SOL/USDT:BUY...Hello friends
Due to the heavy price drop we had, the market fell into fear and at the specified support, buyers supported the price, which is a good sign that we should buy within the support ranges with capital and risk management and move with it to the specified targets.
Always buy in fear and sell in greed.
*Trade safely with us*
SOLUSD
SOL preppin for a 300 revisit from this 100 bargain zone. SEED!SOL has been on rollercoaster ride the past few months -- going from 100 to almost 300 in a zoom when the market is at its peak.
Moreso, when memes started taking over the market and everyone, including the president himself is launching one on SOL blockchain, market started pickup up pace and eliciting euphoria among all, albeit momentarily. It has stirred up some hype and frenzy skyrocketing prices only to be met with so much saturation and gravity, then the BIG BLEED happens.
After a few weeks thing seem to have settled down -- a shift is gradually transpiring as we speak. SOL is now exhibiting some basing behavior at this current range at 100 levels. Net longs has started to pile up around this zone conveying a prep work of upside reversal soon.
Long term metrics suggests a tap at 61.8 FIB levels - a buyers convergence zone. This is where it all starts.
Ideal seeding is at the current discounted price range.
Spotted at 110
Mid target 300.
Long term 500.
TAYOR. Trade safely.
SOLUSDT Holding Support, Targeting $150BINANCE:SOLUSDT bounced perfectly from the 0.618 Fib level and is now testing resistance. A small dip back to support is possible, but if $110 holds, we could see a strong move toward $150. Compared to other altcoins, SOLUSDT is showing real strength. Once the tariff noise clears, this could be one of the top performers. Always manage risk and set your stop loss!
BINANCE:SOLUSDT Currently trading at $118
Buy level: Above $112.5
Stop loss: Below $100
Target : $150
Max Leverage 3x
Always keep Stop loss
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Fading Risk Sentiment Supports Solana Amid Crypto SlumpLast week, Mint Finance published a comparison of Solana with other blockchain networks, focusing on speed, transaction costs, network size, and valuation. We emphasized Solana’s unique position in the decentralized application (dApp) space—particularly in NFTs and meme coin trading—where it has cultivated a loyal user base by offering low fees and fast transaction speeds.
While Solana’s network growth has been notable, its token performance tells a more nuanced story. The token generally trades with a high correlation to broader crypto markets, though it has experienced periods of divergence that have presented attractive spread opportunities.
Solana sits further out on the risk curve compared to BTC and ETH, exhibiting higher volatility. It tends to outperform in risk-on environments, delivering stronger returns during market rallies. However, during risk-off periods, it typically underperforms as investors favor more established and resilient assets like BTC.
Amid the current turbulence in crypto markets, this paper examines Solana’s relative outlook versus BTC and ETH, and outlines how investors can position accordingly using CME Solana and Micro Solana futures.
Recap of Solana Performance and Volatility
After a strong recovery from its 2022 lows following the FTX collapse, Solana began trading closely in line with BTC throughout 2024. Both were among the top-performing crypto assets last year. However, since January, this trend has reversed, with Solana surrendering most of its year-to-date gains.
Data Source: TradingView
Historical volatility across SOL, ETH, and BTC follows a similar trend but varies in magnitude. SOL consistently exhibits the highest volatility, followed by ETH, with BTC being the least volatile. These differences become more pronounced during volatility spikes, while during calmer periods, their volatility levels tend to converge.
The trend in implied volatility (IV) mirrors that of historical volatility, with SOL showing the highest IV and BTC the lowest. Recently, IV has begun to moderate, driven in part by the tariff rollback.
Relative Performance During Risk-On/Risk-Off Periods
During periods of risk-off sentiment—indicated by spikes in the VIX index—Solana typically underperforms, often experiencing the steepest declines among major crypto assets.
Conversely, during market rallies, Solana tends to outperform, often posting the strongest gains by a significant margin.
