Get started

Snp500

📊BTC and S&P in the channel! Will the history repeat?Hi friends! How can you identify the future price movements? For this purpose, technical analysis uses patterns: head and shoulders, triangles, wedges. Let's use the S&P 500 price movement pattern in the 2019 channel for Bitcoin in 2022. ✅If you are new to trading, it is important to learn how to identify the trend. A trend is the direction of price movement up or down (uptrend, downtrend) or price consolidation. 1️⃣Why is it important to know the trend direction? When the trend is going up, you have a better chance of making a successful long, because the price is constantly going up. If the trend is down, the chance of making a successful short is much higher, and longs become unprofitable. For a beginner it is easier to understand, but I will talk about advanced trading techniques in the following ideas. When the price is in a channel, it's a consolidation . Even though price is making higher highs or higher lows, which determines the trend, but price remains in a channel. The first exits of the price outside the channel happen only to collect the liquidity as we see in the examples. 📊S&P 500. A 2017-2019 channel in the $2,500-$2,900 range. 📊Bitcoin. Channel 2021-2022 in the $30-67k range. 2️⃣What do these two channels have in common? Collecting liquidity to sell above the channel and collecting liquidity to buy below the channel. 🔶What is collecting liquidity to sell? It's a manipulation where the price breaks a level up (in our case, the upper boundary of the channel) and long traders who trade the breakout open their longs and the big player opens his shorts. That is, the big player sells his cryptocurrency reserves at the best possible price. 🔶What is collecting liquidity to buy? It is manipulation, when the price breaks the channel down and the short traders start opening their trades and the big player buys cryptocurrency from them and the price goes up. This is how the whale buys the cryptocurrency at the best price. 3️⃣Is this happening now? We will know after some time, but these two patterns are very similar to each other and probably Bitcoin price will repeat a similar movement. 🚩Why does the consolidation confuse the traders? Because there is no clear trend. A big player can accumulate a position in the middle of a consolidation channel and make several manipulations, which is exhausting for beginners. Consolidation is very exhausting for a beginner. It is not as easy to make money as during a uptrend, when you can buy almost any cryptocurrency and it will rise in value. Consolidation makes newbies be anxious and when the price breaks the lower boundary of the channel the most impatient ones leave the market. But it`s just the beginning of the uptrend! ✅But you are patient, aren't you? 💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU. P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy. Always do your analysis before making a trade.
by Yuriy_Bishko
17
Here's what we should be watching this week for Bitcoin.Traders, I want to go over a few items that should remain on our watchlist this week and where the indicators are leading me. I will also give an update on how Stewdamus 2.0 is coming along. -Stew FED Events 🏛 🇺🇸U.S. ECONOMIC DATA THIS WEEK: *MANUFACTURING PMI (TUES.) *SERVICES PMI (TUES.) *NEW HOME SALES (TUES.) *DURABLE GOODS ORDERS (WED.) *FED FOMC MINUTES (WED.) *Q1 GDP - 2ND READING (THURS.) *JOBLESS CLAIMS (THURS.) *PENDING HOME SALES (THURS.) *CORE PCE PRICE INDEX (FRI.)
