Bearish or bullish SMCI Stock USD. Breakpoint coming.Technical and Fundamental Analysis for SMCI 🚀
The current stock price of Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) is $41.87 USD . The target sell point is set at $73 USD, indicating a potential upward movement. The s upport level for buying is $34 USD , suggesting that if the stock price drops to this level, it may be a good opportunity to purchase.
It is crucial to maintain the resistance level at $41 USD ; otherwise, the stock may decline further to the support level of $34 USD.
Technical indicators on the chart include moving averages and volume data, which help in understanding the stock's price trends and market sentiment. The green and red bands represent different moving averages, showing the stock's volatility and potential price movements.The annotations on the chart highlight key support and resistance levels, providing a visual guide for trading decisions.
Fundamentally , Super Micro Computer, Inc. is a company listed on NASDAQ, and its stock performance is influenced by various factors such as market conditions, company earnings, and industry trends. Investors should consider both technical and fundamental aspects before making trading decisions.
Conclusion: 🚀
The analysis suggests monitoring the resistance level at $41 USD closely. If the stock price maintains above this level, it may move towards the target sell point of $73 USD. However, if it fails to hold this resistance, it could drop to the support level of $34 USD, presenting a potential buying opportunity.
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Smcimarketstructure
SMCI ONCE IN A LIFETIME DIP BUY!!!Ive taken a $600 position on SMCI I will be looking to size into as it works. You can clearly see what happened last time we were at this price area. I have less than a $1 stop loss if price were to return below the green line. This will be a LONGGGGGGGGGGG hold into the future.
$SMCI surged by 78% ! A comeback or final rally?
Technically, NASDAQ:SMCI is overall moving in a bearish market, and it just be rejected by the resistance level of downtrend line and the high price of previous gap down candle with high volume.
In this case, the price may continue to go bearish if it could not break above the resistance level.
From the aspect of fundamental analysis, there is also a high possibility for NASDAQ:SMCI to go bearish due to the two reasons below.
Evident 1:
SMCI’s drop was driven by financial fraud, with its auditor, Ernst & Young, resigning. Additionally, NVIDIA is shifting its orders away from SMCI. And the price had a short-term callback since the company only recently found a new auditor, BDO, and submitted a compliance plan to Nasdaq.
It’s worth mentioning that NASDAQ:SMCI has experienced a similar situation before. Back in 2019, SMCI faced multiple delisting warnings from Nasdaq for failing to submit its 10-K report and other financial documents on time. Ultimately, SMCI was delisted for not meeting reporting requirements and moved to the over-the-counter market to continue trading. After improving its internal controls and financial reporting, SMCI was able to rejoin the exchange in 2020.
Evident 2: NASDAQ:SMCI doesn’t have any monopolistic products and its offerings are highly replaceable. Several auditing firms have been gradually lowering their ratings and pricing since August, and SMCI has long been heavily dependent on NVIDIA's GPU chips. This dependence is evident, as about 70% of SMCI’s production costs rely on NVIDIA components. Now that NVIDIA is shifting its orders to other suppliers, even if SMCI has found a new auditor and successfully submits a strong Q3 report, its future will largely depend on whether NVIDIA decides to return its orders.
Therefore, the recent surge over the past few days could be due to NASDAQ:SMCI creating a breathing space for itself, namely by submitting a compliance plan to Nasdaq. Regardless of whether it can meet the requirements, submitting the plan serves as a temporary measure to buy time. This move has sparked market enthusiasm, but that enthusiasm is likely to fade. If NVIDIA does not shift its orders back and if SMCI ultimately fails to submit compliant financial reports as outlined in its plan, the recent rise in stock price may turn out to be a short-lived rally, or what could be called a final dance.