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Bitcoin - Repeating History: 100k Next Target?Bitcoin is continuing to move with clean structure, driven by demand imbalances and breakout continuation setups. After the initial breakout from the mid-April range, price moved in a highly technical fashion, consolidating, breaking out, forming a fair value gap, and then retesting it before continuation. That exact structure looks like it's playing out again. Bitcoin just broke out of another multi-day consolidation and left behind a fresh 4h imbalance, suggesting the potential for another leg higher if it respects that zone on a pullback. Consolidation Structure The prior breakout came from a tight range just below $86,000. BTC spent several days compressing in that area, then broke out impulsively, creating a 4h FVG and retesting it cleanly. That retest held perfectly and launched a rally of nearly $10,000. The current setup is structurally the same. BTC spent 8 days consolidating under $95,000, repeatedly testing the resistance without breaking it. It finally closed decisively above, leaving behind another fair value gap. The sequence is familiar, sideways accumulation, breakout, FVG left behind, and now a setup for retest. Bullish/Bearish Scenarios The bullish scenario is centered on a retest of the new 4h FVG, located between roughly $94,200 and $95,000. If price pulls back into that imbalance and buyers defend it, the setup for continuation is clean. Based on recent behavior, a successful retest here could easily carry BTC toward the $100,000 level. If price instead breaks back below $94,000 and falls into the previous consolidation range, that invalidates the breakout structure. In that case, Bitcoin could either enter another range-bound phase or trap longs with a deviation. That would shift the focus to reassessing structure instead of chasing continuation. Price Target and Expectations The short-term upside target is $100,000. That level is both a psychological milestone and a likely liquidity magnet. From a structural perspective, it aligns with the last breakout leg, which moved over $9,000 after a similar retest setup. If buyers defend the FVG, there is not much in the way until $100,000. The momentum behind the breakout supports that expectation. The move was impulsive, clear, and not showing signs of exhaustion. As long as structure holds, price is in a strong position to continue toward that key round number level. Current Stance This setup is not a breakout chase, it’s a retest setup. The breakout already happened, and the market left behind a fair value gap that now needs to be tested. If price pulls into the $94K to $95K zone and reacts strongly, that would confirm demand. That’s the moment to step in, with invalidation placed below the FVG and former resistance. Until then, it's about staying patient and letting price come to the key level. The structure is clear, the plan is defined, and there’s no need to force a trade in the middle of the range. Conclusion Bitcoin looks like it’s repeating the exact same structure we saw earlier this month. Range, breakout, FVG, retest, that sequence played out before and led to a major leg higher. It’s playing out again now with nearly identical timing and behavior. If the 4h imbalance holds, the next phase of this rally likely targets $100,000. The structure is clean, the behavior is technical, and there’s no reason to overcomplicate it. Let price do its thing, wait for the retest, and if the reaction is strong, follow the same playbook that’s already worked once this month. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Long
by TehThomas
79
XAUUSD Play: Buy the Dip, Sell the Rip Gold (XAUUSD) Tactical Play: Intraday Long into 4H Premium, Then Position for Higher Timeframe Short Higher Timeframe (4H + Daily Context) : 1. Daily Chart Bias : Long-term bullish trend, but now expecting a mean reversion (correction) toward long-term averages (discount area). 2. Current Behaviour : Price has aggressively rallied over the past weeks, but now it's likely moving into a larger correction phase. 3. 4H Structure : - 4H Demand Zone (around 3,250–3,300) is still holding — price showed strong reactions after tapping it. - 4H overall flow shifted bearish after a BOS, but internal structure inside 4H suggests a pullback toward premium levels. Key Supply Zones Above: • First Supply : 3,380.962 (4H + 15M alignment) • Second Supply : 3,410.365 (strong 4H supply) Internal Structure (15M) : Current Observations: 1. 15M structure showed a CHoCH to the upside after tapping into the 4H demand — clear internal strength. 2. Entry zone marked in 15M purple zone (small demand refinement). Expectation: Price will retrace a little, tap the 15M purple zone, then push upward toward higher liquidity pools. Targets for the Long Trade: • First TP : The recent liquidity highs around 3,380.962 (first 4H supply). • Second TP : 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) closer to 3,410.365. Thanks for your Time..