Technicals Sentiment
Technical indicators suggest a weakening bearish trend for Solana. Although prices have been declining since January, a rising RSI and MACD are signaling that the downtrend may be approaching a turning point. While the broader macro environment remains challenging, the postponement of U.S. tariffs has offered some short-term relief. Nonetheless, continued macro stress may weigh further on prices. The USD 100 level could serve as a potential support, offering psychological significance for the market.
A review of near-term technical indicators reflects a similar outlook, with multiple signals aligning toward a Buy summary. However, the 1D timeframe still shows a Sell signal, indicating that further downside may be possible before a definitive bottom is established.
In contrast, the near-term outlook for ETH remains bearish, with a Sell signal across most timeframes. Any sentiment improvement has yet to materialize for ETH.
Hypothetical Trade Setup
Solana sits further out on the risk curve compared to assets like ETH and BTC, as reflected in its higher implied and historical volatility, as well as its more extreme price movements. It typically experiences the steepest declines during market corrections but also leads gains during bullish periods.
Since the start of the year, Solana’s price has been in steady decline. However, early technical signals suggest the downtrend may be approaching a turning point, though some near-term weakness could persist.
BTC continues to serve as the crypto market’s safe haven. Despite a 20% correction since January, it has significantly outperformed both SOL and ETH. While Solana has been the weakest performer among the three for most of the downturn, it has recently begun to close the gap with ETH as the correction appears to be nearing its end.
With the performance gap between ETH and SOL narrowing as the correction approaches its end, a tactical long SOL / short ETH position may be attractive. If prices continue to rise or consolidate, SOL is likely to outperform ETH due to its higher beta.
Alternatively, for investors expecting further downside in crypto markets, a long BTC / short SOL position could be compelling. This setup aims to capture relative strength in BTC, which tends to benefit from safe haven flows during periods of market stress.
In order to express these views, investors can deploy CME futures which offer compelling margin offsets for inter-market spreads involving cryptocurrencies which can enhance capital efficiency.
Long Micro SOL, Short Micro ETH
Long 1 x Micro SOL April futures: 117.2 x 25 SOL/contract = notional of USD 2,931
Short 19 x Micro ETH April futures: 1554 x 0.1 ETH/contract x 19 = notional of USD 2,952
This trade requires margin of USD 2,185 as of 11/April (USD 1,255 for 1 x MSL and USD 931 for 19 x MET (49/contract)
CME offers 40% margin offset for this trade as of 11/April reducing margin requirements to USD 1,311
A hypothetical trade setup with a 2x reward to risk ratio is described below:
Long Micro BTC, Short Micro SOL
Long 1 x Micro BTC April futures: 81,250 x 0.1 BTC/contract = notional of USD 8,125
Short 3 x Micro SOL April futures: 117.2 x 25 SOL/contract x 3 = notional of USD 8,793
This trade requires margin of USD 5,678 as of 11/April (USD 1,913 for 1 x MBT and USD 3,765 for 3 x MSL (1,255/contract)
CME offers ~25% margin offset for this trade as of 11/April reducing margin requirements to USD 4,261
A hypothetical trade setup with a reward to risk ratio of 1.6x is described below:
To access the standard size contract spreads, investors can use the ratios of 1 x BTC to 6 x SOL and 2 x ETH to 3 x SOL.
MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme .
DISCLAIMER
This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
SOLANA on its huge Bull Cycle Support.Solana / SOLUSD just hit the Rising Support that started back on the December 26th 2022 Bear Cycle Bottom.
Meanwhile, it hit for the first time in its history its 1week MA200. This is a huge Support cluster.
Having declined by -68.21% from its January All Time High, it looks identical to the last correction (also -68.21%) of the last Bull Cycle in May-June 2021.
A +1278% rally followed and it since we now enter the final phase of the Bull Cycle with the most aggressive rallies historically made, a new +1278% increase is technically possible.
Target 1200.
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SOL/USDT Wedge Breakout (08.04.2025)The SOL/USDT pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 120.60
2nd Resistance – 130.63
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SOLANA WILL RETURNCurrently, SOL is moving in bottom sides of a trendline which is not broken yet.
Despite being full of liquidity, this trendline for SOL might be the best opportuinty to buy for long term.
