Snowflake
Called bottom on SNOW last week; now found support on the 50-emaSNOW started a reversal after hitting a fib retracement level mid last week, where I called the bottom (see linked chart) and bought some shares. Here is a summary of the current chart and my trading strategy:
BUY SIGNALS
1. +DI crossed above -DI (green line above red line) and ADX line (white) is flat but starting to curl up after the drop (signals a trend may be about to start; an uptrend in this case).
2. MACD curling up
3. Support on 50-ema, which coincides with the .618 fib extension. Seems to be strong at the moment.
TRADING STRATEGY
Now, it is not because these indicators are pointing to a bullish move that that move has to happen, after all there is only so much the charts can tell us. So to protect your capital (if you buy), you could buy at current levels with a tight stop loss just below the .5 fib level, around $293. Take into account there is support on emas on lower time frames (4hr and 1hr) between the current price and the.5 fib level so those could potentially hold the price if it breaks below the 50-ema on the daily chart. That is why you want to place your stop loss below those moving averages so you are not stopped out too early. That's what I am doing anyway. If the price falls and still triggers your stop loss but then bounces back up you can always jump back in if indicators and volume point to and upward trend. If the price continues going down you are saved from further losses. This is as minimal risk as it gets.
OTHER CONSIDERATIONS
1. Also keep in mind that millions of new shares were release from lockup last week so there may be more sellers waiting the price to move up to unload their shares. However, because we are right on support, this trade would present minimal risk if you place your stop loss accordingly.
2. Also, this analysis is contingent on how SNOW opens tomorrow. If it opens way below the current price or way above, the trading strategy might need to be adjusted. Please use your diligence if either scenario is presented.
Safe trades!
***If you get anything out of this TA, please like and follow for future updates and more TA. Thanks a lot!***
***THE IDEAS SHARED HERE ARE MY OPINION. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE TO PLACE TRADES. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS BEFORE BUYING/SELLING STOCKS.***
Let it snowSnowflake has been a widely discussed stock over the past couple of months due to its huge move right before and after coming public. The stock has given up a lot since the highs of November and has entered into the larger range from the highs and lows of September. I am going to take a shot a buy here/ within the green rectangle with a stop below $266. I am looking for a breakout above the range around $320.
SNOW may have found its bottomSNOW fell about 37% from ATH, a move that was catalyzed by the H&S break out. It is currently finding support for the 3rd consecutive day on the .786 fib retracement level. I added a few more shares to my position here with a very tight stop loss in case it continues to move down. Stochastic is curling up, which signals a potential change in the trend. Seems to the a good place to start a reversal, even if it turns out to be a slow one.
***If you get anything out of this TA, please like and follow for future updates and more TA. Thanks a lot!***
***THE IDEAS SHARED HERE ARE MY OPINION. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE TO PLACE TRADES. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS BEFORE BUYING/SELLING STOCKS.***
No snow for SnowflakeNYSE:SNOW is one of the most overpriced companies you can find right now.
After post IPo rally, stock is struggling lately with poor relative strengh to Nasdaq.
Potential breakdown of Head&Shoulders gives potential for new lows at $200 right now.
However, its not low risk entry idea, so prepare for some volatility.
Extremely Simple SNOW Long-Term Trade/InvestmentExtremely simple trade. SNOW is experiencing some price adjustment after experiencing a great rally for a few weeks. A classic "buy the dip" opportunity!
I plan on doing two things once the SMI shows a bullish crossing:
Purchase shares for my long-term investment portfolio
Far OTM bullish put spreads w/ 2 month or greater expiration (depends on premiums)
Hope you enjoy this simple trade idea! Don't forget to follow and like, as I post trade ideas daily.
Happy trading!
BUY THE DIP | $SNOW LONGBUY THE DIP! Good morning traders, as we look at SNOW on larger timeframes we see a well-needed correction after this IPO made a push toward even more all-time highs. This week could be the last of being able to grab it around this price.
Looking at price action, there are a few things to consider starting with the retest of $301. $301 shows as a strong level first as resistance, now as support (if it holds). SNOW is a buy
DCJ | Happy Holidays
Stock to watch: Snowflake Inc (SNOW) - re-uploadNYSE:SNOW
Re-uploading the original idea from Nov 24 (which was brutally deleted by the moderators LOL) 👇🏻
Original chart from Nov 24
Original idea was: May be an interesting stock to trade: Buy/Sell Zones Indicator shows that the price is in the green zone, indicating buyers interest. Targets for Long play may be previous highs up to 1 Fibonacci. The pre-market shows a small potential recoil that can give a good Long entry point.
The bias didn't change much - Long may be taken at a potential pullback + extend targets up to 1.618 Fib or even higher.
Disclaimer: This article should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Trading digital assets involve risk and may resolve in the loss of your capital. Always be sure to understand the amount of risk involved and do your research before taking any trading/investment steps.
BUY STOCKS NAS100 ANALYSISAs u can see on the day chart this flush can continue down to 9900 and than retrace back in to the bullish mode, it could also retrace from now hitten support and that mean, now is the best time to buy some stocks. Be carefull and watch the support if a are trading with leverage but when u investing its safer.
Hope this perespective will help you with trading stocks! If it will give me a like and share your toughts with me and other traders in comments!
Should I Invest In Snowflake (SNOW)?Yesterday, Snowflake (SNOW) , one of the most anticipated IPOs in recent history, hit markets. With names like Berkshire Hathaway and Salesforce getting in on the IPO, should you be looking at SNOW as your next big investment?
Snowflake Inc. is a cloud-based data-warehousing startup that was founded in 2012, and yesterday they hit public markets. So what exactly does that mean?
What Is An Initial Public Offering (IPO)?
