ETH Just Slapped Into an Order Block — Next Stop: Dump City?🔎 Ethereum Smart Money Sell Setup | May 17, 2025
The ETH/USD 30-minute chart just gave us a juicy bearish confirmation off a clean Order Block rejection, wrapped in a downward sloping parallel channel — exactly what smart money watches for. Here’s the breakdown:
🧩 1. SMC Narrative
Price tagged a bearish OB right at the mid-supply zone 🟣
Followed by strong engulfing rejection candle
Breakdown from the minor trendline support → confirms bearish shift
Order block lines up with the premium zone of the overall bearish channel
Retail might think this is support — we see liquidity 👀
🎯 2. Trade Specs
Entry: ~2,516.09 (OB upper edge)
SL: 2,520.00
TP Zones:
TP1: 2,476.99 ✅ (almost hit)
TP2: 2,450
TP3: 2,409.47 (final target at channel low)
Risk-to-Reward: Approx 1:4.5
🛠️ 3. Why This Setup Works
Price delivered a channel breakout + OB rejection combo
Strong volume spike during the OB touch = institutional activity
The bounce off the OB is weak — signaling exhaustion
All signs point to a grind down to lower channel support
If you know, you know — this is how banks exit in stealth mode 🚪👻
🎯 Bonus Tip:
If ETH retests the OB zone again with weak bullish candles — that’s your secondary sniper entry 🎯
📣 What’s your bias? Think bulls can reclaim this OB, or are we headed straight into deeper discount pricing?
📲 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily laser-focused setups, SMC concepts, and precision trading breakdowns!
Smctrading
Order Block Rejection with Channel Breakout, Smart Money at Work🧠 BTC/JPY Smart Money Breakdown — May 17, 2025
This setup is a textbook bearish reaction off an Order Block right at the top of a rising channel. Let’s dive into what the big money is doing behind the scenes ⬇️
🧩 1. Context
Market was respecting a rising channel on 15m
Price made a final sweep of internal liquidity into a:
🔴 Red Order Block
📏 Premium zone above the mean
Now we’re seeing a strong bearish displacement candle closing outside the structure 👀
🎯 2. Trade Setup
Entry zone: 15,090,000–15,150,000 (Order Block zone)
SL: Above 15,150,000
TP Zones:
TP1: 15,000,000 (psych level + OB base)
TP2: 14,900,000
TP3: 14,829,228 (full imbalance fill + liquidity resting zone)
➡️ Risk-to-reward ≈ 1:3+, depending on exit
🔍 3. Smart Money Confluence
Order Block rejection: Institutional footprint
Break of channel support: Sign of displacement
Liquidity sweep: Retail breakout bait → SMC trap
Momentum candle shows no hesitation — bearish intent confirmed
If you want sniper trades that flip zones into gold, this is it.
📉 Wait for a possible retest if missed — price might kiss the OB again before further melt.
🧠 Final Thought:
The JPY strength + BTC weekend illiquidity combo makes this setup extra spicy. Stay sharp for potential retests or lower timeframe entries 🔍
💬 What’s your bias? Will BTCJPY keep dumping or fake the break? Let’s debate in the comments 👇
🧠 Tag your trading buddy & follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily Smart Money insights.
BTCUSD 1H | Liquidity Grab + FVG Play Before Bullish Expansion📊 BTC/USD 1-Hour Smart Money Outlook — May 15, 2025
Bitcoin is setting up for a classic SMC combo move — targeting sell-side liquidity before flipping bullish and running for the buy-side liquidity at ~$106K.
Let’s break it down 👇
🧠 1. The Setup
Price broke structure to the downside ✅
Heading into a liquidity sweep of the recent lows around $100,000
Major Fair Value Gap lies between $98,100–$96,800
This gap aligns with the 61.8–70.5% fib zone — a premium rebalance area for smart money
🔍 2. Expectations
Short-Term Bearish into FVG → Sell-side liquidity gets swept
Then strong bullish reversal targeting:
🔹 First target: $103,000
🔹 Final target: $105,787 (Buy-side liquidity + Weak High)
Trade Idea: Long after FVG rejection confirmation
SL below $96,800, TP up to $106K — insane RRR of 1:4+
⚠️ 3. Risk Management
Wait for a bullish reaction inside the FVG zone
Protect capital if price closes below $96,800 → setup invalid
Look out for NY session volatility and CPI/FOMC-driven fakeouts
This is textbook Smart Money behavior: draw liquidity, rebalance price, and expand into inefficient price zones. If you're not trading with liquidity in mind — you're the liquidity. 🧠💸
💬 Comment “🚀” if you're long from the Fair Value Gap zone!
