SOL 100-200-300-400$ (in 2025)Solana, which emerged on the blockchain technology scene in 2017, has quickly established itself as one of the most promising solutions for scalable decentralized applications (DApps). Since the launch of the core network beta in March 2021, Solana has entered the top 5 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, demonstrating an impressive ability to process over 65,000 transactions per second. This characteristic makes it attractive to developers looking to build fast, efficient, and low-cost DApps.
The Solana ecosystem is rich and diverse, including DeFi, RWA, NFT, and DAO (Decentralized Autonomous Organizations) projects. Its architecture supports complex smart contracts, which opens the door for innovative applications ranging from simple transactions to complex financial instruments and gaming platforms.
One of Solana's key development areas is tokenization of real-world assets. Tokenization turns rights to physical or traditional assets, such as real estate, artwork, or securities, into digital tokens on the blockchain. This not only increases the liquidity of assets, but also allows smaller investors to participate in markets that were previously inaccessible to them. Solana, with its high throughput and low transaction fees, becomes the ideal platform for such innovation.
Roadmap and upgrades
Solana's roadmap and upcoming updates reflect its commitment to improving performance, scalability and usability, positioning itself as the leading platform for high-performance blockchain applications. An overview of current plans and updates is provided below:
Scaling and Performance
Solana is gearing up for significant improvements with the introduction of the Firedancer validator client, developed in collaboration with Jump Crypto. Firedancer is designed to significantly increase the transaction processing capabilities of the network, with test environments already demonstrating capabilities in excess of 1 million TPS. This upgrade is part of Solana's broader strategy to scale the network to meet future growth and demand.
Network and stability improvements
After experiencing network stability issues, Solana has focused on improving the upgrade process. This includes improving the testing phases with external developers and auditors, as well as creating a team of adversaries to simulate attacks and find vulnerabilities. Moving from a focus on new features to network stability: a significant portion of the engineering team is dedicated to stability and adversarial testing.
Ecosystem and developer support
The Solana roadmap includes extensive developer support through grants, hackathons, and improved tools to foster an agile ecosystem. This includes improving Solana's runtime environment and introducing new features such as prioritized payments to better manage the urgency of transactions.
Expanding promising areas
Solana's focus goes beyond mere technical upgrades to include expanding the ecosystem, empowering developers and making the platform attractive to new projects, especially in the areas of DeFi, RWA and Web3 applications.
This roadmap and series of updates underscores Solana's commitment to not only improve its current technology stack, but also to remain at the forefront of blockchain innovation by offering a reliable, fast and scalable platform for both developers and users.
Statistics and metrics
At the moment, Solana's stats show several positive aspects:
TVL
The Solana network has reached a yearly high in TVL, indicating an increased interest and confidence in DeFi projects on this platform, with Solana's TVL currently at $5.1 billion.
Commissions
There has been a significant reduction in transaction fees on the Solana network, making it more attractive to users and developers.
Increase in the number of active addresses
There has been an increase in the number of daily active addresses, indicating an expanding user base.
Interest from institutional investors
Solana has attracted the attention of both retail and institutional traders due to its unique consensus approach, indicating that its long-term potential is recognized. It's also possible that a Solana ETF is coming soon! BUT IT IS NOT CERTAIN
Overall Dynamics
Despite some fluctuations, the overall trend for Solana remains positive, with notable price appreciation compared to previous periods and active ecosystem development.
Real World Assets (RWA)
Solana, like any other public blockchain, provides transparency, automates payment settlement, allows users to self-manage assets, and offers a global settlement infrastructure for tokenized assets that operates 24/7. However, beyond the general benefits of public blockchains, Solana stands out with the following advantages.
Low transaction fees and high speed:
For high frequency use cases such as tokenized Forex, equities, etc., Solana enables trading with extremely low fees, fast transaction confirmation and high throughput - all with a single global network state.
Standards and Ecosystem:
A healthy ecosystem, including battle-tested decentralized exchanges (DEXs) as well as robust standards such as cNFTs (compressed NFTs), pNFTs (programmable NFTs), Token 2022, and others, provides real-world digital assets (RWAs) with the necessary building blocks to create and launch their products. We will take a closer look at the infrastructure available for RWA projects on Solana later in this study.
While stablecoins are not typically categorized as real world assets (RWAs), they are the first type of RWA to gain significant traction, being backed by US dollars and Treasury bonds (T-Bills) as core reserves.
Stablecoins can be said to demonstrate the highest product-market fit in the RWA category. The following stablecoins are available on the Solana platform:
USDC, backed by US dollars held in US banks, and T-Bills, managed by BlackRock.
USDT, which is said to be backed by US dollars, T-Bills and other assets.
