SOFI: Bearish until channel is broken convincingly Sofi does banking differently and has great potential, but it is still a bank and banks are not a great investment right now. I don't see the price getting above the channel anytime soon. But that doesn't mean the stock is untradable. There are a couple of bearish scenarios at the moment.
1.Crash now: In this scenario price is on the intermediate C wave. In that case wave 3 should be in progress right now and price should be taking a nosedive. Breaking $6.4 will confirm the scenario.
2. Crash later: In this scenario price should complete Minor B wave triangle for intermediate wave B. In this case price should move sideways for a few more weeks before making a move higher to test the upper range of the channel. The channel might get broken as a fake out move before heading south.
Until we see another all time high on SOFI, bull case is an alternative scenario for the moment.
Sofi
PYPL falls into deep oversold zone LONGPYPL on the 30-minute chart over the past week fell 10 %, Based on the anchored
VWAP bands as well as the volume profile it is in deep oversold territory potentially
as a reaction to the stablecoin plan. Volumes are relatively hig while the ZL MACD
has had a line cross under a flipping histogram. I see this as an excellent long
swing trade setup targeting the mean VWAP or the POC line as the first target for 50%
of the trade and 25% each targeting the upper VWAP lines. I will take a combination
of a number of stocks and a put option 2-3 months out for some trade risk insurance.
SOFI flat to slightly negative YTD LONGSOFIR showed here on the 30 -minue chart has had great volatility in going no where since
the start of the year. Volatility can be harnessed for profit. This is the essence of swing
trading. With an intermediate term anchored VWAP band and line setup, it can be readily
seen that price first was resisted by the second lower band line in purple then broke out
through the band lines to meet resistance at the second upper band line ( again in purple)
and broke down through the band lines to get support at the first lower band and then
reversed and returned to the second upper band where it was rejected and fell into the
support of the second lower band from which it is now bouncing. This is a VWAP band
oscillation pattern which can be traded. I will take a long trade of SOFI here, first
targeting the mean VWAP at 8.05 and then 8.6 below the first band and finally 9.05
below the second upper band. Partial closures at 25%, 50% and 25% respectively.
I see this as a way to exploit SOFI volatity in swing trade profits which can also setup as
short trades.
EXFY a fintech penny stock at 5% of the ATH LONGEXFY recently had an earnings beat and has bullish momentum. While on a sixty minute chart it
may appear to be overextended, in the context of an all-time-high of about $50 perhaps it
has as much as 20X upside. EXFY rose from the earnings beat and then retraced and reversed the
retracement. I see it as a long wing trade perhaps until the approach to the next earnings.
The volume and volatility indicators suggest bullish momentum is strong and may continue.
Strong Rejection for SOFI, Key $5.50 Buy Target to MonitorThere has been a lot of recent hype surrounding SOFI, but I have been patiently waiting for a buy opportunity at the yellow support line. This week NASDAQ:SOFI had a strong rejection at the white resistance zone between $8.41 and $8.95. My key buy target has always been this yellow trendline, I think it will take some patience to get there though. The estimated price target is around $5.50.
$SOFI heading higher? $15 target?I think we're in meme stock phase of the cycle where things start pumping that make absolutely no sense at all -- Sofi is one of those stocks.
Again, wouldn't hold this thing, but it looks great for a trade.
Above the trendline and we should see a decent move to the $15 level and potentially to the $18 level if the first resistance breaks.
Let's see what happens.
Sofi - A possible repeating patternA repeating pattern and potential opportunity
All three companies have some form of crypto offering.
NUbank, Coinbase and Sofi appear to have similar bottoming patterns with double bottoms and a head and shoulders style reversal. The charts are not identical but you can clearly see a repeating testing of levels and a price cluster (red shaded area) which appears to be the new base forming offering good enough support for a trade set up. Under the price cluster red shaded area there are double bottoms.
