UPDATE: Transaction Capital hit my Take profit but I'm pissedFalling Range formed on TCP and there was a trend channel bearish
200> 7<21
All the signs were showing downside to a target at R26.46. Which it hit.
If I held it just one more day it would have gone to R14.50.
But that's trading for you.
Now with the gaps and panic selling, we can expect some accumulation to form bringing the price up to close the gap. Then we will need to wait for the next formation and pattern to form.
I'll await and let you know
Southafrica
MTN going up to R136.82 before going down to R90.29Head and Shoulders formed on MTN yet again.
Price<200 21>7 - Bearish
RSI<50 bearish
Target R90.29
SMC (Smart Money Concepts)
Bearish Fair Value Gap formed hence the big candle down.
Now due to the 1st and 3rd candle not overlapping, means we can expect the price to move up close the gap before moving down again
This gives a buy signal on the short term side with the Bearish FVG to R136.82
UPDATE: Naspers in the money - Short Target R2,766We had a confirmation break with Naspers Inv Cup and Handle.
The price broke to the downside and now it shows strong falling to come.
7=21 price>200 - Reversal
RSI <50 - Bearish
Target R2,766.00
This coincides with the fall in JSE and other markets since the SVB collapse. I expect more Blue Chip stocks to tank until the world enters some type of equilibrium and solace.
UZI really hate that this is what I see but as a manager of capital, therefore feelings need to be cut out and discarded. (I am hoping to be wrong) Yet I see this and will wait for a right shoulder to complete. Then a break in the neckline, a last kiss and impulsive bullish candles then we find an entry and ride the whole way.
UZThis is very nice, because it is slightly textbook. Yet knowing the fundamentals of the country, we will break through any sell bias you can think of. One day my goal would be to push that price all the way to either less R5/$ for a dollar or even to 1:1. For now I just would like to set a realistic goal of under R15/$. With the right leadership and the fight in our hearts we could and we will and when it happens, I'll come back to this post and clap for us as a nation.
🫱🏿🫲🏿🍾👑😁
Life Health Care group showing strong upside to R21.39 WARNINGW Formation since Sep 2022. It's been moving in a sideways range without any promising direction.
Then in February we had a breakaway gap.
This is where the price jumped from the sideways range into an uptrend.
And most sellers and stop losses were hit.
This showed strong upside to come.
7>21>200
RSI>50
Target R21.39
WARNING
Gaps like to close 70% of the time. And I don't generally like taking any trades where there are prior gaps.
I'd take this trade as a medium probability one.
UPDATE: Naspers short confirmed to target R2,766Break in Uptrend structure confirmed and we are no longer in an uptrend.
We've been in a sideways range and now entering a bear market as of today.
We now have a largeish Inv Cup and Handle with a few bearish signals.
21>7 - bearish
price>200 - Bullish
RSI <50 - Bearish lower highs
Target R2,766.00
WARNING
Even though we expect the price to drop, it's only correcting back to the 200MA zone.
Once the price gets there, we'll see a test between the bulls and bears before a chosen direction is established.
Prosus hit our target up at R1,446 now expect downsideTarget hit at R1,446 recently from a larger Cup and Handle.
And since then we had the price go up one more day before entering into a strong sideways range.
During this time it formed an Inv Cup and Handle with a few bearish signals.
21>7 - bearish
Price>200 - Bullish
Target R1,1033
RSI<50 Bearish
WARNING
Even though we expect the price to drop, it's only correcting and equilibrating back to the 200MA elastic mean zone.
Once the price reaches here, there'll be a test between the bulls and bears before a chosen direction is established.
USD/ZAR target hit at R18.48 & we have another dreadful target It pains me to say our USD/ZAR trade hit the take profit level at R18.48 and now it looks like further upside for the USD is on the way.
Another Cup and Handle has formed, which has broken above the neckline.
And if we place the stop loss below the handle, we get the next target at R19.71.
7>21>200
RSI>50
Target R19.71
With interest rates on the rise in America after Daddy Powell mentioned more upside to come, meanse investors will continue to invest in the US dollar with high income yielding assets like Bonds, Money Markets and High interest savings rates options.
As long as interest rates (or the fear of them) continue up, we will continue to see US dollar strength which will bring down many other exotic currencies like the rand.