🎯 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily sniper setups and smart money breakdowns!
XAUUSD 1H | Bearish Order Block Reaction + Liquidity Sweep🔻 XAUUSD 1-Hour Breakdown — May 14, 2025
Gold gave a strong supply rejection at a marked Order Block zone. This isn’t just a pullback — it’s a potential continuation setup targeting lower lows. Here’s what’s cooking:
🧩 1. Market Structure
Clean rejection from premium OB zone at ~$3,220
Massive bearish impulse candle right after sweeping demand zone liquidity
Price formed a lower low and is now forming a lower high
🛠 2. Key Confluences
🟪 Order Block: Solid rejection with no candle closes above
💧 Liquidity Sweep: Deep wick into OB zone → trapped breakout buyers
🔺 Strong High Protected: Market respects structure, suggesting continuation
🔻 Weak Low Targeted: Clean draw to imbalance & potential sweep zone near $3,116
🧠 3. Trade Setup
Entry: Rejection near $3,207–3,220 OB
SL: Above $3,229 (invalidates structure)
TP: First TP zone near $3,116, extended TP: $3,100
RRR: 1:4 to 1:6 setup depending on partials
⚠️ 4. Risk Management
Watch for NY session reversal attempts
Secure profits at first demand zone reaction
Consider trailing stop above last bearish engulfing candle
📌 Price respects structure. If bulls don’t step in quick, sellers will run the table. This is a classic SMC bearish continuation off OB + liquidity grab — don’t sleep on it!
💬 Type “🔻” if you're riding this short wave with us!
🎯 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for sniper SMC plays every day!
After a rock-bottom RSI on DXY, is XAUUSD due for a fall? I thinIts no mystery that the DXY has an inverse mirroring relationship with XAUUSD. When DXY goes down, XAUUSD usually rises.
The RSI for DXY has been bottom of the barrel for a long time now, and combined with a recent break in structure, due certainly due for a temporary rise, which doesn't bode well for XAUUSD in the short term. I placed my SL around 3,254 and TP around 3,243, two key areas of support and resistance from an SMC perspective.
Week of 5/11/25: EURUSD AnalysisEU has clean structure with Daily, 4h, and 1h bearish.
1h internal structure is bullish at the moment and we're waiting for that to break bearish before looking for any shorts.
We're going to be patient and wait for internal before looking for high probability trades.
Major news:
China trade talks - Monday
CPI - Tuesday
PPI/Unemployment - Thursday
Week of 5/11/25: AUDUSD AnalysisDaily is bullish, so in the future price possibly will trend up.
In the meantime 4h and 1h are bearish but has reached a critical daily demand zone at the extreme of daily structure.
So far 1h internal is bullish, so we are still looking for longs cautiously until structure is broken.
Major news:
China trade talks - Monday
CPI - Tuesday
PPI/Unemployment - Thursday
BTCUSD 1H Long Setup | Strong Low to Weak High Play📈 BTCUSD | 1H Long Opportunity | May 11, 2025
BTC just tapped into a Strong Low around the 79% Fibonacci retracement (~103,440) after a powerful bullish push. Now forming a potential long continuation setup toward the "Weak High" marked at 104,985.
🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES:
🔵 Strong Low at 103,440 = clear demand with displacement
🔁 Fib retracement zone: 61.8%–79.0% tapped perfectly
📈 High-Volume Bullish Candle = displacement confirmation
🎯 Targeting the "Weak High" = liquidity magnet
🔂 Expecting BOS (break of structure) above weak high for full validation
📊 Setup Specs:
Pair: BTCUSD
Timeframe: 1H
Entry: 104,100
SL: 103,440
TP: 104,985
RR: Approx. 1:1.25 (solid for continuation scalps)
💡 Smart Money Concepts Breakdown:
We’re playing the classic Strong Low → Weak High liquidity play. Retail might hesitate due to consolidation, but the market structure still favors bullish continuation. Watch for confirmation volume and quick reaction above the high.