I have been in the NUBank trade since Jan 2023 at $3.51 and I noticed COIN had a similar bottoming pattern in June 2023 but it had not broken out yet, so I shared a comparative chart at the time and took a position in COIN, noting the stop as the bottom of the red box. I have shared individual charts on COIN and NU to this effect also.
Since June COINBASE has had 120% increase and I believe this will continue.
Whilst its price movement since the sharing in June is not identical to NUbank, you can clearly see a parallel channel bottoming, head and shoulders reversal and similar price clusters which i marked up.
I was most confident on the COIN trade when it had its strong pull back from Jul - Oct, here I double the position when it came back and bounced off the the 200 day moving average perfectly.
Two of the great trades of this year from me which I am still currently holding NYSE:NU and $Coin.
I believe there maybe an opportunity for this much smaller company $SOFI. A trade set up is there with a defined stop and good risk to reward (outlined on chart). I have not entered this trade yet, but i may in coming weeks. I will keep you posted.
PUKA
SOFI Long?SOFI is now in a nice bullish upward move after the earnings correction .
Due to upcoming NASDAQ correction next week . SOFI might drop and test the support level of 7.68
Entry can be made with a strict stop loss of 6.90
It is just bouncing up from its 200 EMA/SMA which is a great sign of bullish movement .we can see the previous bounces off the 200 EMAs have given a good movement upwards .
Safe Entry 8.80 and safe Stop loss of 6.90
TP @ 10.20
if it breaks above 10.60 then ride it till it last :)
SoFi's Remarkable Turnaround: A Fintech Titan in the Making
SoFi Technologies Inc., ( NASDAQ:SOFI ) the fintech disruptor once labeled an "anti-bank," has achieved a significant milestone by posting its first-ever profit in the fourth quarter of 2023. The San Francisco-based company, led by CEO Anthony Noto, exceeded analysts' expectations with a net income of $48 million, marking a noteworthy leap towards its ambitious goal of becoming a top 10 financial institution. Let's delve into the key highlights and implications of SoFi's ( NASDAQ:SOFI ) recent financial success and strategic shifts.
Breaking Down the Numbers:
SoFi ( NASDAQ:SOFI ) reported a fourth-quarter adjusted net revenue of $594.2 million, surpassing Wall Street estimates of $573.2 million. Earnings per share (EPS) stood at 2 cents, beating expectations of zero cents and demonstrating a positive turnaround from a 5-cent loss in the same quarter a year earlier. The strong financial performance has sent SoFi stock soaring, with a 16% surge to $8.84 in early trading.
Strategic Shifts and Growth Outlook:
CEO Anthony Noto outlined a pivotal transition year for SoFi ( NASDAQ:SOFI ) in 2024, emphasizing the company's focus on technology and financial services segments rather than aggressively growing its lending operations. Noto stated, "We're not planning to grow our lending business at all," highlighting a deliberate shift in strategy. SoFi's ( NASDAQ:SOFI ) projections for 2024 include a full-year net income in the range of $95 million to $105 million, with an EPS between 7 cents and 8 cents. The outlook factors in four anticipated interest rate cuts, reflecting a pragmatic approach to the economic landscape.
Diversification Beyond Lending:
SoFi ( NASDAQ:SOFI ), initially recognized for student-loan refinancing, has expanded its offerings beyond traditional lending. The company entered the cryptocurrency space in 2019 but recently announced its exit due to regulatory pressures. In a move to enhance its investment platform, SoFi ( NASDAQ:SOFI ) will now allow customers to invest in alternative investment funds, mutual funds, and money market funds. This strategic expansion aligns with the company's vision of providing a comprehensive suite of financial services.
Outlook Beyond 2026:
Looking ahead, SoFi ( NASDAQ:SOFI ) anticipates robust growth, projecting a 20% to 25% EPS growth beyond 2026. This optimistic outlook reflects both sustained core business growth and the added benefits from new business lines expected to launch between 2024 and 2026. As SoFi ( NASDAQ:SOFI ) continues to evolve, it remains committed to delivering innovative financial solutions and capitalizing on emerging opportunities.
