SOL/USDT at Key Inflection Point – Breakout or Rejection? Part 2Solana (SOL) is trading at a pivotal zone where price structure, harmonic patterns, and key technical indicators converge. This setup outlines three potential scenarios, guided by Fibonacci levels, auto trendlines, and momentum indicators.
Green Scenario (Confirmed Bullish Continuation)
A sustained hold above $155, especially if followed by a breakout through $156.50 with rising volume, would confirm the green path. This scenario reflects short-term bullish momentum strengthening, as RSI remains near 60 and PVT continues to climb. If confirmed, price may extend toward $160, with secondary targets in the $165–$172 range, aligning with the upper ascending trendline and harmonic extension.
Orange Scenario (Sideways-to-Bullish Consolidation)
This scenario becomes increasingly likely if SOL remains range-bound between $153.50 and $157.80. This consolidation zone overlays the 50–61.8% Fibonacci levels, Bollinger Band basis, and several key trendline intersections. With RSI holding in the 55–65 range and PVT stable, this setup would favor re-accumulation before another breakout attempt. Price action above $155 continues to support this scenario as the base case.
Red Scenario (Bearish Breakdown)
A breakdown below $153.50, especially if followed by a breach of $150 on high sell volume, would invalidate the bullish thesis. This scenario opens downside risk toward $147.35 and potentially $144.00–$140.00. RSI would likely drop below 50, and a flattening or declining PVT would confirm distribution. This path aligns with the broader red trendline and would indicate a rejection of the recent bullish breakout.
Indicators Used:
Bollinger Bands (BB 20, 2)
Relative Strength Index (RSI 14) with moving average overlay
Price Volume Trend (PVT)
Auto-generated trendlines
Harmonic Patterns (ABCD and XABCD)
Fibonacci Retracement and extension levels
Bias:
Short-term bullish if price holds above $155. Market structure, RSI, and PVT favor upward continuation or consolidation. A break below $153.50 would shift the bias toward neutral or bearish.
Strategy Outline:
Bullish if price breaks and holds above $156.50
Targets: $160 / $165 / $172
Bearish if price breaks below $150.00
Targets: $147.35 / $144.00 / $140.00
Scalping opportunity in the $153.50–$157.80 zone while awaiting directional confirmation
**This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions. The author is not responsible for any losses incurred from reliance on this analysis.**
Solana
SOLUSDT | The Final Liquidity Hunt | $250 is the Next StopSOLUSDT is currently in an uptrend after recently breaking out of its extended downtrend to $95 which took out millions of long positions. Now, we are seeing yet another extended downtrend on the lower time frame, but the overall direction is still up.
Last week, price action printed two very bullish pinbars at the $155 level which could have been considered support, where price was consolidating around late April. High leverage traders entered here and eventually got liquidated last Friday.
Following the liquidity hunt, price reversed quickly, but not strong enough to reclaim the $155 zone. Many of those who were liquidated likely re-entered on this fast move, thinking that the liquidity hunt is over and price cannot move lower.
I am anticipating one FINAL move down to $140 before the uptrend resumes. This will be the move that takes out the dumb money and where smart money will take their positions. The alternative is that the liquidity hunt never happens, and price breaks out of the falling wedge to resume its uptrend.
What about macro and micro factors?
⚖️ Ripple vs SEC Case
On 8th May, both parties agreed to settle, which ignited a massive market-wide rally. Unfortunately, their filings were rejected due to a procedural issue. The next deadline for refiling is on 16th June. Once accepted, we can expect another massive rally.
🤝 US-China Trade Talks
This week, US and China will meet at the negotiation table again. On 12th May, US & China reached a deal in Geneva and sent markets on another rally. IF (big if) they come to another deal this time, we can expect another rally.
✂️ Fed Rate Cut Expectations
The Fed talked about cutting interest rates in late 2025. They are currently in a "wait and see" stance however, due to uncertainties. Eventually we will see a rate cut, and I believe this would be a "buy the rumor, sell the news" event. Markets will price in the anticipated rate cut before it happens later this year.
Our first price target is $250.
They saw a crash. I saw where the next rally beginsThis isn’t chaos. It’s sequence. SOL sold off into a well-defined 1H OB, paired with a high-volume low. Price didn’t break. It anchored.
