I hope I'm wrong with Spar going to R52.78There is an Inv C&H that's formed on the monthly chart with Spar.
It's been coming down since April 2016 where it just couldn't break above R225.00.
Since then we've seen supply (selling) strong than buying.
And now with the price breaking below the Inv C&H, shows downside to come.
I hope I'm wrong with this one and they do something miraculous to pick up the price.
21>7
Price<200
Target R52.78
ABOUT THE COMPANY
~ The SPAR Group is a leading South African retail chain that operates in the grocery and convenience store sector.
~ SPAR Group South Africa is part of the international SPAR Group, which originated in the Netherlands in 1932 and has since grown into a global network of independent retailers. (There is even Spars in Greece - SPAR HEllas)
In South Africa, SPAR operates under various store formats, including SPAR, SUPERSPAR, TOPS at SPAR, and SPAR Express. Each format caters to different customer needs and market segments.
SPAR Group South Africa has a strong presence nationwide, with stores located in urban areas, townships, and rural regions.
HOW IT GOT ITS NAME
"SPAR" originated from the initials of the founding Dutch company's slogan, which was "Door Eendrachtig Samenwerken Profiteren Allen Regelmatig" (English translation: "Through united cooperation, everyone regularly benefits"). The first letters of each word spell out "SPAR."
Southafrica
Pep broken above the 8 month downtrend Target R20.10Price has finally broken above the Downtrend since November 2022.
Also the price formed a Scallop formation, which has broken up and out of.
Momentum is pointing up.
Other indicators confirm.
7>21
RSI>50
Target R20.10
ABOUT THE COMPANY
~ JSEPPH Pepkor Holdings is a South African-based investment holding company that operates in the retail sector.
~ Pepkor Holdings (went public as PPH in 2017) was founded in 1965 by Jan Hettema as a single clothing store in Cape Town, South Africa.
~ The name "Pep" was derived from the first initials of Jan Hettema's three sons, who were named "P"atrick, "E"dward, and "P"eter.
~ The company has a diverse portfolio of retail brands, including Pep Stores, Ackermans, Incredible Connection, JD Group, and Tekkie Town, among others.
~ Pepkor Holdings has a significant presence not only in South Africa but also in other African countries, including Namibia, Botswana, Zambia, and Lesotho.
~ In addition to its African operations, Pepkor Holdings has expanded internationally and operates stores in Poland, Australia, and the United Kingdom.
~ The company focuses on value retailing, offering affordable products across various categories such as clothing, footwear, homeware, electronics, and more.
~ Steinhoff International Holdings, a global retail conglomerate, is a major shareholder of Pepkor Holdings.
Pick N Pay showing upside and broken above downtrend target R52Rounding bottom or C&H is forming on PIK.
Whichever price breaks up and out of will give a strong buy signal.
Other indicators are confirming upside.
7>21 but price is still <200MA. We can expect the price to move up to rebalance with the 200MA which acts as an elastic.
RSI>50
Target R52.26
Hulamin Asc Triangle and Bearish FVG showing up signs to R5.40Ascending Triangle has formed since 13 June 2022 on Hulamin.
There are higher lows and same highs.
This means, momentum is pushing on up.
Other indicators include:
7>21 >200
RSI<50 - Higher lows
Target R3.59 and then R5.40
SMART MONEY CONCEPTS:
Now with Smart Money Concepts, we have something interesting.
A LARGE Bearish FVG (Fair Value Gap) has formed on the weekly chart.
What is a Bearish FVG?
A 3 candle structure with a down impulse candle that indicates and creates an imbalance or an inefficiency in the market.
Between candle 1 and 3, do NOT show common prices.
The price needs to move back up to rebalance and fill the gap.
During this process, it will rebalance and head on up to R3.59. Also the resistance will be broken, which will give way for the price to move to the next target of R5.40.
NEWWAVESLV Inv H and S showing strong upside to R5.54Inv H and S has formed on the NEWWAVESLV. And the price has recently broken above the neckline.
We can expect a retest to the support (which was resistance) before the next move up.
Other indicators show upside to come including:
7>21>200
RSI>50
My first target is to R5.54 - Bullish Biased
ABOUT THE NEW WAVE SLV ETN
The NewWave Silver ETN is issued by Absa Bank Limited.
