LUV is loving the summer vacation travel LONGLUV has been in a persistent trend up for a couple of months after lackluster earnings were
reported in early May with another due on July 27th. The airports have been quite busy
with vacation travel and Southwest has been part of that action. On the 1H chart, price has
been supported by the line two standard deviations above the mean anchored VWAP which
shows persistent relative strength in a rise of over 25% over two months. Price above the
POC line of the volume profile is another sign of buyer dominance. The MACD indicator show
the lines in parallel and above a positive histogram. The relative volatility indicator shows
sufficient volatility to support momentum trading.
I will take a long trade going into earnings. I will do this with ten call options contracts
with a strike at $40 expiring on July 28th. On the last trading day, this contract had
a low of $ 0.36 and a high of $0.48 for a range of 33% in a single day. I expect similar
price action as the earnings date approaches. I expect to pay about $480 for ten contracts
and the profit expectation is 100% over the next 15 trading days.
Southwest
Southwest Airlines Company (LUV) 1W1W Chart, Southwest Airlines Company (LUV) :
MACD : Has been under the histogram since September, 2021, with two attempts to break through the surface, one third move up, should break the ice...
RSI : Has been moving into a band between 31.00 and 55.00
PRICE : Has been steadily moving up after bouncing twice around $30, testing the 100MA signal resistance below the 200MA both signals moving south, allowing space to meet both 100MA Signal and Price around the $36 to test it and eventually keep moving up to test the 200MA resistance around the $40, which is the optimistic approach.
"In this business if you're good, you're right six times out of ten. You're never going to be right nine times out of ten. I've found that when the market's going down and you buy funds wisely, at some point in the future you will be happy. You won't get there by reading: "Now is the time to buy".
Today this ticker has a Volume of 80K. Market Cap of 17.9B.
This Company PAYS DIVIDENDS TO SHAREHOLDERS (DIVIDENDS YIELD 2.39%)
Southwest Airlines Co. engages in the operation and management of a passenger airline. The firm also offers ancillary services such as early bird check-in, upgraded boarding, and transportation of pets and unaccompanied minors. It operates in the United States, the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, Mexico, Jamaica, the Bahamas, Aruba, Dominican Republic, Costa Rica, Belize, Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and Turks and Caicos. The company was founded by Rollin W. King and Herbert D. Kelleher on March 9, 1967, and is headquartered in Dallas, TX.
Good Luck!
Gráfico de 1 Semana, LUV"]Southwest Airlines Company (LUV) :
MACD : Ha estado bajo el histograma desde septiembre de 2021, con dos intentos de romper la superficie, con un tercer movimiento hacia arriba, debería romper el hielo...
RSI : Ha mantenido un movimiento dentro de la banda 31.00 & 55.00
PRECIO : Ha estado subiendo constantemente después de rebotar dos veces alrededor de $30, probando la señal de 100MA por debajo de los 200MA, ambas señales se mueven hacia el sur, lo que permite un espacio para que ambos se encuentren: la señal de 100 MA y el precio alrededor de los $36 para probar su resistencia y, finalmente, seguir subiendo para probar la resistencia de la señal de 200MA alrededor de los $40, que es el enfoque optimista.
"En este negocio, si eres bueno, tienes razón seis de cada diez veces. Nunca vas a tener razón nueve de cada diez. Descubrí que cuando el mercado está cayendo y compras fondos sabiamente, en algún momento en el futuro serás feliz. Nunca verás un anuncio que diga: "Ahora es el momento de comprar".
Hoy este ticker tiene un Volumen de 80K. Market Cap 17.9B.
Esta Empresa PAGA DIVIDENDOS A LOS ACCIONISTAS (RENDIMIENTO POR DIVIDENDO 2.39%)
Southwest Airlines Co. se dedica a la operación y administración de una aerolínea de pasajeros. La firma también ofrece servicios auxiliares como check-in anticipado, embarque mejorado y transporte de mascotas y menores no acompañados. Opera en los Estados Unidos, el Estado Libre Asociado de Puerto Rico, México, Jamaica, las Bahamas, Aruba, República Dominicana, Costa Rica, Belice, Cuba, las Islas Caimán y las Islas Turcas y Caicos. La empresa fue fundada por Rollin W. King y Herbert D. Kelleher el 9 de marzo de 1967 y tiene su sede en Dallas, TX.
