Snowflake Forecasts Weak 1st-Quarter Revenue, Shares SlumpSnowflake Inc. ( NYSE:SNOW ), a leading cloud data analytics company, faced a significant setback as it forecasted first-quarter product revenue below Wall Street estimates. This unexpected announcement, coupled with the anticipation of reduced spending from customers amidst economic uncertainty, led to a sharp decline of over 24% in its share price during extended trading. Furthermore, the company announced the appointment of Sridhar Ramaswamy as its new chief executive, succeeding Frank Slootman, who retired on February 27. Let's explore the implications of Snowflake's Q1 revenue forecast and its impact on the company's future trajectory.
Economic Uncertainty and Its Impact on Spending:
Snowflake's ( NYSE:SNOW ) downward revision of its first-quarter product revenue forecast reflects broader concerns surrounding economic uncertainty. With clients expected to scale back spending on cloud and technology services amidst high interest rates and persistent inflationary pressures, Snowflake ( NYSE:SNOW ) finds itself navigating a challenging operating environment. The company's reliance on robust customer spending for revenue growth makes it particularly vulnerable to shifts in economic conditions.
Leadership Transition Amidst Turbulent Times:
The announcement of Sridhar Ramaswamy as Snowflake's ( NYSE:SNOW ) new chief executive adds another layer of complexity to the company's current situation. Ramaswamy assumes leadership at a critical juncture, tasked with steering Snowflake ( NYSE:SNOW ) through turbulent economic waters and restoring investor confidence. His strategic vision and leadership style will be closely scrutinized as Snowflake navigates the challenges posed by evolving market dynamics.
Comparative Analysis with Peer Salesforce (CRM.N):
Snowflake's revenue forecast shortfall echoes a similar sentiment observed in its peer, Salesforce ( NYSE:CRM ), which also forecasted fiscal 2025 revenue below estimates. This parallel underscores the broader headwinds facing companies operating in the cloud and technology sector, as they contend with macroeconomic uncertainties and shifting customer priorities. The challenges faced by Snowflake and Salesforce highlight the need for adaptive strategies to sustain growth amidst changing market dynamics.
Implications for Investors:
Snowflake's ( NYSE:SNOW ) disappointing revenue forecast for the first quarter has undoubtedly rattled investors, prompting concerns about the company's ability to deliver sustained growth in the face of economic headwinds. The sharp decline in Snowflake's share price reflects investor apprehension regarding its near-term prospects and underscores the importance of closely monitoring developments within the company and its industry peers.
Conclusion:
Snowflake's ( NYSE:SNOW ) downward revision of its first-quarter revenue forecast, coupled with the appointment of a new chief executive, signifies a period of transition and adaptation for the company. As economic uncertainties persist and customer spending patterns evolve, Snowflake ( NYSE:SNOW ) faces significant challenges in maintaining its growth trajectory. However, with strong leadership and a commitment to innovation, Snowflake remains well-positioned to navigate the complexities of the current operating environment and emerge stronger in the long run.
Snowflake
SNOW Snowflake Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on SNOW:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SNOW Snowflake prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 230usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-5-17,
for a premium of approximately $22.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Snowflake: Checked in ✅The SNOW share has experienced a surge over the past two weeks. In line with our primary scenario, the magenta-colored Target Zone (coordinates: $222.85 - $257.63) was reached. In this range, the wave of the same color (x) should now soon establish its high, whereupon a change of direction should take place. The Zone can be used accordingly to enter short positions. Please also note the 33% probable alternative scenario. Although we primarily expect a correction in the turquoise-colored wave 2, we take into account at this point that this movement could already be completed. The trigger would be a significant breach of the 50% retracement at $257.63.
Bullish on Snowflake Inc. ($SNOW)NYSE:SNOW is looking to break through a major resistance price of $205 and start snowballing to the north of the charts. Targeting the $300 price which is the next major price level.
Snowflake has demonstrated remarkable revenue growth since its IPO!!
As businesses increasingly migrate to the cloud for data storage and analytics, Snowflake's innovative cloud-native data platform stands out. Its architecture allows for seamless scalability, flexibility, and real-time data insights, making it a preferred choice for enterprises seeking advanced data solutions
The company's subscription-based model, coupled with a diverse customer base, contributes to a steady revenue stream. With a rising demand for cloud data warehousing and analytics, Snowflake is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend and continue its impressive revenue trajectory which will reflect its stock price.
