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DELL pushes price with a big earnings beat LONGDELL reported earnings 27% beyond the estimates and traders reacted. The indicators show that relative volume was about 10X the running moving average. The RSI dual time frame indicator ( by Chris Moody) showed a 50-level cross-over on 2/22 one week before earnings. That was the best early entry and price is up 20% higher since then. The question is whether is is overextending and so will retrace. The mass index indicator is suggestive of a reversal. Overall, I will watch price action for bullish continuation while considering the possibility of a short sell into a retracement if it evolves. No matter volatility is increased I intend to make the best possible trade in response to what develops.
NYSE:DELLLong
by AwesomeAvani
DELL leaps out of the shadows of SMCI LONGDELL has risen and is now at its all time highs. Apparently, its server intrastructure business this thriving. It is chasing SMCI and does not have the high valuation ratios that make SMCI look overextended. The indicators document the up trending price action. A price forecast algorithm has DELL rising into a high pivot on April 18th with 35% upside to that forecasted pivot. I am adding to my DELL position here for the anticipated two week trade.
NYSE:DELLLong
by AwesomeAvani
Correction Coming for AI? AI technology has been recognized as the new future since the end of 2022. The rapid advancements in AI and its stock prices sparked debates regarding the sustainability of its current valuations. Indeed, AI technology has a long runway ahead, but like all journeys, it will eventually encounter a bend. In today's tutorial, we are going to study its fundamental and technical reasons why we may have to prepare for a windy and bumpy ride ahead. E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options Ticker: NQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $5.00 Micro E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:AVGOShort
by konhow
Super Micro Computer's AI Server AscendancyIn the bustling landscape of AI server providers, Super Micro Computer Inc. ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) emerges as a beacon of innovation and efficiency, securing its spot in the prestigious S&P 500 index. With close alliances with tech giants like Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Super Micro rides the crest of the AI server boom, revolutionizing the market with its agile product development and cutting-edge liquid cooling technology. Unveiling the Advantages: Unlike its competitors, Super Micro boasts unparalleled agility in product launch, courtesy of its strategic partnerships with Nvidia and AMD. This advantage propels Super Micro to the forefront of AI server supply, fueling a staggering 289% surge in its shares within a single year. Analysts laud the company's ability to swiftly manufacture, assemble, test, and ship server racks, often within mere weeks, positioning it as a key supplier in the realm of generative AI applications. Revenue Surge and Market Projections: Super Micro's meteoric rise isn't merely a fleeting trend; rather, it's a testament to its robust revenue growth, which more than doubled in the final quarter of 2023. Projections paint a rosy picture, with analysts foreseeing triple-digit percentage growth until at least the September quarter of 2024. Bank of America forecasts a substantial increase in Super Micro's share of the AI server market, projecting a rise to 17% by 2026. Valuation and Risk Factors: Despite its stellar performance, Super Micro ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) faces scrutiny over its lofty valuation, currently trading at 40 times expected earnings—a significant leap from its PE of 15 just months prior. This valuation hike heightens the risk of a potential selloff should the company falter in meeting future earnings expectations. However, with its proven track record and innovative edge, Super Micro remains poised to navigate these challenges adeptly. The Liquid Cooling Revolution: In tandem with the surge in AI server demand, Super Micro ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) spearheads the adoption of liquid cooling technology—an indispensable solution for data center operators grappling with the escalating heat generated by AI chips. Super Micro's proprietary liquid cooling tech, boasting a 40% reduction in power consumption compared to traditional air cooling methods, positions it as a frontrunner in the race towards enhanced efficiency and sustainability in data center operations. Challenges on the Horizon: While Super Micro basks in its current success, analysts caution against complacency, highlighting the looming threat of intensified competition from industry heavyweights. Moreover, the company's strategy of offering products at lower rates to gain market share could potentially undermine its profitability in the long run. Nonetheless, with its penchant for innovation and adaptability, Super Micro remains well-equipped to navigate the evolving landscape of AI server provision. Technical Outlook NASDAQ:SMCI shares after starting off the day well ended up plummeting by 6.96% despite its inclusion in the S&P 500. Trading with a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 53 indicating there isn't much overbought lately.
