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SOL

SUI/USDT 1D SUI has been one of the better performing L1's and altcoins in general in the last 6 months that BTC has been chopping/ranging. There are a few key points on the SUI chart that catch my eye: - 1D 200EMA is now flipped bullish with a strong reaction after flipping the level, this shows buyers are confident in the project and happier to buy at higher levels, instead of waiting for a pullback for example. - Clear Higher high and higher low structure indicating a bullish trend on the daily. Invalidations are more obvious when a structure like this is broken. - Plenty of room to grow going into Q4, the range is clearly mapped out with key Orderblock levels that will more than likely be resistance levels and so they are the targets to take profits, hedge or de-risk while assessing where SUI will go. With this being SUI's first Bullrun history shows the newer projects do better off in terms of ROI that's if they survive, from what we have seen so far this cycle I believe SUI will be a strong project going forward.
by ProR35
9/16 S&P 500 on the Rise: Awaiting Wednesday's Rate DecisionOverview: The VANTAGE:SP500 closed higher, challenging its all-time high for the third time this month. At least it's not declining like it typically does in other Septembers. However, the NASDAQ:QQQ is stalling, showing a lower high but also forming a higher low. Both the SP500 and QQQ have seen diminishing volume over the last three days as everyone awaits the Fed’s rate cut decision on Wednesday. Meanwhile, BlackRock clients made a modest purchase of $15.8 million worth of BINANCE:BTCUSD , ending an 11-day stretch of no activity. Considering their average BTC purchase is $122 million, this can be rounded off to negligible. Total BTC flow across all ETFs was $12 million, far below the average of $101 million. The Empire State Manufacturing Survey revealed a growing general business conditions index, which rose by sixteen points to 11.5, turning positive for the first time in 2024. This signals increasing new orders and shipments, while delivery times and supply availability remained steady, and inventories leveled off. This is not ideal for those hoping for a two-basis-point rate cut. Technical Analysis: W: Holding strong at the $58.4k weekly level, which is the point of control for July, August, and half of September. This is a very significant support level. D: Holding the Bollinger Band moving average (BB MA), which, combined with the weekly point of control (POC), is crucial to maintain the short-term bullish trend. 4h & 1h: Both timeframes are holding the weekly level firmly. Alts Relative to BTC: No significant divergence was observed over the weekend or Monday. Previous divergence can be seen when BTC broke the $58.4k weekly level on September 13th. However, both BINANCE:ETHUSD and BINANCE:SOLUSD remain below levels they had broken on September 9th. Bull Case: If the weekly level holds, the price could bounce off support on Tuesday and rally higher in anticipation of lower interest rates. Bear Case: A continued lack of appetite for risky assets may lead to further sell-offs. Fear and Greed Index: Currently at 34.15. While BTC holds its critical weekly price level, the Fear and Greed Index continues to decline, creating a divergence. Prediction: Not enough clear signals for a definite prediction. Opportunities: Any technical analysis signals may be invalidated by Wednesday’s price action. Mistakes: BINANCE:FTMUSDT surged, breaking through its resistance and gaining 6.36%, while most other altcoins remained flat.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
9/15 Weeks Overview. Rate Cut Volatility or Bullish Opportunity?Overview: The VANTAGE:SP500 closed the second week of September with a strong green candle, completely retracing the previous week's red candle. The precision of this price action is impressive: the 1st week's open was at 5623, and the 2nd week's close was at 5626. The 1st week's close was at 5408, and the 2nd week's low was 5406. So, is this a bearish or bullish signal? Neither—it's volatility. There's uncertainty around whether we're headed for a recession or a soft landing. Will the Fed’s rate cut ignite a bull run or crash the market? One factor contributing to this week’s positive performance is favorable macroeconomic data, such as the CPI and PPI, which came in lower than expected and weren't revised down multiple times. Next week, all eyes will be on the Fed's interest rate decision, scheduled for Wednesday at 2 PM EST. This announcement will overshadow other key macro data, including US retail sales (trending up), building permits (trending down), and the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (trending upward since January 2024). Current expectations are split, with a 48% chance of a 0.25% rate cut and a 52% chance of a 0.50% cut. The expectation of a two-basis-point cut has doubled in just a month. If the odds were skewed more heavily (90/10), the market could avoid volatility as the move would be priced in. However, in the current scenario, even a 0.25% rate cut could trigger a sell-off. Historical Context for Rate Cuts and Risky Assets: Looking back at how NASDAQ:QQQ performed after past rate cuts provides valuable insight: • July 31, 2019 to April 2020: Rates dropped from 2.40% to 0.05%. In the next three trading days, QQQ dropped 6%. However, it reached a new all-time high in 86 days and gained 22% in 202 days. This was supported by a strong labor market, with unemployment falling for eight consecutive years. The temporary decline was due to COVID shutdowns. • September 18, 2007 to December 2008: Rates fell from 5.25% to 0.15%. QQQ soared 1.9% on the day of the cut and gained 12.2% over the next 42 days. However, the Subprime Mortgage Crisis ensued, leading to a 52% drop in 380 days. The labor market was weak, with unemployment rising for four months before the cut. • January 3, 2001 to July 2003: Rates declined from 6.5% to 1%. This marked the collapse of the Dot-com bubble. QQQ had already corrected by 56% over 280 days. While it rallied 32% in the next 21 days, the downtrend resumed, dropping another 61.4% over the next 645 days. Unemployment had bottomed eight months before and started rising one month before the cut. More weight should be given to the 2007 scenario, as the current labor market resembles both 2007 and 2001. The 2001 rate cut holds less relevance since QQQ tracks tech stocks, which were uniquely impacted during the Dot-com bubble. Strategic Outlook: Based on historical data, one could allow the market correction to finish on Monday or Tuesday, then take a long position on your favorite altcoin for 1–2 weeks—but no longer than that. In terms of ETF flows, historically, if weekend was red, Monday opens with more sell off driven by ETFs. BTC Timeframes: W: Needs to stay above $58.4 to maintain short-term bullishness. However, given the upcoming volatility, the chances are slim. D: As of Sunday evening, whales started selling off, likely anticipating next week’s volatility. As mentioned in Friday's forecast, "Short-term correction to $58.4, then volatility during the rate cut week." The current correction from Friday’s highs is 3.5%. 4h: The sell-off began at 4 PM EST and has now corrected to the weekly level of $58.4. 1h: The price has just reached the weekly level, and RSI is oversold, presenting a short-term bullish opportunity back to the $59.8 level. Altcoins Relative to BTC: The divergence continues, with altcoins correcting more than BINANCE:BTCUSD . While BTC has corrected 3.5%, BINANCE:ETHUSD is down 6.7%, and BINANCE:SOLUSDT is down 6.4%. Bull Case: We are in a 2019-like scenario, where speculative assets rise for several months after a rate cut. Bear Case: We are in a 2007-like scenario, where the labor market continues to weaken, corporate revenues shrink, and the recession plays out over a couple of years. Fear and Greed Index: Currently at 35.64 and trending down. As long as the index remains below 40, it's a good time to start dollar-cost averaging into top altcoins like ETH, SOL, BINANCE:NEARUSDT , BINANCE:BNBUSDT , and BINANCE:AAVEUSDT . Prediction: We’ve already corrected to a relatively strong weekly level. The only prediction that can be made is a short-term bounce, followed by more volatility. Opportunities: BINANCE:FTMUSDT has reached a higher price on the 4-hour chart, but its RSI and MACD are trending down, signaling a bearish divergence. This could be invalidated by a sudden spike in BTC.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
FET/USDT 15mNYSE:FET is one of the leading AI projects in the crypto space, earlier this year it saw a meteoric rise in price up to $3.5. Since then price has dropped around 80% to a local low of $0.70, now recently price has grown and broken the daily downtrend rising to a local high of $1.44 +105% from the lows creating a dilemma for traders... From previous price action we know that NYSE:FET is capable of huge moves, it's a fundamentally sound project with a strong narrative behind it. Finding a good entry to buy FET if sidelined or add to a position if already positioned can be tricky so these are my thoughts: - HTF FET has broken the daily downtrend is is looking to reverse. Altcoins have been at the mercy of Bitcoin so it requires BTC to behave too. After an -80% correction a lot of the downside risk has already played out. - LTF we have seen a strong recovery, if you has bought local lows at $0.70 you would have outperformed the entire drawdown of the last 6 months (assuming equal position size). So the feeling of FOMO can start to creep in at these levels. - The chart shows potential points of entry on the LTF, obviously we may continue to drawdown, it's always a possibility but we have seen signs of strength and therefore opportunities to go LONG. - Local range low @ $1.273 is the option with the best return out of the 3. Clearly strong support that was the base for the last local rally. - Current level is an interesting one because it incorporates a LTF diagonal resistance trendline that would be bullish if broken. This combined with a range support line (0.25) could be a good option for a LTF entry. - The final option is the 0.5/ Midpoint entry. This would mean flipping the 15m 200EMA bullish and reclaiming the midpoint making it the safest of the 3 entries but least rewarding, offering +6% return instead of 9% & 13% respectively. With all this in consideration, NYSE:FET is one of the better altcoin options in the markets current state. IMO we still don't have a clear market direction just yet and so being nimble with positions is a must, but it does feel like the worst is over and if that is the case then a position in FET could be positive for a portfolio.