The setup:
After an aggressive dump, price settled into an Order Block between 140–143. This isn’t weakness. It’s rebalancing. Right above? A perfect FVG at 149 and inefficiency zones that align with liquidity draws at 152 and 160.
Volume is telling — it spiked into the OB, not on exit. That’s how Smart Money positions.
Expectation:
Accumulation near the OB → quick reversal → reclaim 145
From there, watch price reprice through:
TP1: 149 (FVG reclaim)
TP2: 152 (full inefficiency fill)
TP3: 160 (external liquidity sweep)
Any deeper dip below 140 becomes a deviation — not a breakdown — unless structure is violated with follow-through.
Execution:
Entry: 141–143 zone
SL: Below 139.8
TP1: 149
TP2: 152
Final: 160
This is engineered — not emotional.
Final thought:
“You don’t need to predict the bottom. You just need to know where price is built to return.”
Solana Weekly TF, Good NewsI've gone deeper into Solana's chart and I have good news... You are looking at the weekly timeframe.
I looked at EMA34 and MA200 for some of the major Crypto projects, Bitcoin, Dogecoin, XRP, Cardano and Ethereum. You can find these in my profile @MasterAnanda.
Some were clearly bullish as the action was happening above both moving averages, others were mixed and one was bearish.
Solana is trading below EMA34 weekly but safely above MA200.
MA200 weekly sits at $100 for SOLUSDT.
There is another level of relevance, EMA89. On this chart shown as a blue line and this is the good news. EMA89 is working as support, it worked last week and this week it still holds. This same level matches perfectly the 0.5 Fib. retracement support relative to the move from 7-April to 19-May.
This is all to say that we are looking at a strong support zone, which means that it is likely to hold. If it breaks, it should be brief followed by a recovery right away.
Namaste.
Solana - Your chance to be a millionaireThere is a 50/50 chance that we have topped...
The wave structure is very indicative of a completed impulse. However, i'm betting that we are just in a complex wave 4 and if this is the case, we should see a wave 5 taking out the high.
The risk to reward is pretty nice and playing spot will pay off.
JITO Long-Term Accumulation Phase, Whales, Exchanges & 500% PPThe same market conditions prevail on this chart as with many other altcoins. The low is in. The low has been in for months, since 7-April 2025.
The advance has been happening very slowly and this is good. There will be a point where everything is up "out of the blue." No blue here, no surprise. When you see everything goes up 300% or 500% in a matter of weeks, remember that first the market was sideways for months.
This sideways period is the consolidation-accumulation phase and this phase is when the bulls amass strength. Whales are loading. It takes a while because liquidity is not strong on these pairs so it takes months and months for the whales to be able to inject hundreds of millions into the market. If all the money was injected in a matter of days or weeks, it would be chaos, that's why it takes time for a bullish wave to develop.
This phase can last anywhere between 3-6 months. Some pairs already moved ahead and produced some growth. This growth is corrected, it is just like saying, "Hey calm down, not so fast..." And the exchanges put selling pressure on the market to reduce prices so the whales have more time to accumulate. Retail is always anxious, whales are always patient.
Accumulation can only go for so long. It is like a pressure cooker. Pressure builds up and boom! There needs to be a release, the release here is experienced as a very strong wave of growth.
To be honest, the story is irrelevant, only one thing is relevant if you are here for profits, to make money, to trade; Buy when prices are low and hold. Wait patiently for prices to grow. Sell when prices are high.
Only one thing matters, entry prices and timing.
If you get the right price and the right timing, you will do great. We are witnessing a long-term accumulation phase. It is reaching its end.
Cryptocurrency will grow.
The Altcoins will grow.
Bitcoin is already too strong.
Patience is key.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
$SOL - Ready for a STRONG Comeback to $300!Throughout 2024 Solana has been moving within the Massive Ascending Channel . It does these days too.
Recently, back in March 2025, there was a fake breakdown of the channel's ascending support. It ended up with a strong pullback above the line. Moreover, the descending trend line that was initially formed in February 2024 was also broken upwards.
Signs of strong bullish volumes.
At the moment the price is consolidating above the EMA500 of 1D chart (EMA70 of 1W) , just as it did back in November 2023 before the famous x7 rally from $30 to $210.