PPC trade update - still looking good for a long to R4.29W Formation is still in effect with PPC.
7>21 - Bullish
Price > 200MA Bullish
RSI>50 >70- Bullish
Target R4.29
This is a patience game now.
Here's some facts about the company
PPC Limited was founded in 1892 as De Eerste Cement Fabrieken Beperkt and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa.
PPC is the acronym for Pretoria Portland Cement, which is the original name of the company.
The company operates in six African countries, including South Africa, Zimbabwe, Botswana, Rwanda, Ethiopia, and the Democratic Republic of Congo.
It produces a range of cement products, including Portland cement, Surebuild, Rapid Hard, and 3Q Mahuma, which are used in a variety of construction applications.
The company has a strong focus on sustainability and has implemented a range of initiatives to reduce its environmental impact and promote social development in the communities where it operates.
It has a market capitalization of over ZAR 2 billion as of March 2023.
Capitec showing strong downside to come to R1,528Inverse Cup and Handle formed on Capitec and the price has just been on a strong downside trend for the last year.
We had a break below the brim level with indicators showing strong negative divergences.
200>21>7
RSI>50 - Mixed
Target R1,528
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Capitec is a South African retail bank that was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Stellenbosch, Western Cape.
The bank has been recognized as one of the fastest-growing retail banks in the world, with over 16 million customers as of 2021.
The bank offers a range of low-cost products and services, including savings accounts, loans, and insurance.
In 2017, Capitec was named the best bank in the world by the Lafferty Global Awards, which recognized the bank's focus on customer service and its commitment to financial inclusion.
The bank has a market capitalization of over ZAR 200 billion as of March 2023.
UPDATE Thungela still showing medium term downside but is slowLarge H&S since May 2022 formed which gave a Medium term trade.
Since it broke down, I know it would take a longer period for the price to drop due to the size of the formation.
Remember, companies will try everything in their power to keep the price up and without a strong negative catalyst, the formation will either play out or forma another pattern in the interim.
The bias is negative until we see any upside potential.
200 >21> 7 - Bearish (Red)
RSI <50 Red
Target R88.70
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Thungela Resources is a South African coal mining company that was spun off from Anglo American in June 2021.
The name Thungela means "ignite" or "spark" in Zulu, which reflects the company's focus on providing energy to power the economy and society.
Thungela Resources operates four open-pit coal mines in South Africa's Mpumalanga province, which produce thermal coal used in power generation.
The company's mines have a combined production capacity of approximately 17 million tonnes of coal per year.
Santam showing strong upside to R345 but with a warningSantam large Cup and Handle formed, broke above the brim and now is going to test the support.
This will provide a conservative entry if we get a bounce back up.
7>21>200 - Bullish
RSI>50
Target R345.37
The warning is that it's been moving in sideways range for over a year, and it often peaks then drops and continues.
As the JSE ALSI is in a bear market at the moment (on smaller time frames) might delay the upside.
But the system says go long.
ABOUT
Santam is a South African short-term insurance company founded in 1918, making it one of the oldest insurance companies in the country.
Santam is headquartered in Cape Town, South Africa, and operates throughout the country, as well as in Namibia, Botswana, and Zimbabwe.
Santam provides a wide range of insurance products, including car, home, business, and personal insurance.
Santam is a subsidiary of Sanlam Limited, a leading financial services company in South Africa.
Santam is the largest short-term insurer in South Africa, with a market share of around 22%.
Woolies showing a sell signal with an interesting observationM Formation formed on Woolies,
The price broke below and all systems go with the Bearish Engulfing candle.
21>7
Price >200
Target R64.00
interesting that the target is to the 200 MA. This means, the price has rallied at such a high inclination, that the price now wants to approach equilibrium
It's all we need for a trade.
ABOUT
Woolworths South Africa is a subsidiary of Woolworths Holdings Limited, a South African retail company founded in 1931.
Woolworths South Africa operates in the food, clothing, and general merchandise retail sectors.
Woolworths South Africa is known for its high-quality food products, including fresh produce, organic products, and artisanal bread.
Woolworths South Africa has a loyalty program called MySchool MyVillage MyPlanet, which allows customers to support local schools and charities by shopping at Woolworths.