NASDAQ:SMCI
by DEXWireNews
SMCI Super Micro Computer Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought SMCI ahead of the previous earnings: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SMCI Super Micro Computer prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 480usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2024-3-1, for a premium of approximately $42.90. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by TopgOptions
MRVL has a melt-down trader reaction to mediocre earnings LONGMRVL on the 2H chart had been in a trend up since February 29th when it broke out of the high volume area of the profile in a pre-earnings run . Earnings were reported and MRVL more or less matched the analyst's forecasts. Price sold-off in the aftermath of trader disappointment. I held a large position of both shares and options but sold off half of the positions two days ago to capture some profits. I see MRVL as still above VWAP and so in buying territory and now at a price level supported by the first upper anchored VWAP line as well as the upper boundary of the high volume area. It is a strong stock which I do not believe will make a full Fibonacci retracement. I will now add back into my position half of what I sold a few days ago. and expect a bullish continuation. On a lower time frame, I have guidance from the inside bars that price is printing in the after hours. When regular trading arrives on Friday, I will buy call options for mid-April striking $85 (OTM).
NASDAQ:MRVLLong
by AwesomeAvani
Nvidia near its cycle peakYou can't turn on the TV without hearing about Nvidia that means that we're in the cycle distribution phase, can the stock rally to $1,300 certainly so this isn't a call to sell $950 today at all, but it is a call that the years high probably happens between now and July 4th start to make your exit plan now, so that when $1,300 arrives, you know what to do. as new ATH print every week, it becomes easy to accidentally wind up as a boiled frog. SMCI monster rally will chart a similar course
NASDAQ:NVDA
by noam_chom
SMCI Has it topped?Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is about to complete a 10 straight green week streak if the 1W candle closes bullish today. This is a highly impressive feat that not only it hasn't done before but only a few stocks have managed to do historically. On the other hand, this may be a signal that yet again, SMCI is time to take a breather. Why? First because it has completed a +417.86% price increase since the October 30 2023 Low, which is the exact % rise the stock did during its previous Bullish Leg from January 27 2023 to July 31 2023. At the same time, the 1W RSI is testing the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up that started in June 2018. If rejected today, we expect the stock to correct by -35.55%, which might be significant, but nothing compared to the rise it has achieved. In fact as you can see on the chart, such % decline has been very common in the past 4 years. Amidst the correction, we expect it to make contact with the 1D MA100 (red trend-line). As long as the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) holds as a Support, the long-term bullish trend is intact, and every such correction is a long-term buy opportunity. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by TradingShot
4
Super Micro's S&P 500 Entry Signals AI's Ascendancy: A Deep DiveThe tech landscape is ablaze as Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ), a leading AI server maker, prepares to enter the illustrious S&P 500 index. This move underscores the seismic shift towards artificial intelligence (AI) stocks in Wall Street's premier benchmark, signaling a new era of innovation and opportunity. Let's explore the implications of Super Micro's( NASDAQ:SMCI ) inclusion in the S&P 500, unraveling the dynamics of the AI revolution and its profound impact on the market. Super Micro's Meteoric Rise: With shares soaring by 12% in premarket trading, Super Micro's ascension to the S&P 500 amplifies its prominence in the tech sector. The San Jose-based firm has emerged as a key player in the AI frenzy, witnessing a staggering 1,000% surge since the close of 2022. This meteoric rise, including a remarkable three-fold increase in 2024 alone, catapults Super Micro's market value to an impressive $50.6 billion, cementing its status as a heavyweight contender in the AI arena. Implications of S&P 500 Inclusion: The inclusion of Super Micro ( NASDAQ:SMCI )and Deckers Outdoor Corp in the S&P 500 marks a significant milestone for both companies. As stalwarts Whirlpool Corp and Zion Bancorp make way for these AI-driven innovators, investors are poised to capitalize on the shifting tides of market dynamics. Notably, the reshuffling at popular index funds tracking the S&P 500, with assets totaling approximately $7.8 trillion, underscores the magnitude of this transition. With an estimated $30.1 billion in rebalance trading anticipated before March 18, the stage is set for a flurry of activity as Super Micro ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) assumes its place among the market titans. AI Boom and Market Trends: Super Micro's ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) ascent to the S&P 500 mirrors the broader trend of money managers flocking to AI-related companies in the wake of Nvidia's stellar