SNOW Options Puts Update - SNOW Approaching $150 TargetSNOW is approaching my price target and there has been a slight rebound. I think there could be more dips into the light blue trendline over the next few days within the next 1-2 weeks. I would look to close out the options puts trade here and would look for a buying opportunity. The price targets on the way up are $178 and $229.
SNOW
SNOW Continues its Meltdown Towards $149-150SNOW has been playing out very well, I thought there would be some bounces along the way, but it has been a lot of downside with little bounces. I'm patiently waiting for $149-150. I wouldn't be surprised to see a move down to the yellow trendline at $142.20 either, we'll track and see how SNOW is doing over the next few weeks.
CRWD VWAP bounce earnings coming LONGCRWD reports on March 4th in the meanwhile in it is shown here on a 15 minute chart with
a Bollinger Band overlay. Price has trended from the upper bands down through the middle line
into the lower inner and outer bands where a reversal took place at the level of the mean
anchored VWAP band where the price fall was rejected with good support and wick touches
on the lower time frames. I see this as a set up for a new trend up in the run to earnings.
I will take a long trade of shares and call options. My easy target is the upper BB
bands but expect more than that in the upcoming week.
SNOW - buy the disappointment discount sale LONGSNOW beat the earnings estimates by 150% and slightly exceeded revenue estimates. Price
dropped in printing a bear flag in a 22% move yesterday at the close. Buying from the bottom
has begun and I have the idea that I should join. My pre-earnings play was closed going into the
earnings in the high liquidity that proceeds it. I got my ask price on that position. The chart
shows today's buyng volume and volatility. On the slow resumption of bullish price action, I have
taken a long trade from the near bottom after this morning's reversal and call options
ITM for the July monthy.
SNOW a software megacap approaches earnings in one week LONGSNOW has been running since about the 1st of February. It beat earnings in November by 50%.
Right now it is situated at the mean-anchored VWAP where institutions pick up and drop off
shares the most. Price is at the lower boundary of an ascending parallel channel and is now
about 8% less than the double top of last week at the top of the channel. Price at the mean
VWAP brings out volume and volatility. So does an earnings run. I see SNOW as a great
earnings play as ARM and PLTR were only weeks ago. This could be a huge trade like those
were. Good Luck to traders who take this trade!
SNOW Melts With a 20% Decline After Q4 Earnings (Options Puts)Options Puts Trade
This is an options puts trade setup above $229.26 resistance. SNOW has already reached the first price target, I can see SNOW dropping down to around $152 - $153 over the next few weeks.
SNOW Declines by 20%+ After Q4 Earnings
Snowflake Inc. (NYSE:SNOW) concluded its fiscal year 2023 on a high note, surpassing earnings expectations with a reported EPS of $0.35 against an anticipated $0.17. Despite this achievement, the company faced a significant stock price drop of 19.47% following the announcement, highlighting market sensitivities to leadership transitions and forward guidance. This analysis explores the strengths and challenges highlighted in Snowflake's Q4 2023 earnings call, providing insight into its financial health and future prospects.
Financial Performance Overview
Strengths:
Earnings and Revenue Beat: Snowflake reported significant beats on both sales and earnings, with non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.35 on sales of $774.6 million, far exceeding analyst expectations.
Impressive Product Revenue Growth: FY '24 product revenue grew 38% year-over-year to reach $2.67 billion, showcasing strong demand for Snowflake's cloud data platform.
Robust Free Cash Flow: Non-GAAP adjusted free cash flow stood at $810 million, representing a 56% year-over-year growth, indicating efficient capital management and operational excellence.
Expansion of Global Footprint: The addition of 14 Global 2000 customers in the quarter and growth in international markets underscore Snowflake's expanding global reach and market penetration.
Challenges:
Market Reaction to CEO Transition: The announcement of Frank Slootman's retirement as CEO and the appointment of Sridhar Ramaswamy as his successor led to market unease, reflected in a sharp decline in stock price. Leadership transitions can be perceived as potential instability or strategic shifts, contributing to investor apprehension.
Underwhelming Forward Guidance: Despite outperforming in Q4, Snowflake's guidance for fiscal 2025 suggests a deceleration in growth, forecasting product revenue growth between 26% and 27% for Q1 and 22% for the full year. This indicates a normalization of growth rates from the hyper-growth experienced in recent years.