by ProR35
1
Alikze »» ICP | Forming a triangle corner pattern🔍 Technical analysis: Forming a triangle corner pattern - According to the analysis presented in the previous post, in the 1D time frame, after reaching the supply range, it has faced selling pressure. - As can be seen, after reaching the range of the green box, it has had a positive reaction several times and has faced demand. - Currently, a triangle corner pattern is formed in the green box area. - Therefore, the last correction leg can be removed from compression by filling the gap of FVG. - If it exits from the density above, it can grow up to the range of 12.5 dollars. 🛑 The most important resistance: $12.50 💎 Alternative scenario: If the breakout occurs from below and the green box is broken, the correction can extend to the green box. 💎 So as long as it is above the green box, there will be a short-term bullish trend for the target of $12.50. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:ICPUSDT
Long
by alikze
2
Alikze »» BTC | Ascending diamond pattern🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending diamond pattern - According to the latest analysis presented , Bitcoin made a correction based on the predicted path to the second green box area of ​​the $50,000 correction range. - In the recent modification, a double zigzag has been formed. The second zigzag is a flat correction. According to the formation of an ascending diamond pattern in the green box area, after the failure of the dynamic trigger, the diamond pattern will be confirmed and it can expect to climb up to the specified areas according to the previous analysis. 💎 Note: Also, if a failure occurs from the bottom of the template, this template is invalid and must be checked and updated again. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Long
by alikze
2
Alikze »» KSM | Ascending corner pattern🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending corner pattern - It has had a zigzag correction to the green box area on the 1D daily time frame after exiting the bullish channel. - In the last analysis presented, after reaching the range of $60, a correction was encountered. In the presented details, two PRZ ranges had short-term fluctuations, which were investigated. - Currently, according to the structure of the corner pattern and the exit from it, as well as the support within the green box, it has faced demand. - Therefore, the first short-term target will be the range of the second cluster, and if it breaks upward, the second target will be the first cluster. 🎯 Close targets: 21.30 - 21.88 - If the second cluster area does not fail, there will be a correction to the $15 range. 🛑 Important resistance: $25 💎 In addition, if it stabilizes below the green box area, the bullish scenario will be invalidated. If the behavior and structure of the post changes, it will be updated. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:KSMUSDT
Long
by alikze
SOL preppin again for a new round of PRICE GROWTH!SOL has been tamed town a bit after an aggressive rise to 126 -- and correcting healthily below 100. This bluechip coin has seen exponential growth from being a single digit priced asset. Based on recent 4h price data, the coin is preppin another round of price growth from the new higher base at 100. This level seems to be a strong psychological level, a major order block support where buyers are now converging. A retest of the previous peak at 126 and a possible strong break is highly possible. Spotted at 100. TAYOR.