As long as the level 60$ is not broken, SOL will rise for a new all time high.
Remember, The Ecosystem of Solana build on casino. Gambler always return.
If SOL closes below the level of 60$ in weekly timeframe, the analysis is invalid and you can assume that SOL is diving through a bearish season.
Sol Getting Ready For Round 3?Sol has made two massive pushes to the upside this cycle followed by a long distribution / re accumulation range. We have not quite seen a full 1/3 retrace of the cycle low but certainly in range to be watching for a momentum shift signaling seller exaustion and new intrest at the lower prices.
Current Trading Plan: DCA until a clear momentum shift occurs and trading rallies.
Targeting same $1000 area as previous long term sol chart posted early this cycle accurately forcasting the current time and range for a major sell off. Now farther in the cycle we can see a simple doubling of the current range and standard cup and handle target aligning for the potential $1000 cycle target.
Trade Well....
Your Friend,
Degen
Solana vs. Ethereum: Why Investors Are Turning to Solana in 2025In recent months, a growing shift in sentiment has been observed among crypto investors: many are increasingly eyeing Solana (SOL) as a strong alternative to Ethereum (ETH). The comparison chart above, plotting Solana’s price action alongside Ethereum's, reveals that despite ETH retracing back to October 2023 levels, SOL is still holding higher support zones—a sign of relative strength and growing market confidence.
But why exactly is Solana capturing investor attention more than Ethereum in 2025? Let’s dive into the technical, fundamental, and sentiment-driven reasons behind this evolving preference.
___________________
📊 Technical Outlook: Solana Holding Strong
Ethereum (red line) has dropped back to its October 2023 price levels (~$1500), reflecting a broader altcoin weakness.
Solana, on the other hand, is still trading above $100, even though the macro market has turned bearish.
SOL has tested and respected the long-term ascending trendline that began in early 2023, while holding above a key horizontal support near $68–$82.
This divergence in structure suggests stronger buy-side interest and support zones forming on Solana, while Ethereum appears to be losing momentum.
___________________
🧬 Fundamental Comparison: Solana vs. Ethereum
Solana’s technical design gives it a speed and cost edge that appeals to users and developers building consumer-facing applications like NFTs, GameFi, and micro-transactions. Ethereum remains the institutional and DeFi heavyweight, but it’s starting to feel the pressure of competition in usability and scalability.
___________________
💬 Investor Sentiment: What’s Driving the Shift?
User Experience
Solana offers near-instant confirmation and negligible fees, making it ideal for gaming, NFTs, and mainstream use cases. Ethereum's scaling solution rollouts are still clunky and fragmented (Layer 2s like Arbitrum, Optimism, etc.), creating friction.
Vibrant Ecosystem Growth
Solana’s ecosystem is experiencing a boom in dApps, especially with high-profile launches like Jupiter, Marinade, and Phantom wallet integration. The mobile-first approach (Saga phone initiative) and deeper ties with consumer apps are also pushing adoption.
Performance During Market Pullbacks
As seen in the chart, SOL is showing relative strength during market corrections, indicating long-term accumulation rather than panic selling.
Narrative Momentum
The "ETH killer" narrative has found new life with Solana's resurgence. While Ethereum focuses on L2 scaling and abstract complexity, Solana is betting on a simpler, high-performance monolithic chain.
#SOL/USDT#SOL
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 95.
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 108.50
First target: 114.06
Second target: 119
Third target: 127
SOL Trade Plan: Daily Support, Liquidity Grab & Trade Idea.Solana (SOL) is currently navigating a challenging market environment, with broader sell-offs across the crypto space weighing heavily on its price action. On the daily and 4-hour timeframes, SOL has traded into a significant support zone, marked by previous swing lows. This area has historically acted as a magnet for buyers, but the recent dip below these levels suggests a liquidity grab is underway. This move has likely triggered sell stops sitting below the lows, creating the potential for a reversal as smart money steps in. ⚡
Zooming into the 15-minute timeframe, SOL is consolidating within a tight range, reflecting a period of indecision. This range-bound behavior often precedes a breakout, and a bullish break above the range could signal the start of a recovery. A shift in market structure—marked by higher highs and higher lows—would provide further confirmation of bullish intent.