Breakout of the 0.382 lvl by Fibo will mark the beginning of a new rally upwards. Target for this upward movement on CRYPTOCAP:SOL is $320 , must be reached in 2025.
Solana's Retrace Isn't Over, Lower HighSolana's retrace is not over, some weakness is showing up on the chart. Here we have a strong lower high on the daily timeframe coupled with very low trading volume. Low trading volume at this point signals that buyers are just not present. When no new buyers are present, the market will continue in the same trend. The trend is the drop that started 19-Jan, confirmed 23-May with a lower high. Today, a local lower high points to even lower prices.
Once the retrace is over, we can expect a new wave of growth; for now, we have to step back and watch (SHORT) until a new support level forms. When support is in, we can again buy (go LONG).
Sell at resistance, buy at support.
Adapt live to market conditions.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Choose wisely. Be smart.
Namaste.
HolderStat┆SOLUSD reached resistance lineCRYPTOCAP:SOL just flipped the 157 pivot into support after escaping a falling channel and retesting the up-trend. Holding here fuels a run toward the 170 trend-cap and 180 supply shelf; failure invites 150 again. Growing channel, consolidation clusters, breakout watch.
Already ready to go longMy bias for Solana is super bullish. I invest in Solana and I think it is still a good price to buy and hold, but I am planning to trade with leverage.
Currently, Daily EMA200 is dead flat and running across the candles.
MACD moving to the upside but still in bear territory.
There is a bullish momentum building up, however, there is a large sell order block sitting above the current price area, and the price can oscillate around EMA200. The similar situation is marked in the blue rectangular box in the chart.
I will open a long position when:
1) EMA 21 >EMA55> EMA200
2) MACD lines cross and move in the bull territory.
3) a daily candle closes above EMA21. (see red vertical line)
Red Lights for SOLANASolana has recently completed its 5-wave impulsive rise, and now a correction phase appears to be underway. Notably, a diamond top formation has formed and already broken to the downside, further supporting the short-term bearish outlook.
As long as SOL trades below the $180 resistance, this corrective scenario remains valid.
I currently do not expect a drop below the $146 support zone, making this a structured micro pullback within a larger bullish macro trend.
This setup offers opportunities for both short-term short and long entries, depending on how the price reacts near key levels. While the macro structure and fundamentals remain highly bullish for Solana, this correction could provide an ideal re-entry point before the next major leg up.
— Thanks for reading.
Is there hope for Solana?After a retest of support around $142, SOL is testing previous support as resistance around $152.
A strong break and retest of the $153 area could signal price reclaiming support and heading towards $166.
Failing to do so could lead to a retest and confirmation of $140 as support. Of course, losing support would signal further weakness towards $136 before a reversal potentially taking place.
As mentioned before, price is still trading below 1D 200MA, which could either be signaling weakness or the potential for more upside.
Considering the downward direction of the 1D 200MA could also be a bearish signal, however, this also usually happens before a reversal.
Solana >>> all trendlines are brokenHello guys!
As you can see, all of the trendline is broken, and after forming a double top in Solana, we can see a bearish trend is running!
I believe this downward movement will continue until the price touches the mentioned area!
The pointed area is the target level!
And the blue area has its own potential for getting long!
Long-Term Technical Outlook: Critical Decision Point Approaching
The chart illustrates a long-term technical structure where the price has been following an ascending channel after a prolonged bearish trend. However, recent price action indicates a breakdown below the green ascending trendline, raising concerns about a potential shift in market sentiment.
Currently, the $117 level is acting as a pivotal support zone. A sustained breakdown below this level — and more critically, below the red lower trendline — would validate the bearish scenario. This could trigger a deeper correction phase, with downside targets aligned along the red projection path. Such a move may lead to significantly lower price levels in the medium to long term.
🔽 Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to hold above $117 and breaks below the red trendline, this would confirm the start of a bearish leg. Based on historical structure and projected trajectories, this could result in a descent toward the $93 level initially, with the possibility of extending further downward depending on market conditions.
🔼 Bullish Scenario:
On the other hand, if the price manages to reclaim the green trendline and more importantly, stabilize above the $204 resistance zone, it would signal renewed bullish strength. Such a move would open the path toward higher highs, potentially re-entering the previous upward channel and continuing the macro uptrend.