Make it SNOW $$$
SNOW (Long) - Beautiful Technicals, Don't look at FundamentalsFundamentals
Really not here to admire the pristine fundamentals - the stock is severely overpriced with a price-to-sales over 20
However, having been at this for a while, for a 6-month horizon, the technicals, price and the momentum are the things to focus on
Regardless, NYSE:SNOW is an outstanding company with a very bright future. However, its price might fluctuate wildly over the coming years until its sales catch up with the valuation
For now, the technicals are the key...
Technicals
The longer a firm has been forming a bottom, the more excited I tend to get about a breakout
The price of SNOW has been oscillating around for a while, forming a basing pattern (pick any of the three names on the screen) and accumulating share demand and momentum
If everything goes well, the price breaks out cleanly over the resistance (black line)
Looking at the stochastics, momentum is strong and volume has been on our side for the duration of the most recent up leg - shown by the Chaikin Money Flow indicator.
However, considering my slight doubts about the overall market, I would shorten the horizon on this trade to 2-3 months - to hedge the best in case the market calls the investors' "soft-landing" bluff
Trade
I see two potential way s of playing this trade: (i) enter where the price touched the red-coloured line, catching the pullback and frontrunning the breakout (if you have a strong conviction) or (ii) wait for the actual breakout - best-case scenario is a long, fat green candle which sustains the highs towards the close and does so on volume
Given the first choice, stop loss just below the red line or the 19-day EMA. With the second option, the black line is the obvious stop
Failed breakout would be an obvious no-no for me and I would abort the trade and wait how the price action develops
Also closely watch the NASDAQ:QQQ , Snowflake likes to follow it and I have some worries about the sustainability of the tech rally
Follow me for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, I am happy to help
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Snowflake (NYSE: SNOW) Gradual Growth To SuccessFundamentals
Snowflake (SNOW) sells data analytics and management software that runs on cloud computing platforms. The company is evolving into a cloud data management platform.
SNOW stock is up 4% in 2023 after pulling back from bigger gains. The Nasdaq composite has jumped 29% amid buzz over generative artificial intelligence.
The company offers Snowflake Cortex, a new fully-managed service to provide access to large language models, AI models and vector search functionality.
When the company reported April-quarter earnings, Snowflake cut its full-year fiscal 2024 outlook. Snowflake lowered its forecast for product revenue growth to 34% to $2.6 billion from its earlier projection for 44% to 45% growth.
SNOW stock could get a boost from a recent multi-year expansion of its partnership with Amazon Web Services. Both companies will contribute to stepped-up marketing.
Snowflake has committed $2.5 billion in spending on AWS over the next five years as part of the deal. The two companies will expand strategic initiatives by developing industry solutions, deepening product integrations, increasing sales collaboration, and expanding marketing strategies. Snowflake and AWS currently have over 6,000 joint customers. About 84% of Snowflake customers run cloud workloads on AWS.
SNOW Stock: Biggest Software IPO
Because Snowflake's business model is consumption-based rather than subscription-based, bearish investors have raised concerns over a possible U.S. recession curbing demand.
Snowflake aims to enable customers to access and distribute data across their business ecosystem, thereby accelerating business intelligence and advanced analytics.
Snowflake stock pulled off the largest initial public offering ever by a software company in September 2020. The Snowflake IPO raised $3.4 billion.
Snowflake hosted a user conference and analyst day in Las Vegas in June 2022. The company said new products in app development, data security and other areas will expand its total addressable market to $248 billion by 2027, up from $90 billion last year.
Snowflake Stock: Consumption Business Model
Most software stocks typically trade as a multiple of forward-looking revenue growth. Snowflake is not a software-as-a-service, or SaaS, company that aims to build recurring subscription revenue.
At the user event, the company addressed concern over its consumption-based revenue business model. Snowflake revenue is tied to how much data its customers crunch and store. One issue is that usage could slow during a recession.
Another issue is that customers view Snowflake as expensive if they don't control usage. Some analysts say there's less transparency and predictability than with a subscription-based SaaS business model.