Key Insights:
Daily Timeframe: SOL has dipped below key support levels, sweeping liquidity.
4-Hour Timeframe: Price is overextended, trading into a critical demand zone.
15-Minute Timeframe: Consolidation within a range, awaiting a breakout for directional clarity.
Trading Plan:
Patience is Key: Wait for SOL to break out of the 15-minute range to the upside. 🚀
Market Structure Confirmation: Look for a clear shift to bullish market structure (higher highs and higher lows). 📊
Entry Strategy: Enter long positions after confirmation, with a stop-loss placed below the range low. 🛡️
Profit Targets: Focus on resistance levels on the 4-hour and daily timeframes for potential take-profit zones. 🎯
Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: Previous daily swing lows, now acting as a liquidity zone.
Resistance Zone: The upper boundary of the 15-minute range and key levels on the 4-hour chart.
This setup highlights the importance of waiting for confirmation before entering a trade. While the liquidity grab below support is a promising signal, a breakout and bullish structure are essential to avoid false moves. As always, this is not financial advice—traders should conduct their own analysis and manage risk appropriately. ⚠️
The key is whether it can rise to around 136.74
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(SOLUSDT 1M chart)
In terms of Fibonacci ratio, the key is whether it can rise after receiving support near 0.5 (98.71).
In order to continue the uptrend, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Accordingly, we need to see whether it can rise above 136.92 and receive support.
If not, and it falls, you should go up again and check if it is supported near the Fibonacci ratio 0.5 (98.71) or if the HA-Low indicator on the 1M chart is generated, and then create a trading strategy.
-
(1D chart)
Therefore, if possible, it is more important to check if it is supported near the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart, that is, near 136.74.
-
Fibonacci ratio 0.5 (98.71) should be interpreted as having an important meaning because it is in the middle of the overall chart.
Fibonacci ratio is a chart tool that helps with chart analysis, but it is not recommended to trade with it.
-
(30m chart)
The indicator that can create a trading strategy on my chart is the HA-Low, HA-High indicator.
Therefore, you can create a trading strategy by looking at the movement of the HA-Low, HA-High indicator formed on the time frame chart that you mainly view and trade.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902(101875.70) ~ 2(106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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Crypto Sell-Off: Is Solana Headed for $80?Without a doubt, Solana was the hottest topic in the crypto market last year and at the start of this one—especially with the meme coin craze.
However, after peaking near $300, the price began to decline in what initially appeared to be a normal correction. But once Solana broke below the $200 mark, things turned ugly, and the price quickly dropped to the key $120 support zone—a level that held strong over the past year.
Now, it looks like Solana is on the verge of breaking below this support, which could trigger an acceleration toward $80, with the $100 psychological level as an intermediate stop.
________________________________________
Why the Downside is Likely to Continue
📉 Bulls Can’t Hold Gains – Short-term rallies are fading fast, showing a lack of real buying strength.
📉 Bearish Engulfing Candle – Yesterday’s price action printed a lower high, adding further pressure on support.
📉 $120 Breakdown Incoming? – If this level fails, expect a sharp decline toward $80.
________________________________________
Trading Plan: Selling Under $130
🔻 Sell Rallies Below $130 – Targeting a move to $80 in the medium term.
🔻 Only a Sustained Move Above $130 – Would shift Solana to a neutral stance—not bullish by any means.
For now, the bearish pressure remains, and selling rallies is the strategy to follow. 🚀
Why Solana (SOL) might correct to the $75–$85 range?Let’s break down why Solana (SOL) might correct to the $75–$85 range, considering fundamental factors, news, events, technical analysis, Coinbase orders, and on-chain activity.
Fundamental Factors
Solana is a high-performance blockchain known for its speed and low fees. However, in 2024–2025, it faces several challenges that could impact its price. One of these challenges is the phenomenon of meme tokens, often referred to as the " Meme Casino ," which has become a significant part of Solana’s ecosystem.