USDY, an income-generating stablecoin backed by tokenized Treasury bonds issued by Ondo Finance.
USDP by Paxos. UXD, partially backed by real world assets such as private credit.
Bridged Wormhole DAI, backed by DAI, which in turn is partially backed by RWA.
QCAD, a stablecoin backed by the Canadian dollar.
EUROE, a steiblcoin backed by the euro.
ISC, backed by a basket of real world assets.
EUROC by Circle.
GYEN and ZUSD by GMO-Z.
Expect to see a slew of new non-dollar-backed steblecoins, as well as innovations in revenue-generating steblecoins, on Solana in the coming months.
Two major real estate players on Solana are already up and running and performing incredibly well - Parcl and Homebase. While both may seem similar at first glance, they are quite different. While Homebase represents real estate on the web, Parcl focuses on tokenizing a real estate price index:
Homebase
SPV creation: A Homebase Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) acquires real estate and NFTs represent an ownership stake in that SPV. Users purchase properties for sale through Homebase using a USDC stablcoin, which is represented in the form of NFTs. The USDC collected is pooled and converted into US dollars to purchase real estate associated with the SPV. The rental income generated in dollars is converted back to USDC and users automatically receive monthly rental income into their wallets. Users can buy and sell Home NFT on the Homebase marketplace. The best part is that Homebase is fully compliant with the law: the tokens are registered with the SEC, and there are established procedures in place to recover the tokens if a user's wallet is hacked. However, at the moment, the service is only available to US residents.
Parcl
Parcl allows you to invest in real estate starting at $1 by providing access to real estate markets in cities around the world through REIT-like indexes. Think of Parcl as a company that creates real estate indexes, functioning as a price information service. It has also developed a persistent AMM platform to trade these indexes, allowing users to take long or short positions. Parcl currently has over $1 million in collateral (TVL) and is active in major U.S. cities such as Brooklyn, Las Vegas, and Paris, with plans to add cities such as London, Jakarta, and Hong Kong.
The great thing is that the real estate market is not a game with one winner. There can be over 100 real estate tokenization marketplaces on Solana without directly competing with each other, as they can serve different geographic regions and tap into a huge industry worth over $400 trillion!
Meme
The development of memes in the Solana ecosystem reflects a broader cultural phenomenon where internet culture intersects with cryptocurrency technology to create a unique space for creativity, investment and community. On Solana, as with other blockchain systems, memes have evolved from mere jokes to meaningful digital assets known as meme tokens or memcoins. Starting in late 2023 and continuing into 2024, memes on Solana have begun to gain momentum, thanks in part to the network's high bandwidth and low transaction costs, making it attractive for creating and trading meme tokens. Memcoins such as BONK, Dogwifhat, and Myro have become known not only for their humorous content, but also for the innovations they have brought to the ecosystem. For example, BONK stood out because of its eirdrop strategy to stimulate activity in the Solana community. Unlike the first memes, which were mostly about humor, the new memes on Solana began to offer real utility. Projects began to integrate memes into broader ecosystems, including decentralized applications (dApps) and even new blockchain layers, as seen in the Base ecosystem example, where memes are used to add value and engage users.
Memes have become a powerful tool for marketing and community building. They not only attract the attention of new users through humor and viral content, but also keep existing members interested through constant interaction and new initiatives like airdrop or special events. Despite the fun and potential for rapid growth in value, meme tokens carry significant risks due to their speculative nature. Statistics show that only about 10% of all wallets are profi...
The development of memes in the Solana ecosystem demonstrates how digital culture can influence financial technology, creating new forms of engagement, investment and innovation. While memes began as jokes, they have evolved to become part of a broader movement in the cryptocurrency industry where community, technology, and economics intersect in the most unexpected ways.
Token Standards
The SPL token protocol in the Solana ecosystem sets the rules for the creation and operation of both NFT and fungible tokens, ensuring their compatibility with wallets and smart contracts on the platform. Unlike Ethereum, which uses separate standards for different classes of tokens, such as ERC-20 for fungible and ERC-721 for non-fungible tokens, the SPL on Solana is used universally for all types of tokens, the differences between which are laid down at the time of their initialization. Solana has also introduced token-2022, which promises to empower developers and users to issue and manage tokens. Token standards play a key role in ensuring “tokenization” is done in a secure and standardized way:
SPL Token: The main token standard on Solana, representing fungible tokens. Like any stablecoin, any Real Asset Market Participant (RWA) can launch their asset as an SPL token, including features for dynamic offering, minting, freezing, burning, and so on.
Token 2022: Extending the original standard, Token 2022 offers additional features relevant to RWAs: - Confidential Transfers: Allows private token transfers; important for institutions wishing to hide their transactions.