ETNs such as this one are unsecured debt securities that promise to pay the return of a specific index, minus investor fees.
NewWave Silver ETN aims to provide investment results that closely correspond to the performance of the silver price in dollars.
This ETN is designed to track the price of silver and provides a way for investors to gain exposure to the silver market without having to physically own the metal.
The ETN is subject to the credit risk of Absa Bank. In other words, if Absa Bank were to default or become insolvent, investors may lose some or all of their investment.
Unlike exchange-traded funds (ETFs), ETNs like NewWave Silver don't actually own any underlying assets. Instead, they're backed by the issuer – in this case, Absa Bank.
The silver price is influenced by several factors including supply and demand dynamics, market sentiment, the strength of the U.S. dollar, and economic and geopolitical events.
JSEAIL Showing upside to come in the last two years to R11.00Box Formation has occured with JSEAIL.
Technically, this looks like one of those bullish Penny Stocks that is nearly ready to rocket.
There are higher lows forming, strong flagpole and we are seeing other indicators showing upside including.
Price >200
RSI>50
Target R8.00 right to the top of Box formation.
Target 2 - R11.00 - If the price breaks up and out of the pattern.
It's one of those great Penny Stocks technically to just hold and leave alone with risk management principles in place.
ABOUT THE COMPANY
African Rainbow Capital Investments Ltd (ARC Investments) is a capital raising and investment entity incorporated in Mauritius.
ARC Investments was founded by Patrice Motsepe, a South African billionaire businessman.
The company is part of African Rainbow Capital (ARC), a larger investment holding company also founded by Motsepe.
ARC Investments focuses on the South African and broader African economic market, with a specific focus on sectors such as financial services, telecommunications, mining, and agriculture.
The company's investment strategy is driven by its commitment to black economic empowerment and inclusive growth in South Africa.
ARC Investments looks for opportunities to achieve long-term capital appreciation, income generation and benefits from business synergies and strategic partnerships.
ARC's financial services investments include interests in the life insurance, healthcare, asset management, specialist risk and short-term insurance industries.
The company also invests in property, diversified investments, and telecoms (Rain), among others.
African Rainbow Capital owns a controlling stake in TymeBank, a South African digital bank.
MTN Rev Cup and Handle on Daily showing strong upside to come Rev C&H has formed on MTN.
The price has broken above the brim level and also it's broken above the downtrend since 11 March 2022.
So this looks good for upside. However there is a warning.
7>21
RSI>50
Target R165.39
WARNING:
I never ever get MTN right in all my 20 years of trading the JSE, so take this with a pinch of salt.
MTN is on my S&^t list and yet, I try do an analysis every few months.
Has a mind and personality alone.
When to FEEL THRILL when Trading - It may surprise you!First let me tell you.
NO you should not feel thrill when you take a profit.
NO you should not feel thrill when you are on a winning streak.
NO you should not feel thrill after a day, week or month of upside.
But I’m not going to be a wet blanket. As a trader, including me, there are times to feel thrill.
Trading is a process, it’s a lifestyle, it’s a game, it’s your control of your financial future.
So let’s explore the times you should feel thrill.
#1: Analyse the markets
A major part of trading is assessing the current state of the markets and identifying potential opportunities.
This involves creating your strategy, finding the indicators that work best and identifying the different systems (chart patterns, trend lines, Smart Money Concepts) etc…
This process is super exciting part on the journey to becoming a trader.
#2: Optimise your strategies
Creating a strategy is one thing.
But optimising and maximising your system is an ongoing thing.
It’s crucial to continuously fine-tune your strategies and adapt to the ever-changing market conditions.
When you identify areas for improvement and make changes that lead to better performance, the thrill of knowing that you’re on the path to success can be awesome.
#3: Search for high probability trades
One of the keys to success in trading is finding high probability trades.
It’s these trades that will offer a favorable risk-reward ratio and a high chance of success (regardless whether they win or lose).
The hunt for these opportunities is always fun and it’s almost like going on a daily treasure hunt.
And spotting the highest probability trades, require a deep understanding of the markets and the ability to spot subtle patterns that others might miss.
When you uncover a high probability trade and execute it successfully, the feeling of accomplishment is also a great feel.
#4: Reading Fundamentals
Sure your strategy might not comprise of fundamentals or news.
But still learning about the markets, companies, indices and other micro and macro aspects, is interesting.