1. Decline in DeFi, NFT, and Meme Token Activity
Solana has been widely used for DeFi and NFT projects and has established itself as the leading blockchain for meme tokens. However, in 2024–2025, these sectors are experiencing a downturn. For instance, NFT trading volume and DeFi activity on Solana have significantly dropped compared to their peak levels in 2021–2022. Interest in meme tokens like BONK, which temporarily boosted demand for SOL, may also fade due to the volatility of this market. This reduces the demand for SOL tokens for transactions within the ecosystem, putting downward pressure on the price and diminishing the token’s fundamental value.
2. Competition from Other Blockchains
Solana competes with networks like Ethereum (following the Ethereum 2.0 upgrade and the introduction of sharding), Arbitrum, Optimism, and newer players such as Sui and Aptos. These blockchains also offer high performance and low fees, potentially drawing developers and users away from Solana and reducing interest in SOL.
3. Regulatory Risks
In 2024–2025, regulators worldwide, particularly in the U.S., are tightening control over cryptocurrencies. Meme tokens, which drive a significant portion of Solana’s activity, are often associated with scams. I believe that 99.999% of meme tokens are scam coins, and this could lead to regulatory actions that harm the meme sector on Solana. Since Solana heavily relies on this sector, the price of SOL could plummet to levels like $2–$11.
4. Declining Interest in Meme Tokens on Solana
In 2023–2024, meme tokens like BONK temporarily increased Solana’s popularity and demand for SOL. However, in 2025, this hype may fade, as the meme token market is prone to sharp rises and falls. This could reduce network activity and, consequently, the price of SOL. In other words, "the music is slowly fading."
Technical Analysis
On the provided SOL/USDC chart (5-day timeframe), several key points support the idea of a correction to the $75–$85 range:
➖ Volume Profile
On the right side of the chart, the volume profile shows a significant trading volume (a thick zone) in the $75–$85 range. This indicates strong support, making it a likely area for the price to return to due to high liquidity.
➖ Trend Structure
The chart shows signs of a slowing uptrend: shorter upward impulses and increasing volatility (short candles with long wicks). This could signal a reversal or the start of a correction.
➖ Correction Target: $75–$85 Zone ("Coinbase Orders")
The $75–$85 range, marked as "Coinbase orders," is a support zone with limit buy orders. For example, on Coinbase alone, there are orders for 44,419 SOL worth $3,553,520. Similar orders may exist on other exchanges like Binance, Kraken, OKX, and others, creating a strong demand zone.
➖ Hyperliquid Liquidation Map
According to the Hyperliquid Liquidation Map, the $75–$85 range contains liquidation levels for long traders. A drop to this level could trigger a cascade of liquidations, intensifying the downward move but also attracting buyers looking for an entry point.
What Event Could Trigger a Correction?
An expected correction in Bitcoin to the $70,000–$76,000 range could act as a trigger for Solana and other cryptocurrencies to fall, as the altcoin market often follows BTC.
===
I believe this will be the last corrective bounce for cryptocurrencies, synchronized with a bounce in the S&P 500. After that, I expect all markets to enter a deep decline.
🤔🤔🤔
Solana - The Bullrun Is Not Over Yet!Solana ( CRYPTO:SOLUSD ) might create another move higher:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
As we are speaking Solana is sitting at the exact same level as it was about 3.5 years ago in the end of 2021. In the meantime we saw a lot of volatility and Solana is now once again retesting a major previous support level. Despite the harsh recent drop, the bullrun remains valid to this day.
Levels to watch: $120, $250
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
SOLUSDT SOLUSDT Analysis 📊
🔹 Support Levels: 118, 112, and 107 USD
🔹 Resistance Levels: 130 and 150 USD
✅ The price has reacted positively after testing the 118-112 USD support zone, showing a short-term bullish move with increasing volume.
📉 If the price fails to break 130 USD, a pullback to 118 USD is possible.
📈 A breakout above 130 USD could pave the way for a move toward 150 USD.