Transfer fees: Issuers can customize fees or taxes on certain transactions.
Interest-accumulating tokens: Tokens that accumulate interest over time, similar to bonds.
Non-transferable tokens: Tokens that cannot be transferred once issued.
Metaplex Standards for NFTs: Metaplex has developed a set of standards for NFTs, such as compressed NFTs and Programmable NFTs, which may also allow RWA market participants to represent unique assets.
Bridges
Bridges on Solana are technology solutions that enable the transfer of digital assets and information between the Solana blockchain and other blockchain systems, such as Ethereum. These bridges play a key role in enabling interoperability between different blockchain networks, allowing users to move tokens and other assets between Solana and other networks, which opens up access to applications and services on Solana, such as decentralized financial applications (DeFi), without having to sell their assets on one network to buy on another. They also improve liquidity by allowing assets to be used across multiple ecosystems, which can attract more users and increase trading volumes. In addition, breeches can reduce costs and transaction times, given that Solana is known for its low fees and high transaction speeds.
As of the latest information, popular breeches for Solana include Wormhole, which connects Solana to other blockchains including Ethereum, Allbridge, which provides the ability to transfer assets between different blockchain systems, Portal by Wormhole, known for its low fees and high liquidity, deBridge, known for its transaction speed, and Rango Exchange, which serves as an aggregator for finding the best exchange routes between blockchains.
The process of using these bridges typically involves connecting a cryptocurrency wallet, selecting a network and token to send, and then specifying a network and token to receive. Once the transaction is confirmed, the bridge blocks assets on the source blockchain and issues equivalent tokens on the target blockchain, in this case, Solana. Using bridges on Solana expands the possibilities for users, allowing them to take advantage of different blockchain systems while remaining in an ecosystem known for its high performance and low transaction costs.
Conclusion
Research on the Solana ecosystem shows that it is attracting attention in the US due to the opportunities that decentralized exchanges (DEXs) provide for tax evasion, as transactions on such platforms are more difficult to track. In this context, Circle's USDC stands out as the most popular stablecoin, providing stability and trust in transactions. At the same time, the meme culture in the cryptocurrency sphere has a significant impact, directing investment flows and creating temporary but powerful trends. These trends are expected to spill over into more stable or innovative sectors such as Real World Assets (RWAs) over time, indicating an evolution of investor interest. The Solana ecosystem is also seeing interest in new technologies and tools, which may include various protocols aimed at improving its functionality. The crowning achievement of Solana's development is seen by many as the possibility of issuing an exchange-traded fund (ETF), which would mean recognition from traditional finance and could significantly strengthen Solana's position as one of the leading and fastest growing cryptocurrency ecosystems in the market. Solana, despite its reputation as one of the fastest blockchain networks, has faced challenges in the form of intermittent outages. These incidents raise questions about the stability and reliability of the network, especially during periods of high load. The interconnection between Solana and FTX, as well as Alameda Research, has led to concerns about possible market manipulation. FTX and related entities have significant amounts of SOL tokens, which could theoretically give them leverage to influence the market. This situation highlights the risks associated with centralizing power in ecosystems that are supposed to be decentralized. Like many cryptocurrency projects, Solana faces regulatory risks. Increased regulation in various jurisdictions could negatively impact the liquidity, availability, and value of SOL tokens. Careful analysis, adaptation to regulatory changes and continuous technological improvement will be key to Solana's sustainable growth and stability in the future.
Best regards EXCAVO
SOL
Sept 1Overview:
A significant sell-off occurred at 10 AM on Sunday in New York, which was 9 PM in Shanghai. The Asian bears have made their presence felt. Will American bulls step in to buy this dip, or have they had enough? Between 4-5 AM NYC time, the COINBASE:BTCUSD price was pushed back up to the $58.4k weekly level, but it has now clearly become a resistance level rather than support. As the Labor Day hangover fades and Tuesday approaches, we hope the digital currency market remains intact.
W: After Sunday, last week's closing price was below the previous week's opening price and below the weekly level of $58.4k. This is bearish.
D: The new daily closing price of $57.3k is the lowest in this retracement since the August 5th crash. Bearish.
4h: Previously, we had visited this low price, but it didn’t close at the end of the day, making it appear as a wick on the daily and weekly candles. However, on the 4-hour chart, it is visible as a candle body, which gives the impression of trading within a price range. If we look at Bollinger Bands, the price has failed to break the moving average since crossing it from the top on August 26th.
1h: This drop in price can be considered a bear trap. This becomes increasingly clear as we move to lower time frames (4h, 1h, etc.).
