Snap
Snap long before further downsideNot really much to say here, pretty simple long playing the bounce in a very bearish looking chart. I would be surprised if there is no bounce off of the .5 fib to retest the .382 as resistance. Stop-loss is just under the previous wick, should be safely hidden. Overall still bearish on the weekly chart.
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Snap Chat SNAP stock analysis and forecast. Short opportunitiesShort opportunities are being created on Snap Chat SNAP stock.
New weekly supply is being created on Snap Chat on the weekly timeframe around $16 per share. The stock has been doing nothing for a few weeks and it's now dropping strongly creating new weekly supply imbalance and lower timeframe imbalances. No longs are allowed. Price action and supply and demand
Weekly price action analysis is telling us than bearish impulses are stronger than bullish impulse so it would be suicidal to open short positions on Snap Chat stop. As per the supply and demand analysis, only shorts are possible, that is, selling the stock or use stock options to trade all the way down as there is a lot of room for price to drop with no important obstacles.
$SNAP will eventually snap...I am not claiming this will be the exact outcome, but I can say I surly believe Snapchat is once again over-valued and it will continue to fall into the end of the year.
I expect to see $12 again even towards $10. They had their little recovery and hype, but the truth still lies ahead and people are not using Snapchat like they did before and it has gotten worse...
What type of company has 190m customers & cant make moneyRiddle me this Batman...
You have money to invest and some turtle necked thick circular rimmed glass wearing hipster meets you in starbucks for a triple mocha frappe Mexican soy bean decaf expresso with cream and pitches you his great investment opportunity...
"We are a company that IPO'd last year and our share price has fallen by over half since IPO, we have never made a profit since we IPO's and are still making over $1m a month loss, but the loss quarter on quarter are reducing (almost in a perfect example of special cause variation we started with an estimate of -16c per share loss and achieved -14c, next quarter was -14c and we achieved -12c, next quarter was -12c and well you guessed it -10c, I wonder what the next quarter will be anyway lets get back to it)
"The more users we allow onto the platform the more expensive it is to run (Just work out cost per user versus profit per user) so we cant ever really go above the 200m user level and we are going to fundamentally have to change the user experience to actually make real money so we can be profitable, but we don't know how this will inpact our user experience".
WOULD YOU INVEST IN THIS
Technical
Long term downwards trend could not break with recent pop and even with "An earnings beat", Jesus it should only be an earnings beat if it actually has so profit to talk about for fuck sake. Its showing signs of weakness, but its up over 100% this year - IDIOTS, well its down over 100% since IPO fucktards.
It also could not break the 20day EMA with this earnings announcement.
My overall view is this period is a critical one for SNAP, it needs to at least hold its 100day ema or even break the 20day and the down trend if it can do this then its a buy all day, however its not now I would not be surprised to see this back at $6 before the end of Q3. lol what company has 190m customers and cant turn a profit lol.
SNAP really needs to fix its cost per customer, however the signs are its focused on revenue per customer which essentially means its margins are small so growth will be small, unfortunately if SNAP announces it turned $1 profit in the next quarter idiot investors means SNAP will be a $100 stock in days.
The issue with focusing on revenue per customer is that your essentially trying to change customer behaviour which for a large part is outwith your control and initially focusing on cost per customer is 100% within your control and is essentially easier to change, plus this gives you a great foundation is formed for growth. Until I see signs around reducing cost per customer unfortunately SNAP is a main stay on my short list
SWING SHORT Target $10 test (Ideally would be back to $6/7 area) Risk $13 all before next earning,
Prediction: Next Earnings will read -8c per share loss with increased operating costs around 190m users and increased revenue per user
Thanks for reading @D0CT0R__WH0
Just Ridiculous, lolLooked at SNAP today after not checking it really for a few months, and seen the huge uptrend , just ridiculous, lol. I did not see that big move coming. Looking at it now, it seems like its possibly getting rejected off the median pivot line, at 16.88 , with re-test rejection , I would say there is strong chance of downtrend starting . Another thing I seen is the CFO sold $500k worth of snap stock the other day. Maybe he see's it coming too lol. If I am right on this analysis we should have a downtrend back to 12.10 and possibly lower. But, if the bullish momentum does return and pushes us back above 16.88 , I would look for a break and re-test of that level as it would signal the continuation of the uptrend and I would expect us to push back up to 21.22 , possibly even higher. Good luck traders! Make sure to leave a "LIKE" and follow for more chart analysis!
Snapchat updateAfter disappointing IPO, Snapchat fell to $5, practically crossing to penny stocks territory. Investors kicked in to buy cheap stocks and the price rallied. That seems like the end of wave C and now the new wave count started up. Wave 3 seems like over, now waiting for the wave 4 to complete before buying in again to catch the 5th. After very good Q2 earnings and new users added, projections for Snapchat look much better and price is expected to rally further. Good Luck!