📌 Chart Ninjas Reminder:
“Strong Lows are meant to hold. Weak Highs are meant to break. Trade the imbalance in between.”
BTCUSDT 13R Trade Breakdown: Deep Crab Pattern + SMC Precision Hello Traders!
If you enjoyed my previous post on combining Harmonic Patterns with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) for high-precision, high-risk-to-reward trades, then you're going to love this breakdown on BTCUSDT.
If you haven’t checked out my earlier content, make sure to scroll below this post and see that first—it sets the foundation for what we’re diving into here.
📈 BTCUSDT Trade Breakdown: Harmonic x SMC Precision Entry
This analysis was originally shared around three weeks ago on my YouTube channel, and if you were with me live, you’ll remember I was closely watching for a Bullish Deep Crab Pattern to complete before considering a LONG position.
Let’s walk through the setup and outcome step-by-step:
🕰 WEEKLY TIMEFRAME:
Price was reacting to a Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) and had filled the imbalance.
As shown in the chart:
🔍 SETUP: Strategy Confirmation
Important Reminder:
Just because price hits a key level doesn’t mean we jump in to buy or sell.
✅ There must be a confirmed Harmonic Pattern that aligns with the key SMC level.
On the Daily Chart, we identified a valid Bullish Deep Crab Pattern:
B-point at 0.886
PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) at 1.618 FIB Extension
This PRZ aligned perfectly with the key level identified on the Weekly chart.
🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY (15-Minute Chart):
We zoomed into the 15M chart for an SMC-based entry.
Supply-to-demand flip confirmed with a visible liquidity inducement—textbook confirmation.
Entry was just a few pips below the recent swing low to limit downside risk in case of invalidation.
Take Profits (TPs) were set using standard Deep Crab targets, based on FIB retracements from A to D:
✅ TP1 at 0.382
✅ TP2 at 0.618
✅ TP3 at 0.786
✅ TRADE OUTCOME:
Entry was cleanly triggered and the price followed through as expected.
All three profit levels were successfully hit:
✅ TP1
✅ TP2
✅ TP3
We secured an impressive 13R on this single BTCUSDT trade —a solid example of what happens when Harmonics and Smart Money Concepts are aligned.
💬 Your Turn:
Did you take this BTC trade using a different strategy?
Or did you spot the pattern and enter alongside me?
Drop your thoughts and experiences below this analysis—let’s learn together!
NZDUSD: Is That a Liquidity Grab?! 🇳🇿🇺🇸
NZDUSD formed a bearish trap after a test of an important
intraday demand zone.
A violation of a resistance line of a wedge pattern on an hourly
confirms a strong buying interest.
The price may bounce at least to 0.5913
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EU SHORTS FOR TODAY___ Mount Olympus Capital says.I am looking for a short on the EURO. Price showing clear signs of bearish orderflow and structure with and signatures (accumulation manipulation and distribution).
Looking to target previous day and Asia session low!
LETS GET IT! and safe trading everyone.
Simple Break of Structure BoS Trading Strategy Explained
One of the best and reliable strategies to trade break of structure BoS is to apply multiple time frame analysis.
In this article, I will teach you my break of structure gold forex trading strategy. You will get a complete step-by-step guide with examples.
Let's start with a quick theory and let me explain to you what is break of structure BoS in Smart Money Concept SMC trading.
In a bullish trend, break of structure BoS is an important event that signifies a continuation of an uptrend. It is based on a violation and a candle close above the level of the last higher high (HH).
After a breakout, the broken level becomes the first strong support for trend-following buying.
Check multiple examples of confirmed breaks of structure BoS on GBPNZD forex pair on a weekly time frame.
In a downtrend, Break of Structure BoS means a bearish trend continuation . Break of Structure is considered to be confirmed when a candle closes below the level of the last lower low (LL).
The broken key level becomes the closest strong support for buying.
That's the example of a healthy downtrend on USDJPY forex pair on a daily. Each break of structure BoS pushed the prices lower, providing a strong signal to sell.
What newbie traders do incorrectly, they trade break of structure without a confirmation strategy, and it leads to substantial losses.
Though GBPCHF is trading in a bullish trend and though each BoS provided a trend-following signal. The price retraced significantly lower below the broken structure before the growth resumed.
When the price retests a broken structure after BoS in a bullish trend, start lower time frame analysis.