🔍 Conclusion: The bullish trend remains unconfirmed until 130 USD is broken.
Solana Correction - Is a Drop to $60 Inevitable?After an explosive 200x rally, Solana surged from its all time low at $1 to a new all time high in 2021, followed by a correction to $10 in 2022. It then made another massive run to $250 in 2024.
Now, a double-top "M" pattern is forming, signaling a reversal. As shown on the chart, we could see a drop to $60.
What's your take - has the top been set, or do you disagree with the bearish outlook? Let me know your thoughts!
Kindly support this idea with a LIKE👍 if you find it useful🥳
Happy Trading💰🥳🤗
Will SOL drop below $100?Hello Traders,
I hope you are all doing well. Here’s a quick analysis of SOL on the weekly timeframe.
After reaching its all-time high of $295, SOL experienced a 60% decline within 11 weeks. According to the chart, the support trendline remains strong, and technically, the price has not yet reached that level.
If we see a further dip toward the support trendline, SOL could drop as low as $90. However, a rebound from this level could lead to a significant upward move.
Long-Term Strategy:
✅ Accumulation: $90 to $125
✅ Trade Type: Spot
✅ Target: $300 to a new all-time high
✅ Period: By the end of Q3
🔔 Reminder: Always conduct your own research and analysis before investing. This is not financial advice.
Regards,
Team Dexter
SOLANA(UPDATE)Hello friends
Due to the heavy price drop, you can see that buyers are slowly entering and the price is creating a good ascending channel, which now provides a good opportunity to buy in stages and with capital management and move towards the specified goals.
Don't forget to save profit on each target.
*Trade safely with us*
Primer: Solana - A Blazing BlockchainCME Group’s newly launched Solana futures enable institutional grade access to the cryptocurrency, offering investors access to compelling relative value opportunities.
This paper provides a background to Solana in relation to other major blockchain networks and cryptocurrencies. Mint Finance will outline the execution of crypto market spread trades using CME futures in an upcoming paper.
Solana is a high-performance public blockchain launched in 2020 by Solana Labs, founded by Anatoly Yakovenko (a former Qualcomm engineer). Yakovenko first proposed Solana’s novel Proof of History (PoH) concept in 2017 as a solution to blockchain scalability. He assembled a founding team including former Qualcomm colleague Greg Fitzgerald and others and named the project after a California beach town.
Backed by early venture funding, Solana’s mainnet launched in March 2020. The vision was to enable ultra-fast, low-cost transactions for decentralized applications (e.g. DeFi, gaming), addressing limitations of Bitcoin & Ethereum in speed and fees.
Solana has grown rapidly to become one of the most used networks and amassed a market cap of USD 64 billion, making it one of the largest digital assets. What is behind the massive surge? Is it due to flip ETH as the home of DeFi?
How Does Solana’s Blockchain Rank?
While Solana’s low fees and fast transaction speeds have driven high trading volume, transaction count, and wallet growth, it still trails ETH in Total Value Locked (TVL). To achieve its high transaction throughput, Solana has made certain compromises on decentralization.
In terms of ecosystem development, Solana is seeing rapid growth. The Electric Capital 2024 developer report found Solana attracted the most new developers in 2024 – more than any other ecosystem (even Ethereum’s, despite Ethereum’s broader base).
Solana now has ~2,500 monthly active developers, second only to Ethereum’s ~8,900 (which includes many working on Layer-2s). This loyal & expanding developer base has been a key factor behind Solana’s explosive growth.
DEX Surge and Meme Coin Mania
Solana’s early growth was driven by NFTs, supported by low fees and a loyal community that made it a hub for NFT trading. These factors continued to attract users even after the NFT boom subsided. Its fast, low-cost blockchain and strong developer base have enabled the launch of many user-friendly and popular applications. More recently, Solana’s growth has been fuelled by surging decentralized exchange (DEX) volumes and a wave of meme coin minting.
By November 2024, meme coin trading accounted for an all-time high 65% of monthly DEX volume on Solana’s largest DEX, Raydium. Raydium even overtook Uniswap in monthly volume that month.