Snowflake Stock: Competition Increasing
Further, Snowflake stock hit an all-time high of 429 in early December of 2020. But SNOW stock swooned amid analyst concerns over its lofty valuation.
Competition is increasing. Salesforce (CRM) recently introduced Genie, a real-time data solution, that could clash with Snowflake at some point.
Whether Amazon Web Services or Google cloud ratchet up competition remains a concern for SNOW stock. Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE), with its GreenLake platform, is another rival.
Technical Analysis
We can see a Horizontal Trend Line forming a Head and Shoulder In Snow Inc. meaning the Stock is likely to swingle in-between the support and Resistance Zone Respectively.
Price Momentum
SNOW is trading in the middle of its 52-week range and below its 200-day simple moving
average. Investors are still evaluating the share price, but the stock still appears to have some downward momentum.
Snowflake - Is It Time To Stop Gambling On Chop?Snowflake, a Nasdaq company, has earnings looming post-market, which has IV on weekly calls and puts juiced to 150%.
Yet people are still gambooling on the next big instawin. The problem is you'll blow your account and won't need TradingView anymore and won't be able to have any fun in your community.
Really, a far better proposition if you want 5 and 8:1 odds on things that are like 10 or 20:1 against to hit is to deposit on a sportsbook and put the same risk into a 3-bet parlay on late season MLB.
If you're right you'll even get paid the same day and not have to mess around with charts and bars all day.
Snowflake is one of the tech sector dump casualties, but has never bounced.
The monthly shows very clearly we're simply sitting in $90 worth of range spanning almost a year and a half.
And while $90 in range is pretty good, the problem is that it doesn't pump. There will eventually be a change in market structure and the most likely target is under $110.
Weekly bars show us that the May low has been taken out before earnings, and this is a factor that is not consistent with bank/fund sponsorship to take out the highs.
Which hints to us that the largest players who can move the market of a company that is still valued at $49 billion while printing $650~ million in quarterly revenue are probably targeting the bottom of "the flag" and not the top.
While the failure swing at $190 forms a double top and becomes a target, the problem is that everything is set up, with Jackson Hole as the Federal Reserve and the world's most critical financial policy decision pending on Friday, to continue to correct and correct violently into the fourth quarter.
Nasdaq Futures - The Trend Is Your Friend, Until The End
Moreover, a lot of the worldwide economic situation is being heavily driven by what's going on Mainland China with Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party he still hasn't thrown away.
Word in the Western media is that the regime's de facto state run corporations, for whatever reason, are sitting on something like $3 or $4 trillion in real estate debt that's about to explode in their hands.
There's still the problem of natural disasters like the Beijing floods, economic calamities like the International Rules Based Order jawing and chattering about "de-risking" from China, and the impact of the virus that has claimed many, many more people than the few hundred thousand the CCP has officially reported to John Hopkins for the official trackers.
Worst of all is the 24-year persecution and organ harvesting genocide against Falun Dafa's 100 million spiritual practitioners looms over the head of the Party. Even though Xi isn't responsible for the persecution and hasn't participated, it was done by former Chairman Jiang Zemin and the toad faction nested in Shanghai-Babylon, Xi is the one with his head in the prisoners' box because he's now the Chairman of the Party.
And on top of that is an epidemic of arsons masquerading as climate change that have burned to death tens of thousands of hectares of trees and forests and their associated plants and animals.
This world is out of control, but it's not allowed to stay out of control for long.
And while it's on the brink, you're being told to get long by furus, Discord, Telegram, Wechat, Stocktwits, and Reddit, and are happy to take the bait, because you don't see the danger.
So here's what's up for SNOW on earnings.
A really likely theory is that it doesn't do much at all because the option sellers will just hold the price where it is in advance of Jackson Hole, let IV decline, collect all the premium from you as everything expires worthless on Friday and laugh.
And somewhere along the way, Snowflake will have a $12 retrace to bring in breakup traders and take out short sellers to $165. But this $165 will be another form of optimal short entry to target the $100 mark before Q4 expires.
If there's to be upside on this stock, based on the length of time and range of the chop and the specific price action amid the overall market and macro conditions, it would be a lot more likely to come after the lows get taken.
