Gold Short Term Analysis December 1stI discussed more of the fundamentals that have impacted the Gold price in my long-term analysis post and how this might play out leading up to Trump's inauguration. In this post I wanted to look at some interesting technical insight that emerged late in Friday's trading session.
We saw Gold drop from a high of around 2721 at the start of the week in the NY session as news of the Israel Hezbollah ceasefire filtered through and Scott Bessant as Trump's pick for Treasury Secretary was parsed by the markets. Looking at the Fib retracement levels established following that dip, the recovery in the Gold price has found resistance at each level.
I've been playing with LuxAlgo's Smart Money suite of indicators and, in particular, the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Structure indicators. This has provided some interesting price action insights in the later half of this week.
We saw the Asia/London session on Friday send the Gold price up to 2665 with two notable FVGs develop on the 1H chart. The second of these overlapped a Break of Structure (BOS) in the uptrend and the 38% Fib level leaving a liquidity gap in the process. The NY session saw a retracement back to this level as the Fair Value gap was closed. This appears to be a strong indicator of resistance at arounf the 2650 level and a likely sign of a rebound when trading resumes on Monday.
With little significant economic news next week, lower yields and US dollar and an increased likelihood of a US rate cut in December it appears that the Gold Price is primed to rise in short-term trade. If the price stays above 2650 into the Asian session this should prove to be a good entry for a long trade with fib levels at 2660, 2677 and 2693 offering useful TPs for anyone looking to play along.