If you identified a break of structure on a daily, analyze 4h/1h time frames.
If on a 4H, then 30/15 minutes.
After the price sets a new higher high with BoS in uptrend, it usually starts trading in a minor bearish trend on lower time frames.
With our strategy, your signal to buy will be a retest of a broken structure and a consequent bullish Change of Character CHoCH . That will provide an accurate bullish signal.
In a bearish trend, analyze the lower time frames after a retest of a broken structure. Your signal to sell will be a bearish Change of Character CHoCH.
Look at a price action on EURCHF on a daily.
We see a strong bullish trend and a confirmed Break of Structure BoS.
According to the rules of our trading strategy, we start analyzing 4h/1h time frames after a retest of a broken level of the last Higher High.
Our signal to buy is an intraday bullish CHoCH. We open a long trade after that with the stop loss below the intraday lows and take profit being a current high.
That's how simple this strategy is.
Multiple time frame analysis provides the extra level of security.
Strong lower time frame confirmation substantially increases the win ratio of a trading setup.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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USDJPY Technical Outlook: SMC and Wyckoff Analysis 5 May 2025As of May 5, 2025, the USDJPY pair is trading around ¥144.30, reflecting a 0.40% decrease from the previous session. This movement follows the Bank of Japan's decision to maintain interest rates while revising growth forecasts downward, leading to a depreciation of the yen.
Technical Analysis:
Support and Resistance Levels: The pair is approaching a significant support zone near ¥143.00. A break below this level could expose the next support at ¥141.00, while resistance is observed around ¥148.00.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is nearing oversold territory, suggesting potential for a short-term rebound.
Smart Money Concepts:
Order Blocks: A bullish order block is identified between ¥142.50 and ¥143.00, indicating potential institutional buying interest.
Liquidity Pools: Liquidity above the recent highs near ¥148.00 may attract price action if bullish momentum resumes.
Wyckoff Method Perspective:
Accumulation Phase: The recent price action suggests a possible accumulation phase, with the pair trading within a range between ¥140.00 and ¥146.00.
Spring Test: A false breakout below ¥143.00 could serve as a spring, leading to potentially high buying volume.
Fundamental Factors:
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Policy: The BOJ's decision to keep rates unchanged, despite lowering growth forecasts, has contributed to yen weakness.
Federal Reserve Outlook: Market participants are closely watching the ISM Services PMI later today and the upcoming FOMC meeting for signals on US monetary policy, which could impact USDJPY dynamics.
Conclusion:
The USDJPY pair is at a critical juncture, with technical indicators pointing to potential support near ¥143.00. Traders should monitor price action around this level for signs of accumulation or further downside. Fundamental developments, particularly central bank policies, will play a crucial role in determining the pair's direction in the near term.
Week of 5/4/25: EURUSD AnalysisEurusd has been consolidating internally, but has made a final push bearish from Friday NFP. We're looking for a short at the flip zone of the 1h POI, but if it goes past that to the extreme of the internal structure, we will be cautious and wait for a break to switch bullish.
Thanks for stopping by!
Major News:
FOMC - Wednesday
Unemployment - Thursday
Week of 5/4/25: AUDUSD AnalysisAfter a hellish week of consolidation, price has made its move higher (finally) and we're back to a trendy chart.
My analysis the beginning of the week shows 2 POIs that I am interested in for longs, and if it breaks the level that I pointed out bearish, I will look for shorts.
Thanks for tuning in!
Major News:
FOMC - Wed
Unemployment - Thurs
USDJPY: Bullish Trend Reversal?! 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY formed a strong bullish reversal pattern on a daily,
breaking the underlined daily resistance and confirming
a Change of Character CHoCH.
I believe that the pair will steadily return to a global bullish trend.
The price may grow at least to 147.0 level after a completion of a retracement.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
USDJPY sell (h4)Price is oversold in the h4 time frame according to the stochastic indicator which mean it is most likely going to pullback into the sell order block or liquidity zone then potentially travel down.
safe entry idea:
wait till price enters the liquidity zone (sell orderblock) and wait for the stochastic indicator to be overbought then enter.
or you could set a pending order for when price touches and rejects the sell orderblock
Good Luck!