Alts relative to BTC: Altcoins sold off more deeply but are now recovering faster than BTC, mainly due to their volatile nature.
Bull case: We held the weekly level, so this could be the bottom.
Bear case: Once Tuesday rolls in, the market might start selling frantically.
Fear and Greed Index: 42.5 - trending downward. Once it dips below 40, entering the "Fear" zone, everyone should start buying.
Prediction: Tuesday will bring a wave of bears.
Opportunities: Look for divergences on the weekly and 4-hour charts of major altcoins: Short BINANCE:TONUSDT
SOL Mid Term IdeaSolana has reached a critical crossroads.
The price is currently above a crucial SR Flip zone. Staying above this level could lead to targets of $140, $162, $175, and $202, and potentially a new all-time high (ATH).
However, if it closes below this zone, we might see a pullback to the $70-$80 range.
Aug 31, Week overview.Overview:
The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for July, also known as the inflation rate, was reported at 2.5%. This matches the rate from June and is consistent with the readings from January and February of this year. The PCE is similar to the Consumer Price Index (CPI), but the Federal Reserve prefers the PCE because it accounts for changes in consumer behavior and provides a broader measure of inflation. For example, if consumers switch from buying beef to chicken because beef becomes more expensive, the PCE captures this substitution effect, whereas the CPI does not adjust as quickly.
The FRED:SP500 SP500 closed the week with a strong performance, breaking out of its established range with the highest volume seen in the last 20 days. However, this surge wasn’t driven by the volatile tech sector, as evidenced by the weaker performance of NASDAQ:QQQ .
The Dow Jones Industrial Average ( TVC:DJI DJI) closed with a confirming green candle, cementing its all-time high. The economy appears to be booming.
W: This week, COINBASE:BTCUSD completely retraced last week’s green candle that touched the Bollinger Bands (BB) moving average (MA). It's always interesting to see what happens during Asian trading hours on Monday morning (late Sunday evening in the US). This time, the US might not interfere with Asian market movements due to the Labor Day holiday. If there’s a sell-off, US bulls might be away from their brokerages, unable to support the crucial $58.4k level. Bearish.
D: Over the last four days, BTC has seen lower highs but the same lows. This period mirrored the global liquidity index, which has been declining for the last four days as well. No divergences.
4h: No divergences. BTC is below the Point of Control, which is bearish, but it is aiming to break the weekly support line for the third time in four days. Neutral.
1h: Range trading. No divergences. Neutral.
Alts relative to BTC: Alts are weaker than BTC. This is the type of divergence we typically look for. BINANCE:SOLUSD and BINANCE:NEARUSD have been sliding down for the last eight days, approaching their August 5th closing prices. BINANCE:ETHUSD is only 2.44% below its recent level.
Bull case: A booming stock market could reduce inflation concerns. Market participants may turn optimistic and start betting on riskier assets. BTC could hold the $58.4k level once again, and next week we might see a big green candle that initiates the fourth bull run wave of the current cycle.
Bear case: The worst happens—while bulls are celebrating Labor Day, Asian bears could completely annihilate the market.
Fear and greed index: 46.36. Flat for four days.
Prediction: Short-term outlook is indecisive. Weekly outlook remains bearish.
Opportunities, at W, 4h divergences of major alts: Many Alts are at weekly levels as BTC attempts to bounce off its support level. This presents an opportunity for a few short-term green candles. However, be cautious, as you will be betting against a larger trend, so set tight take-profit (TP) levels and even tighter stop-loss (SL) levels.
Ducks in A Barrel Long Setups - BTC, SOL, TON & PADISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This for educational purposes only to show how I am looking to participate in these markets. Trading involves significant risk, do your own homework and due diligence.
Ducks in a Barrel Weekly-Daily Strategy
LONGS: BTC, SOL, TON
SHORT: PA
LONGS:
The crypto market is overall in a strong up trend based on weekly MA's sloping up. We see that BTC, SOL & TON are undervalued vs the price of Gold and Treasuries, and are oversold on stochastic. If we see a trend change to the upside on the Daily chart, I'll look to long these markets. I admit, I'd like to see sentiment more bearish, as currently sentiment is in the middle of the road. Perhaps one more flush to the downside would create some panic and bearish sentiment, which would make this trade idea even more valid.
SHORTS:
Palladium is in a strong weekly downtrend. Right now we are overvalued vs treasuries, but not yet overvalued vs gold or overbought. I'd like to see this market get overbought & overvalued vs gold to qualify looking for shorts on the daily time frame.
Good luck & Good trading.
SOL Waiting For The BEST Entry: Bullish TriangleSOL has been trading inside this triangle pattern since practically forever. I'm not calling for a bearish move here, I'm only sharing my view from where I will enter if we continue to go down.
