🍌🍌 SUPERMICRO — AI BANANAS RECOVER FROM THE BEARISH HUGSIt’s hard to believe that only a few short years ago, Super Micro stock was trading for $10 per share. Now that it’s hovering near the $1,000 area.
And Yes, SMCI stocks are still Top #1 over the all S&P500 components with +217% YTD performance in 2024, and +471% 12-months performance.
Supermicro is an American company, a major manufacturer of motherboards, cases, power supplies, cooling systems, SAS controllers, Ethernet and InfiniBand. The company specializes in the production of x86-server platforms and various components for servers, workstations and data storage systems. The headquarters is located in San Jose, USA. Founded in 1993.
Supermicro, Inc., a provider of end-to-end IT solutions for cloud computing, artificial intelligence/machine learning, storage, and 5G/Edge communications, continues to expand its data center portfolio with NVIDIA end-to-end rack cabinet solutions HGX H100 equipped with liquid cooling systems.
Supermicro's advanced liquid cooling technologies help reduce time-to-commissioning, improve performance levels, and reduce data center operating costs while dramatically reducing energy efficiency.
It is estimated that when using Supermicro liquid cooling systems (compared to air-cooled data centers), data centers save up to 40% in terms of power costs. In addition, direct cooling costs can be reduced by up to 86% compared to existing data centers.
In technical terms, SMCI shares are strongly above 26- and 52-weeks SMA, while a classic scenario 'recovering from bearish hugs' is happening right now.
SMCI
AMSC Computer medium cap beats earnings LONGAMSC on the daily chart has went 3X in 7-8 months on the strength of earnings beats and
the tailwinds of the AI supertrend. I see this as an excellent swing long trade to hold into
the next earnings in 3-4 months. AMSC is currently at its ATH and going higher means no
overhead resistance.
SMCI - Super Micro Computer Inc - 50% move to all-time high?SMCI is approx a 50% gain away from all-time highs. Do you think the chip industry will rally again? How long do you think it will take to gain momentum? Price is currently hovering near the 100 EMA. This could be a good place for a bounce. Add SMCI to your watchlist?
DELL moves higher in continuation LONGDELL on the weekly chart shows its bullish trend which accelerated this past March as shown
on the Prive Volume Trend. The relative volume indicator shows some spiking blue volume
bars of buying volume = 3 of the 13 weeks in the past quarter. I see this as a long swing trade
or even an investment to hold at an easy to get into price compared with SMCI. DELL may be
a bit overbought and overextended but I am convinced it is for good reasons and that a trade
here will pay profit over time. The dip of 5% in the past trading day provides a good entry.
SMCI: Strong accumulation. Buy it while you can.Super Micro Computer is neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 53.442, MACD = 90.250, ADX = 30.355) and the reason is that below the 1W MA50 it is expanding the new Cycle's accumulation phase. Every Cycle experienced this accumulation under the 1W MA50, sometimes shorter others longer. Technically, on a two year basis, every time it crossed under the 1W MA50 and consolidated, the stock was a buy opportunity.
The trigger to buy is given on the S1 level (50.60) of the 1W RSI. The last two Cycles grew by at least +400% from the first low that followed the crossing under the 1W MA50. Consequently we turn long on SMCI, aiming for another +400% rise (TP = 3,300).
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Semiconductor Bull Run: Is it OVER?AMD is experiencing a breakout from the falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish signal. Currently, the stock is above its immediate support zone and ended the last trading session with a bullish harami candle.
Although sell pressure seems unlikely given the current levels, keep an eye on the medium-term support zone to reassess your trading strategy if needed.
These levels are suitable for options trading and could result in excellent swing trades based on liquidity analysis.
The price target is between $185 and $190, with the potential to reach $200 if the bullish momentum continues.
Let's monitor how this develops.
Super positive view of SMCIOn the last Friday, SMCI stock showed clear ABC pattern with decreasing near by 0.618.
However, there were not strong bound with weak buying. So, it is fifty fifty.