Well, an IPO, or Initial Public Offering, is a way for a company to raise capital in exchange for small pieces of their company called stock shares… and let’s just say that the SNOW IPO was a big one!
In fact, their IPO set a record for software companies and has been the biggest in the U.S. this year.
Originally their IPO price was supposed to be between $75-$85, but last week both Berkshire Hathaway and Salesforce committed to buying millions of shares.
Because of this, the price was then set to release between $100-$110. But when they finally started trading, it opened up at $249.99.
Within a matter of minutes it shot up as high as $318.01. That was over a 27% move within 3 minutes… crazy! That is what we call FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) in the trading world. And that’s what tends to happen with IPOs.
By the end of yesterday’s trading, Snowflake (SNOW) closed up on the day 3.64%.
How Did The Top IPOs Of 2019 Do?
Last year we had a few noteworthy IPOs like UBER, LYFT, CHWY and PINS. So let’s take a look how all of these different stocks performed out of the gate.
First, we’ll look at UBER. Much like Snowflake (SNOW), UBER had an explosive first day of trading. Then for about two months it basically moved sideways, until its first earnings report. From there, things got pretty ugly! In a matter of months the stock went from $43 to as low as $25.58.
Now let’s take a look at their competitor, LYFT. Very much like SNOW and UBER, it too had a very volatile first day of trading but nearly immediately started moving lower. LYFT IPO’d at $87.24 in March of 2019, and by October it found a temporary bottom at $37.07.
Starting to notice a pattern yet?
Well, let’s take a look at another IPO that was really hyped last year, Chewy (CHWY). Its first day of trading was also very volatile. It opened up at $36 on its first day of trading in June of last year. By November it finally found a temporary bottom, trading as low as $21.68.
A few other great examples from last year would be Pinterest and Slack. Both acted nearly identically to the other IPOs we just discussed.
Slack was hyped up as the “Skype Killer,” and although that may turn out to be true, their stock basically went straight lower from the start.
From what I’ve seen over the last few years, this has sort of been the MO of these ultra hyped IPOs.
Taking a look at iposcoop.com you can see all the recent IPOs, and as I’m sure you’ll see, there are plenty you’ve probably never heard of before.
Will I Be Investing or Trading Snowflake (SNOW)?
So after all that discussion, should you invest in Snowflake (SNOW)? Well, ultimately that is up to you. I’m a short term trader, so I like to hold things for as little as a day or two and typically no longer than a few weeks. So for me, I will not be investing in (or trading) Snowflake.
If you’ve followed me for any length time you’ve probably heard me say:
Trade What You SEE, Not What You Think.
And for me, I don’t SEE a trade setup. Could SNOW break the mold for over-hyped IPOs and go higher with out a sharp move lower…of course! But that’s not how I approach the markets.
I stick with SRC Profits:
– Systematic
– Repeatable
– Consistent
If you invested in SNOW, I would love to hear about it in the comments.
I hope this was helpful!
Snowflake (SNOW): Everything You Need to Know Before the IPOIf you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post!
I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
Google (GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN), and Microsoft (MSFT) all have one thing in common: they are tech giants in the field of cloud services
In this analysis, I’ll be analyzing the fundamentals of Snowflake (SNOW), a startup that is about to challenge the Big 3 very soon.
About Snowflake
-Snowflake submitted their IPO documents to the SEC in August 24
- Snowflake is currently the fastest growing startup in the cloud industry
- The company consists of ex-developers from Oracle (ORCL)
- Founded in 2012, the company currently has about 1400 employees.
Company Valuation
- The company was valued at $12.4 billion in February 2020
- One thing to note from this company’s valuation is how it skyrocketed throughout time:
- In January of 2018, the company was valued at $1.5 billion
- By October 2018, the company’s valuation popped to a whopping $3.5 billion market cap
Investors
- Its main VC investors include: Sequoia Capital, Altimeter Capital, ICONIQ Capital, Capital One Growth Ventures, and Shutter Hill
- Venture Capitals have collectively invested $1.4 billion into the company so far.
- The fact that Warren Buffet is willing to bet big on this company’s IPO also acts as bullish stimulant, especially knowing that Buffet is famous for his dislike towards tech stocks.
Financials
- Snowflake shows stunning revenue growth
- Their 2020 Q2 revenue hit a staggering target of $133 million, demonstrating a 121% year on year growth
- Compared to their counterpart Datadog (DDOG), whose Q2 revenue showed a 68% yoy growth, it could be said that Snowflake’s revenue growth is massive
- While their financials are still at a net loss, their losses for the first half of the year was at $171.3 million, which is a $6 mil reduction compared to that of last year
Business Model
- Snowflake has been building a data warehouse since 2014
- They offered a virtual data lake between cloud suppliers and a company’s program/application
- This allows clients to easily approach massive amounts of data quickly
- With the shift from on-premise to cloud services, more and more companies enter the cloud service industry as clients
- Snowflake is also attempting to make a transition from a warehouse to a platform.
- This is because Snowflake is available for use in Amazon, Google, and Microsoft’s public cloud in 22 countries.
- Essentially, it acts as a platform that connects different cloud services, making the access and transfer of data from one cloud to another easy
- Through Snowflake’s platform, the operation of a data cloud is possible.
- This essentially means that the conventional on-premise, infra clouds, and app clouds can have access to, share, and extract data without any barriers
- As such, one of the greatest value their business model offers is the network effect through the interoperability of different cloud services
Conclusion
While the cloud service industry continues to be highly competitive among Amazon, Microsoft, and Google, Snowflake offers values that could easily enlarge the pie. Its solid business model offers potential to make net profits once they start cutting their massive marketing costs. Anyone who is bullish on the outlook for the cloud servicing industry should definitely have his eyes on this stock.