🧭 The price structure is now approaching a decisive zone, where either a confirmation of bearish continuation or a bullish recovery will likely unfold. Both scenarios have been visually outlined — green lines indicating bullish continuation, and red lines representing bearish momentum.
📌 Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
Solana Bullish, Retrace Over! Aim For $620 or $1,020 In this 2025 Cryptocurrency bull market, you should be aiming for $620 or $1,020 for Solana, $420 is the minimum.
How are you feeling today my dear friend?
I hope you are having a wonderful day.
Retraces and corrections, they can only last so long.
Solana dropped from $188 to $141 and I believe this is enough, a 24% drop (-24%).
As the retrace ends, the chart will produce a higher low and, as the higher low becomes confirmed, SOLUSDT starts a new wave of growth.
$420 is the minimum target for this bullish wave and should hit first but, you should aim higher, much higher. Crypto is showing to be many times stronger than what most people think.
Remember, the mistake we always make is not aiming too high but aiming too low. In each bull market, we tend to underestimate the market. Aim high, because we are going up.
Retraces and corrections are an opportunity to buy-in, 2nd entries, rebuy and reload.
Don't try to SHORT within a bull market, it is dangerous and not worth the risk. It is better to wait for support and go LONG. Always trade with the trend, specially if you are using leverage. Crypto is going up. Solana will now turn green.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Solana Short-Term, Already Bearish After 97% UpWhat will happen in the long-term? Before we get there, let's focus on the short-term real quick because we want to know what is happening with the market now.
The market offers endless opportunities. We need to take advantage of those, our edge. We have an edge and this edge is being able to read the chart. With this edge, we can time the market and increase our trading success.
Solana grew by 97%. This is good. Of course, some pairs grew way more while others grew less. I did mentioned that when Bitcoin grows 50%, some Altcoins can grow 300%. This is exactly what happened, this is because of the size of the projects.
Some pairs grew more but these were smaller pairs. Some pairs grew less but these were bigger. That's just the nature of things.
This 97% bu-wave can be correlated to a 300-400% bullish-wave on other pairs. This means that after a growth wave comes a correction.
SOLUSDT—two main interesting levels. Won't mention them as they are shown on the chart.
Both are likely to hit but the first high is really high probability.
This is easy. Wait for support before buying again. I say "again" because you are supposed to sell at resistance, we are assuming you sold at resistance and are ready to buy at support.
Good? We are good.
The market will continue to move down and up while long-term it produces sustained growth.
We need to adapt fast and be smart, everything can change in a day.
Keep an eye on the news, we might be in front of some major event.
Political events can change everything and cannot be predicted.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Will Solana Go Lower? Yes! Only To Recover HigherI've been asked: Will Solana continue lower?
I think it is a fair question but it is also pretty hard right now to say based on the chart, there are just too many mixed signals.
For example, if we take Solana in relation to Bitcoin, it is trading daily below EMA55 and MA200, while Bitcoin is trading daily above these levels. Bitcoin hit recently a new all-time high while Solana only produced a small recovery in May.
When it comes to the chart signals, SOLUSDT produced a volume breakout on the bearish side and the support zone was completely challenged on a single candle. What's more, Solana will grow really strong later this year, so it would be normal to see as much bearish action as possible now because later we will have sustained long-term growth.
It is a coin flip, but if you ask me, it can go a bit lower before moving up. It can go lower to end up producing a higher low.
I will wait for clear reversal signals before going LONG.
I closed all my LONGs a while back, when it became clear that the market was going into correction. Now we can just wait easily and patiently until the correction unravels, after the correction comes a new wave of growth. Down and up, down and up... The market continues to cycle. Never straight down, never straight up. It moves in waves.
Namaste.
HolderStat┆SOLUSD rebound from supportCRYPTOCAP:SOL revisits the 150 pivot inside a corrective wedge, yet April’s growing channel stays intact. Confluence of horizontal demand, wedge resistance and prior consolidation tips a comeback toward 175, then the 185 ceiling, as long as trendline cradle support endures.
Solana H4 | Potential bounce off 50% Fibonacci supportSolana (SOL/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 140.92 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 122.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support.
Take profit is at 160.65 which is an overlap resistance.
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