Smcconcepts
price action has been steadily climbing, indicating that bulls!GBP/USD Technical Analysi s – Bullish Momentum Building
The GBP/USD pair is currently showing signs of bullish strength, having recently rebounded from a 1-hour Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which has acted as a strong support zone. This technical reaction suggests increased buying interest and provides a short-term bullish bias in the market.
Following the rejection from the FVG, price action has been steadily climbing, indicating that bulls are gaining control. Market structure on the 1-hour timeframe remains intact with higher highs and higher lows, further supporting the bullish narrative. Additionally, volume analysis and momentum indicators are beginning to align with the current upward move, suggesting that there may be room for continuation.
However, to confirm sustained bullish momentum, it is essential to monitor key resistance levels ahead. The next immediate resistance lies near , which has historically acted as a decision point for the market. A clean breakout and close above this level on increased volume would serve as strong confirmation for a further upside move, potentially targeting .
Conversely, traders should remain cautious of any signs of weakness or bearish divergence forming near resistance areas. Should the pair fail to break higher and instead reverse, a revisit of the bullish FVG could occur, potentially offering another entry opportunity for buyers.
In summary, the GBP/USD pair is displaying bullish intent in the short term, but confirmation from higher timeframes and key levels will be critical before committing to a directional bias. Maintain a balanced outlook and adapt to the evolving price action.
Week of 5/11/25: EURUSD AnalysisEU has clean structure with Daily, 4h, and 1h bearish.
1h internal structure is bullish at the moment and we're waiting for that to break bearish before looking for any shorts.
We're going to be patient and wait for internal before looking for high probability trades.
Major news:
China trade talks - Monday
CPI - Tuesday
PPI/Unemployment - Thursday
Week of 5/11/25: AUDUSD AnalysisDaily is bullish, so in the future price possibly will trend up.
In the meantime 4h and 1h are bearish but has reached a critical daily demand zone at the extreme of daily structure.
So far 1h internal is bullish, so we are still looking for longs cautiously until structure is broken.
Major news:
China trade talks - Monday
CPI - Tuesday
PPI/Unemployment - Thursday
EURUSD 30min Smart Money Long | Order Block + Discount Entry⚡ EURUSD 30m Smart Money Long | May 9, 2025
We're spotting a strong potential reversal after price melts into a clearly defined Order Block deep in the discount zone. Momentum slows, wicks reject the lows, and we’re stacked for a bullish bounce.
🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES:
📉 Sharp selloff into 1.12204 support
🧱 Bullish Order Block holding with rejection wicks
🧠 Smart Money Entry Zone marked just above 1.1219
📐 Price below 50% Fib = Discounted premium RR
🚀 TP targeting imbalance fill near 1.13204
📊 Setup Specs:
Pair: EURUSD
Timeframe: 30 min
Entry: 1.12204
SL: ~1.12078
TP: ~1.13204
RR: Approx. 1:6+
💡 Smart Money Logic:
Big players often load longs in these deep discount zones, right before the crowd notices the shift. This zone is layered with protection: OB, liquidity sweep, and slowed momentum — textbook for a reversal.
📈 Chart Ninja Note:
"Don’t chase — wait for price to come to you… in the discount, at the OB."
GBPCAD: 700+ pips swing move in making; what you think? FX:GBPCAD
After looking at the daily timeframe, we have identified the price pattern with this particular pair, we pointed out the upcoming big move based on similar move that this pair has made. Currently price has been rebounding from the strong buying zone where we expect a large volume to kick in the market. First our main aim will be to see how price react at the downtrend trendline and if price successfully breakthrough the region. We can then enter more entries with this pairs targeting long term 700+ pips. Good luck and trade safe.
what is fair value gap ? what is fair value gap ?
-This Analysis is based on educational purposes using the concepts of Smart Money and Liquidity Sweep area
- We create two fair Value gaps in which market will act on that
first one is between 3247 to 3260 area expecting move down from that point and touched 3192 to 3165 which is a strong liquidity zone
Week of 5/4/25: EURUSD AnalysisEurusd has been consolidating internally, but has made a final push bearish from Friday NFP. We're looking for a short at the flip zone of the 1h POI, but if it goes past that to the extreme of the internal structure, we will be cautious and wait for a break to switch bullish.
Thanks for stopping by!
Major News:
FOMC - Wednesday
Unemployment - Thursday
Week of 5/4/25: AUDUSD AnalysisAfter a hellish week of consolidation, price has made its move higher (finally) and we're back to a trendy chart.
My analysis the beginning of the week shows 2 POIs that I am interested in for longs, and if it breaks the level that I pointed out bearish, I will look for shorts.
Thanks for tuning in!
Major News:
FOMC - Wed
Unemployment - Thurs
Bitcoin - Repeating History: 100k Next Target?Bitcoin is continuing to move with clean structure, driven by demand imbalances and breakout continuation setups. After the initial breakout from the mid-April range, price moved in a highly technical fashion, consolidating, breaking out, forming a fair value gap, and then retesting it before continuation. That exact structure looks like it's playing out again. Bitcoin just broke out of another multi-day consolidation and left behind a fresh 4h imbalance, suggesting the potential for another leg higher if it respects that zone on a pullback.
Consolidation Structure
The prior breakout came from a tight range just below $86,000. BTC spent several days compressing in that area, then broke out impulsively, creating a 4h FVG and retesting it cleanly. That retest held perfectly and launched a rally of nearly $10,000.
The current setup is structurally the same. BTC spent 8 days consolidating under $95,000, repeatedly testing the resistance without breaking it. It finally closed decisively above, leaving behind another fair value gap. The sequence is familiar, sideways accumulation, breakout, FVG left behind, and now a setup for retest.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
The bullish scenario is centered on a retest of the new 4h FVG, located between roughly $94,200 and $95,000. If price pulls back into that imbalance and buyers defend it, the setup for continuation is clean. Based on recent behavior, a successful retest here could easily carry BTC toward the $100,000 level.