Be careful.
SNOW Snowflake Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold SNOW on this Head and Shoulders Bearish Chart pattern, on Disappointing Growth Forecast:
or reentered here, ahead of earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SNOW Snowflake prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 145usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-8-25,
for a premium of approximately $7.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Snowflake Head & Shoulders on the 4hrNYSE:SNOW This chart pattern of a 4hr H&S is quite prominent. So far so good if you're a bull you want to see this neckline hold. As the saying goes nothing is more bullish than a failed bearish move. If the neckline breaks it's trading back down to the 150s IMO. If it can hold I expect 190s to print. Based on the Modified Pitchfork I have if we chop around the 170s for the rest of the week I would lower the neckline down to 169 where the price would meet the 0.25 orange line, before considering the neckline broken. Big moves soon on SNOW is what I am expecting.
SNOW stock is about to enter a consolidation state !SNOW stock is about to enter a consolidation state !
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of the euro against the US dollar over the past year. The graph overlays the recent bottom-up golden section. As shown in the figure, the euro against the US dollar hit its lowest point last month, just below the 2.382 level of the gold split, while its recent peak happened to be around 3.414 level of the gold split! This pattern indicates that the euro has entered a state of strong bearish positions against the US dollar, despite the fact that bulls have once again accumulated their strength! In the future, we should focus on whether the euro/US dollar can enter the standard graphic organization, and then determine the direction of the next breakthrough!
Snowflake: Gone with the Wind… 🌬(Un-)fortunately, we won’t rehash the story of Scarlett and Rhett, which took director Victor Fleming nearly 4 hours to recount. We will rather talk about Snowflake, which currently seems to be struggling though a snowstorm, fighting on toward the resistance at $203.62. We expect the share to gust above this mark to expand wave x in magenta before a counter movement should take hold. However, there is a 40% chance that wave alt.x in magenta could be finished by now. In that case, Snowflake would waft below the support at $110.27 to develop wave alt.2 in turquoise already, whose low should then be followed by a fresh upwards movement.
Snowflake: Snowed Under ❄️Snowflake seems to be snowed under with work. The share has a great deal to do, but is currently delaying the anticipated ascent, gradually sagging towards the support at $110.27. There is a 33% chance that the course might drop below this mark, thus developing wave alt.2 in turquoise earlier already. However, we primarily expect it to climb above the resistance at $205.66 first to lodge the top of wave x in magenta before moving downwards again. Wave 2 in turquoise should then return Snowflake below $205.66 and carry it below the support at $110.27, introducing fresh upwards movement afterward.
Snowflake - Fade Bears On Another Earnings DumpWhen it comes to tech stuff, I'm a contrarian and actually believe that Nasdaq is heading to 14,000+.However, as seen in my call below, I'm still expecting more of a bear trap than we've currently had.
Nasdaq NQ QQQ - Reality Will Be a Tough Pill for Permabears
I simply don't believe that, based on the price action of the markets over the last 6 and 8 months, that wobbly fundamentals and the Federal Reserve continuing to hike rates is going to be what crashes the market. All markets act like they bottomed in October and November of 2022, which to me says that prices must go higher.
That being said, I also believe that a severe market crash lies ahead in the future, but I believe that the timing for it to unfold is July or August of this year. I also believe that geopolitical issues will be what cause the crash, not the Fed, and there are a number of them:
1. The Chinese Communist Party has lost millions of people to Wuhan Pneumonia. The situation is so much worse than the 90,000 deaths the lying communist regime claims that it's scary. This ultimately leads to China's infrastructure, military, law enforcement, and the Party itself being extremely weak.
2. Russia v Ukraine is set to escalate shortly, and the war isn't one bit "Russia v Ukraine," it's Russia versus the U.S.-led NATO block
3. Natural, manmade, and environmental disasters abound in this world and go unreported. One day, one of them will hit the United States and it will shock the markets.
But the big one is #1. The fundamental problem for the world is everything about the world's oldest country right now revolves around the CCP's almost 24-year-long persecution of Falun Gong meditation. The Party has killed so many practitioners for their spiritual beliefs, and even committed the unprecedented sin of live organ harvesting, a sin that even Nero didn't commit in the persecution of Christians 2,000 years ago.
