USD/CAD to take daily highWith the 4H now having multiple breaks to the upside and us closing in on the daily high, it appears we may now be able to create a new higher low within the next few days. However, we need to keep in mind that we never actually mitigated a meaningful strong daily demand zone, so price may actually reverse and look for a deeper daily pullback mitigating the daily extreme before taking the daily weak high.
Smctrading
GBP/USD WILL REMAIN BULLISH TO TAKE 4H WEAK HIGHWith 4H internal being in alignment with 4H swing structure I expect that we can expect a deeper daily pullback into a potential daily supply zone. However due to daily selling with a lot of momentum I do not expect us to go too deep and expect for us to simply mitigate the first zone in which I marked out and move to the downside from there.
DXY - Dollar Update TVC:DXY
With what am seeing on the chart, there is a 60% possibility that DXY will take out this 4 hour time swing low, which is also the recent low on daily.
This automatically means currencies paired against the dollar like EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD etc, will be bullish for today.
However, DXY is still bullish, the drop is just a retracement to take out sell stops liquidity.
How dollar react after taking out the low will determine what our next bias will be.
RISKING 1.5% IN A TRADE IS BETTER THAN BETTING ON REVERSALEXPLORE THE PREVIOUS ANALYSIS TO GAIN THE CONFIDENCE TO TRADE. NSE:RELIANCE closed the week with massive down, expecting some good move in upcoming weeks, for that 2275 could be the best price to enter with the stop loss below 2250 and the target can be 2475 or even the ATH . COMMENT BELOW TO LEARN THE CONCEPTS FOR FREE.
EXPECT 8% RETURN FROM INDIA's LARGEST CEMENT PRODUERSNSE:ULTRACEMCO , risking 1.5% in a stock is a good setup to trade, buying at the price of 8150 and making 8050 or 10 points below is the stop loss for the trade, expect the recent ATH to be the target. CHECKOUT SOME PREVIOUS ANALYSIS TO GAIN THE CONFIDENCE TO TRADE.
EUR/UDS |HTF Analysis| Tuesday 19 September 2023EUR/USD
-Still showing us that wants to move lower (shifting bearish)
-EUR/USD broke previouse PROTECTED HIGHER LOW (that can potentialy mean that we will be bearish in a long run or a htf trend direction is changing)
-Stay with the trend
-Look for confirmations on ltf
BTC 1D ReviewThe daily candle looks unusual at the moment, we received a liquidity raid + complete coverage of the daily imbalance. After this, it would be quite logical to see any local decline. The nearest underlying zone of interest on the daily chart is 24900 - 25900.
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Elliot Wave, Demand and Supply, SMC and ICT in agreementI will be using 3 strategies//concepts to analyze price here
Demand and Supply Strategy
Price is currently trapped within a demand and a supply region and both regions are currently bouncing Price about but one needs to break in order for Price to continue trending.
I favor the demand zone to break because
1. We are currently in a downtrend
2. The rejections from the demand zone are weak compared to the rejections from the supply zone which were sharp and fast
I would suggest selling from 1926- 1928 because Price would retest the Supply zone to pick up more orders before it shoots down towards the next demand zone at 1905-1907
Elliot Wave Strategy
Price is currently running 5 waves down, and looking at the chart we have highlighted and completed wave i through to iv.
Wave ii retraced 61.8% of wave i which means wave iv would retrace not more than 50% of wave iii which we saw last Friday when Price peaked at 1929.69
We can see a divergence in Price and MACD of wave ii and wave iv, which means a continuation of downtrend is inbound and according to Elliott wave, its the beginning of wave v down to 1907-1905 region which marks the 1.272 extension of wave 1
SMC and ICT
From the 15mins chart, it can be seen that Price has done a CHoCH/MSS, and it left an area of FVG/Imbalance in a discount area while doing that.
We expect Price to trade back into that FVG/Imbalance and mitigate the 5min OB before we see another massive move to the downside
RIsk Management is advised
I would love to hear your thoughts 🤔 on this, so feel free to leave a comment ✍ if any of the concepts makes sense to you or not.
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