¡Buena suerte!
“I believe in analysis and not forecasting.” / "Creo en el análisis y no en el pronóstico".
REMEMBER : I am not a financial adviser nor is any content in this article presented as financial advice. The information provided in this blog post and any other posts that I make, and any accompanying material is for informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice of any kind. One should consult with a financial or investment professional to determine what may be best for your individual needs. RECUERDE : No soy un asesor financiero y el contenido de este artículo no se presenta como asesoramiento financiero. La información provista en esta publicación de blog y cualquier otra publicación que haga y cualquier material que la acompaña es solo para fines informativos. No debe considerarse asesoramiento financiero o de inversión de ningún tipo. Se debe consultar con un profesional financiero o de inversiones para determinar qué es lo mejor para sus necesidades individuales.
SAVE trades to consider$SAVE #Southwest Descending wedge, trading under major Weekly horizontal support. Breakout of wedge retest $33 likely. If $40 breaks, W breakout PT would be $62.
Breakdown, play to 15.35 then to 7.35.
South west Air line***Analyst Based on analysts offering 12 month price targets for LUV in the last 3 months. The average
price target is $56.5 with a high estimate of $65 and a low estimate of $50
***So far this is the worst airline for insider selling !!!! Zero buying
Insider Ownership Percentage: 0.28%
Insider Buying (Last 12 Months): $0.00
Insider Selling (Last 12 Months): $36,134,970.44
***Strong institutional ownership is an indication that hedge funds, large money managers
and endowments believe a company will outperform the market over the long term.
Well Institutional Ownership Percentage: 74.00% is the highest of all Airline we covered so far.
74% of South West air line shares are owned by institutional investors
73.1% of Alaska Air Group shares are owned by institutional investors
-60.9% of United Airlines shares are owned by institutional investors
-59.5% of Delta Air Lines shares are owned by institutional investors
--44.4% of American Airlines Group shares are owned by institutional investors
*** Good ration of Assets to liabilities.
Period Ending: Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Total Assets 34588 25895 26243 25110
Total Liabilities 25712 16063 16390 15469
Total Equity 8876 9832 9853 9641
BEAR TREND SINCE MARCH 2018 COMING TO A CLOSEAirline sector trend reversal should take place come the end of the year. History repeats itself and we are on the verge of a trend reversal. Extremely bullish on this sector over the next quarter. Bullflag pattern repeating itself over and over on the 4HR time frame. After each extension upward, set your SL at 50% of the flag pole length to mitigate risk and enjoy the ride.
Other sectors like utilities & cruise lines all have the same charts and patterns as they are moving in sequence. Make sure to choose the better companies of each sector.
I do not hold a position in AAL. My largest holdings at the moment are BA, PCG, and TLRY. - GL
$LUV - Elliot Wave Theory- Wave 5 Push to Price Target of $42+ Follow me for MORE PICKS!
Welcome to Tony's Picks
I enjoy analyzing charts and have come across this interesting idea that I would like to share for discussion.
After our March - May crash I spot a quick trend to completion followed by a typical zig zag (5-3-5) counter trend. If this idea proves true I see us continue another trendy move and enter a long wave 5 in orange and wave 3 in black. Seems like this could be a long wide wave as airlines try their best to recover from our recent lows. With talk of stimulus and airline bailout plus southwest having a notoriously conservative balance sheet I see Southwest getting back to normal quicker than their competition. Personally will be looking to DCA over the next couple of months.
***At time of writing this post I DO own shares of Southwest ($LUV)***
Curious if there are any thoughts and/or comments, I read all feedback!
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(Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and this is not investment advice, this is my opinion only and is solely for entertainment purposes)
$LUV potential long term value playThe airlines industry seems to have found a bottom over the past couple of months while the general market has rallied.
It may be a good idea to start accumulating positions in some of these potential long term value plays before a possible sector rotation into the airlines industry.
Here $LUV broke out of its falling wedge and the pullback gave us:
1) Support of the trendline
2) A higher low
3) Reclamation of the 8EMA and 21 EMA
If it can clear and hold the 200 EMA I will start scaling into medium and long term calls.