Solana’s advantages in cost and speed have been pivotal in this trend. Transaction fees on Solana are negligible and on-par with L2 chains. This cost advantage makes minting and trading low-value tokens (like meme coins) economically feasible on Solana but prohibitively expensive on Ethereum layer-1. Similarly, Solana’s block times (~0.4 seconds) and high throughput enable rapid trading. Traders can execute many rapid swaps on Solana DEXs without the delays and slippage that Ethereum’s ~12-second blocks and occasional congestion introduce. Solana’s speed and low fees thus attracted a flood of retail speculators for meme coins and high-frequency trading strategies.
Ethereum’s ecosystem still offers deeper liquidity and broader dApp selection, but Solana capitalized on specific niches (e.g. meme coins, real-time trading) where Ethereum’s costs are a barrier.
However, this explosive growth was not without turbulence. In early 2025, a “meme coin meltdown” saw activity cooling off after several scam tokens collapsed. By February 2025, Solana’s share of total on-chain DEX volume, which had topped 51% in January, retreated to 24% as some froth cleared.
Data Source: Artemis
Scandals like a fake “Libra” token (which vaporized $4.4B in market cap) and a Trump-themed token rug pull dented retail sentiment. Even so, Solana’s DEX volumes remain on par with Ethereum’s entire ecosystem (L1 + L2), a remarkable feat. VanEck’s Feb 2025 report noted that despite an 80%+ drop in new meme token launches since January, Solana DEX activity “is still holding its own – roughly matching the entire ETH ecosystem”.
In short, the meme coin mania has demonstrated Solana’s capacity to manage massive retail-driven bursts of activities that might overwhelm other chains.
Market Metrics For BTC, ETH, and SOL
Since the bottom of the bear market following the FTX collapse. Solana has delivered a stunning recovery, far outperforming both BTC and ETH, but the massive gains were partly explained by the much sharper decline following FTX.
During 2024, SOL performance moved in lockstep with BTC with both assets delivering stunning returns. However, the performance diverged sharply after Jan/2025, coinciding with the collapse in DEX trading volume. The sharp correction since has erased most of the 2024 gains while BTC has remained resilient.
Solana has, nevertheless, managed to outperform ETH which has suffered an even deeper correction over the past few months.
Data Source: TradingView
Historical volatility for all three assets shows a similar trend but differ in magnitude. SOL has the highest volatility while ETH follows second and BTC is least volatile. During spikes, the differences become exaggerated, but during lows, the values can reach similar lows.
For traders, higher volatility can be both an opportunity and a risk.
While SOL’s performance is positively correlated with both ETH and BTC, this correlation breaks frequently (more commonly with ETH) and these periods of divergence present compelling spread opportunities.
The trend for implied volatility (IV) is like HV with SOL’s IV the highest and Bitcoin’s IV the lowest. Recently, IV has started to edge up again following a decline through March.
Trading Solana and Crypto Spreads
With the launch of CME’s Solana and Micro Solana futures, investors can express views on Solana’s growth and take tactical positions that benefit from relative outperformance. Mint Finance will outline the execution of crypto market spread trades using CME futures in an upcoming paper.
CME Solana futures provide exposure to 500 SOL per futures contract and reference the CME CF Solana-Dollar Reference Rate.
CME Micro Solana futures offer a smaller notional value to create more balanced spreads and for fine-tuning exposure. The micro contract provides exposure to 25 SOL.
Additional details about the contract including margins, calendars, and specifications are available on the CME Solana product page .
MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme .
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SOL/USD 4H ChartHi everyone, let's look at the 4H SOL to USD chart, in this situation we can see how the price broke out from the local uptrend line at the bottom.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face:
T1 = 131 USD
T2 = 136 USD
Т3 = 145 USD
Т4 = 151 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 122 USD
SL2 = 115 USD
SL3 = 107 USD
If we look at the RSI indicator we can see how the indicator has dynamically gone up despite the price not moving much, but here we can see that there is still room for a potential attempt to grow.