Because Wall Street and the governments around the world have been providing financial, material, and political support to the regime over the entire course of the 24 year persecution, this inherently means that when the CCP falls and all the skeletons come out of the closet, you're going to have a hard time finding a place in the world that has clean hands.
When that unfolds, it will really be hard for the market makers to keep making the market. The house of cards will really crumble. Educate yourself on the topic and go see Shen Yun when it performs in your area and see what China's dynasties were really like.
As for the call, Snowflake had some good earnings but cut its growth outlook. This is a stock that trades in these really wide $40 and $50 ranges and has a Tesla-style volatility. Nonetheless, we're down 7% in postmarket and it should dump even further than that tomorrow when the markets open.
We can tell from the long term price action that January's low was a clear stop raid, which turned around and took out two big daily pivots. It's a little early, being the very beginning of March, for a new LOY to be set, in my opinion.
But it's not too early to bear trap and liquidate longs. What I'm really looking to see is the $130 - $135 range in conjunction with the Nasdaq hitting 11,500 range. This price corresponds with the 79% retrace and is a big discount to overall range equilibrium since Snowflake dumped from its COVID pump mania highs.
Target to the upside would be $185, taking out the October pivot. Hard not to like a $50 move on a $130 stock.
You want to buy red and sell green, but this gets hard when red is followed by red and green is followed by green. All and all, I still say fade the bear hype.
When the doom really comes to these markets, it's going to catch everyone off guard. It's not going to come at a time when the Fed has slowed hiking to 0.25% and CPI is only printing 6%.
SNOW-BEARISH SCENARIOYesterday, Snowflake, announced financial results for its fourth quarter and full year of fiscal 2023, ending January 31, 2023. Revenue for the quarter was $589.0 million, representing 53% year-over-year growth. Product revenue for the quarter was $555.3 million, representing 54% year-over-year growth. The remaining performance obligations were $3.7 billion, representing 38% year-over-year growth.
Due to a disappointing growth outlook, the downtrend is more likely to continue
Re-test of the $ 110 support level is expected.
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SNOW with a potential short term bounce.Here we are looking at SNOW on the Daily TF.
I would like to draw your attention to the up sloping Yellow trend line.
If the price action closes below this trend line we can expect further downside action.
The next target for SNOW is to the Green support line.
Once the price hits the Green support line, you can look for a couple day bounce possibly back up to the Yellow support line.
Once the Yellow support line is broken and price action comes back up to it, that same support line will then become resistance and could even be a good short level.
What do you think is going to happen with snow in the next few days?
Let me know in the comments.
Cheers.
SNOW Snowflake Options Ahead Of EarningsIf you haven`t sold the Head and Shoulders bearish chart pattern:
or played the reversal last time:
Now looking at the SNOW Snowflake options chain ahead of earnings , i would buy the $150 strike price Calls with
2022-12-16 expiration date for about
$10.30 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Selling SNOW at trend of lower highs.Snowflake - 30d - We look to Sell at 179.69 (stop at 191.11)
Daily signals are bearish.
The primary trend remains bearish.
The trend of lower highs is located at 180.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 151.11 and 141.11
Resistance: 165.00 / 170.00 / 180.00
Support: 155.00 / 145.50 / 140.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
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SNOW WOLFE WAVE DAILYThere is a daily wolfe wave setup that triggered on November 11 on the day of CPI. The projected target is calculated by extending a linear line between pivot 1 and 4 and projecting the line. This is represented as the green perforated line, as shown in the chart. Projected targets are defined by identifying the apex of the wolfe wave and projecting a vertical line toward the green perforated projection tgt which is extending from left to right; however, the apex does not converge and as a result, identifying price targets short term should rely on moving averages or open gaps. The next major moving average is the 200 day ma which is 180.
SNOW: Resistance Becomes Support with Earnings Gap UpWhen this company IPO'd it was the big stock of the year. Alas, there has to be more to a company than a cute name.
SNOW had its earnings report late in the season and it gapped up on the news. The gap jumped over resistance, so it is not likely to fill easily. Resistance becomes support for this type of gap. This can suggest that SNOW may be a company beyond recovery and into potential long-term growth.