A solid grasp of fundamental analysis is essential for any serious trader.
This involves assessing the financial health of companies, industries, and economies to identify why markets move the way they do.
When you can successfully combine technical and fundamental analysis to make informed decisions, the thrill of knowing you have an edge in the market is undeniable.
#5: Monitor your results and stats
As a trading boss…
You need to track, analyse and assess your trading performance.
You don’t get more power and thrill as a trader, when you have control of your financial markets.
When you see your strategies paying off and your account balance growing, the thrill of your hard work and dedication materializing into tangible results is incredibly rewarding.
Conversely, it’s also thrilling when you analyse your losses where you can gain valuable learning experiences.
And this will help provide insights into areas for improvement and will motivate you to refine your approach.
#6: Find new markets to trade
Do you think I was looking at AI, VR, Metaverse type companies to trade 10 years ago?
Nope! These markets weren’t in fruition with trading as they are today.
So as a trader, this is always an exciting and thrilling venture with trading.
To explore, adapt and add on new markets into your watch list.
When you add and enter these new markets to your strategy, this can expose you to a whole new set of opportunities and challenges.
And this will help broaden your horizons and deepen your understanding of the financial markets.
So now you know when to embrace thrill as a trader.
Use them to fuel and propel you toward achieving your goals.
When else do you feel thrill?
UPDATE Old Mutual Falling Wedge breakout and looking sassy!Falling Wedge formed on Old Mutual, and since the breakout it's been rallying.
It's looking great for the upside, we suggested a few days ago.
7>21>200
RSI>50
Target remains at R12.61 above the top of the Falling Wedge.
I'll let you know.
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Historic Foundation:
Old Mutual plc was originally established in 1845. It started in Cape Town, South Africa, as the Mutual Life Assurance Society of the Cape of Good Hope. It was the first mutual life assurance company in the country.
Geographical Presence:
Old Mutual has expanded significantly since its founding, becoming a prominent financial services group in several countries around the world. It has a particularly strong presence in Africa, including South Africa, Namibia, Zimbabwe, Kenya, Nigeria, and other countries.
Split and Restructuring:
In 2018, Old Mutual undertook a "Managed Separation" process where the company was split into four separate entities: Old Mutual Limited, Quilter plc, Nedbank Group Limited, and Old Mutual & Nedbank Insurance Holdings Limited. The purpose was to simplify its structure and unlock shareholder value.
Services Offered:
Old Mutual offers a wide range of financial products and services including life and general insurance, asset management, banking, and other wealth management solutions.
UPDATE USDZAR hit my target price unfortunately at R19.80 - WaitSince the USD/ZAR hit my target price at R19.80. It's been retracting a bit.
It weakened fast and furious. And now we can expect a bit of a retracement before the USD continues to strengthen.
I truly hope the USD/ZAR continues to weaken so the rand can strengthen more...
It's embarrassing seeing the rand at levels above R19 in the US, UK, Swiss etc...
Come one South Africa!
Truworths settings itself for great upside to R69.45Inverse Head and Shoulders has formed with Truworths.
This is definitely not ripe for the picking if we're waiting for this formation to form.
It might even form into something completely different.
But here is my take on it.
The signs are slowly becoming bullish and things are looking good.
7>21
Price<200
RSI>50
Target R69.45
The rand though however needs to find stability and South Africa really needs to clean their act up especially the government. I do have hope. I have faith and I am optimistic. Because SA remains the most beautiful country, with strong possibilities, opportunities and the friendliest people imaginable.
Ok rant over... Luckily we have time for this one to flourish and bloom.
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Truworths International Limited, was founded in 1917 in Cape Town, South Africa.
Truworths operates a portfolio of fashion brands, including Truworths, Identity, Uzzi, LTD, and Earthaddict, catering to different market segments and consumer preferences.
The company primarily focuses on offering clothing, shoes, and accessories for men, women, and children. It covers a wide range of styles, from casual wear to formal attire.
Truworths has a significant presence in South Africa and operates over 700 retail stores across the country. It has also expanded its footprint to other African countries, including Namibia, Botswana, Eswatini, and Zimbabwe.
The company is listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) and forms part of the JSE Top 40 Index, which comprises the largest publicly traded companies in South Africa.