Long
by JSAL
9
Solana Consolidates Near SupportSolana has faced mounting pressure throughout September 2024, as broader market dynamics continue to weigh on its performance. Much like other cryptocurrencies, SOL is reflecting the bearish sentiment that has characterized the market, with the price consolidating after a significant decline. This pattern of weakness aligns with broader trends in the crypto space, where macroeconomic factors such as liquidity outflows and general caution among institutional investors are impacting asset prices. Currently, Solana is trading around $128, slightly above its lower support level of $124, as seen on the Bollinger Bands. The consolidation near this lower band reflects persistent bearish pressure, with SOL hovering between crucial support and resistance zones. Bollinger Bands and Volatility: Solana is positioned near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating continued downside pressure. With a basis at $129.56 and upper resistance at $135.13, SOL remains in a tight consolidation range. The ATR (Average True Range) at 3.50 suggests moderate volatility, meaning sharp price movements are possible, but the current range-bound trading reflects caution. Momentum Indicators: The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 48.01, indicating neutral momentum. This level implies that while Solana isn't heavily oversold, it doesn't have significant buying momentum either, keeping the market in limbo. The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), with the MACD line at -1.66 and the signal line at -1.72, suggests a potential weakening of bearish momentum. Although still in negative territory, the positive histogram reading of 0.06 indicates that selling pressure may be tapering off. Parabolic SAR and Stochastic Oscillator: The Parabolic SAR sits above the price at $133.03, reinforcing the existing downtrend. Meanwhile, the Stochastic Oscillator, with %K at 57.77 and %D at 50.51, shows potential for a short-term upward movement, though it remains below overbought levels, signaling room for price gains. Short-Term Outlook Solana appears to be in a consolidation phase, trading between the support at $124 and resistance near $135. If SOL can break above the $135 resistance, it may signal the start of a recovery, particularly if volume and momentum support this move. However, failing to hold above the $127-level SMA could lead to further declines, testing support levels around $122. Market Sentiment and Broader Trends Sentiment around Solana remains cautious, particularly after $34.3 million in institutional outflows during August 2024, and this trend is likely to persist unless there are broader positive market shifts. The crypto market as a whole is contending with volatility, driven by global economic uncertainties and liquidity concerns. Solana’s price is particularly vulnerable due to its higher volatility compared to Bitcoin and Ethereum, reflecting the more speculative nature of its market position. In terms of upcoming catalysts, the Solana Breakpoint 2024 event could provide some momentum if positive developments or partnerships are announced. Until then, the market is likely to remain in a wait-and-see mode, with key levels to watch being $124 for support and $135 for resistance. Conclusion Solana is reflecting broader market uncertainty, consolidating around key technical levels with mixed indicators. The $124-level acts as strong support, and a breakdown below could lead to further downside. Conversely, clearing $135 would be a bullish signal, potentially leading to a recovery. However, given the current sentiment and institutional outflows, traders should remain cautious and be prepared for continued volatility.
by MonoCoinSignal
Sept 6. Start DCA'ing these altsOverview: The FRED:SP500 is down, NASDAQ:QQQ is down even more, and COINBASE:BTCUSD has dropped. Everything is red! Or wait… BINANCE:SUIUSDT is up! Could this still be the effects of the Grayscale Trust, and how much longer can SUI defy the overall market? Previous Grayscale picks like BINANCE:NEARUSDT and BINANCE:TAOUSDT aren’t performing as well on red days like yesterday. The Fed reported fewer new jobs added in August—lower than expected, even after multiple revisions. This was also fewer than the job additions in August of the past few years. Quantitative tightening is in full swing! These metrics signal a potential path to a rate cut, but large economies like the U.S. don’t pivot easily, especially not with just a move from 5.50% to 5.25%. Higher unemployment and fewer job openings will likely persist for months, possibly even quarters. Yet, no federal bailouts? No major bankruptcies? Meanwhile, commercial real estate is still struggling, with San Francisco’s office vacancy rate rising to 37%, up from 36.7% in Q1 2024. BTC ETFs are seeing 9 consecutive days of outflows. BINANCE:ETHUSD has seen consistent selling throughout August, except for a slight uptick on August 28th when Blackrock bought slightly above the original Grayscale Trust level. Believe it or not, this is when whales start dollar-cost averaging (DCA) back into the market. So why is the market falling if big players are buying? These deep pockets unloaded their portfolios and secured profits early in the year when green candles were stacking up. The current selling pressure is from retail