INDEX:BTCUSD
by stewdamus
📊S&P500: recession vs growth in 2022! Prediction for BTC!Hi friends! In this idea I will share my point of view about the stock and the cryptocurrency market in 2022. Perhaps you have noticed how they are linked? Will 2022 be the year of the big fall or the price will renew ATH? Well, let's start one by one. 📊The stock market. As you can see from the chart, it has been rising for about 100 years now. The 2020 covid-19 crisis looks like a local correction compared to the Great Depression of the 30s. Back then, the market fell by 89% and was only able to recover after 23 years. After the pandemic crisis began, the market recovered 3-4 months only to its previous ATH. Remember how much panic there was in the market? It is your choice to take advantage of such opportunities or to panic. After the abandonment of the gold standard, the dollar lost its peg to gold reserves and the new financial system let the opportunity to print fresh money to loan to creditors. There are many pros and cons, but that the U.S. remains the world's economic leader by a wide margin is a fact. It also led to the 2000-2001 .com bubble and the 2008-2009 real estate crisis. But 12 years later, the S&P500 is already up 3x. 🚩Fundamental analysis: 1️⃣ the growing inflation is bad for the the stock market growth. Rising price of the oil, gas and food (wheat, corn, sunflower, soybeans etc.) starts hiking inflation rate. But USA will start to accept Venezuela oil after the several years ban. For your understanding, Venezuela has the largest oil reserves in the world so it will allow to keep the oil price at the previous levels. 2️⃣ The unemployment rate is 3.6%, which is a pre-crisis level! This is an indicator, which shows that the economy is in good condition. 3️⃣ Investment outflows from the EU in February alone amounted to $15 billion! This is the largest outflow in a decade. Investors are looking for safety, so all that money has been flowing into the U.S. stock market for three months. 🚩Technical analysis (TA): 1️⃣ The first value zone is $380 to $400. Such value zones are always a huge support for the price. 2️⃣ The key $400 level. Even though the price broke it down, the whales collected a lot of liquidity to open long positions. Of course, there were a lot of stop-losses of retail traders here, most of the margin positions liquidated. 3️⃣ Volumes we haven't seen in over two years. As you know, there are two sides in trading: those who buy and those who sell. If such volumes appeared, someone has accumulated a huge position for the first time since 2020. During the first volume growth, those who bought at market ATH were liquidated, and during the second volume growth, those who bought back from the first fall were liquidated also. Fundamental and technical analysis says the market should be rising. Even despite the reports about a new pandemic (🙈 pox) the world has adapted and is ready for new challenges. ✅Why is it so important for us that the stock market grows? As we have seen over the past few years, Bitcoin has not yet become a reserve asset and often copies the movements of the U.S. stock market. While the stock market is still growing, the cryptocurrency market is growing as well. 📊The cryptocurrency market. The indicator of the cryptocurrency market is Bitcoin. The price of 99% of all altcoins depends on BTC cycles. As you can see from the Bitcoin chart, it has been in a rising cycle for over 10 years. How to understand it? It makes higher highs and lows, which is a very positive signal. 🏁Will Bitcoin fall to $20,000 or has it already started it`s rise to $100,000? It doesn't matter in the long term. As long as the crypto industry grows and Bitcoin makes HH and HL, growth will continue. Learn how to trade now, use the ideas I post, ask the questions in the comments! 💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU. P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy. Always do your analysis before making a trade.
SP:SPX
by Yuriy_Bishko
13
Can Stocks Recover from Lows?Stocks have recovered from Friday's selloff. Though we have fully retraced from that dip, we remain under 4000, and well below the neckline of that failed head and shoulders pattern discussed last week. The fact that we broke down from the inverse H&S is foreboding and that we broke lower than the head (relative low) of this pattern is even worse. The Kovach OBV is extremely sold off, so we may have some hopes of a relief rally. If so, 4068 will be a formidable barrier to the upside. We should find support again at 3810 if we sell off further, but the next support level after that is in the 3700's.
FX:SPX500Short
by quantguy
ES1! SPX500USD 2022 MAY 23 Week ES1! SPX500USD 2022 MAY 23 Week Last week's retracement went beyond 4056, as demand came in to support the market. Nonetheless short on retracement was good. This tells us the importance of waiting for price reaction at the levels. Possible Scenarios: 1) Test and reject at supply line of channel for short 2) Market rotate between 3855-4091 as demand & supply slug it out Weekly: Ave volume down bar close off low = minor strength Daily: Average vol up bar close off high = minor strength H4: Very high volume up bar close at high = strength Price reaction levels: Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept 4874 4800 4740 4631 4584 4525 4433 4368 4303 4133 4091 3947 3902 3855 3720 *3913-4000 (previous high demand area) Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by paradox677
Stocks Looking WeakAs predicted here, stocks have fallen from a failed inverse head and shoulders breakout. We were able to predict this due to the incredibly weak 'breakout' from the neckline at 4068. We also noted that this was a very bearish omen, and called out the exact level of support at the head of the inverse H&S at 3887 or so. Currently, we are seeing a bit of support here, but the brief rally is nothing compared to the magnitute of the previous selloff, and this is confirmed quantitatively by the Kovach OBV, which is still incredibly bearish. If we fall further, its uncharted territory, but we should have support at the base of the 3800's. If we somehow muster the strength for a rally, then we must break 4068 before testing higher levels, which is a barrier for now.