The bottom support has been holding on 4 seperate ocassions, my assumption is that it requires a lot of power to fall through, since bulls will be buying from there.
Ideally, SOL will move back up to the top resistance, or even better break out of it.
SOL / SOLANA🔍 SOL/USDT Analysis: 15-Minute Timeframe 📉
The SOL/USDT chart on a 15-minute timeframe highlights significant upcoming times where price movements may present trading opportunities. For short-term, intraday, or scalping trades, these signals can be crucial.
• August 30, 2024, 22:15, August 31, 2024, 08:45 - Red Lines: These times mark potential local peaks. Traders might consider these as moments to take profits or reduce exposure, as the price could encounter resistance or a downturn.
• August 30, 2024, 13:15, August 31, 2024, 04:00 - Green Lines: These times indicate potential local lows, providing favorable conditions for accumulating SOL or entering long positions.
Note: The exact timing of these phases can vary by +/- a few hours. All times are based on UTC-7 (Los Angeles).
Aug 29Overview:
The FRED:SP500 experienced another day of indecisiveness. However, for the first time during this established range, it closed in red for two consecutive days. NASDAQ:QQQ followed a similar pattern. Both indices showed higher volume than the previous day, confirming the downtrend. Buckle up for the opening price on September 3rd (Monday is Labor Day in the US).
GDP growth came in strong at 3%. Does this seem like a shrinking economy? Could there be a recession if the Fed doesn’t pour gasoline on this fire? It’s starting to look like 2 rate cuts instead of 4 by the end of the year.
BTC ETF has been selling for three consecutive days—on the 27th, 28th, and 29th. On the 27th, we saw a big red candle, but the market was able to absorb all that selling pressure without dropping lower. However, it's a bearish sign that even at the relatively low price point of $60k, the ETF crowd doesn't seem confident in COINBASE:BTCUSD
ETH ETF trading was halted, with no buying or selling activity. Are they bracing for a big move, or is this the bottom?
W: Old range, nothing new. Bearish.
D: On Thursday, bulls tried to push it higher and correct the crash that occurred on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday. However, we are holding the range support, and the recent dip resulted in higher lows and higher highs. Mildly bullish.
4h: Sitting at the point of control line (from volume profile). It wants to break above the BB MA for the second time this week. Mildly bullish.
1h: Broke above BB MA, with an upper target of $60.05k. Bullish.
Alts relative to BTC: For many ALTs ( COINBASE:SOLUSD , COINBASE:NEARUSD , BINANCE:ARUSD , COINBASE:RNDRUSD ), Thursday was a red day, creating a divergence with BTC. This is bearish for the overall crypto market. If we have three days of the market going down, and on the fourth, BTC is recovering, we want ALTs to recover with it, not continue the sell-off.
Bull case: We are holding our levels strongly, and more accumulation is happening at this level. The Cumulative Volume Data (CVD) indicator suggests that even with more aggressive sellers present, the price is still able to rise, meaning some market participants are buying up those sell orders.
Bear case: Same as yesterday—the bulls are weak, and the price continues to revisit the support level until it’s broken.
Fear and greed index: 46.45. No change.
Prediction: Short-term zigzag, long-term bearish.
Opportunities, at W, 4h divergences of major alts: With BTC not knowing where to go, any ALTs technical analysis will be useless. Just like our previous prediction of COINBASE:APTUSD correction due to the MACD divergence and head-and-shoulders pattern didn’t play out, and it still bounces off the weekly resistance level.
Aug 25Overview: The FRED:SP500 closed Monday with a red candle, erasing last week’s Friday gains. Durable goods orders were reported today, showing the highest increase since July 2020. This indicator reflects the amount of new orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods expected to last at least three years, such as automobiles, appliances, electronics, and machinery. An increase in durable goods orders typically signals business confidence and a willingness to invest in long-term assets. However, this rise was driven mainly by automobile purchases; excluding cars, the figure was down 0.2%.
Global liquidity has been increasing for the past 60 days. The last time we saw such a sustained rise was from the end of October 2023 to mid-January 2024, which marked the start of the current bull market. This is a bullish signal.
W: The BINANCE:BTCUSD price has reached the lower bound of the current range, 63k-64k.
D: Monday closed with a red candle. The lack of a lower wick is concerning, suggesting that bears pushed the price down throughout the day without giving bulls a chance to buy back. It closed slightly below the W level of 63k, at 62.8k.
4h: The price is at the bottom of the Bollinger Bands (BB). A rebound is needed, but it’s not happening yet. The price is trading below the W level. While this isn’t a significant issue for the W candle, it’s crucial for the 4h to stay above 63.1k.