Watching closely $93,900 level.BTCUSDT Weekly Update
Bitcoin has successfully broken through its previous resistance area and is currently testing a new resistance zone. We are closely watching the $93,900 level. If the market provides confirmation of a rejection or reversal at this level, we will consider entering a short position targeting the marked FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone.
This FVG is a bullish imbalance zone, which previously contributed to market momentum. If the price moves lower, we plan to exit short positions near the FVG zone and look for confirmation to enter buy-side trades, aligning with the existing bullish market structure.
Let's closely monitor these levels throughout the week. If price action aligns, we anticipate strong trading opportunities on both sides of the market.
Best Liquidity Grab / Sweep Strategy For Trading Forex & Gold
Learn how to trade liquidity grab / sweep with multiple time frame analysis.
Discover how to combine top-down analysis and smart money concept SMC for trading forex and gold.
You will get a complete step by step trading strategy with entry, stop loss and target.
1. In order to trade liquidity grab / sweep properly, you need to find liquidity zones first.
For this trading strategy, the best liquidity zones will be on a daily time frame.
Check these 2 significant liquidity zones on EURAUD forex pair on a daily.
The zone where the selling activity concentrate will be called a supply zone. While the zone with a strong concentration of a buying activity will be a demand zone.
2. After that, you should look for a liquidity grab / sweep.
For a valid liquidity grab / sweep the daily candle should violate the liquidity zone only with the tail / wick of the candle , while the body should stay within the zone.
Above is the example of a liquidity grab of a demand zone.
While the daily candle closed within the underlined area, the wick went beyond that.
3. After you identified a liquidity grab/sweep, start analyzing lower time frames . For this strategy, the best time frames are 4H and 1H.
On these time frames, you should look for a consolidation and a formation of a horizontal range.
Here is such a range on EURAUD on a 4H.
These ranges will be used for confirmation .
Your bullish signal will be a breakout of the resistance of the range ,
it will confirm a strong buying interest after a liquidity grab.
That is the example of such a confirmation.
4. After that, set a buy limit order on a retest of a broken resistance of the range. Take profit will be the closest strong resistance, stop loss will be below the support of the range.
That is how we trade a liquidity grab/sweep of a demand zone.
With the supply zone liquidity grab trading strategy, you should wait for a bullish liquidity sweep followed by a bearish breakout of a range on a 4H / 1H time frames.
I always say to my students that a single time frame analysis is not sufficient for profitable trading SMC.
A proper combination of multiple time frames is the key to consistent profits.
Following this strategy, you should achieve up to 80% winning rate trading liquidity grabs / sweeps.
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How Smart Money is Positioning in EUR/USD – 5 Scenarios UnfoldedLiquidity Maps & Trap Zones: EUR/USD 1H Breakdown
EUR/USD SMC Analysis – Scenarios Overview
1. Case 1 – Immediate Pump:
The market may pump directly from the current market price (CMP) and take out the external range liquidity resting above the current highs.
2. Case 2 – 15-Min Demand Reaction:
The market could react to the 15-minute demand zone , showing a bullish response and pushing higher toward the 1H supply zone .
3. Case 3 – Inducement & Distribution:
Combined with Case 2, the market may first mitigate the 15-minute demand , then take out the inducement (IdM ) near the 1H supply zone . From there, distribution may begin within that supply range, leading to a drop toward the discount zone .
This would likely involve a fake breakout to the upside (liquidity sweep), trapping buyers and hitting the stop-losses of early sellers before reversing sharply.
4. Case 4 – 1H CHoCH and Triangle Breakdown:
A Change of Character (CHoCH) may occur on the 1H timeframe directly from the current price, leading to a downside move. This scenario would also break the rising triangle pattern , triggering entries from price action traders and increasing market volatility as liquidity accelerates the move downward.
5. Case 5 – 1H Supply Rejection & Free Fall:
The market may react from the 1H supply zone and reject aggressively, resulting in a free fall all the way down to the previous CHoCH level , confirming strong bearish intent from premium to discount.
Thanks for your time..
Week of 4/20/25: EURUSD AnalysisEU had a crazy week of consolidation last week and it was best to stay out until structure was clearer and had a direction.
My direction this week is bullish since all structure is bullish and we are starting to see that demand is in control. If it isn't, expect the lower level 4H POI to be mitigated and then continue the bull run.
Major News:
PMI - Wednesday
Unemployment - Thursday
Thanks for coming, hope you guys have a great week!