Conclusion:
SoFi's ( NASDAQ:SOFI ) journey from a student-loan refinancing startup to a profitable fintech powerhouse underscores its resilience and adaptability in a rapidly changing financial landscape. The recent financial success, strategic shifts, and diversified offerings position SoFi ( NASDAQ:SOFI ) as a formidable player in the industry. Investors and industry observers will undoubtedly be closely watching as the company navigates its transition year and pursues its vision of becoming a top-tier financial institution.
Sofi bullish diamond formation. SOFLYSofi formed a nice bullish diamond pattern nicely visible on 30min, which should play out next week. Market might be a little tired after a little selloff. Buy the dippers might step in and Sofi could be on the receiving end. The end of the pattern might play out at the gap fill at roughly 9.50. Good luck.
Overview of $SoFi's Recent Performance
SoFi Technologies ( NASDAQ:SOFI ) is displaying a promising upward trend in the medium to long term, reflecting positive developments and heightened investor interest.
NASDAQ:SOFI is in a rising trend channel in the medium long term. Rising trends indicate that the company experiences positive development and that buy interest among investors is increasing. NASDAQ:SOFI has broken a resistance level and given a positive signal for the long-term trading range.
The stock has support at dollar 8.10 and resistance at dollar 11.40. This indicates increasing optimism among investors and further price increase for SoFi Technologies. However, for big stocks, high RSI may be a sign that the stock is overbought and that there is a chance of a reaction downwards. The RSI curve shows a rising trend, which supports the positive trend. The 200-day moving average is below the current price, indicating a long-term uptrend.
$SOFI Testing Pivot Top NASDAQ:SOFI is currently testing its Pivot Top from May 1st, 2023, marked by a green arrow. For bullish momentum to be sustained, Sofi must remain above the designated purple line. However, if it closes below this level and sustains that position with a weekly close, it would indicate that bearish forces have taken control.
SoFi Shares Gain as FinTech Company Reports Record Memberships.Shares of SoFi Technologies (SOFI) gained ground Monday through Tuesday after the fintech company raised its full-year guidance following a quarter in which it achieved record new memberships and product enrollment, as well as a big increase in student loan volume.
SoFi reported a third-quarter net loss of $19.5 million, or $0.03 a share, but CEO Anthony Noto said that the company was on path to post a fourth-quarter profit. SoFi added a record 717,000 new members for the quarter, a 47% year-over-year increase. The company’s members added more than 1 million new financial products over the quarter, representing a 45% jump from the same period last year.
SoFi shares gained as much as 15% in early trading, but ended the session just 1% higher. SoFi is up more than 50% year-to-date.
The company reported strong demand for personal loans, along with growth in student loans, to push total loan volume up 48% year-over-year. Student loan volume grew $462 million to exceed $919 million, a 101% increase over the same quarter last year, as borrowers prepared to restart student loan payments in October.
Personal quarterly loan originations surged to a record $3.9 billion, a $1.1 billion, or 38%, jump from the quarter last year, and a 4% increase from the prior quarter. The company also grew home loans up 64% year-over-year to $356 million, citing growth in that segment as it integrates the acquisition of Wyndham Capital Mortgage into its organization.
SoFi raised its full-year adjusted net revenue expectations to $2.045 billion-$2.065 billion, up from the prior guidance of $1.974 billion-$2.034 billion. The company raised its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance to $386 million-$396 million, from the prior guidance of $333 million-$343 million.
Price Momentum
SOFI is trading in the middle of its 52-week range and below its 200-day simple moving average.
The Stock is trading in the middle of its 52-week range and below its 200-day simple moving average. Investors are still evaluating the share price, but the stock still appears to have some downward momentum depicting the head and shoulder trend.
