Stocks Pause Below All Time HighsStocks are hugging the upper bound of the range discussed yesterday. This coincides with all time highs at 4633. The level we have identified nearby is 4629. The Kovach OBV is still very strong, but appears to have tapered. If momentum persists, we can anticipate another breakout soon, and 4649 is our next target, set by Fibonacci Extension levels. There is a vacuum zone below to the next level of support at 4580. After that, we can expect further support at 4564, 4545, and 4521. We are due for a technical correction. While it may not happen today, those last three levels could be ideas to buy back when we eventually see a correction.
Snp500
Is the SNP500 ready for another correction?I firmly believe that we should soon see a correction deeper than the one we recently had which began at the start of September.
The chart suggests that after finally breaking out of the bear wedge; which began at the start of the lows of the correction in March 2020, we are now witnessing what looks like to be a retest of that bear wedge.
With the addition of negative weekly RSI divergence this should see some firm movement downwards, below the low recorded in the first week of October.
Hard to see the market giving way to such a huge drop, but the market carrier Tesla is due a correction after extreme growth in the recent weeks.
Stocks Range Below HighsAs anticipated, stocks are ranging at highs. We are currently just below our next target of 4632. If we are able to breakout, then the next target after that is 4649. If ranging continues, then expect the action to be confined between 4580 and 4632. The Kovach OBV is still quite strong, but has tapered recently with the pause in stocks. We could be due for a correction soon. If so, 4564, 4545, and 4521 should provide further support.
THO is flagging and about to breakout higherNYSE:THO is ready for another leg up after positive earning. Long the breakout of the flag pattern, anticipated price action and targets are shown on the chart, stop loss daily close below 115$.
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This is only my own view and not financial advice, do your own analysis before buying or selling
Happy Trading!
4hr VIX BowlHere's a potential path ahead for the VIX indicator in the shape of the handle on a cup which began being built back in early May 21' (as shown in the graph below.
$SPX overbought with a strong negative RSI divergence.
My intial target is the 24 - 26.5 range, but if it were to break out I might reassess.
Stocks Make New Highs!! What's Next??Stocks make new highs, despite persistent issues in the supply chain, transportation industry and protests over the vaccine mandates. The S&P 500 has broken out of the 4500's and seems to have secured the 4600's for now. We came within 5 points of our target at 4632, with the current high at 4627. We are seeing a red triangle on the KRI at this level suggesting we will face resistance here. Watch for continued momentum at open to carry the trend established in the Asia-Pacific session this morning. If it does not, we should range in the value area between 4580 and 4627. The Kovach OBV is still very strong, so the trend is likely to remain bullish.
Stocks Pause RallyStocks have paused their rally as we suggested yesterday. We have found support just above 4545, as confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI. The Kovach OBV is still strong, but has curved over recently to reflect the pause. We will anticipate further support at 4521 and 4504. If we can muster the momentum for a continued rally, we will need to break 4580 before we can consider our next profit target at 4632
Stocks Dip, But Still BullishStocks have inched above the upper bound at 4580 to achieve new highs. However, the S&P 500 has pulled back slightly as we have anticipated yesterday. This appears to be a technical retracement as the S&P pauses for air after its aggressive rally. We expect support at 4564, 4545, then 4521. Our next target is 4632. The Kovach OBV is still really strong, but has curved slightly with the dip.
Stocks Rally for Fourth Day StraightStocks have rallied for the fourth day in a row. They have gained strength off earnings and the potential of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged. We are seeing some resistance at all time highs as identified by two red triangles on the KRI. The next target is 4632, but we are likely to see a pullback first. The Kovach OBV is still very strong, but at this point we are looking very over bought. The levels 4580, 4564, and 4545 may all be levels to consider buying back on a possible dip. A healthy correction could take us to 4521.
Stocks To Start the Week Strong??All stock indexes are set to open at or near all time highs off as investors prepare for key tech earnings. The S&P 500 is just under 4564 at the moment, having leveled off after inching out ATH's. The Kovach OBV is extremely strong, but be prepared for a technical retracement, especially if earnings disappoint. We should see support from 4521, 4505, and 4487. If we break out again, the next target is 4580.
Stocks Climb Despite Hawkish Fed and Tech EarningsPoor tech earnings (especially from Intel) and Hawkish comments from Fed's Bostic were not enough to faze stocks. The S&P is still gunning for highs. It has leveled off at 4550. Our next target is at 4564, which could be within reach if we see another move higher. We are looking a bit overweight at the moment, and a technical correction is due. If so, watch for support at 4521 and 4504. The Kovach OBV is extremely strong, so there is no denying the bull trend.