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Naren_2410
Gold hovers at the All-Time High (ATH)Gold Analysis Update: As Gold hovers at the All-Time High (ATH), it's crucial to observe how the market behaves during the London session, which is known for its high liquidity and volatility. After taking the Asian session high, the price action is now poised to potentially revisit the marked Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. If the market retraces to this zone and provides a bullish confirmation, such as a strong bullish candlestick pattern or a break above a key resistance level, it could set the stage for a beautiful buy-side trade setup. This would potentially offer a lucrative trading opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the ongoing bullish trend. Let's closely monitor the price action and wait for the market to provide a clear signal before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Peter_Wade
EURJPY. TUESDAY, MARCH 18TH, 2025As we eagerly practiced patience yesterday by waiting for the market to Break above the Weekly and Daily resistance trend line, this Break came about during the later hours of the New York session. Key notes; 1. EURJPY moves, if not always, around the early hours of the Asian session, so the Break above the Weekly and Daily resistance gave me a greenlight to go long. 2. The key area to look out for today is a break and close above the Daily resistance zone at 163.816, this will indicate further momentum to the upside targeting Daily resistance areas of 166.443, 169.070 & 171.697 which are well within the daily FVG & Order Block. I am a swing trader and I use SMC strategy combined with one indicator (Pivot Points Standard).
Long
by Banks_Sinvula
US30 Analysis: Demand Zone Rejection – Reversal Incoming? The Dow Jones (US30) is experiencing high volatility as investors digest recent economic data and Federal Reserve statements. The latest U.S. ISM Services PMI came in stronger than expected, signaling economic resilience 📊, but concerns remain about inflation and the Fed’s next move on interest rates 💰. 🔹 Key Market Drivers: ✅ Federal Reserve Rate Decision – Hawkish or Dovish? 🏦 ✅ Upcoming NFP Data – Job growth impact on the index 📉📈 ✅ Bond Yields & USD Strength – Affecting institutional risk appetite 💵 With economic uncertainty still in play, traders are looking for key structural levels to position themselves in the market. 🔍 Technical Analysis (1H Chart) US30 is reacting from a strong demand zone (42,400 - 42,500), showing a possible reversal after a liquidity grab below recent lows. 📊 Key Observations: 🔹 Break of Structure (BoS) at the lows, signaling potential bullish momentum ✅ 🔹 Change of Character (ChoCh) – Early signs of a shift from bearish to bullish 📈 🔹 Premium/Discount Zone – Price is in a discounted area, offering potential long entries 💰 🔹 Liquidity Sweep – Stops taken out before an impulsive move upward 🚀 🎯 Trade Setup & Targets: 📍 Bullish Bias: Looking for long entries from the 42,400 - 42,500 demand zone 🎯 First Target: 43,112 (mid-range resistance) 🎯 Second Target: 43,858 (supply zone) 🚨 Invalidation: Below 42,400 – If price breaks lower, expect further downside 💡 Confluence: The combination of smart money concepts (BoS, ChoCh, liquidity grab) and fundamental factors supports a potential bullish reversal. Traders should watch price action closely and confirm momentum before entering. 👀 Final Thoughts US30 is showing signs of demand zone strength, but macroeconomic risks remain. Traders should stay cautious and monitor how price reacts at key levels. A confirmed break above 43,112 could fuel a rally toward 43,858 and beyond. 📊 How are you trading US30 this week? Bullish or Bearish? Let’s discuss below! ⬇️🔥
OANDA:US30USDLong
by FrankFx14
AUDCHF: Bearish continuation - Will it reach 0.55190?OANDA:AUDCHF is trading within a well-defined descending channel, with price action respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent rejection from the resistance zone suggests sellers are maintaining control, supporting a potential continuation of the downtrend. As long as the price remains below the resistance level and the channel's upper boundary holds, the bearish structure remains intact. A potential downside target is 0.55190, aligning with the lower boundary of the channel. A break and close below this level could signal further bearish momentum. However, a breakout above the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish scenario and may indicate a potential reversal or deeper pullback. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Short