traders, as reflected in ETF trends. If you still have cash (or those precious paychecks), this could be a good time to spread it out into 10-15 weekly buy orders. Don't try to catch the exact bottom—just remember the old adage: "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful." W: It’s only the first week of a bloody September, and BTC is already nearing the $52.15k weekly level. Sunday might be calm, with a potential bounce back to $55.9k. But watch out for Sunday evening (U.S. Eastern time) when the Asian bears wake up. D: Friday closed lower than August 5th. This is the third time we’re testing the $52-54k range—July 5, August 5, and now September 6. History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes. The worrying sign: yesterday’s volume was much lower than the previous two occurrences. No need to look far; volume has been rising over the last 7 days, confirming bearish sentiment. 4h: RSI dipped below 30 at 4 PM Eastern, but since then it’s bounced back 1.5%. Looking back at July 5 and August 5, we can see a key level around $54.4k (though this doesn’t hold on the daily chart). This is the point where decisions must be made. 1h: Price action is moving sideways. Alts relative to BTC: ETH has dropped more than BTC and other altcoins, falling to levels not seen since January 11th when the BTC ETF was approved. The argument that Layer 2 solutions diminish ETH’s "sound money" status isn’t helping. Bearish. On the bright side, APT has been trading below BTC ETF demand for 91 days and could be a good option for DCA. SUI shrugged off the recent sell-off and posted a 5.13% green candle, making it another solid contender alongside APT, as both are already below BTC ETF price levels. Bull case: Everyone who could sell has already sold. Now, only the diamond hands remain. Bear case: The capital allocators have finished realizing gains, and retail traders are finally waking up to the fact that the bull run has been canceled. Fear and Greed Index: 25.97 – an all-time low for 2024 and 2023. Prediction: A short-term rebound over the weekend, followed by further declines next week. Opportunities: Check out weekly and 4-hour divergences in major altcoins. Are you shorting TON yet? Mistakes: The bullish MACD divergence didn’t play out for BINANCE:SOLUSD , BINANCE:ARUSD , and BINANCE:AVAXUSDT . When big brother (BTC) makes a move, it doesn’t matter what the technical analysis says for altcoins.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
Solana: Downward Pressure!We expect the downward momentum to continue into our blue Target Zone (between $85.15 and $30.79) before the same-colored wave (ii) comes to an end. Investors could open long positions within this range, whereby stops could be placed around 1% below the lower edge. With the correction low in place, the coin should finally rally decisively and break through the resistance at $210.03. Should this level be breached earlier, our 33% likely alternative scenario will come into play. This option sees the price in an extended wave alt.(i) in blue.
BINANCE:SOLUSD
by MarketIntel
Sept 4Overview: Today marks a mini anniversary—exactly one month since the 15% COINBASE:BTCUSD BTC crash on August 5th, which concluded a 7-day bearish correction. This correction was the third wave in a 28-day cycle. Why does this matter? BTC tends to follow relatively short cycles and typically doesn’t take longer than a month to make a decisive move in either direction. If there’s momentum left, it’s time to pump. If not, we may see a dump. The Fed reported 7.7 million job openings in July, the lowest level since 2021. This was below the estimated 8.1 million and June’s 7.9 million. Job openings have been declining since March 2022, the month when the Fed first raised rates after cutting them to 0% in response to COVID-19. However, this figure is still higher than the peak of 7.6 million in November 2018. The Fed's goal isn’t to reach the same numbers as in 2018, but if we apply the growth in the U.S. economy since then, 7.6 million jobs in 2018 would be equivalent to 8.46 million in early 2024. Hence, discussions of an interest rate cut on September 18th are gaining momentum. On Wednesday, the VANTAGE:SP500 and NASDAQ:QQQ both opened and closed lower than the previous day, though they posted green candles. Despite this, their relation to the previous day is bearish. So far, this September is shaping up to be like others—Labor Day weekend is over, professionals are back at their desks, and business cycles are picking up (the last three trading days have shown higher volume since August 9th). As we mentioned yesterday, BTC’s new trading range is between $55.8k and $58.4k. It touched the lower bound of $55.8k at 9 PM NYC time and then climbed to $58.5k 15 hours later but has been sliding down since. BTC ETF flows have been negative for the last 7 days, despite occasional daily green candles. At Evgen Capital, we believe ETFs represent a less crypto-enthusiastic crowd, akin to the shoe shiner who once gave stock tips to John Rockefeller—prompting him to sell. As with the Fear and Greed Index that we quote regularly, one should move in the opposite direction of ETF flows. If they are negative for an extended period, it’s time to start buying. If they’re posting all-time highs, it’s time to sell. W: Up until today, it was a green weekly candle, but it has now turned into a red doji. Can it hold the $55.9k level? We don’t see many reasons for a quick dump, so BTC might remain in this range for another week. Big volatility is expected next week ahead of the September 18th rate cuts. Neutral. D: RSI is at 41. The last time it was here was August 15th, which preceded a 15% pump over 10 days, trapping the bulls. Bullish to neutral. 