EUR/UDS |HTF Analysis| Tuesday 19 September 2023EUR/USD
-Still showing us that wants to move lower (shifting bearish)
-EUR/USD broke previouse PROTECTED HIGHER LOW (that can potentialy mean that we will be bearish in a long run or a htf trend direction is changing)
-Stay with the trend
-Look for confirmations on ltf
Smctrading
BTC 1D ReviewThe daily candle looks unusual at the moment, we received a liquidity raid + complete coverage of the daily imbalance. After this, it would be quite logical to see any local decline. The nearest underlying zone of interest on the daily chart is 24900 - 25900.
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Elliot Wave, Demand and Supply, SMC and ICT in agreementI will be using 3 strategies//concepts to analyze price here
Demand and Supply Strategy
Price is currently trapped within a demand and a supply region and both regions are currently bouncing Price about but one needs to break in order for Price to continue trending.
I favor the demand zone to break because
1. We are currently in a downtrend
2. The rejections from the demand zone are weak compared to the rejections from the supply zone which were sharp and fast
I would suggest selling from 1926- 1928 because Price would retest the Supply zone to pick up more orders before it shoots down towards the next demand zone at 1905-1907
Elliot Wave Strategy
Price is currently running 5 waves down, and looking at the chart we have highlighted and completed wave i through to iv.
Wave ii retraced 61.8% of wave i which means wave iv would retrace not more than 50% of wave iii which we saw last Friday when Price peaked at 1929.69
We can see a divergence in Price and MACD of wave ii and wave iv, which means a continuation of downtrend is inbound and according to Elliott wave, its the beginning of wave v down to 1907-1905 region which marks the 1.272 extension of wave 1
SMC and ICT
From the 15mins chart, it can be seen that Price has done a CHoCH/MSS, and it left an area of FVG/Imbalance in a discount area while doing that.
We expect Price to trade back into that FVG/Imbalance and mitigate the 5min OB before we see another massive move to the downside
RIsk Management is advised
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IPDA Ranges to Cast Future Price Movement for ES Familiarizing ourselves more on IPDA Ranges to help form daily bias and to work on high time frame analysis. The first idea we ever published was actually a very similar thought but now that we have a better understanding of how to use IPDA ranges we wanted to post what we hope to be a more accurate version of what is to occur in CME_MINI:ES1! price action.
We are trading down off of a weekly order block that was traded into on July 18th; we have taken out the July 10th low of 4660.25 and we have failed to make a higher swing above 4683.50. It seems like the market has shifted to bearish conditions for the intermediate term. Using the look back and cast forward train of thinking, we have been trading higher for the 60 trading days prior to August 1st which is just 3 trading days after making our current intermediate high; meaning our cast forward should have plenty of sell side liquidity to draw to in order to clear out stops below our 20-40-60 day ranges.
It just so happens that we have a +Breaker Block that contains a Fair Value Gap/Liquidity Void inside of it. This gives us a lot of confidence in our bearish outlook as the 60 day low is quite literally is the top of our Liquidity Void and also falls into a zone for Optimal Trade Entry (OTE).
The only major bounce we should see is off of the March 13th Premium/Discount range as the Equilibrium for that range falls right in a Liquidity Void. The only thing that will push us through that with ease is some red folder news. Should be a piece of cake..
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CME_MINI:ES1! EIGHTCAP:SPX500 CBOE:SPX TVC:SPX BLACKBULL:SPX500 SKILLING:SPX500
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MSOS News pump, so a short based off of past trends could be warrented, but watching for a nice correction and some reactions off of these levels starting at 6.44 and 5.56.
EURUSD SHORTEURUSD is still bearish for now
last week price failed to respect a demand zone and now price dumped to break internal structure
price retraced on friday to hit a Breaker Bar(BKR) during the NFP release, respecting that zone and dropped hard.
All focus remains bearish on the Euro dollar until we see a good HTF market structure for buys.
USDJPY H1 USDJPY H1 (SMC)
1-Entering a trade on the dollar and the yen. We note that the price was in a strong upward trend. Break through the top. He quickly returned under it, and this was the first sign of a change in direction
2-Then it broke the low that formed the last high
3-Retesting forms resistance. And give areas for holding sales deals
Have good Luck
EU Internal structure BearishUpdate from the analysis I posted a couple weeks back. Currently looking for short trades but nothing long term. Still bullish when it come to the swing structure.
NB: Weekly time frame is bearish and the bullish price action is a weekly pullback. If the weekly internal structure becomes bearish I will communicate
USDJPYAs a student of SMC, I've just shorted USDJPY earlier in the day on the 1H timeframe. There is a 1H OB where price showed a strong rejection (it may or may not respect it). Further more there is a divergence happening on the Daily Timeframe. Add on to more confirmation, there is a strong resistance where price shows there is a strong sellers happening at that 1H OB area.
If you do have any suggestions or Idea's or even traders from SMC, drop down a comment down below. let's discuss more about USDJPY market structure.
NOTE: I'm not a professional advisor nor a signal provider, trade at your own risk and MM.
GBPCAD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOR THE WEEK Welcome to another series of my technical analysis and I am looking at the GBPCAD.
It has been presenting very good bullish momentum which i expect not to break the previous high and then reject.
Watch, learn, share, like and comment for more educational contents.
XTIUSD Bulls on the floor !Subject: Important Update on XTIUSD (US WTI CRUDE OIL) Trading Prospect 🛢️
Hello Greenback Trading Channel Subscribers,
I hope this message finds you well and ready for some exciting trading opportunities. Today, we have some crucial updates regarding XTIUSD (US WTI CRUDE OIL) that you won't want to miss.
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We want to emphasize the importance of patience and discipline in trading. While the signs look promising, we must wait for solid confirmation before entering any positions. This ensures that we are making informed choices that align with our trading strategy and risk management principles.
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Stay tuned for updates as we closely watch the market for the confirmation we need to make our move. Remember, patience and diligence are the keys to successful trading.