SOL
The bearish superwave of SOL has begun (3D)It seems that the The bearish superwave of SOL has begun.
A large liquidity pool has formed below the price, which is likely to break soon.
The all-time high has been broken falsely. This could lead to heavy drops in the weekly timeframe.
In the mid-term and long-term, Solana appears bearish.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
SOLUSD: Libra crash is a buy in disguiseSolana is suffering heavy losses these past few days due to the prevailing news regarding Libra and has turned oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 30.523, MACD = -8.449, ADX = 53.479). Since the long term pattern is a Channel Up and the price is headed for its bottom, while the 1D RSI is at 30.000, which has been a buy signal for over 1 year, this is technically a buy opporutnity in disguise. The similar buy signal of June 23rd targeted the R1 level at the top of the corrective Channel. Go long, TP = 260.00.
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NothingThis is the result of trusting certain politicians !!
Following the crowd isn't always the right move! It might seem bold, but if you take a look at the market, you'll see that even professional analysts have made mistakes multiple times. Still, when the big names on Wall Street say something, everyone listens because it's much easier to rely on an expert's words than to think and make decisions on your own.
If you want to rely solely on yourself, well, your success is yours, but if you fail, you can't blame anyone but yourself. People naturally like to follow others, often without even realizing it. That's why many traders use mechanical trading systems to take decision-making out of their own hands and avoid hesitation.
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$SOL: warning!**🚨 CRYPTOCAP:SOL Analysis: Major Unlock & Market Impact 🚨**
📅 **March 1st Unlock:**
Approximately 11.16 million SOL tokens (~$2 billion) are set to be released into the market.
🔗 Source: (www.eblockmedia.com)
### **What’s Happening with CRYPTOCAP:SOL ?**
After the $TRUMP pump, Solana faced a significant pullback, which was expected after such hype. However, a more concerning effect of the meme craze is the liquidity drain from the Solana ecosystem.
🔻 **Liquidity Issues:**
- Rug pulls often result in selling SOL for cash, CRYPTOCAP:USDT , or even $CRYPTOCAP:BTC.
- Exchanges like Raydium and Meteora made huge profits from fees in SOL and typically "sell to cash out".
This has led to a liquidity squeeze, causing a prolonged consolidation.
📉 **Technical Outlook:**
- Daily timeframe: Consolidation appears to be ending, and MACD is about to cross bullish, signaling a short-term relief for 1-2 weeks.
- Weekly timeframe: The bearish divergence remains strong and still needs to play out.
- A double top bearish pattern is identified, likely to push the price down.
⚠️ **March 1st Unlock - The Biggest Bearish Factor**
While 11M SOL represents only 2% of circulating supply, it comes at a bad time, adding selling pressure just as the ecosystem struggles with bearish sentiment.
### **Price Outlook:**
🛑 Short-term impact: Likely downside pressure.
✅ Long-term: Solana remains a solid and popular blockchain—it will recover.
**📉 Price Targets:**
- $160 or lower seems likely.
- Worst-case scenario: $120 , which is a major support level.
💡 Potential Buy Opportunity for long-term holders!
**DYOR!**
SOL Biggest Bargain Buy Opp at 50WMAI wrote my thesis on Solana in July 2023 when it was at $25 and memecoins weren't even a thought.
No one even knew what BONK was, but the developer community was thriving, and all the best dApps were being built there.
Now that people are tired of rinsing themselves clean at the casino, it's funny to see them call CRYPTOCAP:SOL ded ~$180💀
SOL is up 625% since I first wrote about it 😂
The blockchain has tremendously improved in every metric, with a plethora of new advancements on the near horizon, including Firedancer 🔥
Buying SOL here at the 50WMA is an absolute gift.
Target is still, and always will be $700-850 within the next 9 months.
SOL The big rotation beginsRug pulls... Allegations against creators and influencers creating meme coins powered by Solana... Developers abandoning a project after pocketing investor funds... The monthly transaction fees spend on SOL are at an all-time high... The rise of dissatisfaction of participants looking for quick profits in the Solana casino won't stop...