FX:SPX500Short
by quantguy
2
Stocks Break Down HARD from Failed Inverse Head and Shoulders!!As predicted yesterday, stocks broke down hard. Recall that we observed that the breakout from the inverse head and shoulders pattern in the S&P 500 was looking extremely weak. This is usually a very bad sign and portends a dramatic failure. Indeed, we note only rejected current levels but completely retraced the entire pattern, currently finding support at 3887, the head of the pattern. We can expect support here, but if it does not hold, we are set to make new relative lows which is a very ominious sign. The neckline at 4068 is likely to be a prohibitive upper bound for some time, as is usually the case with failed H&S patterns.
FX:SPX500Short
by quantguy
Stocks Struggle to Continue the RallyThe S&P 500 had a very humble breakout from the inverse head and shoulders pattern we identified yesterday. Recall that we noted an inverse H&S pattern with a neckline at 4068. We suggested that if it broke out from this, we could easily test the 4100's. We did see a bit of a bounce past 4068, but nowhere near the momentum we'd expect from a breakout. Indeed, we weren't able to even clear 4100 before running into resistance. Though the Kovach OBV has tapered up slightly, this is nowhere near the momentum we'd like to see off a proper breakout. If we reject the breakout it is a very bearish sign indeed. We could easily retrace through the vacuum zone to 4009, or even test the 3K's again. If we are able to break out, then 4122 and 4144 are the first targets we will have to break before considering higher levels.
FX:SPX500Short
by quantguy
2
Inverse Head and Shoulders in Stocks?? 📈🤑Stocks appear to be forming the inverse head and shoulders pattern that we predicted would form yesterday. The "head" of the pattern extends down to the low 3900's with the neckline at 4068. We are seeing resistance from 4068 confirmed by several red triangles on the KRI, but if we are able to break out from here, then the 4100's are reasonable, in particular 4122 and 4144. The Kovach OBV is still very bearish and has flatlined suggesting we will need more momentum to come through, perhaps at the US open, before we can expect a breakout.
FX:SPX500Long
by quantguy
SPX500 index: Let's go to 3910 today!Today we are here to talk about the SPX500 index. What's on the market now: The index is trading at 40 13. And in the last trading session, we saw the price stabilize, as I expected earlier, here is a link to the idea. Globally, the index is moving towards the level of 3830 - 3780. What are we waiting for today: Today we expect a decline to the level of 39 00, and then an attempt to rise to 4100. If the movement to 41 00 is canceled, then we expect a sharp move to the 37 80 zone What I recommend: If you want to open short: I recommend you go short above 4100. If you want to avoid risk, going short above 4145 seems to me the safest. If you want to buy: Long positions are possible from the 3910 level, limit your losses. If you outside the market: You can sell above 4100 or wait until the market bottoms around 3820-3780. Like and subscribe, thanks! Also remember to contact me in 1 or 2 days for further trading advice. See you next time!
SP:SPXShort
by kvatoo_FX
1
#ES Futures 5.16.22 OverviewToday we have inventory balancing our out 3971.50-4030.75 Range, we are above T+2 high which is 3961.75 which means we can see buy ins at levels above which is holding us up here and we were not able to extend over 4030.75 so far. Will we make a move out of this range today or will we spend time in this range for now until we are ready for next move? On the upside we have Key Resistance at 4025.25-4030.75 which we would need to break over and hold to see the upper levels of 4046-4042.25, 4061.50-4056.50 and next Key Resistance at 4084.50-4077.25. On the downside failure to get above 4030.75-4025.25 we can see lower levels get tested at 4012.50-4008.75, 3994.50-3988.75 and our Key Support at 3976.50-7371.50, as mentioned we should see buyers at lower levels as we have trapped shorts from T+2(Thursday) but if we do take out Key Support we must take out 3957.25-3953.25 to see any continuation lower, otherwise we will rotate back up. I expect a balanced day unless I see clear signs of us moving out of this balance.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
Stocks to Rebound this Week?? 📈💸Stocks have gotten support from the $3900's and have recovered the 4K's. We broke out past 4009, to come just short of 4068, before meeting resistance confirmed by two red triangles on the KRI. Currently, we are pulling back a bit, but still seem to have good support at 4K. Asian shares crumbled yesterday off extremely weak retail sales figures , so be mindful of this going into the US opening. If we fall further, we should see support in the 3900's again. If not, we may be seeing an inverse head and shoulders pattern forming with a neckline at 4068. If we break out from there, we could easily test the 4100's again.