Paypal - Going Long In a Bear Market?Paypal is an antiquated business model. The problem is, the Federal Reserve just launched FedNow, which is like a bank-to-bank Central Bank Digital Currency.
Most CBDCs will come in the future, and they will target retail/consumers, and Paypal will no longer be useful for transferring money.
In Canada, where I am, Paypal is already primarily worthless, because the company that handles debit card payments, Interac, set up, many, many years ago, a service that allows us to send money to each other from our banks via email.
Both people and businesses use it extensively. It's fast, easy, instant, and free, so why bother with Paypal?
CBDCs are a problem for humanity, because they are the collar, leash, and chains that enable Party West's implementation of their favourite role model, the Chinese Communist Party, who deployed full scale social credit under the guise of "Zero COVID."
The CCP and its 24-year persecution against the Falun Dafa spiritual believers launched by former Chairman Jiang Zemin on July 20, 1999, are something absolutely essential for mankind to reject, oppose, and eliminate.
They aren't things for you to rack your brains thinking about importing so that stimmies can be collected from a central authority.
If you want a future, we need to return to mankind's traditions, human, divinely imparted tradition and culture, and dispose of the garbage that is Marxism, atheism, the Theory of Evolution, and the doctrine of struggle.
The fact that Paypal is being replaced by CBDCs is awful evident on monthly candles, which give you absolutely no reason to believe there's going to be any kind of Meta/Tesla/NVDIA-style reversal of fortune.
But what's really notable about this stock, which I have criticized extensively on Twitter as not being a long, is the weekly bars, since April, actually indicate a long trade scalp is set up.
That scalp setup has not been present for even one second, until today's post market earnings dump back to $68.
The thesis is simple.
Since Paypal has filled ALL of the gap, and over a long period of time, it indicates for lower prices to come, some objectives over previous highs are most likely in order.
The most premium level for this to occur would be the January high at $88.
But a failure swing somewhere over $84 would also be a heck of a trade.
Where to long? Tomorrow's dump may be too early. The most perfect would be $65, under the flat bottom lows. But you may or may not get it.
The problem is, how long does it take Paypal to mark up into the $80s?
We don't have that much time to play with the JPM collar being long 4,200 SPX puts expiring September 29.
And the markets are looking like they intend perhaps one more upswing before doom, which I cover here:
SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg
In any event, markets correcting violently and VIX pushing highs hard may put a painful and abrupt end to rallies across all classes.
But it seems we may have a rally ahead.
And with all the factors combining, buying Paypal between Thursday and Friday in a price range between $68 and $65 is a trade.
If it doesn't go up, then the trade isn't confirmed. But you might have to wait at least a month to see if that comes true.
What you don't want to and can't see is the $58 low taken out.
When Paypal is done taking out short sellers who didn't take profit at $58 and want to ride to zero, I believe the next target is the $45 level.
And then this thing goes the way of Bed Bath and Beyond and Blockbuster.
Be careful. What lies ahead in the remainder of 2023 will be hard to navigate.
And 2024 might be an entirely unpleasant experience for all.
SOFI Swing Trade RecapSOFI as a fin tech company has been volatile. Besides the issues of student loan
forgiveness, the federal adjustments of the intrabank overnight rates and inflation
inparting the budgets of its customers, the landscape has landmines and its litterd
with signs of fiscal damage. Knowing it had upcoming earnings and perhaps some
greed competing against fear with traders. I took a trade and the closed it on
earnings. Here are the particulars.
!. the 30 minute bare chart is overlaid with a double set of Bollinger Bands. The settings are
not the default. If you want them, like the idea and then ask. A linear regression line with a
period of 28 is added. The volume is underneath. Finally a MACD indicator in a lower pane.
2. For the entry, on July 27, late in the session, price fell outside the lower bands and then
came back inside them after printing a red Doji bar and a little surge of selling volume
above the running mean. There it was a simple easy entry. Price crosses over the
regression line. MACD lines crossed under the histogram.