ABOUT DAVID JONES
In 2014, Woolworths South Africa acquired David Jones Limited for AUD 2.1 billion, with the aim of expanding its presence in the Australian retail market. The acquisition was seen as a strategic move for Woolworths South Africa, as it provided a platform for the company to expand its retail operations beyond South Africa and into the Asia-Pacific region.
Since acquiring David Jones Limited, Woolworths South Africa has invested heavily in the brand, renovating stores, expanding product lines, and improving customer service. However, the acquisition has not been without its challenges, as the Australian retail market has been highly competitive and consumer spending has been affected by economic factors such as wage growth and housing prices.
Despite these challenges, Woolworths South Africa remains committed to its investment in David Jones Limited and sees the brand as an important part of its long-term growth strategy.
Major sell signal on The Foschini Group to R89.50Inverse Cup and Handle formed on The Foschini Group.
We then had a major break below, showing that the supply side was dominating the market.
We have other confirming indicators of downside to come.
200>21>7 - Bearish
RSI <50
Target R89.50
ABOUT
The Foschini Group (TFG) (Founded in 1924 as a men's outfitter store by Jewish immigrant, Samuel Foschini.) is a South African fashion retail company headquartered in Cape Town, South Africa.
TFG is divided into four main operating divisions: TFG Africa, TFG London, TFG Australia, and TFG New Zealand.
TFG's brands include Foschini, Markham, @home, Totalsports, and Fabiani, among others.
In 2021, TFG was ranked as the 51st largest retailer in the world by Deloitte, based on its retail revenue of US$4.2 billion.
Head and Shoulders on Pepkor with strong downside to R16.38Head and Shoulders formed on Pepkor a few days ago.
The price broke below the neckline accompanying with other bearish signals.
200 >21>7 MA- Bearish
RSI<50 - Bearish divergence with lower highs
Target R16.38
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Pepkor was founded in 1965 by Renier van Rooyen and his wife, Elsie.
The company started as a small clothing store in Cape Town, South Africa, and has since expanded to become a major retail conglomerate.
Pepkor operates various retail brands, including Pep Stores, Ackermans, Shoe City, John Craig, Dunns, and Tekkie Town.
Pep Stores is the largest retail brand in the Pepkor group, with over 2,200 stores across Africa.
Ackermans is another major retail brand in the Pepkor group, specializing in clothing and homeware.
Shoe City is a shoe retailer with stores across South Africa.
John Craig is a menswear retailer with stores in South Africa and Namibia.
Dunns is a clothing and homeware retailer with stores across South Africa.
Tekkie Town is a footwear retailer with stores across South Africa.
Inv Cup and Handle on Mr Price heading to R133.00Inv Cup and Handle formed on Mr Price.
The price broke below the brim level and is showing downside momentum.
There is a previous support that still needs to break before all systems go, but my signal definitely gives a sell here.
Indicators all look bearish
200 > 21 >7 MA
RSI <50 - Bearish divergence
Target R133.00
ABOUT The company
Mr Price was founded in 1985 by Laurie Chiappini in Durban, South Africa.
The company started as a small clothing store called Mr Price Fashion, which sold affordable and trendy clothing for young adults.
Mr Price has since expanded its product offerings to include homeware, sportswear, accessories, and beauty products.
The company operates in South Africa, other African countries, and Australia.
Sasol Inv Cup and Handle just made it bearish to R221.11Inv Cup and Handle formed on Sasol.
The price broken below the brim level.
The gap was filled when the price went back up to close and form the right handle.
Then the supply side kicked back in dropping it further.
We also see bearish indicators.
200 > 21> 7 - Bearish
RSI<50 (Lower highs) - Bearish
Target R221.11
ABOUT
Sasol is a global energy and chemicals company based in South Africa. It was founded in 1950 and was originally named the South African Coal, Oil and Gas Corporation.
The company is primarily focused on the production of synthetic fuels, chemicals, and gas. Sasol is one of the world's leading producers of synthetic fuels.
Sasol operates in more than 30 countries around the world and employs approximately 30,000 people.
The company is listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange and the New York Stock Exchange.
Sasol is one of the largest producers of low-emission transportation fuels in the world, including synthetic diesel, jet fuel, and naphtha.