by TrendDiva
1
XAU/USD - Buy Limit Setup for a Bullish Reversal Overview Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal after a recent decline. A buy limit order is placed around the $2,911 level, targeting a move towards the $2,928 resistance zone. This setup follows a structured risk-reward approach with a stop loss below recent lows at $2,900.90. Trade Setup 📍 Buy Limit: $2,911 (Key support zone) 📍 Stop Loss: $2,900.90 (Below recent lows for risk management) 📍 Take Profit: $2,928 (Major resistance zone) 📍 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2+ Technical Analysis 🔹 Support Zone: Price is testing a demand area where buyers previously stepped in. 🔹 Bullish Structure: After a sharp sell-off, gold is attempting a recovery. 🔹 Potential Reversal: Expecting price to trigger the buy limit before rallying towards resistance. 🔹 Volume Confirmation: Watching for increasing bullish volume near the entry. Trade Plan 1️⃣ Wait for price to reach the buy limit zone (~$2,911). 2️⃣ Monitor price action for bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, rejection wicks). 3️⃣ Ride the move towards the take profit zone (~$2,928). 4️⃣ If structure shifts bearish, adjust SL accordingly. 🔥 Gold remains volatile, so risk management is key! Watch for market reactions at key levels before entering the trade. 📊 Like & Follow for more gold trade ideas! ✅
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
GBP/USD - Weekly Liquidity & Fair Value Gaps AnalysisOverview The British Pound (GBP/USD) is currently trading around 1.2652, showing a bullish recovery after sweeping weekly sell-side liquidity. Price has reacted from a weekly fair value gap (W.FVG) / BISI and is approaching key resistance levels. Key Levels & Liquidity Zones 📌 Weekly Sellside Liquidity: Taken, leading to a bullish reversal. 📌 Weekly Buy-side Sweep: Possible target around 1.2774 (50% retracement). 📌 W.FVG // BISI (Bullish Imbalance Sellside Inefficiency): Acting as support. 📌 W.FVG / SIBI (Sell-side Imbalance Buy-side Inefficiency): A potential rejection zone around 1.2774. Technical Outlook 🔹 Bullish Reversal: The price has bounced from key liquidity zones, suggesting further upside. 🔹 Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): The market has filled some inefficiencies but still has upside targets. 🔹 Potential Scenarios: A continuation towards 1.2774 (weekly resistance & FVG fill). A possible rejection at that level before resuming the trend. Trade Plan ✅ Bullish Bias: Looking for pullbacks into support (W.FVG) for long opportunities. ❌ Bearish Confirmation: Rejection from 1.2774 could signal a retracement. 📊 Risk Management: Stop-loss placement below recent structure lows. 🔥 Watch these liquidity sweeps and fair value gaps for potential trading opportunities! 📌 Like & Follow for more trade ideas! 🚀
Long
by PIPsOptimizer
GBP/USD - Fair Value Gap (FVG) Short SetupOverview: A bearish reversal setup based on Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), a concept used in Smart Money trading strategies. Key Technical Insights: 🔹 Fair Value Gap (FVG) Zones: The price is approaching an FVG entry zone around 1.2700, which may act as resistance. A second FVG zone is located around 1.2850 - 1.2900, offering a secondary entry for shorts. 🔹 Bearish Trade Setup: The plan anticipates a reaction at the first FVG zone, leading to a downside move. If price continues higher, the second FVG zone provides another opportunity to enter shorts. 🔹 Stop Loss & Target: Stop Loss: Placed above 1.2928 to protect against invalidation. Target: 1.2350 - 1.2400, aligning with previous demand zones and imbalance filling. Trade Plan: 📌 Entry Strategy: Watch for bearish confirmation (e.g., rejection candles, lower time frame structure shift) at the FVG entry zone. If price moves beyond the first FVG, consider a second entry at 1.2850 - 1.2900. 📌 Exit Strategy: Take Profit: At the 1.2350 - 1.2400 target zone for a favorable risk-to-reward trade. Stop Loss: Above 1.2928 to mitigate risk. Final Thoughts: ✅ Bearish bias unless price breaks above 1.2928. ✅ Look for rejection at FVG zones for ideal entries. ✅ Potential downside move towards 1.2350 target. 📉 Patience is key—wait for confirmation before entering! 🚀
Short
by PIPsOptimizer