3. The swing trade progressed and price action progressed. On the mornings of the report
release traders were freaked out. Was the beat good enough ? Volatity was over the top.
after a bit of a drop, volume came into the trade in a big way and price followed the lead of
volume ( serious money flow). Price shot higher and got beyond those BB upper bands with
hugh volatility topping wicks. Once price got back inside the bands I exited.
4. This trade yielded more than 25% in 3 day pretty good for just a little effort. Of course stop
loss was moved every time a 2% rise occurred the stop loss was moved up 2.2% getting closer
and closer to price gradually.
5. Price dropped into a full pullback within a couple of hours. I would have liked to play
the downside but I was overextended on the number of trades I was managing.
6. As an afterthought, price is now doing what is called a lower bollinger band walk,
That is to say, it is increasingly at risk to reverse and start uptrending. Price is under the
middle BB and a little under the mean VWAP. It is begging to reverse. I am waiting for
an entry on that and the wait will not be long.
( By the way a certain someone, you are a smart trader and you will most certainly know
I uploaded this idea for you).
SoFi jumped short and opened highSoFi jumped short and opened high
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of SoFi stocks from 2021 to the present. The top to bottom golden section is superimposed in the figure. As shown in the figure, the low point of SoFi stock in the past two years is exactly the 4.000 level of the golden section in the figure, and the high point in June this year is exactly 3.000 level! On the last trading day of July 2023, the SoFi stock jumped short and opened high, then surged, approaching the long start level before reaching the historical peak!
SoFi Technologies SoFi Technologies (SOFI)
A great example of how Fibonacci Extension levels align with support & resistance levels.
Confirmations for new entry:
- Break above OBV resistance line
- Retest of 200 day SMA or break & retest of 1.00
fib ext at $8.70.
If already in the trade, congratulations. We are above the 200 SMA and it is upward sloping. It would be nice to see us break and hold above the Aug 2022 highs.
I hope this chart can help you manage the trade and de-risk at specific levels or increase allocation by skimming and reentering at specific levels.
SOFI vwap crossover earnings 2 days LONGOn Friday the 28th SOFI had a good day. I am looking for more of the same going
into earnings. It dropped through the middle VWAP bands and remarkably rebounded.
Great volatility to be exploited. Some consolidation at the +1 Standard Deviation band
is normal and healthy. SOFI as a financial technology has been honing its margins
in a challenging environment. I see a long trade here and will take it being careful
to take profits quickly and pay attention to the earnings release. A stock trade on an
the intraday basis is considered. A 1 % stop loss is good enough since price is sitting on
dynamic support. The target is 10.0, the pivot high of mid-July, This is 2.5% for a modest
quick trade with a risk of 1 for a reward of 2.5. Just a basic trade at a good entry.
SOFI channeling but rising LONGShown on a 15-minute chart, SOFI is seen slowly rising in a parallel channel
bounded by a pair of anchored VWAP bands - the first and second deviations
above the mean VWAP from anchors back in mid-June. Fundamentally, SOFI
has been challenged by another round of student loan forgiveness by our
President as well as the instability in the prime rates ongoing.
On the chart, price is near to the bottom support of the mean VWAP lines coming
back to them since rising above them about July 10th. The trend index indicator
is neutral having resolved a minor trend down. Price dropped today with the
bond auction fiasco and general market downturn. the RS indicator shows both
low and high time frame lines bounced from the lows and the lower time frame
green line now crossing over 50.
I see SOFI as ripe and ready for a long trade to exploit this dip and the overall
long trend in a slowly rising channel I will set a stop loss under VWAP at 8.97
and the target of 9.45 , the first standard deviation blue lines and the POC line of
the volume profile, and the secondary target of 9.95 below the second
deviation red lines . I see that as a buy the low dip and sell upon the reversion to
the mean.