It could be start of big 3 wave or just stopping by the support line.
In addition, it depends on Nvidia stock movement.
Members Daily Analysis - May 22 2024Markets Sold off: IWM (Small caps) underperformed.
Most commodities hit on the downside: Gold, Silver, Copper, Oil
Natural Gas surging & squeezing
NVDA pumping on earnings: Our SOXL calls will print.
SemiConductors i'll be trading tomorrow. NASDAQ:ON , NASDAQ:SMCI , NASDAQ:ARM
Super Micro Computer ($SMCI) Growth Fueling Investor's Support Alset Capital Inc. has announced that Cedarcross International Technologies Inc. has signed a $26 million contract with an arm's length counterparty to distribute 64 Nvidia H100 HGX 8GPU servers, generating $26 million in revenue for Cedarcross.
Nvidia's H100 GPU Servers are used in "Transformational AI Training", offering up to 7x higher performance for High Performance Computing applications. Cedarcross continues to demonstrate its ability to secure competitive pricing and expedited lead times for highly sought-after Nvidia H100 GPU servers through key industry partnerships, including with Earthmade Computer Corp., an authorized distributor of Super Micro Computer, Inc.
The estimated gross margin from this agreement will be approximately $2.3 million. The company has also increased its consideration payable pursuant to its extended engagement with Omni8 Communications Inc. DBA Omni8 Global ("OMNI8 Extended Term") to assist Alset in developing a corporate marketing strategy, providing marketing and public relations advisory services, and assisting with various other public relations efforts. Alset shall pay OMNI8 Global an additional $180,000 for the OMNI8 Extended Term, which will run for two months and commence on May 8, 2024, and the date the OMNI8 Extended Term is accepted for filing by the TSX Venture Exchange.
Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) is in a rising trend channel in the medium and long term, with rising trends indicating positive development and increasing buy interest among investors. The stock closed Wednesday's trading session up 15.81% with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 59.77 which is primed for further gains.
SMCI accumulation phase. Patience will be rewarded.Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) gave us an excellent sell opportunity two months ago (March 08, see chart below) that allowed us to short on time and target perfectly the 1D MA100 (red trend-line on the chart below, green trend-line on the one above):
The 1D MA100 has so far held twice successfully but even if it breaks, don't be alarmed as this will most likely be part of the standard multi-month Accumulation Phase when the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) breaks, which when completed sends SMCI as high as +417.86% from the bottom (that was the % rise during the last two mega rallies).
As a result, the time to buy this stock is now. Hold and you will be rewarded. It can potentially reach as high as $3500, even though $1500 certainly is good enough and more plausible on the medium-term.
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SMCI Super Micro Computer Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the SMCI 10X call:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SMCI Super Micro Computer prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 750usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-8-16,
for a premium of approximately $209.55.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
✏️ Weekly Report: Volatility makes Cash the King againGENERAL COMMENTS
Today, the Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates unchanged, highlighting the ongoing challenges in curbing inflation. Initially, this announcement propelled the markets upwards, but a sharp downturn occurred in the final hour, leading to a decline as the day concluded.
The erratic market behavior demonstrated today makes it increasingly challenging to maintain positions in momentum stocks, and the majority of this quarter's earnings reports have been underwhelming. This situation underscores the strategy that cash remains paramount, complemented by selective, quick trading opportunities, as depicted in the following charts.
I will begin tonight's chart analysis with the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ).
NASDAQ:QQQ
The Qs are forming a bearish formation. What is worrying is that this is below the 50D Simple Moving average. As trading is a probabilities game, we can conclude that this leads to probabilities being lower that we continue to the downside. However, the direction of the general market indexes are very well influenced by the fundmental story of the economy health.
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NASDAQ:SMTC
SMTC is up $4 from the $33 Buy Point (alerted in previous versions of this idea - go and check. Believe and Follow). This peaked yesterday with about +20% profit since the alert last week. Of course the way I manage this is never to let this to turn into a loss. My general go to tool is to take half here.