1h: The RSI has touched the oversold level of 30. This is a bullish signal.
Alts Relative to BTC: There’s no significant divergence. Some altcoins corrected less ( BINANCE:SOLUSD , BINANCE:NEARUSD ) while others corrected more ( BINANCE:SUIUSD , BINANCE:FTMUSD ), but in the early hours of Tuesday, almost all have recovered to their highs after the recent pump.
Bull Case: This isn’t a bull trap, and we’ll see a climb on low trading volume. Whales might hold on, waiting for interest rate cuts, or they could start selling just before the cuts.
Bear Case: This is a bull trap unfolding, with fewer bulls willing to hold this price level.
Fear and Greed Index: 53.61. This is a 'no trade' zone if you prefer to buy low and sell high with the highest conviction.
Prediction: Undecided.
Opportunities:
BINANCE:AAVEUSD : At W level $128. Bullish.
BINANCE:MKRUSD and BINANCE:UNIUSD : Both are holding strong W levels that predate BTC ETF demand. Bullish.
BINANCE:TAOUSD : Drawing a MACD divergence on D and 1h, with the W level of $361 being rejected for the third time. Bearish.
26/08/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $64,969.66
Last weeks low: $57,798.14
Midpoint: $61,383.90
Another week has passed in the crypto world and another week of Bitcoin recovery. Now hovering around $64,000 zone after a battle around the range Midpoint which was also the 4H 200EMA, BTC has flipped bullish on all major MA's and is looking to target the '21 ATH which has historically been the area where BTC has struggled in the last few months.
With the US presidential election nearing and the FED rate cuts approaching even sooner, there are a lot of significant FA factors to consider. I think most people were under the impression that the ETF's and the halving would have more of an instant impact on price, we have seen a rally for the BTC ETF but that classic post halving boost has not yet panned out. It does have the feeling of all stars are aligning in the coming months to push through that ~$70k resistance and enter price discovery. Current sentiment is mostly pure boredom and that has lead to impulse moves in the past.
For now I think the important places to look are in the altcoin space, having been decimated in the last few months now is a good time to seek out strong fundamental projects that are looking to lead the way for the next year or so. The altcoin season index is currently @ 22/100 indicating that the market is heavily Bitcoin dominated, suggesting that altcoins need to play catch-up and will outperform BTC by doing so.
The key is whether M-Signal can maintain its alignmentHello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
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(Renko 1D chart)
Among altcoins, the number of coins showing upward movement as above is increasing.
In order for a block to be completed, it must rise by more than a block unit.
In the chart above, the rising block is completed only if it rises by more than 5.2.
Otherwise, if it falls below 4.8, the rising block disappears.
In this way, the Renko chart can be said to be a suitable chart for checking trends.
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(SOLUSDT Renko 1D chart)
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(SOLUSDT 1M chart)
(1W chart)
(1D chart)
If you look at the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts above, you can see that the 147.74, 168.41, and 179.89 points are important.
Therefore, if it fails to rise above 168.41, it is important to find support near 147.74.
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Due to this rise, it seems that the M-Signal of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1W chart > M-Signal of the 1M chart has changed.
Therefore, this time, it is important to see whether it can be supported near 147.74 and rise above 179.89.
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Accordingly, it is a buying period depending on whether it is supported near 147.74, 168.41, and 179.89.
The stop loss point is the HA-Low indicator.
The current HA-Low indicator points are
1M: Not yet created
1W: 13.81
1D: 148.28
as above.
Since the HA-High and HA-Low indicators are created according to price fluctuations, it is recommended to check the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts together.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
Since I think it can create a new trend in the overshooting section, I need to check the movement when this section is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and start after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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TARS AI (TAI) cryptocurrency - Solana’s AI InfrastructureTARS AI (TAI) is gaining attention for its innovative approach to integrating artificial intelligence (AI) with blockchain technology.
TARS AI serves as an AI infrastructure layer for all applications built on the Solana blockchain.
It is designed to facilitate the training of AI models, monetization of data, and access to powerful Graphics Processing Units (GPUs). This modular AI ecosystem is backed by the Solana Foundation, which enhances its credibility and potential for growth.
One of the key factors driving TARS AI's bullish outlook is its collaboration with Google. Developers have announced plans to launch four new AI products in partnership with the tech giant within the next 30 to 60 days. This collaboration comes after TARS AI was accepted into Google’s Startup Program, which supports promising startups, further solidifying TAI's position in the AI landscape.
