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GBPUSDAs a student in the financial markets, learning about the market is interesting and it's a long journey to begin with. GBPUSD having a accumulation, manipulation and now waiting for a distribution. Will GBPUSD make a move early next year along side with USA rate cuts? Let's see what year 2024 lead us to I don't post much as I'm not a signal provider nor a financial advisor. But one thing is that learning how the market behaviour, reactions and structure, it's simply interesting to me. If you have any thoughts on GBPUSD, let me know down the comment area, let's discuss about it. This will be my last post and trade of the year 2023 holding it till next year 2024. Wishing you guys out there trade safe and happy new 2024.
Long
by Student_of_Forex
2
Trading logic in multiple time frames of the SMC methodAfter the price breaks through the Swinghigh of the large time frame to create a BOS signal We look for sell down or buy up signals according to the following structure: Swing high(Weak) H4 => 1/5M pullback => break Swinglow 1/5M => 15M pullback => break Swinglow 15M => Pullback 4H => Order block 4H=> Pullback 1/5M => break Swinghigh 1/5M => Pullback 15M => break Swing 15M = > Pullback 4H => break Swinghigh 4H => Create new Swing High (Weak) and Swing Low (Strong)
CAPITALCOM:DXYEducation
by quangcttn
Wave structure of gold in the 15M time frame analyzed by the SMThe wave structure of gold in the 15M time frame is analyzed using the SMC method At frame 15M, the price broke through the Swinglow, creating a BOS signal and shifting to a downtrend. In the 4h frame, the price broke the i-Low bottom, creating a CHOCH signal Wait for the price to increase back to the OB block in the 4h time frame, then wait for 15M to have a CHOCH signal so we can sell down. SH: Swing High SL: Swing Low i-Low: Internal Low i-High: Internal High i-BOS: Internal BOS
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by quangcttn
HIGH LEVEL TRADE PLANHIGH LEVEL TRADE PLAN HTF Objective -> MTF POIs -> LTF Execution (Precursor to introducing LQ concepts) Narative - PT run or CT pullback phase - signals when MTF may change trend Immediate bias and POIs - fullfills HTF objective Execution for MTF POIs/ideas Always start on HTF for overall directional bias Work your way down for timing & increased refinement Look for the exchange in supply & demand to see who is in cotrol 1. HTF is bullish Consider long continuation from MTF POIs following MTF structure but be aware HTF pullback can start Quick targets 2. After HTF BOS, expect HTF Swing pullback - Mitigation of HTF supply - HTF CHoCH/i-BOS - Target HTF demand in discount 3. You must wait for a MTF POI mitigation before looking for LTF entry model, otherwise wait for MTF CHoCH/i-BOS to form fresh MTF POi. The latter is recommended when trading counter + OF 4. Trade pro MTF OF into HTF discount demand MTF objective - HTF pullback 5. Don't buy weak lows 6. Cautious with shorts in HTF discount 7. Extrem HTF + stacked MTF demand mitigated last area that needs to hold price if HTF bullish Swing trend is to continue So you may want to be more aggressive looking for long setups 8. OF now bullish. Supply just provides pullback 9. All time frame now aligned to target weak HTF high following HTF intentions
OANDA:XAUUSD
by quangcttn
A guide to Profitable Scalping (why waste a price action)In the world of trading, many participants find themselves constantly waiting for the perfect confirmation for swing positions or entries, often missing out on the rapid movements that characterize financial markets. This is where the art of scalping comes into play, a strategy vastly different from swing trading, yet equally, if not more, compelling for those who master it because it offers way more opportunities to make money. In this blog post, I'll guide you through the essentials of becoming an effective scalper, focusing on market structure theory, the significance of Break of Structure (BOS), and the nuances that set scalping apart from swing trading. Understanding Market Structure Theory To excel in scalping, one must first be well-versed in market structure theory. This theory is the backbone of understanding how markets move and why they behave in certain patterns. It involves analyzing price highs and lows, trends, and ranges to predict future price movements. For a comprehensive understanding of market structure theory, this resource offers an in-depth explanation, it's not complete, but the best one freely available so I suggest you understand the content properly. www.youtube.com The Role of Break of Structure (BOS) A critical concept in scalping is the Break of Structure (BOS). When we observe a confirmed BOS to the upside or downside, it indicates a significant shift in market sentiment. The order block that caused this break becomes a focal point of interest. This is because, in the realm of scalping, these points often act as magnets for price, offering high-probability entry points. Capitalizing on Order Blocks Once a BOS is identified, scalpers must pay close attention to the order block that instigated this shift. When the price returns to this order block, a reaction is typically expected. This reaction is the bread and butter of scalping. Unlike swing traders who seek to capture larger market moves over extended periods, scalpers thrive in these quick, precise moments. Scalping vs. Swing Trading: A Different Focus The primary difference between scalping and swing trading lies in their respective focuses and timeframes. Swing trading involves holding positions for several days to weeks, aiming to profit from substantial price moves. Traders in this domain often focus on potential targets for a trade, analyzing broader market trends and economic factors. Conversely, scalping is a short-term strategy where trades last from a few minutes to hours. The focus here is not on the potential extent of a price move but, on the risk, -to-reward ratio. Scalpers typically aim for a 1 to 3 risk-reward ratio, meaning they risk one unit to gain three. This approach requires quick decision-making so it's much more involved than swing trading. Before we go on to see some examples following are the key things to remember to be effective in scalping To be an effective scalper, you need to: 1. Develop a proper Understanding of Market Structure 2. Identify High-Probability Order Blocks 3. Master Risk Management: Given the high-speed nature of scalping, managing risk is paramount. This involves setting strict stop-loss orders and having a clear risk-to-reward ratio for each trade. 4. Stay Disciplined and Agile: Scalping requires discipline to follow your trading plan and agility to adapt quickly to changing market conditions. Examples: Scalable OBs with results. This happened today: on SPX and NAS100 NAS100: SPX: How to pick an order block to trade for scalping: Entry for Scalping should be between 0.25 to 0.5 level inside the Order Block, you can use FIB tool to get these levels, this is highlighted in the Images above. 1. Do not go above 4h TF for this strategy. 2. Make sure Order block is caused a BOS 3. Notice the time frame of BOS, Pick the Order block in relation to the BOS timeframe. 4. Makes sure Prior to BOS the Order block resulted in FVG 5. Make sure the Order Block is not too big as it will result in greater risk, which I do not prefer. 6. If price does not hit your entry do not chase price, move on to next one. I want to emphasize here again , the goal of scalping is to capture the small move , not the whole move , so your focus should be one getting 2X or max 3X of your trade once , you do you get out and move on to next one , the good thing about this strategy is you can always find multiple assets where BOS is happening on anywhere from 1h to 4H TF. Finally, nothing in the world of trading is 100% so it's possible this may not work sometimes, which you should be okay with as long as it works more than 50% of the time. I n my experience it works more than 80% of the time. Conclusion Scalping is a dynamic and potentially lucrative trading strategy that requires a unique skill set, distinct from swing trading. By understanding market structure theory, focusing on order blocks following a BOS, and maintaining a disciplined approach to risk management, traders can exploit the rapid movements of the market for steady income. Remember, the key to successful scalping lies in quick, informed decisions and an unwavering commitment to your strategy. Like and Leave comment to this post to seek further clarifications if needed. Happy trading!
Education
by zakoraio