4h: Neutral. 1h: At the lower bound of the Bollinger Bands with a low RSI. Neutral to bullish. Alts relative to BTC: No divergences or major breakouts. Bull case: There is still time before the historically bearish October to push BTC up to 60k. ETFs are showing signs of capitulation, with 7 consecutive days of sell-offs. Bear case: There’s a lack of enthusiasm toward crypto, and negative news, like the SEC sending subpoenas to COINBASE:UNIUSD investors, continues to emerge. Fear and Greed Index: 34. No change. Prediction: For the rest of the week, BTC will likely retest the $55.9k level. If strong volume and buying power come in, bulls might be able to push through. Opportunities: Weekly and 4-hour divergences in major altcoins. COINBASE:SOLUSD , BINANCE:ARUSD , and COINBASE:AVAXUSD show bullish MACD divergence. Even though BTC has been sliding lower, these altcoins reached their lows a few days ago, when we reported BTC-to-alts divergence. This is the time to decide which side to take and to set stop-limit orders.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
Alikze »» FTM | Suspicious of the reverse head and shoulders🔍 Technical analysis: Suspicious of the reverse head and shoulders pattern - In the analysis presented in the previous post, the target exactly touched the bottom of the channel, which then met demand and caused a 110% growth. - Considering that the recent corrective wave had a correction of 0.23 fibo of the previous wave, so we should expect an upward trend. - In addition to the fact that the recent corrective wave was a three-wave and its corrective momentum was in the form of three waves, if its correction is not complex in combination, we can expect the continuation of the upward trend after a short-term correction. - Therefore, the first target of the neck line can be considered the first supply area. After defeating the supply area, the next targets will become available. 💎 In addition, you should pay attention to this point, in order to verify the upward trend, the previous floor should not be touched (Invalidation LVL range), in which case the analysis will be invalid. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:FTMUSDT
Long
by alikze
Alikze »» ETC | Completing the corrective leg C🔍 Technical analysis: Completing the corrective leg C - In the analysis presented in the previous post, after reaching the supply limit, you were faced with selling pressure. After that, it has entered a correction cycle. - Currently, it is channelized, moving in the downward channel in the daily time frame. - According to the current correction structure, this correction is a three-wave correction that can enter an upward cycle within the specified range after confirming the reversal of the trend. - Therefore, I expect that it will encounter demand in the buying range and then leave the downward channel and grow up to the first supply area or Fibo 0.618. - In addition, the most important area for an upward trend is the $25 range, whose high stabilization will have the ability to reach the supply range of the previous ceiling. 💎 Note: Note that if the bottom of the buy zone is stabilized, the bullish scenario is invalid and should be updated again. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:ETCUSDT
Long
by alikze
Sept 3Overview: As we wrote on Sept 1st: "Tuesday brings a wave of bears." It's been a strong start to the week for bears. The VANTAGE:SP500 is down 2.12%, pushing aside hopes for new all-time highs and forming a pattern resembling a double top. The riskier NASDAQ:QQQ dropped even more, correcting 3.04%, further confirming bearish sentiment. Both of these corrections were preceded by their respective futures ( CME_MINI:ES1! and CME_MINI:NQ1! ) crashing 5 hours before the market opened, wiping out Friday's gains. Immediately after the stock market fell, BTC followed. We are now below the critical $58.4k weekly level, which had been tested many times. BTC even touched and bounced perfectly from the next weekly level of $55.8k. The new trading range is $55.8k - $58.4k. We conclude that this price action is likely due to insiders dumping assets or securing profits ahead of the Fed’s jobs report scheduled for Wednesday. One issue with the new $55.8k level is that it isn’t as strong as the previous level since it hasn't been tested as much. It's also away from the point of control (based on the volume profile) on all timeframes (1h, 4h, W), meaning it's not where the whales are trading. We likely won’t stay at this level for long. Global liquidity has resumed its upward climb after an 8-day decline, which perfectly mirrored the last BTC bull trap (yellow line on our chart). W: The week opened lower than the August 5th closing. Bearish. D: Played out as expected, hitting the BB MA at $59.8k on Monday, then dropping to the lower band at $55.5k. After bouncing off the lower support band, the price should naturally return to $58.4k to establish it as resistance before continuing the downtrend. 