TARS AI has established a $2 million ecosystem fund aimed at supporting developers within its network. This initiative is part of a broader strategy to bridge the gap between AI and Web3 technologies, positioning TARS as a leader in the AI blockchain sector.
TARS AI is not just another cryptocurrency; it aims to create a comprehensive AI ecosystem that allows users to train AI models quickly and cost-effectively. The platform is designed to support various applications, including data monetization and decentralized governance through AI-powered tools.
With its focus on scalability and integration with Solana's robust infrastructure, TARS AI is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for AI solutions in the blockchain space
In conclusion, TARS AI represents a compelling investment opportunity within the cryptocurrency market. Its innovative approach, strategic partnerships, and strong market performance make it a noteworthy contender in the rapidly evolving landscape of AI and blockchain technology. As the Solana ecosystem continues to thrive, TARS AI is poised to play a pivotal role in the future of decentralized AI applications.
BTC - Daily Bullish MomentumBINANCE:BTCUSDT has seen a bullish momentum recently, largely supported by a dovish outlook from the Federal Reserve. The Fed is now expected to implement further rate cuts by the end of 2024, which has softened the U.S. Dollar and, in turn, boosted BTC and gold prices. In addition, geopolitical uncertainties, such as the attempted assassination of a political figure, have driven safe-haven assets like gold and Bitcoin to new highs.
Technically, COINBASE:BTCUSD is currently trading within a bullish expanding triangle pattern, a structure often associated with further upside potential. Given the current price action and the liquidity above $60K, there’s a strong case for BTC to revisit the resistance zone and potentially break to new highs. However, it’s essential to monitor the price action around key levels to confirm this bullish scenario.
The combination of favorable macroeconomic conditions and supportive technical indicators suggests that CME:BTC1! could see continued growth in the near term.
Bull Market in Alt Coins 2023 - SOLUSDTIn 2023, the altcoin market, particularly Solana (SOL), saw significant movements influenced by a variety of factors, including technological advancements, market sentiment, and broader economic conditions.
Key Points of the 2023 SOL/USDT Market:
Technological Developments: Solana continued to enhance its blockchain, emphasizing speed and scalability. These improvements attracted developers and projects, further solidifying its position as a leading smart contract platform.
Ecosystem Growth: The Solana ecosystem experienced substantial growth with more decentralized applications (dApps), decentralized finance (DeFi) projects, and non-fungible token (NFT) platforms choosing to build on Solana due to its lower fees and faster transaction times compared to Ethereum.
Market Sentiment: Throughout 2023, market sentiment towards Solana was generally positive, driven by its strong ecosystem development, strategic partnerships, and the growing adoption of blockchain technology. However, like many altcoins, SOL's price was also influenced by broader market trends and Bitcoin's performance.
Price Performance: The SOL/USDT pair experienced significant volatility, typical of altcoins. However, during bull market phases, SOL saw impressive gains, reflecting investor confidence in the project's long-term potential.
Regulatory Factors: As with the broader crypto market, regulatory developments had an impact on SOL's price. In some regions, favorable regulations helped boost investor confidence, while in others, stricter rules led to temporary pullbacks in price.
My technical analysis script effectively detected key entry and exit points in the market by analyzing various indicators and patterns. It identified optimal entry points where momentum and trend signals aligned, suggesting potential profitable trades. Similarly, it detected exit points based on overbought or oversold conditions, divergence signals, and key resistance or support levels. These insights allowed for strategic decision-making, helping to maximize gains and minimize risks in the trading process.
Aug 23Overview:
Wow, what a 24 hours it has been. At one point, BINANCE:SUIUSD was up 21.6%. Yesterday, we mentioned that "some long positions can be taken with a properly tight SL" once a new trading range was established. On August 21st, we wrote, " BINANCE:ARUSD , BINANCE:APTUSD , BINANCE:TAOUSD showed better price action in the last couple of days. They will likely continue trading higher next week, as BTC stays within its range."
But let's break it down step by step. VANTAGE:SP500 posted a green candle, closing the week on a positive note. However, that candle was within the shadow of yesterday’s red candle, making it neutral rather than bullish.
Additionally, Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole wasn't particularly dovish. It was seen as a signal that the Federal Reserve is prepared to maintain a restrictive stance on monetary policy to ensure inflation is brought under control, even if that means keeping interest rates higher for longer than the markets might prefer.
BTC saw a massive $252 million in ETF flows from tradfi investors. And what did early Grayscale Trust adopters do? They sold $35.6 million worth of it. We’re left wondering how much of that $35.6 million was clients simply converting expensive GBTC into cheaper BTC fund, or if they sold for good. Unfortunately, even on-chain analytics won’t reveal that.