Increased Investment in AI Initiatives: The planned investment in AI initiatives, including approximately $50 million in GPU-related costs, represents a significant bet on future growth areas but also adds to the short-term expense burden without immediate revenue recognition.
Strategic Initiatives and Future Outlook
Snowflake is positioning itself at the forefront of the generative AI revolution, with a clear focus on integrating AI capabilities into its cloud data platform. The leadership transition to Sridhar Ramaswamy, with his extensive background in driving Google's advertising product growth, signals Snowflake's ambition to lead in AI-driven data analytics.
Focus on AI and Data Strategy:
Snowflake's emphasis on AI and the necessity of a robust data strategy to support AI initiatives present a substantial growth opportunity. The company's efforts to make AI simple and secure through Snowflake's Cortex and other AI-related product launches are poised to address the burgeoning demand for AI applications.
Investment in Technology and Talent:
The company plans to add approximately 1,000 employees, inclusive of M&A, focusing on supporting its AI and product development initiatives. This investment in talent underscores Snowflake's commitment to innovation and maintaining its competitive edge.
Conclusion
Snowflake Inc.'s Q4 2023 earnings underscore its strong financial performance and strategic positioning for future growth. Despite facing challenges such as market reactions to its CEO transition and a forecasted deceleration in growth, Snowflake's focus on AI and data strategy, coupled with its global expansion and operational efficiency, positions it well for sustained success. Investors and stakeholders should monitor the company's execution of its AI initiatives and its ability to navigate the changing growth dynamics in the coming fiscal year.
Snowflake Shares Plunge On Weak Sales Outlook Amid CEO ChangeSnowflake Inc. ( NYSE:SNOW ) finds itself at a crossroads as it navigates through a significant leadership transition and grapples with market volatility triggered by a weaker-than-expected sales outlook. The cloud software company's shares plunged 19% following the announcement of CEO Frank Slootman's retirement and the appointment of Sridhar Ramaswamy, former Google ad chief, as his successor.
The abrupt leadership change, coupled with a subdued sales outlook for the first quarter, has sparked a flurry of reactions from investors and analysts alike. While some express concerns over potential competitive threats and operational uncertainties, others view Slootman's departure as a long-awaited opportunity for renewal and strategic realignment.
Analysts at Morgan Stanley downgraded Snowflake's ( NYSE:SNOW ) stock rating and slashed their price target, citing heightened competitive concerns and uncertainties surrounding the company's growth trajectory. However, Macquarie Equity Research took a more optimistic stance, upgrading the stock to an outperform and emphasizing confidence in Ramaswamy's leadership and Snowflake's strategic focus on artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) solutions.
Ramaswamy's extensive experience at Google and his previous venture, Neeva, position him as a seasoned leader capable of steering Snowflake through turbulent waters and capitalizing on emerging market opportunities. His leadership, coupled with Snowflake's robust product offerings and sales organization, instills confidence in the company's ability to navigate challenges and drive sustained growth in the dynamic cloud software landscape.
Snowflake's ( NYSE:SNOW ) journey under Slootman's stewardship has been marked by significant milestones and transformative growth, propelling the company to the forefront of the cloud computing revolution. However, as Snowflake ( NYSE:SNOW ) enters a new chapter under Ramaswamy's leadership, the focus shifts towards strategic agility, innovation, and market adaptation in an increasingly competitive environment.
The company's decision to acquire Neeva underscores its commitment to enhancing its AI capabilities and expanding its market reach, signaling a strategic shift towards diversification and innovation-driven growth initiatives. With Ramaswamy at the helm, Snowflake is poised to capitalize on its strengths, address operational challenges, and capitalize on emerging market trends to drive long-term shareholder value.
Snowflake Forecasts Weak 1st-Quarter Revenue, Shares SlumpSnowflake Inc. ( NYSE:SNOW ), a leading cloud data analytics company, faced a significant setback as it forecasted first-quarter product revenue below Wall Street estimates. This unexpected announcement, coupled with the anticipation of reduced spending from customers amidst economic uncertainty, led to a sharp decline of over 24% in its share price during extended trading. Furthermore, the company announced the appointment of Sridhar Ramaswamy as its new chief executive, succeeding Frank Slootman, who retired on February 27. Let's explore the implications of Snowflake's Q1 revenue forecast and its impact on the company's future trajectory.
