Old Mutual - Upward Continuation?JSE:OMU broke the significant resistance level of 1350 yesterday, which it has ben struggling with since about April 2020. It is showing some nice bullish momentum and I think we can possibly be looking at a move up to around the 1650 level and possibly beyond in the longer term.
Southafrica
USDZAR POSSIBLE OLHC MONTHLY (FEBRUARY) STRUCTURE Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful..
Monthly Structure for USDZAR appears to be OLHC (open low high close) which means we are going in for long term monthly buys once price find's a strong support and daily candle closes with TDi Priceline crossing above bloodline in the Daily time-frame.
Trade with Caution. Wait for valid entries.
P A T I E N C E + D I S C I P L I N E
Clicks - possible retracement to bottom of channelAlthough JSE:CLS is trending in an upward direction, it is also trading in a parallel channel. It bounced off of the top of the channel and seems to be retracing. For the moment, I think it is possible that it will retrace down to the bottom of the channel before turning up again. The bottom of the channel also coincides with a strong support and the psychological level of 25000
Shooting Star on ProsusJSE:PRX has been trading in somewhat of a channel since April 2020. Two day's a go it broke out of the channel and looked like it would continue up, but instead formed a shooting star pattern. Yesterday and today are showing strong downward momentum. We could see a move towards the bottom of the channel or to the support level at around 150000.
💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in USDZARMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 14.5030, beginning of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 16.3405 breaks.
If the support at 14.5030 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
There is a divergence in RSI and price between the trough at 16.315 on 2020-06-10 and the trough at 14.51015 on 2020-12-18, the probability of downtrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of uptrend is increased.
The RSI downtrend #1 is broken, so the probability of beginning of uptrend is increased.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 14.7500 on 01/21/2021, so more gains to resistance(s) 15.3750, 15.6585, 16.0745 and maximum to Major Resistance (16.3405) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 55.
Trading suggestion:
There is possibility of temporary retracement to suggested Buy Zone (14.761 to 14.503). We wait during the retracement, until the price tests the zone, whether approaching, touching or entering the zone.
. Beginning of entry zone (14.761)
. Ending of entry zone (14.503)
Take Profits:
TP1 @ 15.3750
TP2 @ 15.6585
TP3 @ 16.0745
TP4 @ 16.3405
TP5 @ 17.1045
TP6 @ 17.7885
TP7 @ 19.3350
TP8 Free
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Possible down on Aspen?From a purely technical analysis viewpoint, JSE:APN seems to be struggling to break higher at the resistance level around 15000. If it fails to break higher and goes down to below 14000, I will consider entering a short. A break above 15000 might mean a continuation of the up trend. We might need a bit of patience on this one.
DSY - Bounce off strong resistanceJSE:DSY has revently bounced off of a strong resistance level that dates back all the way to 2015. If it continues down and breaks below the low formed on the 7th of Jan 2021, I will consider a short position based off of the downward momentum. The stochastic, MACD and the 2 EMA's are all showing signs of a downward move.
HARMONY Downward ChannelJSE:HAR is in a downward channel and in the last few days has bounced off of the top of the channel again forming a lower high. If it fails to break through the top of the channel, we could see a continuation downwards towards the bottom of the channel to around the 5000 support level.
APN - "Buy-Box" BreakoutJSE:APN has been consolidating in a sideways move for 2 months and with this morning's upward move, it has broken out of the "buy-box" very convincingly and we could see a nice upward move up to the previous high resistance from mid June 2020. It could also be seen as a horizontal bull flag pattern emerging.
GLN - Broken through consolidation areaJSE:GLN has been trading in a somewhat sideways consolidation area since 3 December and with yesterday's large upward candle it has broken through the top as well as the 5000 level - this level is a strong level on the daily as well as the monthly chart and acts as a strong psychological level due to the round number. I think we could see a nice upward move from here possibly to at least around the resistance level between 5400 and 5500.
NASDAQ100/ US100 SIGNAL -BUY AT BREAK AND RETEST OF BULLISH FLAGTOPDOWN ANALYSIS: Shows Monthly uptrend and BULLISH FLAG PATTERN
ACTION PLAN: 1.) Wait for price to show a break above flag pattern and retest (then enter with a buy)
2.)As soon as market hits a 1:1 risk reward = move stop-loss to breakeven (as we near pivot point resistance) (capital preservation is key)
MAGIC IF: 1.)If market breaks downward with large momentum candles, might be a false breakout (therefore wait for a break in the flag and follow break and retest strategy)
Reasons/ Confluences:
.Clear strong uptrend since April 2020
.RSI Indicator not above the 80 upper band
.Pivots are still bullish and give clear markers for potential price targets (R1, R2, R3)
.Fundamental news showing bullish - as we get closer to containing the pandemic (vaccines e.t.c)
TIPS:
.Stocks are known for whiplash and false breakouts - therefore only take a trade when clear signs indicate an opportunity (in this case a break and retest and possible long wick rejection)
.Nasdaq is expected to rise so any sell opportunity will be short term (selling will also be against market long term trend)
.Make sure to look at the R1, R2, R3 pivot point lines - as price may bounce or consolidate on them
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Possible reversal on GoldfieldsJSE:GFI has bounced off of a support level and looks like a upward move is a possibility. The stochastic and MACD are confirming this momentum. If the price moves up above the 15000 level I will consider a long position. Beware that it might find some resistance on the 200SMA, so if it breaks through that, it further confirms the move.
BID - potential loss of upward momentumJSE:BID is bouncing off a strong resistance level and is struggling to break higher. If it trades lower than 27000, I will consider a short position as the stochastic and the MACD are showing signs of a momentum change. If it trades lower, the two EMA's will also have crossed downwards signaling a momentum change.