All this overrides every fundamental partnership and achievement of the whole blockchain ecosystem and leaves a sour taste in the crypto community's mouth.
More and more people seeking out for longevity: roadmaps, partnerships and active development, and especially third-party code audits regarding red flags in meme coin projects.
Big investors and institutions took profit at the double-top and swapped to other blue-chip coins like ETH or BNB which on-chain activity has just risen steadily over the last weeks while becoming the more safer bets for the upcoming bullrun.
This dump of SOL is just the beginning of what is to come and it just depends on how fast it's gonna come down.
SOL- Death I've entered a short position on SOL at $180, with a long-term target of $100.
This isn’t coming from a place of hate...I’ve been a large holder for years and was accumulating under $20.
However, I’ve now fully exited my position. Beyond memes and rug pulls, I don’t see Solana offering real value to the space.
The ecosystem is largely propped up by Star Atlas, and I believe people are starting to recognize this, leading many to shift back to ETH.
This could trigger a near-term capitulation, so I’m hedging accordingly with a short.
Not to mention, SOL/ETH also looks to have topped.
SOL/USDT 4H Chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 4H SOL to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has moved sideways from the downtrend line, while currently we see movement in the triangle marked with blue lines, in which we are also approaching the exit, and therefore the price should take the direction of movement.
Let's start by defining the goals for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = 206 USD
T2 = 224 USD
Т3 = 239 USD
Т4 = 255 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 192 USD
SL2 = 174 USD
SL3 = 160 USD
SL4 = 146 USD
When we look at the RSI indicator, we can see how energy is approaching the lower limit of the range and here we can see that we often had descents significantly below the lower range, but we are approaching the zone where we could previously observe price rebounds.
SOL ANALYSIS (12H)The internal structure of SOL appears bearish, but it is not too far from the support zone. If SOL reaches the green zone, buy/long positions can be considered.
From another perspective, SOL is forming a large Trading Range.
A daily candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
SOL emerging head & shoulder providing opportunitiesBYBIT:SOLUSDT has an emerging H&S structure that is providing opportunities described below, which can be utilised based on risk appetite and preference for a swing trade or investment.
Note: The overall chart structure at the moment is highly complex and pattern failure risks, such as that experienced with BYBIT:XRPUSDT remains very high.
Scenario
An H&S structure has emerged since 23 Dec 2024. Neckline support has been confirmed 3 times around: 11 Jan, 07 Feb and 12 Feb. The price is still close to the neckline providing opportunity for entry into trades and/or investment.
DCA entry into a longer term investment - recommended approach
Allocate a percentage of your portfolio's available fund to this as an asset to hold, decide upon how many months or weeks you would like to DCA into the total position (I recommend no less that 3 months and no more than 6) and begin DCA. This approach will safeguard against mistiming the start of the DCA now before the beginning of a bearish cycle, finally ending at an as yet unknown lower support level (of 4 potential candidate price levels stated further down the text below).
The case for beginning the investment approach now
The project remains solid and has established itself as a competitor to ETH. Furthermore, it is the layer 1 of choice for memecoins and has had more new projects use it that ETH recently. Additionally, overall positive market sentiment remains as do utterance (although no formal new policies of note) of the Trump administration and financial institutions towards crypto. Finally, the large gyrations in price recently are making it more difficult to judge appropriate SL levels thereby making trading of any kind less attractive at the moment.
The case against beginning the investment approach now
The future of the project, like most projects is still unknown (crypto is the most volatile and riskiest of assets for a reason!). Although the industry is maturing, it is possible a newer project can come and usurp the place of SOL. There are further support levels (130, 90, 55, 20) that can provide better DCA entry levels, and as market sentiment can change on an utterance of Musk or Trump, patience for a better entry point caused by further bearish moves might be wiser, particularly as on the weekly chart, SOL appears to be printing it's 2nd consecutive doji - implying market indecisiveness and no clear indication that the bulls are about to become incharge again. SOL has also double topped (mid Nov 24 and mid Jan 25), near the ATH (250), indicating either upcoming bearish sentiment or another uncertain attempt at breaking the ATH.