FX:SPX500Long
by quantguy
📉How to stay calm during market crashes?🔋Hi friends! Have you saved your deposit to buy crypto? Markets are falling lower and lower every day. In this idea I will give you some tips on how to open successful trades when the market is bleeding and emotions are taking over. At the crypto market, such massive dumps happen once in 3 years, but the price sometimes falls by 30% and rises by 500-700%. This is called volatility. Crypto market is still quite young, so it is very high here. I think it`s an advantage because it`s give more opportunities to traders and investors to grow their deposit faster in compare to stock or forex markets. But if you don`t know what to do during market crashes and stay calm at any markets i`ll share with you some tips: 📈Follow the trend. First and foremost rule. You think you can reverse the price direction by yourself? Unless you have more than $1 trillion:) Why would you fight the market when it can help you? If you don`t know what is trend, please, check this idea. It helps you to identify it on lower (1m-1h), middle (1h-1d), higher (1d-1M) timeframes. 📣Join the trading community. Talk to different traders (scalpers, swingers), investors. Share ideas, keep an eye on other people's trading ideas. This way you'll faster understand your mistakes, raise your win rate and look at trading from different points of view. The human mind is built so that you calm down when you shares your thoughts. Do it! 💹Use the trading strategy. Open trades only when the strategy tells you to do so. If you don't know what a trading strategy is or how to make one, post in the comments I'll do an update for you. Simply put, you need to: 1. Create filters to help you identify future price movement. 2. Use risk and money management. To earn in trading you don`t need to open a trade using all your depo. 🚩Personally, I use: trend lines, squeeze under them, mark key levels, volume and horizontal volume indicators, track the market manipulation. There are many trading tools - find your own or borrow someone else's and adapt to yourself and your psychology. 👶If you are new to the market and this is your first experience, trade on a virtual account or try to start with 1% of your capital. If you can't make $200 from $100, how can you make $20,000 from $10,000? 🏁The statistics says that only 1% of traders make profit, 9% trade at breakeven and the other 90% lose money. Be the 1%, learn, read, develop and stay calm! Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU. P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy. Always do your analysis before making a trade.
Education
by Yuriy_Bishko
15
ES1! SPX500USD 2022 MAY 16 Week ES1! SPX500USD 2022 MAY 16 Week Last week high demand area 3913 - 4000 support came in, causing a retracement. Possible Scenarios: 1) Test and reject 4056 breakdown area for short opportunity 2) Market rotate between 4056 and 3913 to exhaust demand before being able to resume downtrend Weekly: Ave volume down bar close above middle = minor strength Daily: Low vol up bar close off high = weakness H4: Very high volume up bar close near low followed by high volume up bar closing off high = weakness Price reaction levels: Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept 4874 4800 4740 4631 4584 4525 4433 4368 4303 4133 4056 3913-4000 (previous high demand area) 3870 3720 Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by paradox677
#ES_F 5.13.22 OverviewYesterday we tested midpoint of the current range we are in on the daily, so far was a look below and fail. End of the day rally buyers were able to bring the price towards the T+2 low for today. All the sellers were taken out lower and in Globex be broke into the T+2 range and over out 3931.75-3927.25 Key Resistance, this morning we hit our next Key Resistance level of 3976.50-4971.50 and T+2 half back. So far it was look above and come back in so at the open will be watching for us to test lower levels down to 3957.25-3953.25, and 394.25-3940.25 where we should start seeing buying response, if we break under that we can test our Key support T+2 low area down to 3931.75-3927.25 but ideally we should see buyers step in before that if we will go higher today. If Key support holds and we can see a trip back over 3976.50-3971.50 and test the upper levels of that value zone, which are 3994.50-3988.75, 4012.50-4008.75 where we should see sellers because there is supply above, if we get through that then can test next Key Resistance of 4030.75-4025.25 and also the T+2 high area. Have to be patience we are in a market with supply, have to let things set up and show the way around important levels and not get caught up in the chop.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
Is a Reversal Near for Stocks??Stocks have continued their decline, set to end the week deeply in the red. We have completely given up the 4K's, extending down to our level at 3867 or so. We are currently seeing a small bounce from these lows, but have yet to test 4K again, which should provide resistance. If we keep it up, we may test 4009 or 4068. The Kovach OBV is still extremely bearish, so use caution. It might be a good idea to start accumulating a long position, just be wary of the fact that we may press lower. If the selloff resumes, we should find support from lows at 3867, then 3848 and 3825.
