Southafrica
JSE:EOH - Potential complete pullbackJSE:EOH looks to have completed its pullback from its previous move up. Price rejected the 61.8% Fib retracement level and has bounced off the intersection of previous trendlines confluenced with the 50% retracement level. Should this be the start of the next move up, a potential target could be the measured move of the previous leg up bringing a target of 960 - 970. The break of the 770 resistance will add to the momentum pointing higher.
*Disclaimer* Purely an analysis and opinion, this does not constitute financial advice.
Double Top on RichemontA double top pattern has formed on JSE:CFR and it looks like it might be continuing downward. If it breaks through the low formed on 20 December 2021, the pattern will be confirmed and I think we could see a move downwards towards the 19000 support level. If it fails to break through the level, we could also see a bounce upwards.
Goldfields with some downward momentumJSE:GFI is showing some nice downward momentum based off of the stochastic, MACD and the two EMAs all signaling. If it breaks lower, we can potentially see a move down towards at least the 14500 level and if it breaks through that level, we could see it move even further down to the 12000 level.
FSR Potential Short coming soonJSE:FSR broke through a support trend line late November which it has since tested again and it seems to have become a resistance level. If it continues downwards and the MACD crosses downwards as well, I think we could see a short move down towards the 5200 price area. I will wait for confirmation before entering.
BHP to close gap?JSE:BHP has broken out of a sideways consolidation area and I could see it moving up to close the gap formed on 1 September. Target would be around 45200 level.
Purple Group Limited heading for previous highsIf you missed the entry on the retracement, its not late jump on the Purple groups rally to previous highs. This move is boosted by the groups, easyequities product success. It is still expected to grow their user numbers/day traders. From trend analysis, price will reach levels which it rejected at first. Long term bullish on this stock, look for it to reach the R2.73 level.
BTI - Parallel Channel with upward momentumJSE:BTI is trading in a parallel channel and has recently bounced off the bottom on its way up. It is also showing some nice upward momentum. I would say that we are looking at an upward move towards at least the 55000 level if not further up towards the top of the channel.
What Affects The USD/ ZAR This Week?Since we last checked in on the South African Rand (ZAR) in June 2021, the currency was appreciating toward multi-year highs of 13.37 ZAR per US dollar, previously not seen since January 2019. In the proceeding five months, leading up to the present, the USD has staged a comeback against the South African currency and is now level with the average exchange value for the first two months of 2021.
Some wild swings occurred during the revival in the USD / ZAR, with many value-overshoots forcing quick corrections. That is to say, bullish sentiment didn’t last long without a bearish retracement with this pair. For the most part, retracements have been hugging close to the Fib levels.
What are the factors affecting the USD / ZAR this week?
Risk sentiment will play a large part in the USD / ZAR. Last week saw traders pull away from safer currencies such as the USD, indicating a risk-on sentiment was prevalent in the market. Over last week, coinciding with the start of November, the USD depreciated by 1.427% against the ZAR, squeaking below the 15.000 precipice.
There are no hugely critical economic reports due from South Africa this week. However, next week the ZAR may be under pressure after announcing the Inflation rate YoY (October). Inflation is expected to increase by .2 percentage points to 5.2%, further pulling away from the South African Reserve Bank’s midpoint inflation target of 4.5%.
Next week, US economic data might be worth watching, including Inflation Rate YoY (October) on Wednesday and JOLTS Job Openings (September) on Friday. Inflation in the US is predicted to get as high as 5.8% in the October reading, up from 5.4% in September. The JOLTS Job Openings should hopefully show some sign that the tight labour market in the US is beginning to loosen.
EURGBP short has presented 📉🔔We are using our trend following EDGE strategy for this trade.
Entry details are shown on the chart.
Working the H1 time frame here and we're only looking for TP3.
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Darren.