Swing trade
Entry: 200
TP:280 - near the absolute top of the head
SL: 160 - past the dragonfly candle of 13 Jan (this candle has the risk of indicating a new support leval and all traders must be wary of the 160-150 level as that was the support level in mid Oct 24 Additionally, 170 is also near the 200 EMA and crypto daily price gyrations are sometimes very large; therefore a daily low of a dragonfly and a EMA has the potential of being a support level that should be accounted for when setting a SL )
R/R: 1:2
The case for the swing trade
The rate of change indicated is trending upwards. The neckline has proven to be a support level and has been validated 3 times.
The against a swing trade
Other technical indicators like the RSI (middling with little upwards trend) and MACD (likewise) do not provide strong positive support for the trade thesis. Having found support at the 200 EMA and broken out of the downward trend since 20 Jan, there is a possibility that the price will just range between the 50 EMA and 200 EMA (approx. 210 and 180) unless there is further external, fundamental cause for upwards momentum. Previous momentum was driven largely by the optimistic market sentiment for crypto following on from Trump's election win. Finally, a R:R of 1:2 is generally not considered worthy of such a speculative trade.
Note: There is very little justification for a margin trade at the moment - the dragonfly candle on 03 Feb carries too much risk and invalidates a margin trade theses' risk/reward ratios. Margin trading this pair is best left to when a pattern emerges that is not part of a structure that includes the 03 Feb candlestick.
$SOL looking to break out on the daily!CRYPTOCAP:SOL looking to break out on the daily! Measured move 280.00. BTC.D looking to roll over good for Alt Coins. Want to see BTC hold about 96,200 to remain overall market strength. A lot of hype about SEC acknowledging SOL, XRP, DOGE and ADA ETF’s could be a great catalyst.
Solana Faces Pressure as Pump.fun Offloads $28M SOLThe cryptocurrency market has recently witnessed a notable shift as Pump.fun, Solana’s memecoin launchpad, executed a massive sell-off of 148,759 SOL, worth approximately $28.22 million, to Kraken. This move has triggered speculations regarding Solana’s potential downtrend, raising concerns among investors and traders.
Market Reaction to the Sell-Off
Despite the global crypto market reaching an impressive $3.16 trillion, Solana is facing notable resistance. The recent sell-off by Pump.fun has heightened fears of a continued bearish trend. To date, the launchpad has transferred a staggering 2,280,377 SOL, valued at approximately $462 million, to Kraken. While 264,373 SOL has already been sold for 41.64 million USDC, Pump.fun still holds 16,877 SOL, indicating the possibility of further market activity.
Additionally, Solana’s decline comes as Binance Coin (BNB) surpasses it in market capitalization, now standing at $96.15 billion compared to Solana’s $93.16 billion. Market sentiment is shifting as Solana’s 24-hour trading volume has decreased by 11.51%, now at $3.39 billion.
Technical Analysis
At the time of writing, Solana is trading at $191.17, experiencing a minor 0.20% increase in the last 24 hours. However, the broader trend presents a concerning outlook.
Key Technical Indicators:
- Break of Structure (BOS) Nearing $180: Currently, Solana is hovering around the BOS level. A confirmed breakdown below $180 could trigger a severe selling spree, pushing SOL toward deeper support zones.
- Fibonacci Retracement Analysis: A breakout above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level could invalidate the bearish sentiment and spark a bullish rally. If Solana reclaims this level, it could set sights on the $400-$500 range in the long term.
Conclusion
Solana is at a critical juncture, with its price movement hanging in the balance between bearish pressure and potential recovery. The recent Pump.fun sell-off has introduced uncertainty, but key technical levels and broader market sentiment will dictate the next move. A break below $180 could trigger a major decline, while a decisive move above the 38.2% Fibonacci level could renew bullish momentum. Traders should stay alert and adapt their strategies accordingly in this volatile environment.