If price instead breaks back below $94,000 and falls into the previous consolidation range, that invalidates the breakout structure. In that case, Bitcoin could either enter another range-bound phase or trap longs with a deviation. That would shift the focus to reassessing structure instead of chasing continuation.
Price Target and Expectations
The short-term upside target is $100,000. That level is both a psychological milestone and a likely liquidity magnet. From a structural perspective, it aligns with the last breakout leg, which moved over $9,000 after a similar retest setup. If buyers defend the FVG, there is not much in the way until $100,000.
The momentum behind the breakout supports that expectation. The move was impulsive, clear, and not showing signs of exhaustion. As long as structure holds, price is in a strong position to continue toward that key round number level.
Current Stance
This setup is not a breakout chase, it’s a retest setup. The breakout already happened, and the market left behind a fair value gap that now needs to be tested. If price pulls into the $94K to $95K zone and reacts strongly, that would confirm demand. That’s the moment to step in, with invalidation placed below the FVG and former resistance.
Until then, it's about staying patient and letting price come to the key level. The structure is clear, the plan is defined, and there’s no need to force a trade in the middle of the range.
Conclusion
Bitcoin looks like it’s repeating the exact same structure we saw earlier this month. Range, breakout, FVG, retest, that sequence played out before and led to a major leg higher. It’s playing out again now with nearly identical timing and behavior.
If the 4h imbalance holds, the next phase of this rally likely targets $100,000. The structure is clean, the behavior is technical, and there’s no reason to overcomplicate it. Let price do its thing, wait for the retest, and if the reaction is strong, follow the same playbook that’s already worked once this month.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
XAUUSD Play: Buy the Dip, Sell the Rip Gold (XAUUSD) Tactical Play: Intraday Long into 4H Premium, Then Position for Higher Timeframe Short
Higher Timeframe (4H + Daily Context) :
1. Daily Chart Bias :
Long-term bullish trend, but now expecting a mean reversion (correction) toward long-term averages (discount area).
2. Current Behaviour :
Price has aggressively rallied over the past weeks, but now it's likely moving into a larger correction phase.
3. 4H Structure :
- 4H Demand Zone (around 3,250–3,300) is still holding — price showed strong reactions after tapping it.
- 4H overall flow shifted bearish after a BOS, but internal structure inside 4H suggests a pullback toward premium levels.
Key Supply Zones Above:
• First Supply : 3,380.962 (4H + 15M alignment)
• Second Supply : 3,410.365 (strong 4H supply)
Internal Structure (15M) :
Current Observations:
1. 15M structure showed a CHoCH to the upside after tapping into the 4H demand — clear internal strength.
2. Entry zone marked in 15M purple zone (small demand refinement).
Expectation:
Price will retrace a little, tap the 15M purple zone, then push upward toward higher liquidity pools.
Targets for the Long Trade:
• First TP : The recent liquidity highs around 3,380.962 (first 4H supply).
• Second TP : 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) closer to 3,410.365.
Thanks for your Time..
Week of 4/20/25: EURUSD AnalysisEU had a crazy week of consolidation last week and it was best to stay out until structure was clearer and had a direction.
My direction this week is bullish since all structure is bullish and we are starting to see that demand is in control. If it isn't, expect the lower level 4H POI to be mitigated and then continue the bull run.
Major News:
PMI - Wednesday
Unemployment - Thursday
Thanks for coming, hope you guys have a great week!
Week of 4/20/25: AUDUSD AnalysisWeekly and daily candles are consecutively bullish with a V-shape recovery to the upside. Looking for longs and especially keeping an eye out for the 1H POI flip-zone that I refined in the 4H POI.
Unless 1H internal structure shifts bearish, I am long ALL THE WAY!
Major News:
PMI - Wednesday
Unemployment - Thursday
Thanks for tuning in, have a great week.
Gold hovers at the All-Time High (ATH)Gold Analysis Update:
As Gold hovers at the All-Time High (ATH), it's crucial to observe how the market behaves during the London session, which is known for its high liquidity and volatility. After taking the Asian session high, the price action is now poised to potentially revisit the marked Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone.
If the market retraces to this zone and provides a bullish confirmation, such as a strong bullish candlestick pattern or a break above a key resistance level, it could set the stage for a beautiful buy-side trade setup. This would potentially offer a lucrative trading opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the ongoing bullish trend.
Let's closely monitor the price action and wait for the market to provide a clear signal before making any trading decisions.
Week of 4/13/25: AUDUSD AnalysisDaily bias is bullish, prior week ended bullish with a V shape recovery showing that bulls are in control. As always our MTF internal structure dictates our immediate bias (bullish) and until it breaks, we're continuing our longs.
Price is reaching an important level at the extreme of the HTF supply level so once price gets there, it's good to see what happens next.
Major News: Unemployment Claims - Thursday
WEEK OF 4/6/25: EURUSD AnalysisLast week ended bullish for the pair, but there is a correction occuring at the moment so we will follow the MTF internal structure (bearish) until it reaches the daily and 4h POI to look for bullish price action.
Internal MTF structure is always king and we will need that to shift before looking for longs.
Major news: Inflation - Thursday
Thanks for stopping by and goodluck!
Week of 3/30/25: EURUSD Weekly AnalysisEURUSD has healthy price action with the MTF switching to bullish, once MTF aligns with the daily, we're definitely good to go on longs. For now waiting for price action to show us that it wants to move higher.
Major news: NFP Friday
Thanks for coming, goodluck this week with your trades!