In addition to its energy and chemicals operations, Sasol is involved in a number of other businesses, including mining, power generation, and technology.
Merafe Analysis on track to R1.66 and about the companyThe Cup and handle formed, broke above the Brim Level and now looks like it's heading on up.
The price above the 200MA is the first time since Sep 2022...
Target 1 at R145.
Target 2 R1.66
ABOUT
Merafe Resources is a mining giant company that was founded in 2005 and is based in Johannesburg, South Africa.
The company's primary focus is on the production of ferrochrome, which is used in the production of stainless steel.
Merafe Resources operates in partnership with mining giant Glencore, with the two companies jointly owning and operating the Glencore-Merafe Chrome Venture.
The Glencore-Merafe Chrome Venture is one of the world's largest producers of ferrochrome, with operations in South Africa, Kazakhstan, and Australia.
It has a market capitalization of over R2 billion as of February 2023.
Ferrochrome which is used in the production of stainless steel makes products like:
Stainless steel cutlery, Kitchen appliances, Construction materials, Medical instruments (Surgical tools and implants), Jewelry (e.g. watches)
Aerospace components (engine parts and turbine equipment), Electronics and the list goes on...
Remgro heading straight to R165.55 thanks to this triangleAscending Triangle is forming nicely on Remgro.
We see the 7 and 21 MA above 200.
But more importantly, Price >200 - Bullish
RSI>50 - Bullish
Target R165.55
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Remgro was founded in 1990 (Stellenbosch, South Africa) by Johann Rupert, a South African entrepreneur and businessman.
The company was established as an investment holding company with a focus on building a diversified portfolio of long-term investments.
Today, Remgro holds investments in a wide range of industries, including healthcare, financial services, mining, and telecommunications.
The company's portfolio includes holdings in some of South Africa's largest and most well-known companies, such as MediClinic, FirstRand, and RMB Holdings.
The company's name is an abbreviation of "REsource Management GRoup."
Remgro holds investments in a wide range of industries, including healthcare, financial services, mining, and telecommunications.
The company has a market capitalization of over R100 billion as of February 2023.
W Formation on Multi-Choice looking good to R147.60W Formation from the last update with Multi Choice is looking good and on track.
It broke above the neckline, and it's been swimming on up on a good inclination (45 degrees).
Indicators are also looking positive.
7>21>200 Bullish
RSI >50 >70 - Bullish
Target R147.60
ABOUT THE COMPANY
MultiChoice was founded in 1995 as a subsidiary of the South African media group Naspers.
The company operates DStv, a digital satellite television service that offers a wide range of entertainment channels and packages.
MultiChoice has a presence in over 50 countries in Africa, including Nigeria, Kenya, Ghana, and Tanzania.
The company has over 19 million subscribers across the continent, making it the largest pay-TV provider in Africa.
MultiChoice's services include DStv, GOtv, and Showmax, a streaming service that offers a range of local and international content.
MultiChoice has a market capitalization of over R64 billion as of February 2023.
Ninety One Looking good to R50.82 and about the companyCup and Handle formed which is what we were waiting for.
The breakout was quite vigorous and didn't give us the buy signal until Friday where the price opened above the breakout.
Now that the price came down a bit gives a great buy signal A conservative trader will continue to wait for the price to retest a bit further.
But an opportunist, will buy ASAP.
7>21>200 - Bullish
RSI>50
Target R50.82
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Ninety One (formerly Investec Asset Management) was founded in South Africa in 1991 by Ian Kantor and Bernard Kantor.
The company manages over $140 billion in assets for clients worldwide, including institutions, financial advisors, and individual investors.
Ninety One has offices in Africa, Asia, Europe, and the Americas, and employs over 1,800 people globally.
In March 2020, Ninety One became a publicly traded company, with a listing on the London Stock Exchange.
Standard Bank Showing upside to R200.00 with a major warningCup and Handle formed on Standard Bank.
The price broke above the brim, then it came back down to give a conservative entry.
7>21>200
RSI>50
Target R200.00
WARNING
The biggest issue is that a GAP has formed during the formation. Statistically, gaps close 70% of the time, which means we can expect downside to come in the next few days.
Look the bias is bullish but with the gap makes it a medium probability trade.