ABOUT THE NAME
The company was established in 1917 by a partnership between Jack Lewin and his son, Isaac Lewin. Initially, the business was known as "The Alliance Trading Company." However, in 1934, the name was changed to "Trueworths" to better reflect its commitment to providing quality merchandise at affordable prices.
The name "Trueworths" was chosen to convey the idea that customers would find true value and worth in the products offered by the company. The change in name also coincided with a strategic shift in the business, focusing more on clothing and fashion retail rather than general merchandise.
Over time, as the company grew and expanded, the name "Trueworths" evolved to "Truworths," which is the current name of the company. The name change to "Truworths" is believed to have occurred in the 1970s to modernize the brand and align with changing consumer preferences.
Anglo Plat showing strong upside with inv C7&H to R1,500Inverse C&H has formed on AMS over the last month and a bit.
This has been the consolidation range as the downtrend seems to be coming to an end.
We are seeing signs that the price is nearly ready to break up and out of the pattern.
7>21
Price<200 - But the price need to go back up as it acts as an elastic.
RSI >50
Target R1,500
SMC
Sell Side LIquidity Order block has formed below the handle of the cup
Smart Money buys into positions (and sweeps liquidity) from traders who are long (get stopped) and for short traders who enter into their trades.
Bullish Bias
Sanlam broken out of Falling Wedge target to R63.69Falling Wedge formed since 1 Feb 2023.
Only yesterday, we had the confirmed breakout showing strong buying and demand.
Price>200 Bullish
RSI >50
Target R63.69
SMC
Below the Wedge we have Sell Side Liquidity Order block. Where Smart money is buying where retail were selling. This gives a strong signal that high buying volume was trumping selling.
Very bullish for the stock.
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Early Roots: Sanlam was founded in 1918, originally as a life insurance company named The South African National Life Assurance Company.
Public Company: In 1998, Sanlam demutualised, changing its status from a mutual life insurance company owned by its policyholders to a public company listed on the Johannesburg and Namibian Stock Exchanges.
Wide Range of Services: Sanlam provides financial solutions in a broad range of areas, including insurance (life and general), financial planning, retirement annuities, trusts, wills, short-term insurance, asset management, risk management, and capital market activities.
Global Presence: Sanlam operates across 33 countries. It has a particularly strong presence in Africa, where it operates in many of the continent's major markets.
Five Business Clusters: Sanlam's operations are organised into five business clusters: Sanlam Personal Finance, Sanlam Emerging Markets, Sanlam Investments, Sanlam Corporate, and Santam.
Santam Subsidiary: Sanlam owns a majority stake in Santam, which is South Africa's largest short-term insurer.
Aspen Wedge Breakout looks promising to R194.76Falling Wedge has formed on Aspen.
The price has broken out and looks like it's set to rally.
A conservative trader could wait for a retest, or an impulse trader could trigger it now.
7>21>200 -Bullish
RSI >50
Target - R194.76
SMC: Sell Side LIquidity
Smart Money buys into positions (and sweeps liquidity) from traders who are long (get stopped) and for short traders who enter into their trades.
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Aspen Pharmacare is a leading global pharmaceutical company with a deep footprint in both emerging and developed markets.
Founded in South Africa:
Aspen Pharmacare was founded in 1850 in South Africa, starting as a single pharmacy in Durban.
Global Presence:
Aspen has a strong international presence, with operations in about 56 countries across six continents.
Product Range:
The company’s primary business is in the provision of branded and generic pharmaceutical products, as well as infant nutritionals and consumer healthcare products.
Leadership:
The company was co-founded by South African businessman Stephen Saad, who remains the CEO.
Significant Player in ARVs:
Aspen is one of the world's largest suppliers of antiretroviral (ARV) drugs for treating HIV/AIDS, contributing to the global fight against the disease.
Manufacturing Prowess:
Aspen owns and operates 23 manufacturing facilities across 15 sites, demonstrating its vast manufacturing capabilities.
Shoprite still showing downside despite the bounceHead and Shoulders formed on SHP.
It broke below the neckline and now its been coming down on the downtrend.
We can expect the bounce up, before the downside.
200>21>7 - Bearish
RSI<50
Target R177.11
CONCERNS: The JSE ALSI is setting itself for upside due to the Symmetrical Triangle.
This might cause a disturbance in shorts with retailers but right now the bias remains short.