the 1H supply zone and reject aggressively, resulting in a free fall all the way down to the previous CHoCH level , confirming strong bearish intent from premium to discount.
Thanks for your time..
Week of 4/20/25: EURUSD AnalysisEU had a crazy week of consolidation last week and it was best to stay out until structure was clearer and had a direction.
My direction this week is bullish since all structure is bullish and we are starting to see that demand is in control. If it isn't, expect the lower level 4H POI to be mitigated and then continue the bull run.
Major News:
PMI - Wednesday
Unemployment - Thursday
Thanks for coming, hope you guys have a great week!
Week of 4/20/25: AUDUSD AnalysisWeekly and daily candles are consecutively bullish with a V-shape recovery to the upside. Looking for longs and especially keeping an eye out for the 1H POI flip-zone that I refined in the 4H POI.
Unless 1H internal structure shifts bearish, I am long ALL THE WAY!
Major News:
PMI - Wednesday
Unemployment - Thursday
Thanks for tuning in, have a great week.
Week of 4/13/25: AUDUSD AnalysisDaily bias is bullish, prior week ended bullish with a V shape recovery showing that bulls are in control. As always our MTF internal structure dictates our immediate bias (bullish) and until it breaks, we're continuing our longs.
Price is reaching an important level at the extreme of the HTF supply level so once price gets there, it's good to see what happens next.
Major News: Unemployment Claims - Thursday
WEEK OF 4/6/25: EURUSD AnalysisLast week ended bullish for the pair, but there is a correction occuring at the moment so we will follow the MTF internal structure (bearish) until it reaches the daily and 4h POI to look for bullish price action.
Internal MTF structure is always king and we will need that to shift before looking for longs.
Major news: Inflation - Thursday
Thanks for stopping by and goodluck!
Ethereum Analysis - Bull Trap - Don't Buy!COINBASE:ETHUSD recently tapped into the 1,800$ order block, but rather than signaling a bullish reversal, this level appears to be pure inducement. There is no fair value gap above this zone, meaning there’s no true imbalance that price needs to mitigate. This suggests that smart money is not positioning for higher prices here, but instead using this level to lure in retail longs before engineering a deeper move to the downside.
The broader market structure remains bearish, with price continuously making lower highs and lower lows. While many traders may see the 1,800 order block as a support level, the absence of a fair value gap indicates that this area lacks real institutional interest. Instead, it serves as a liquidity pool where market makers can absorb buy orders before driving price lower. The true liquidity targets lie below, particularly around the 600$ levels, where a significant number of stop losses and liquidation points are resting. These levels act as magnets, and until they are taken, the probability of a sustained bullish move remains low.
Additionally, the inefficiencies left in the previous sharp upward move suggest that price still has unfinished business to the downside. Smart money thrives on liquidity, and the clean lows below 600$ offer an attractive area for a deeper sweep before any meaningful bullish expansion can take place. This is a classic case of market manipulation, where early longs are baited into the market just before a significant downside move clears out weaker hands.
Once liquidity has been swept from the 600$ regions, the probability of a true reversal increases. At that point, institutional players will have accumulated enough liquidity to justify a move higher. The most logical upside target following this sweep is the 2,700 order block, which aligns with a previous imbalance and a major area of institutional interest. However, until the sell-side liquidity is fully taken out, any attempt at longs is premature and likely to result in being used as exit liquidity for smart money.
In conclusion, the current price action is a textbook example of liquidity engineering. The move down into 1,800$ was a carefully orchestrated inducement to trap buyers before a deeper price correction. The most probable scenario is a continued decline to sweep liquidity below 600$, at which point smart money will begin repositioning for a true bullish move toward 2,700. Until then, every attempt to push higher is likely just part of a larger manipulation cycle designed to fuel the next major market move.