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NASDAQ:KLAC
KLAC fell back to $687 after missing earnings. This of course stopped me out - but at no loss, since I move stopped up to break-even.
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NASDAQ:SMCI
The stock missed its earnings and suffered a severe reaction of a gap down and drop -20% on the intraday.
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NASDAQ:NVDA
NVDA slashed below the 50D SMA and this stopped me out. Waiting and watching this TML during its base building period.
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NYSE:GS
Up $7 from the $419 buy point with stop raised to $416 just in case.
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NYSE:CRM
CRM is prone to go lower if the market continues falling. A break below $266.50 is great place to short.
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NYSE:LLY
Gapped up on good earnings. The next technical buy point is $801 accommodated with heavy volume.
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NASDAQ:MRNA
Earnings are due out tomorrow. If earnings are good then zooming through the $116 on good volume is a great technical buy point
SMCI simple movementSMCI is following a very even descending resistance line .
As per the chart watch out for a breakout and only make an entry upon breakout of this resistance line
as per recent earnings its good value at the moment (770 ) to get in and accumulate
it can come down to 710 and next support is 670
anything between that value is a very good value to accumulate
so far the earnings are bullish but technically SMCI is in bear trend so please take care of your stop losses
620 is STOP loss
SUPER MICRO COMPUTER, TINY COMPUTER BIG REJECTION TRENDQuick chart.
Price targets marked.
It needs to break over that massive trend otherwise, I'd be careful as a bull.
Support is somewhat weak until we reach that 450 level.
Bigger support comes in lower at around 236.
But both are fairly strong levels.
RSI is kind of getting up there and showing signs of maybe this being an exit move to the upside before a drop.
Yes, there is upside.
Short term trend is climbing right to to 930.
But honestly, It's really hard to tell, and it might reject at a lower target that is more short term than the 930 mark.
879?
Overall remaining neutral because I'm not really sure.
Good luck with your decision on the stock!
Potential short term bounce in SMCIWill the anchored vWAP of $716.80 on the daily chart for SMCI (anchored from the low on 31st October 2023) be defended after Friday's close dipped beneath it? The 15 minute open at 4am this morning ($747.04) looks like a potential intraday key level at this stage...
Super Micro Tanks 19% After Failing to Provide Financial ResultsSuper Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) experienced a significant drop in its stock price after failing to provide any preliminary financial results. The data center computer specialist announced the date for its next quarterly earnings report, which is scheduled for release after the market close on April 30. However, unlike in recent quarters, SMCI did not offer an early look at its results. As a result, SMCI stock plunged below a key support level, flashing a huge sell signal.
NASDAQ:SMCI is based in San Jose, California, and is better known as Supermicro. The company has been the beneficiary of hyperscale cloud service providers investing in servers for artificial intelligence applications. SMCI stock was added to the S&P 500 last month.
In recent years, Super Micro has released preliminary results with the announcement of its quarterly earnings date, including the last two fiscal third quarters. However, this time, the company did not offer any early look at its results.
In morning trades on the stock market, SMCI stock's value dived 18% to 757.51. With this move, it gapped below its 50-day moving average line, a key support level, in above-average trading volume. SMCI stock had been holding to that level during the recent market turmoil. Super Micro stock is 19% below its 10-week moving average, which is a sell signal for a longtime winner even if it's just 2% below the 10-week line.
On Jan. 19, Super Micro shares skyrocketed 35.9% to close at 423.36 after the company disclosed preliminary results with its fiscal-Q2 earnings report date. That sparked a run that finally peaked at 1,229 on March 8.
Analysts are predicting Super Micro earnings of $5.84 a share on sales of $4.01 billion for the fiscal third quarter ended March 31. If this is accurate, it would translate to year-over-year growth of 258% in earnings and 212% in sales.
$AMD Recognize where and whyThis is a chart I created several weeks ago. I find these points of inflection fantastic for support or resistance depending on the PA of course. I've drawn these on several tickers and the outcome is almost always the same. This is just information. Do what you want with it.