Economic Uncertainty and Its Impact on Spending:
Snowflake's ( NYSE:SNOW ) downward revision of its first-quarter product revenue forecast reflects broader concerns surrounding economic uncertainty. With clients expected to scale back spending on cloud and technology services amidst high interest rates and persistent inflationary pressures, Snowflake ( NYSE:SNOW ) finds itself navigating a challenging operating environment. The company's reliance on robust customer spending for revenue growth makes it particularly vulnerable to shifts in economic conditions.
Leadership Transition Amidst Turbulent Times:
The announcement of Sridhar Ramaswamy as Snowflake's ( NYSE:SNOW ) new chief executive adds another layer of complexity to the company's current situation. Ramaswamy assumes leadership at a critical juncture, tasked with steering Snowflake ( NYSE:SNOW ) through turbulent economic waters and restoring investor confidence. His strategic vision and leadership style will be closely scrutinized as Snowflake navigates the challenges posed by evolving market dynamics.
Comparative Analysis with Peer Salesforce (CRM.N):
Snowflake's revenue forecast shortfall echoes a similar sentiment observed in its peer, Salesforce ( NYSE:CRM ), which also forecasted fiscal 2025 revenue below estimates. This parallel underscores the broader headwinds facing companies operating in the cloud and technology sector, as they contend with macroeconomic uncertainties and shifting customer priorities. The challenges faced by Snowflake and Salesforce highlight the need for adaptive strategies to sustain growth amidst changing market dynamics.
Implications for Investors:
Snowflake's ( NYSE:SNOW ) disappointing revenue forecast for the first quarter has undoubtedly rattled investors, prompting concerns about the company's ability to deliver sustained growth in the face of economic headwinds. The sharp decline in Snowflake's share price reflects investor apprehension regarding its near-term prospects and underscores the importance of closely monitoring developments within the company and its industry peers.
Conclusion:
Snowflake's ( NYSE:SNOW ) downward revision of its first-quarter revenue forecast, coupled with the appointment of a new chief executive, signifies a period of transition and adaptation for the company. As economic uncertainties persist and customer spending patterns evolve, Snowflake ( NYSE:SNOW ) faces significant challenges in maintaining its growth trajectory. However, with strong leadership and a commitment to innovation, Snowflake remains well-positioned to navigate the complexities of the current operating environment and emerge stronger in the long run.
SMCI - builds the data centers for AI and is hotter than hotSuper Microcomputer is on hard run up trend- at its all-time high, this stock is demonstrating
a high tight bull flag pattern. In a massive move SCMI is up 180% YTD five months so on pace for
400% annualized. Most experts expect more of the same. It is currently resting in consolidation
( the tight channel of the pattern) The zero-lag MACD shows the lines about to cross over the
histogram. I will watch this stock for either a bullish continuation or a pullback. Its
fundamentals are outstanding and its collaboration with NVDA will carry it far. I will wait
for a great entry and take a big bite. This stock's P/E makes it an incredible bargain.
SNOW Snowflake Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on SNOW:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SNOW Snowflake prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 230usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-5-17,
for a premium of approximately $22.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Snowflake: Checked in ✅The SNOW share has experienced a surge over the past two weeks. In line with our primary scenario, the magenta-colored Target Zone (coordinates: $222.85 - $257.63) was reached. In this range, the wave of the same color (x) should now soon establish its high, whereupon a change of direction should take place. The Zone can be used accordingly to enter short positions. Please also note the 33% probable alternative scenario. Although we primarily expect a correction in the turquoise-colored wave 2, we take into account at this point that this movement could already be completed. The trigger would be a significant breach of the 50% retracement at $257.63.
Bullish on Snowflake Inc. ($SNOW)NYSE:SNOW is looking to break through a major resistance price of $205 and start snowballing to the north of the charts. Targeting the $300 price which is the next major price level.
Snowflake has demonstrated remarkable revenue growth since its IPO!!
As businesses increasingly migrate to the cloud for data storage and analytics, Snowflake's innovative cloud-native data platform stands out. Its architecture allows for seamless scalability, flexibility, and real-time data insights, making it a preferred choice for enterprises seeking advanced data solutions
The company's subscription-based model, coupled with a diverse customer base, contributes to a steady revenue stream. With a rising demand for cloud data warehousing and analytics, Snowflake is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend and continue its impressive revenue trajectory which will reflect its stock price.
Make it SNOW $$$
SNOW is rising this Winter ❄️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
❄️ NYSE:SNOW has been stuck inside a big range in the shape of a symmetrical triangle.