performance. As Nvidia surges to become the third most valuable U.S. company, investors are increasingly drawn to firms capitalizing on the AI boom. Super Micro's ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) recent blowout quarterly results and raised revenue forecast further fuel enthusiasm for its growth prospects, positioning it as a frontrunner in the AI landscape. Conclusion: Super Micro's ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) imminent entry into the S&P 500 symbolizes the maturation of the AI sector and its integration into the fabric of the market. As AI continues to reshape industries and redefine investment opportunities, stakeholders must navigate this evolving landscape with strategic acumen and foresight. With Super Micro poised to ride the wave of AI innovation, investors stand to gain from the company's inclusion in the S&P 500 and the broader proliferation of AI-related stocks. As the tech revolution unfolds, Super Micro exemplifies the transformative power of AI-driven innovation, paving the way for a future defined by limitless possibilities and unparalleled growth.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by DEXWireNews
4
SMCI - builds the data centers for AI and is hotter than hotSuper Microcomputer is on hard run up trend- at its all-time high, this stock is demonstrating a high tight bull flag pattern. In a massive move SCMI is up 180% YTD five months so on pace for 400% annualized. Most experts expect more of the same. It is currently resting in consolidation ( the tight channel of the pattern) The zero-lag MACD shows the lines about to cross over the histogram. I will watch this stock for either a bullish continuation or a pullback. Its fundamentals are outstanding and its collaboration with NVDA will carry it far. I will wait for a great entry and take a big bite. This stock's P/E makes it an incredible bargain.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by AwesomeAvani
4
The Nvidia effect; US equity indices break out to new highs The Nvidia effect has ripped through global equity markets and given fresh wind to markets that were looking ominously poised for a 3-5% drawdown. New highs have been seen in EU Stoxx, GER40, JPN225, and the US large-cap equity bourses; the US30, US500 and NAS100. What levels do the bulls target now? Well either, you’re looking at fibo extension/projections, psychologically important round numbers, or you hold until price action offers an exit signal, or your trailing stop is triggered. Our client flow is progressively skewed short index positions at current levels (85% of open positions on US30 are held short, 74% short on the NAS100), with many countering for a reversion move, although this is an aggregation of different strategies and timeframes. Nvidia hits the sweet spot Nvidia has dominated the narrative and rightfully so – the flow-on effects into the AI/semi’s scene has been truly emphatic. I won’t go over Nvidia’s numbers at a granular level, but clearly, they hit the absolute sweet spot – beating on Q424 actuals by some margin across the board, but also on their guidance for Q125 numbers. While not meeting some very lofty market expectations was a small risk, there was perhaps a greater fear that the guidance would be too hot, subsequently creating an incredibly high bar to beat in the future. That wasn’t the case, and one could say the outcome was a ‘goldilocks’ scenario. It’s hard to go past the commentary on their outlook and future operating environment, as this has not just lifted Nvidia but the whole scene. Saying that demand will continue to exceed supply all year was a massive bullish trigger. Detailing that supply constraints should improve over the year was also well received, with supply chains asked to increase capacity by 30% for CYQ1. Sales to China have also dropped to mid-single-digit percentages despite such explosive revenue growth, which was a factor and could be a big kicker further into the future. Nvidia shares not only closed +16.5%, far higher than the -/+11% implied in options pricing but adding $276b in market cap was absolutely staggering. The fact price closed right on its session highs must enthuse the bulls and for tape readers, it tells a lot about the mindset of the collective – dips will likely be shallow, and traders will chase the upside. 87.75m shares traded hands – the most since November 2023 - and in the options market, we saw 1.51m calls bought vs the 20-day average of 913k. Valuations are obviously lofty, but they matter little for these high-growth plays, which are essentially out-and-out momentum vehicles. Also, consider that Nvidia holds its highly anticipated GTC conference on 18 March – where they are likely to update the market on new products and innovations – so pullbacks in the stock should be shallow, and we could see buyers push price higher into that event. The spill over into names like Super Micro Computers (+32.9%), AMD (+10.7%), Marvell (+6.6%) and Broadcom (+6.3%) is clear. The Philadelphia Semi ETF (SOX) also gets some focus as price breaks to new ATHs. Offshore we saw plays such as Infineon, ARM Holdings, Tokyo Election, Taiwan Semi and Korean Semi names all working well and finding a solid bid. The biggest one-day move since early February On a broad index basis, the NAS100 saw its biggest one-day move since Feb 2023 (a 3% move was a 3.3 