SMT
US100 19,554.8 -0.21% SHORT INTRADAY IDEA US500 SMTHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at NAS 100 & S&P500 intra-day set up
A look from the 4H ON NAS100
* 7am 4H candle closes bearish but which is currently seeing a beautiful rejection heading into London session probably heading into that 4H fvg, should this fvg hold looking for a bearish NY AM & PM SESSION.
* with a -FVG & -OB looking for a small reversal Into the PD ARRAY before bearish continuation or LQ RUNS.
* Because The weekly & daily TF show we are still trading in BULLISH conditions on the NAS100 & S&P500.
* This is just a short term bias on the indices.
* we just rejected from a weekly FVG possibly signalling we might see bullish momentum.
ON THE HOURLY
* What is most interesting is the hourly SMT between NAS100 & THE S&P500, whereby we see the S&P 500 take highs and the NAS100 fails to do so which could be a signal to prepare for some short moves on NAS100 or even S&P500 depending on price action and which gives nice set-ups.
S&P500
NAS100
* It becomes interesting as this DIVEGENCE is a strong signal SO WE WILL SEE .
On the 15M not looking for much
* I just wanna see upwards moves to prepare for sells
* from the 4H fvg to sell side.
* same sentiment with the S&P500
* JUST WAITING TO SEE WHAT LONDON DOES, as we just opened.
* We will see what does the market dish.
🤷♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
BTCUSDAfter doing top-down analysis I can see that we've hit the monthly resistance level and was unable to break through it. Although major influencers and government official have spoken about FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSD going to ATH's as of right now it's not happening. We are in a premium array so i'm looking to short sell for a bit.
DXY political elections| FOR MORE INFO READ THE SIGNATURE SPACE AT THE BOTTOM |
Good morning Traders.
I kindly ask you to leave a like on this post and follow my profile to support my free dissemination. It costs you very little but makes a huge difference for me.
| DXY AND TRUMP? |
Could another Republican show us a bearish dollar again?
From the chart, we can see that Democrats have always pumped the dollar. Is it a coincidence? We'll see what happens.
But now???
Biden has resigned. Will he stay until November or will Kamala take over early?
Does it make sense to let a president take office who still has to go to the polls?
What could we see?
What will happen in the coming months?
For now, I can't see the future,
but as soon as I know, I'll tell you.
For doubts, questions, or requests, comment or write to me!
I will be happy to answer you.
-HAPPY TRADING
-MANAGE YOUR RISK
-BE PATIENT
(For more info, read the signature space.)
EURUSD Trade study short/longTrade study using Asian range.
Trade went below opening candle in London session indicating bullish but wasn't noticed. Price also took the Asian lows before moving up. Price then consolidated before taking the Asian high, then took the recent swing low at lower timeframe indicating out POI. Price then eventually achieved our target Price Asian range low then took Thursdays (Asian high +4) before taking our initial Target (Asian range -1). Trading in Friday is complicated but with proper risk management we was able to take a 1:1.2rr trade
Using proper risk management is always necessary which I didn't do for some reason
NOTE : PRICE ALWAYS MOVES FOR A REASON
CHFJPY ShortMARKET PHASE
OANDA:CHFJPY is in a long term downtrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour).
AREA OF VALUE
Price continued to break new highs within this corrective structure. Eventually, price reached an area where sellers stepped in, resulting in a buildup of liquidity (buy stops, longs, short stop losses) above the corrective structure swing highs. During London session, price violently moved up to trigger the buy stops (liquidity) to pair against the sell orders needed to take price down. Price has started it's initial move down but due to the velocity of the downward move, it's gapped some orders around 170.280. Price has retraced to this level to capture additional supply.
TRADE
I have entered short on OANDA:CHFJPY with the following parameters:
Sell Limit: 170.280
Stop Loss: 170.490
Take Profit: 169.860
divergence on us30 and us100just now
we can see bearish divergence between us30 and us 100 i took it as additional confirmation to expect us100 or nas100 price to go lower and mitigate 4h fvg and then going up as the price already on discount array, sell side liquidity taken and now offering buy side liqudity
dyor and keep safe
Gold analysis for the week of July 9, 2023.Last week I mentioned I wanted to see a bullish week with an sweep of buy side liquidity in the form of previous weeks High as an upside objective. That objective was met perfectly, price did exactly as explained, price fell into an 1hr +FVG forming the low of the week drawing to LWH sweeping the liquidity resting above it.
This week I'm still bullish gold, with great confidence given the fact that the DXY is bearish. Bearish dollar means bullish gold. I'm anticipation at some point this week possibly
Tues/Wed, for the low of the week to form below current price. We do have some high impact news on Wed, in the form of CPI, that I think helps price get to the buy side liquidity.
I go into more detail of potential entries and targets. Have a great week trading.
Gold Analysis for the week of June 4, 2023With FOMC this past Friday two things could be playing out for XAUUSD (Gold). The FOMC news could be the catalyst for a downside pullback for higher prices, or could be the expansion move that actually takes price lower, to what I believe is drawing towards a weekly buy side imbalance sell side inefficiency. If we anticipate the week to be bearish, then this is the idea that I will be looking for to play out.
If we are bearish, I would like to see the week open high into a premium array. After the high is put in on either Mon, Tues, or Wed. I would like to see strong expansion to the downside drawing towards weekly sell side liquidity as well as the consequent encroachment of the weekly BISI.
If the week is contrary then I would look for a low to be put in the market on either Mon, Tues, Wed, sweeping either daily or weekly lows before displacement to the upside seeking a premium array to take prices lower. If you have any questions or comments, please leave them in the section below. Thanks.
ES - short-term analysis Yesterday, we witnessed a sell-off down to the 4-hour Breaker Block, followed by a bounce from that level.
There is a 15-minute SMT divergence between NQ and YM, as well as a 1-hour SMT divergence with YM. This could indicate the possible formation of a MMBM (Market Maker Buy Model).
Currently, I'm interested in observing the testing of two short-term BSL levels: 4158 and 4166. After that, we may see a rapid bounce towards the 4175 level, which is an OB on the 15-minute chart.
My primary focus area is around the 1-hour OB, which ranges from 4186 to 4190.
However, for a comprehensive analysis, we need to see the retesting of the Monday High. If the market holds above the New Week Open Gap (NWOG), then my long target will be in the range of 4198 to 4200.
Please note that the Monday High at 4222.75.
V2.0 | 22R Gold Long Swing Trade | Smart Money Concepts/ICTThis is an updated plan for the macro Cup & Handle breakout
Previous setup for the 30R Gold long didn't play out; the unconfirmed SMT divergence didn't get confirmed and there was no impulsive move away.
The stop loss is larger due to the entry location.
Not financial advice but if this trade idea inspires you, you could use an even bigger stop to avoid potentially getting stopped out by an errant news spike. 22:1 risk reward sounds cooler though doesn't it?
SMT divergence in this setup between Gold & Silver has been confirmed this time; stops were swept on one pair but not on the other, before rallying upwards and creating a higher high on the daily timeframe.
In theory the swing where stops were swept SHOULD hold now.