🏹 For the bulls to take over from a long-term perspective , and the Markup phase to start, we need a weekly candle close above the 210 resistance.
Meanwhile, as SNOW approaches the lower bound of the triangle, we will be looking for short-term buy setups on lower timeframes.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Looking for SNOW to move 20%Snowflake Inc. (SNOW) having come off significant channel support, is now approaching meaningful resistance, able to absorb weekly selling pressures.
From here (SNOW) can fall back to channel support, eliciting losses of 20% over the following 1 - 2 months.
A weekly settlement above resistance would lead to a buy signal in (SNOW) where gains of 20% would be expected over the following 2 - 3 months.
SNOW Snowflake Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold SNOW on this Head and Shoulders Bearish Chart pattern, on Disappointing Growth Forecast:
or reentered here, ahead of earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SNOW Snowflake prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 145usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-8-25,
for a premium of approximately $7.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SNOW another technology company tolerating Bidenonomics LONGSNOW on the 4H is seen trending from from earnings in May with the great top line
and okay bottom line with a big uptrend into a sideways wide range channel.
It is now low in the channel but still above the long term anchored mean VWAP which
is the logical stop loss for any long trade setup. Confluent support is the POC line
of the visible volume profile with the upper high volume profile providing the
the expected range of a long trade. The Volume Price Trend indicator
and the MACD are synergistic in their confirmation. Fundamentally, SNOW is in
the AI revolution and its role in streamlining processes and lowering costs for the government
and businesses. The logical target here, the second deviation above mean VWAP presently
at the 193.45 price level. This line pushed the price back down 4 times in the past 8 weeks.
I see the quick 10% upside as good for a long trade knowing well-managed options
trade could produce 100-150% easily in capitalizing on AI software tech and the heavy
hitters of the new NASDAC leading the index higher and faster. What a great concept
more snow while the climate heat wave is unrelenting. I will enter here with a sizeable
stock trade while considering a 10-30 DTE call option to catch the ride toward the
target mentioned here.
Finding Bottoms Using Monthly Inside Candles: SNOWThis past year, I shared many bottoms on names on my weekly WLs based on bottoming consolidation structures, mentioning a specific strategy as a reasoning for the trades. Aside from understanding price action, I used a simple method:
Monthly inside candles/bars.
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What is an inside candle/bar?
Inside candles trade “inside” its previous candle. The previous candle’s high and low can be used as resistance and support, respectively. Your trade execution comes on a break & hold above/below the range.
Here are a few examples of this:
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NYSE:SNOW
This has traded within it’s May ‘22 inside range for over a year. This has been one of my top watches earlier this year.
The range provides a macro resistance/support of $187.23 and $112.10, respectively. These levels can now be used as targets for your trades.
How do I execute on this?
Zoom into LTFs to find swing opportunities. In my 1/23/23 weekly watchlist, I provided NYSE:SNOW based on a previous bull div + key support/demand being held (red box).
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All swing contracts provided on the WL printed, while NYSE:SNOW saw a massive upside move from $140 into $178.70 within 2 weeks.
You’ll also notice my invalidation for this was $133.10 while the low was $134.34. This invalidation was based on a breakdown of the range low.
Now once again, on 3/31/2023 I mentioned NYSE:SNOW as a potential high R:R trade.
Based on the exact same reasoning as my January WL.
Once again, NYSE:SNOW was able to hold its demand zone with a macro target of the monthly inside candle resistance.
NYSE:SNOW
The same exact entry & same exact analysis now provided a recent move into my $187.23 target. First move providing a 33% move, second providing a 42% move.
This is how you take advantage of macro inside ranges (specifically monthly candles in these examples).
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SNOW - Rising Trend Channel [MID -TERM]🔹180 supported indicates a potentially POSITIVE reaction; a downward breach indicates a NEGATIVE.
🔹Technically positive for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern:
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
SNOW stock is about to enter a consolidation state !SNOW stock is about to enter a consolidation state !
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of the euro against the US dollar over the past year. The graph overlays the recent bottom-up golden section. As shown in the figure, the euro against the US dollar hit its lowest point last month, just below the 2.382 level of the gold split, while its recent peak happened to be around 3.414 level of the gold split! This pattern indicates that the euro has entered a state of strong bearish positions against the US dollar, despite the fact that bulls have once again accumulated their strength! In the future, we should focus on whether the euro/US dollar can enter the standard graphic organization, and then determine the direction of the next breakthrough!