Z-score move). That said, for such a big percentage change in the index volumes were only 7% above the 30-day average, although this was more than offset by good breadth with 82% of stocks higher (72% in the US500). NAS100 implied volatility has fallen a touch with the NAS100 VIX index dropping 1.21 vols to 18.4% with the S&P500 VIX -0.80 vols to 14.5%, with traders rolling out of downside hedges. Hedges cost money when the market is ripping and subtract from performance. So global high-quality growth equity has found its mojo courtesy of just one stock, and what they have said about the outlook, which of course means so much not just for the A.I adopters but the enablers. We can once again talk about concentration risk in equity, but we can use the 2023 case study and see that reduced participation in the rally isn’t the red flag for contrarian positions it perhaps once was. While CFD traders will take timeframes down and trade intraday flows – long and short – the primary big-picture trend remains higher, so for those who hold for longer than a day, we need to assess the big risk that can cause a 5%+ drawdown. What can cause a reversal? That risk is inflation, and a resurgence of concerns that we move into a far higher-for-longer regime, with rate cuts essentially priced out for 2024. It is my view that equity can hold in and even push higher if expected rate cuts are priced out for 2024, as long the cause is solid growth dynamics. But if the primary reasoning for reduced rate cut expectation is inflation, which causes long-end bond yields to rise (both nominal and real), and volatility in interest rates and US Treasury’s lifts then equity risk premium will rise, and the bears will likely get their 5-10% pullback. For now, the Nvidia show is real, and a feel-good factor runs through the whole sector – The NAS100 breaks 18k, the US500 eyes 5100 and the US30 looks up at 40k.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Pepperstone
1
Natural Gas, Uranium & NvidiaNatural gas has made an epic 2 day rally off the 52 week lows. Looks like the Covid support zone is holding & we can move higher off of tight consolidation. Uranium is into some minor daily chart support, a bounce is likely off the EMA 113. Nvidia reported earnings and had a double beat. This stock was up over 10% in the after-hours. Completely saving and rallying the Nasdaq. Semis will be hot tomorrow, the question is, do they hold their gains?
NASDAQ:NVDA
0
by Trading-Capital
1
SMCI Experiences Rollercoaster Week Amid AI BoomThe stock market is often a whirlwind of ups and downs, but few stocks exemplify this volatility as much as Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) in recent days. With its shares soaring to unprecedented heights before tumbling back down, NASDAQ:SMCI 's journey reflects both the excitement and unpredictability surrounding the artificial intelligence (AI) sector. Unveiling the Rollercoaster Ride: In a week marked by dizzying swings, NASDAQ:SMCI 's stock embarked on a wild ride that left investors both exhilarated and apprehensive. Following a remarkable surge that propelled the stock above the remarkable milestone of $1,000 per share on Thursday, NASDAQ:SMCI experienced a dramatic reversal, plunging by over 12% to $880.64 just a day later. This rollercoaster trajectory underscores the volatile nature of the market, particularly in sectors driven by transformative technologies like AI. The Driving Force: Fueling SMCI's meteoric rise is the ever-expanding landscape of artificial intelligence. Analysts and investors alike have been captivated by the potential of AI to revolutionize industries ranging from healthcare to finance. With NASDAQ:SMCI positioned as a key player within the AI ecosystem, bolstered by strategic partnerships with industry giants such as NVIDIA, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), and Intel, the company has emerged as a focal point for those seeking exposure to this lucrative market. Analyst Insights: Barclays analysts have recalibrated their outlook on NASDAQ:SMCI , raising their price target to $961, citing the company's adeptness in navigating the complexities of AI architecture. They highlight NASDAQ:SMCI 's agility in customizing solutions to meet the evolving demands of AI applications, underpinned by its flexible manufacturing capabilities. Meanwhile, Bank of America analysts echo this sentiment, initiating coverage with a bullish "buy" rating. They emphasize NASDAQ:SMCI 's potential to capitalize on the burgeoning demand for AI servers, emphasizing the company's adaptability in integrating new designs and technologies as the AI landscape continues to evolve. Looking Ahead: As NASDAQ:SMCI navigates the turbulent waters of the stock market, the company remains firmly positioned at the forefront of the AI revolution. With analysts bullish on its prospects and investors eyeing the potential for further growth, NASDAQ:SMCI 's trajectory serves as a compelling narrative of the opportunities and challenges inherent in investing in transformative technologies. Conclusion: SMCI's rollercoaster week encapsulates the excitement, uncertainty, and potential inherent in the AI sector. As investors continue to grapple with the implications of AI-driven innovation, NASDAQ:SMCI stands poised to carve out a significant role in shaping the future of technology and finance alike.