4h: At the lower band. RSI is close to 20 and hasn't crossed the 50 mark in the last 7 days. Bullish, unless Wednesday's Fed report knocks out the markets completely. 1h: What is less visible on the 4h chart is clearer on the 1h chart. A bullish MACD divergence is forming, and RSI is below 80. Target: $58.4k. Alts relative to BTC: COINBASE:ETHUSD , COINBASE:SOLUSD , and BINANCE:TONUSDT have declined lower than the August 4th closing. COINBASE:NEARUSD and BINANCE:ARUSDT haven’t yet, but they’re not far off. Bullish whales are keeping COINBASE:SUIUSD afloat despite strong headwinds. Bull case: All macroeconomic data has already been priced in, and we are at the bottom of the market. Whales have likely finished taking profits and will stop selling to retail traders, easing selling pressure. When the market looks this bearish, that's often when it pulls an "UNO Reverse" and starts pumping to new highs. We need to see full capitulation, like on August 5th, to target at least a short-term rebound. Bear case: Continuous confirmation of bearish sentiment: lower lows, lower highs. Fear and Greed Index: 34. Congratulations! We are officially in the fear zone. Historically, buying at this level tends to be profitable. If you start diligently DCAing while in Fear territory, you won't go broke. Prediction: BTC will likely spike up short-term to either the BB MA or the upper band, followed by a continuation of the downtrend. Opportunities: Weekly and 4h divergences in major altcoins: COINBASE:SUIUSD couldn’t hold its weekly level, which has now become resistance. BINANCE:TONUSDT next target is $2.48 (-46.5%). BINANCE:ARUSDT next target is $10.8 (-50%). COINBASE:SOLUSD and BINANCE:NEARUSDT both show 4h MACD divergence and are both at weekly levels. If BTC can trade sideways for 5-7 days, there are bullish opportunities in these two coins.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
SOLANA The 1W MA50 and the RSI Support calling for $850 at leastAlmost 3 months ago (June 14, see chart below), we published our long-term thesis on Solana (SOLUSD), arguing that it wasn't the time to buy, not until it tested the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line): As you can see that turned out to be the case as early last month, the price hit the 1W MA50 and rebounded. Last week's correction though puts this thesis in jeopardy and the 1W MA50 needs to hold. If not, we risk our maximum tolerance level on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), if the Bull Cycle is to stay alive. They key however lies on its 1W RSI. SOL has been on a correction mode since the March 2024 High, in an attempt to technically harmonize the massive rally of 2023. The 1W RSI Double Topped in the same month and as the correction unfolds, it came last week the closes it has been to the Bull Cycle's Buy Zone since December 21 2020. This Zone is where buyers make their presence during Bull Cycles and not Bear Cycle bottoms. On the previous Cycle, Solana rose by 51250% from the time is started to form the current long-term Fibonacci Channel Up. If we measure the same % growth from the recent Bear Cycle bottom, then we are looking at a peak a little above $4000. That is the most optimistic scenario we can get. Keep in mind that Solana has already rose by +2500% up to March's High and if it indeed reaches 4k this Cycle, the rise will be less (+1900%) from March's High than it was from December 2022 to March 2024. A more realistic target for those who don't want to hold for that long and assume higher risk, would be $850.00, which is expected to be at the top of the MMBs. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:SOLUSDLong
by TradingShot
Alikze »» TIA | Ready to pullback to the broken structure🔍 Technical analysis: Ready for a pullback from the liquidity zone to the broken structure - According to the analysis of the previous post , TIA currency is moving in a downward channel. - As can be seen, lower floors and ceilings are forming, which further reinforces the bearish view. - Currently, in the 1D time frame, it is in the liquidity zone, which can target 3.17 with a pullback to the neckline and then the green box zone. - Therefore, in the case of a pullback to the broken structure and selling pressure in the Fibo area of ​​1.618, it can touch the mentioned targets. 💎 Alternative scenario: In addition, if it can break the neck line, it will have the ability to grow up to the supply area of ​​the previous ceiling and the ceiling of the channel. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:TIAUSDT
Short
by alikze
1
Alikze »» SUI | Daily FVG gap🔍 Technical analysis: Daily FVG gap - According to the analysis presented in the previous post, after creating demand in the green box area, it grew to the supply area. - Currently, according to the structure formed in the supply area, a twin roof with a shorter roof is observed. - But in the 8H time frame, it is moving in a descending channel. Demand has also been met at the bottom of the channel. - Therefore, according to the FVG gap in the 1D time frame, if the selling pressure continues, it can make a correction to the green box area and retest it to fill the gap. 💎 Alternative scenario: also, if he can break the middle of the channel upwards, he can retest the supply area again. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:SUIUSDT
Short
by alikze