FX:SPX500Short
by quantguy
SXP 500 index: 3850 - 3780 May bottomToday we are here to talk about the SXP 500 index. Today: The index is trading at 3935. The market went down sharply in the last trading session. Since there is no profit fixation in the market for players, this tells me that the stop of this fall will be at the level of 38 00 - 37 80 What's on the market now: Globally, the index goes to 3850, which I mentioned earlier, but since the movement occurs with a small rollback, I expect an acceleration of the fall and a market bottom in the region of 38 00 - 37 80 What are we waiting for today: Continuation of movement to the level of 3850 - 3780 What I recommend: If you want to go short: It is better to open short positions from the level of 4000, limit your losses. If you want to buy: Long positions are possible below 3850 - 3780, limit your losses. If you outside the market: You can sell from 4000 or wait until the market bottoms around 3850-3780. If you want to ask a question about an idea: If you'd like more information, please contact me in the comments below. And please don't forget to like. This greatly motivates me to share my trading ideas and market knowledge. Also take a look at my profile for a full SPX 500 daily trading history. Contact me in 1 or 2 days for further trading advice. Like and subscribe, thanks! See you next time.
SP:SPXShort
by kvatoo_FX
6
The S&P 500 Digs into the 3K's!!Stocks have continued their decline, for the fourth day this week. This week has been abysmal for virtually all risk-on assets. We have solidly given up the 4K's, which we noted was likely to happen if 4009 was breached. We appeared to see some stability as we tested 3978 and 3963 twice, but the selloff reinvigorated, and we smashed through these levels with ease. We appear to be getting some support at the moment from 3909, the last level in the 3900 handle. If that does not hold, we will break into the 3800 handle with 3887 and 3867 the first levels of support if we plummet further. Both Kovach momentum indicators are deeply bearish, and registering oversold conditions. A relief rally is reasonable at this point, but we will likely find resistance at 4009 with 4068 a likely ceiling for now.
FX:SPX500Short
by quantguy
Have Stocks Found a Bottom??Stocks found support at 3963, once again testing the 3K handle. The S&P 500 seems to be dipping into the 3K's with increased confidence. It is reasonable at this point for stocks to take a breather and mave a sideways correction or relief rally. The Kovach OBV has turned south but does appear to be curving over. If we are to see a rally, potential targets are 4009, 4068 and 4122. If the selloff continues, then 3937, 3928 and 3909 should provide support.
FX:SPX500Short
by quantguy
SXP 500 index: SXP 500 index: Profit-taking from shorts today?Today we are here to talk about the SXP 500 index. Today: The index is trading at 3991. In the last trading session, the market went down sharply, as we expected earlier, here is a link to the idea. What's on the market now: Globally, the index goes to 3850. And I expect it to be at that level around May 18-21. What are we waiting for today: Today we are waiting for an attempt to stabilize the price caused by profit-taking, its movement to the level of 40 80 - 41 00, and then we expect a sharp movement to the level of 3850. What I recommend: If you want to go short: It is better to open short positions from the level of 4080 - 4100, limit your losses. If you want to buy: Longs possible below 3850, limit your losses. If you are in cache: You can sell from 4100 or wait until the market bottoms around 3850-3780. If you want to ask a question about an idea: If you would like more information, please contact me in the comments below. And please don't forget to like. This greatly motivates me to share my trading ideas and market knowledge. Also take a look at my profile for a full SPX 500 daily trading history. Contact me in 1 or 2 days for further trading advice. Like and subscribe, thanks! See you next time.
SP:SPXShort
by kvatoo_FX
Stocks MELT DOWN!! S&P 500 Breaks 4000!!Stocks broke down hard yesterday, as virtually all risk-on assets were sold-off. We smashed through 4122, 4068, and as we mentioned in the last reports, 4009 was the last level of the 4K's. This gave way, and we were able to test the high 3K's before finding support at 3978. We finally saw a small pivot from this level and have regained the 4K's, currently wavering in the vacuum zone between 4009 and 4068. The latter will provide resistance, then 4122 and 4144. It will take a sharp buyback to break all these levels and regain the 4200's. From below, 3978 should provide support, but after that, 3963, 3937, and 3928 are the next targets if it fails to hold.
FX:SPX500Short
by quantguy