ETH ETF? No chance... Tradfi investors don’t seem to grasp smart contracts. They sold $5.7 million worth, even during a significant BTC rally.
Whales and other professional market actors are well aware that September is historically volatile and often brutal. Will they start selling and closing their positions in the last week of August, or will they wait until the first or second week of September, right before the expected interest rate cut? The big question is, do you want your portfolio to end up in a meat grinder?
W: Yesterday’s BINANCE:BTCUSD wick went higher than the BB MA, but after a pullback, it settled nicely right at the precisely drawn W level of $64k. If bulls can keep it above the $63k level, we can start talking about a new bullish sentiment, but as of now, we are still in a bear market. No divergence.
D: The $61.8 level was taken by bulls six times, and on the seventh attempt, they gathered enough strength. BTC rebounded after a crash, forming a nice bullish pennant. However, it has now reached the upper bound of the Bollinger Bands. Definitely not a time to go long—keep an eye on MACD or CVD divergences.
4h: RSI is above 70, but no MACD divergence yet.
1h: No divergences.
Alts Relative to BTC: If BTC grew by 6%, BINANCE:APTUSD is up 9%, COINBASE:RNDRUSD is up 10%, BINANCE:NEARUSD is up 12%, and BINANCE:SUIUSD is up 20%. Is SUI gearing up to be 3rd favorite smart contract platform after SOL? Will be looking closely. Some of these started to rally 2-3 days ago.
BINANCE:ETHUSD and BINANCE:SOLUSD performance was more underwhelming, posting only 5.4% and 7%, respectively. Are they so beaten up that fewer people want to touch them? Where’s the ETF crowd? Leave your thoughts in the comments.
Bull Case: Bulls are able to hold the important W level in anticipation of rate cuts. Reaching that level has already happened; now it’s just a matter of staying there. If Panama, Brazil, and Paraguay announce Bitcoin as legal tender, following in the footsteps of El Salvador and the Central African Republic, this could fuel further bullish sentiment.
Bear Case: The trend continues without a reversal. The Fed doesn’t cut rates quickly enough, and corporate earnings reveal weakness in consumer spending. Whales and insiders start selling and shorting in late September, causing the market to drop in October—a month historically tough for crypto (cough, cough... FTX).
2013: After a strong first half, Bitcoin saw a correction in September before resuming its rally towards the end of the year.
2017: Bitcoin experienced a notable dip in September, partly due to regulatory concerns in China. However, this was followed by a rapid recovery and an all-time high in December.
2021: After strong growth earlier in the year, September saw a decline due to regulatory fears and macroeconomic factors, although the market rebounded in Q4.
Fear and Greed Index: 55.87. Remember—you only buy in 'Fear' territory, which is below 40.
Prediction: We might see some altcoins grow a bit more, but overall, BTC is likely to post a Doji candle next week.
Opportunities: On W and 4h charts, we continue to see many major altcoins in the RSI danger zone. Wait for Saturday’s price action and potential divergences to prepare for a Sunday sell-off.
SOLUSDT 15M🔍 SOL/USDT Analysis: 1-Hour Timeframe 📉
The SOL/USDT chart on a 1-hour timeframe highlights significant upcoming dates where price movements may present trading opportunities. As always, it is crucial to analyze these signals in conjunction with higher timeframes for a more comprehensive understanding of the market.
• August 24, 2024, 01:15, August 24, 2024, 15:30, August 25, 2024, 01:30, August 25, 2024, 21:30 - Red Lines: These times mark potential local peaks. Traders might consider these as moments to take profits or reduce exposure, as the price could encounter resistance or a downturn.
• August 24, 2024, 06:45, August 24, 2024, 21:00, August 25, 2024, 10:15 - Green Lines: These times indicate potential local lows, providing favorable conditions for accumulating SOL or entering long positions.
When working with this 1-hour timeframe, keep in mind that these movements should be evaluated with a global perspective, considering higher timeframes to better grasp the overall market trend.
Note: The exact timing of these phases can vary by +/- a few hours. All times are based on UTC+3.
SOLUSDT🔍 SOL/USDT Long-Term Analysis 📉
The SOL/USDT chart provides a long-term forecast, highlighting significant dates that may present key opportunities for strategic moves in the market.
• April 22, 2024 - Red Line: This date marks a potential significant peak in the market. Traders might consider this as a critical moment to take profits or reduce exposure, as the price could encounter resistance or a downturn.
• March 16, 2026 - Green Line: This date indicates a potential significant low, offering favorable conditions for accumulating SOL or entering long positions, anticipating future growth.
Note: The exact timing of these phases can vary by +/- a few weeks. This forecast is based on the current long-term model and should be used in conjunction with other analysis tools to confirm market trends.