Stocks Still Strong!!Stocks have pressed higher, but are currently rounding off. We tested 4545, the level we mentioned yesterday, but were unable to break through at the moment. A red triangle on the KRI denotes the resistance. We have since consolidated in a very narrow range between this level and 4521. We are getting strong support here, confirmed by three green triangles on the KRI. The Kovach OBV is still strong, but with this strong rally comes the risk of a technical retracement. If so, we should have further support at 4487 or 4462. If we see another breakout, 4564 is the next level, then we can consider new highs.
Stocks Rally Off Earnings OptimismStocks have continued their rally into the 4500 handle, on earnings optimism. We are meeting some resistance at 4520, but the Kovach OBV is still quite strong, indicating a clear bull trend. At this point a technical retracement is reasonable, and we should see good support at 4462. If the rally continues, we have only two levels above, 4545 and 4564 before we can consider new highs.
VIX INDEX Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
VIX-The Volatility Index , measured by the change
Of the basket of the S&P500 future's options
Broke the rising support line
Following a sharp rebound on the S&P500
And I think that after the retest of the broken Level
We will see further bearish continuation
Sell!
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Stocks Rise Ahead of Key EarningsStocks have risen higher despite tapering and inflation worries. We have risen past the 4400 handle and have broken into the 4500 handle, but just barely. We have some key earnings today, so keep an eye on the news to determine if this rally will continue. We are starting to see some red triangles on the KRI suggesting that stocks may be facing some resistance. If so, watch for 4462 then 4400 to provide support. From above, 4521 is the next target. The Kovach OBV is pretty strong, suggesting stocks have returned to bull mode, if but for the moment.
Stocks Rally but Can they Sustain??Stocks have rallied to the mid 4400's, despite persistent inflation fears and a more hawkish stance from the Fed. We have topped off at around 4462. We came just a few ticks before the next level at 4487, before retracing. Currently, we are holding just above 4440. Two green triangles on the KRI suggest support here. The risk sentiment in the markets is mixed, and neutral at best, so it is likely that stocks will range today, assuming we do not see something change toward the open. The S&P is looking a bit top heavy, so there is more downside risk. If we retrace further, there is a cluster of levels below to provide support but 4408 seems likely to hold as a min lower bound for now.
ES1! SPX500USD 2021 Oct 18 WeekYM1!
ES1! SPX500USD 2021 Oct 18 Week
Don't chase long. Wait for price to return to test lower levels and
find acceptance to long.
Weekly: Low volume up bar = Weakness.
Caution and keep stops tight if long
Daily: Narrowing spread, low volume up bar
as price approaches previous resistance = weakness. Tighten stops
H4: Narrowing spread and effort no result as price moved up.
Tighten stops.
Entries will be based on price reaction to the levels
Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept
4550 4412
4524 4381
4472 4333
4465 4268
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Have a profitable trading week.
S&P500 turned bullHave to give it to the S&P500 to turn bullish over the last two days. Had earlier highlighted the daily chart bullish indicators and the worst case intra day based scenario. Clearly the Daily chart trend prevails and more upside should follow to the end of the month.
This was not expected, but clearly turned bullish, especially after a nice long bullish candle is followed by another to end the week. This broke above the 55EMA, the downtrend line, and activated a system Buy signal. The technical indicators are just turning up, which suggest that this could be the start of a mini bull to a higher high.
Expecting the current resistance level to hold a bit, and with a short shallow pullback some time early-mid next week. Likely continue the trend to the historical high.
Now, IF, and when it breaks this... if ever, it would be a seriously ugly fake head. #justsaying
(the time lines are there as advance expected turn dates, btw... )
SPY Normally would stay bullish, but...
Hello Traders -
I hope your are well. I just wanted to heed some warning, because well, the market looks like we've completed the bounce; but I'm not so sure. We are running up to the 200ema on the 20min. It looks like we could break through, but I'm still feeling we may have some headwinds we'll run into tomorrow with the FOMC. Let me know what you think!
Cheers,
Mike
Stocks Drift UpwardsThe S&P 500 has drifted upwards, and is currently testing 4389. At the time of this writing it has barely broken through, hovering in the 4390's. The next target will be 4408. If we can muster the strength to hit that, then 4440 is the next target, a relative high before a vacuum zone to 4462, but we have several levels before 4440, so watch for some resistance before that, unless we get some serious momentum at open. If not, we could retrace back to 4327. The Kovach OBV has started to inch upwards, but the momentum appears weak, so the risk is more to the downside.
SPY & Elliot Wave TheorySPY: Using Elliot Wave Theory, predicting a move to 4.30 seems likely.
~RSI has room to go to 430, so it is not out of the question of possibility
~The VI looked like it was about to switch momentum to bullish, but the red line is starting to curve back upwards giving the question is it really a reversal to bullish yet?
~Using Elliot Wave theory's 5 part wave we have completed the first 4 parts and are in need of the fifth. This theory predicts group mentality overall and is often times the case.
~Previous waves hint that this may be the last bearish wave before the tides turns bullish