Another good indication would be similar plays in other airline stocks such as $JETS, $DAL, $UAL, $AAL et al.
Corora Airline- Southwest (LUV) BUY Airlines provide high reward but with a high risk to take advantage there are certaim combination of trading methods to provide better opportunity
Southwest(LUV) is the only airline that as of today with positive cash flow(2.96 Billion). Spirit Airlines(SAVE) is classify as a cheap convenient airline books only have -2.79 billion in debt(This can be forgiven or refinanced overnight with gov aid)
Target and stop in graph
LUV - SouthwestFollowing the channel down smoothly and having the sudden spike in price is being followed by a move back down. From the high of the short bear rally price has already retraced 50% of its gains. Making its way towards the .382 value to make the next test on that range. Looking to see for a potential low area underneath for target range
$AAL EPS Projection = -$2.47 / Falling WedgeI will be looking for $AAL to follow this falling wedge downwards and likely lag till earnings. Earnings may cause more downside.
Wall Street Journal EPS Projection: -$1.83
More realistic EPS: -$2.47
I believe revenue projections are heavily understated as shown by Ford.
$UAL has quarterly revenues under 10 billion and predicted a revenue loss in march alone at 1.5 billion . $AAL I am betting will have lost more revenue than 1.5 billion in March.
If we take into account $UAL projecting losses of 1.5billion in March when their revenue is under 10 billion a quarter it is safe to say that $AAL would lose 1.5 billion in revenue as well, which is generous because they could have lost more.
Projected Revenues/Expenses/Net Income/EPS
Operating Expense for Q1: 10.157 billion
Operating Expenses for January: 3.386 billion
Operating Expenses for February: 3.386 billion
Operating Expenses for March: 3.386 billion
Operating Revenue for Q1: 10.757 billion
Operating Revenue for January: 3.585 billion
Operating Revenue for February: 3.585 billion
Operating Revenue for March if it were a normal month, based on trends: 3.585 billion
Non operating expenses: 158 million
Net income in January: 200 million
Net income in February: 200 million (generous)
Expected losses in revenue for March: 1.5 billion
Expected Operating revenue for March: 2.085 billion.
Net income in March: -1.3billion
200 mill + 200 mill -1.3billion - 158 million = -1.058 billion before taxes
No clue how this loss would be taxed, so let's just leave that alone, but this means their real net income after tax will be worse than -1.058 billion
-1.058 billion / 428.2million weighted outstanding shares = -$2.47 EPS or worse.
This is important because a normal falling wedge like this would break towards the upside, however if earnings are truly this bad I believe there may be more downside.
Is Southwest Airlines a Hidden Gem?This is my first TradingView video, hope you guys enjoy! Be sure to leave a like, follow, and comment!
Southwest Airlines is a potential gem in this market as trade wars with China escalate. As Boeing ramps up production of their Max jets, Southwest also ramps up their flights as they are a primary user of the Boeing Max jets. Southwest did beat their earnings, however fell a little short on revenue, but if this is any indication towards Q3 earnings, I would feel bullish as these Boeing jets become more available. Southwest is also increasing their Hawaiian travel routes so this is great fundamental news for the airline!
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Southwest Airlines a Paradise?Southwest recently started flying to Hawaii, and the stock price had a roaring January! Southwest continues to grow and the Megalodon is giving the buy sign on the technical side!
The Megalodon indicator uses an artificial intelligence, combined with data from over 500 buy setups, and over 2000 indicators to produce extremely accurate buy signals on any and all asset classes! Send me a message if you would like to try it for yourself!
Where is LUV?Southwest airlines made a news today so thought take a peek. It's gone. For next few weeks to months LUV will have choppy trade. Those who are good in options strategies like butterfly, condor etc (some one who is pro and can advantages of choppy sidewise trade) make a lots of money for sure. Once they break the black line after choppy noisy trade look for the 1stgreen line for next support zone. Red line for now will act as resistance. Anything touching that line is a short.
It will easily go 2009 low guys!!!! :)
Enjoy the trading session if you LUV rap: The Black Eyed Peas - Where Is The Love?
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