NASDAQ:SMCI
by DEXWireNews
Nasdaq-100 Index Futures. Bearish Channel In DevelopmentAI-related companies lost $190 billion in stock market value late on Tuesday after Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOG and Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD delivered quarterly results that failed to impress investors who had sent their stocks soaring. The selloff following the tech giants' reports after the bell underscored investors' elevated expectations following an AI-fueled stock market rally in recent months that propelled their shares to record highs with the promise of incorporating the technology across the corporate landscape. Alphabet dropped 5.6% after the Google-parent's December-quarter ad revenue missed expectations. Alphabet also said its spending on data centers to support its AI plans would jump this year, highlighting the costs of its fierce competition against AI rival Microsoft. While Google Cloud revenue growth slightly topped Wall Street targets, boosted by interest in AI, Microsoft's Azure grew faster. Microsoft beat analyst estimates for quarterly revenue as new AI features helped attract customers to its cloud and Windows services. However, its stock fell 0.7% in extended trade after briefly hitting an intra-day record high earlier on Tuesday. Optimism about AI pushed Microsoft's stock market value above $3 trillion this month, eclipsing Apple NASDAQ:AAPL . Chipmaker Advanced Micro tumbled 6% after its forecast for first-quarter revenue missed estimates, even as it projected strong sales for its AI processors. Shares of Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , which have surged 27% in January after more than tripling last year on AI optimism, also gave back some of those gain in extended trade, last down over 2%. Server maker Super Micro Computer NASDAQ:SMCI , another company that has benefited from AI-related demand, dropped over 3%. Earlier on Tuesday, it had climbed to a record high after delivering amazing quarterly results the day before. The main technical graph for Nasdaq-100 Micro E-Mini Futures CME_MINI:MNQ1! illustrates that bearish channel is in development in this time, where 17800 points is the upper (resistance) side and 17000 points level becomes attractive to watch. 3-months mid-term VIX Futures spread (the difference between front, February, 2024 VIX Futures contract CBOE:VXG2024 and May, 2024 VIX Futures contract CBOE:VXK2024 that is 3 months ahead) still is in Bearish mode, saying there's no panic yet on the streets. 50/200-hours MACD says btw, bearish sentiment becomes more active.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by Pandorra
Super Micro Computer Just Hit a New All-Time High Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) has been making waves in the stock market, hitting a new all-time high fueled by a remarkable 2023 and a phenomenal earnings report to kick off 2024. As the stock continues its ascent, investors are left wondering if there's still time to climb aboard or if they've missed the boat. Let's delve into the factors driving Supermicro's success, particularly its role in the booming artificial intelligence (AI) market, and explore the potential for further growth. The AI Boost: One of the key drivers behind Supermicro's ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) recent surge is its pivotal role in the AI revolution, with a spotlight on its collaboration with Nvidia, the leading graphics processing unit (GPU) supplier worldwide. Nvidia's GPUs are crucial for the intensive calculations required in processing vast datasets and building AI models. Supermicro ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) steps in with its highly customizable line of servers tailored to various needs, from engineering simulations to drug discovery and AI deep learning. The Numbers Speak: Supermicro's ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) second-quarter fiscal year 2024 results were nothing short of impressive, boasting sales of $3.66 billion, a staggering 103% increase from the previous year. The company not only surpassed its own guidance but also laid out robust projections for the upcoming quarter and the entire fiscal year. With Q3 revenue expected to reach approximately $3.9 billion, reflecting a remarkable 205% growth, and an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of $5.22, the outlook appears promising for Super Micro Computer. Conclusion: Super Micro Computer's ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) journey to new all-time highs has been undeniably fueled by the AI boom, robust financial performance, and optimistic projections for the future. The article wraps up by summarizing the company's strengths, potential challenges, and the considerations investors should weigh when deciding whether to join the ride or exercise caution in the face of industry forecasts. Supermicro's ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) success story, as outlined in this article, paints a picture of a company on the cutting edge of technological innovation, but the road ahead may not be without its twists and turns.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by DEXWireNews
SMCI is pumped up to the stars on 100% pure speculation.SMCI - Super Micro Computer, Inc. has been on an absolutely incredible run for quite some time. However, the sheer amount of FOMO that has rushed into this stock has literally driven it to the moon on nothing but pure speculation. But that momentum is about to come to an abrupt end! Here soon, you're going to see the buying flip to selling as the shorts start to enter into massive short positions. As the price falls, stop after stop will be taken out in rapid succession, causing longs to panic and add to the selling... First, it will drip, then it will start to gush, then a spark will ignite, and within hours the whole shithouse will go up in flames! When this collapses, millionaires will be made in a matter of hours, and many longs will become bag-holders squared! Watch...
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by MetaShackle
4