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AMD Corrected Again- Buy the Dip Idea LONGAMD on the 15 minute chart breakout through anchord VWAP bands starting on February 29th from the mean anchored VWAP support. Two days later finding itself extended to the second upper VWAP band, price corrected over the next day down to the first upper band and then after a few hours reversed and headed back toward the second upper band going somewhat sideways and getting there two and a half days later. Price was rejected from that dynamic resistance and fell into the first band which provided support to close the week. The Luxalgo regression line forecast is for yet another more up to test the resistance of that second upper band. I will take a long trade here recognizing that the forecast is for a 10-12% move in the immediate term. If the forecast is accurate a stop loss will not be necessary. I will set it at 204 to prevent anything other than an insignificant loss.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
SOXS goes LONG Inversing SOXL SOXS on the 30-minute chart has reversed from a trend down to an early uptrend. This is confirmed by a variety of indicators including the ATR/ U BOT indicator reset to a period of 4, the relative volume indicator showing buying volume spikes instead of selling spikes, as well as the squeeze indicator changes from a green negative histogram to a positive one. Many semi conductor stocks have had major price runs upside. The time has come to watch them for reversals. I will close my SOXL position in favor of a new long trade in SOXS.
AMEX:SOXSLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
Can INTC breakout from a trinagle ? LONGINTC on a 180 minute chart is in a flat bottom triangle since before earnings. The earnings report was a beat of 20% on earnings and 1.5 % on revenue but apparently disappointed greedy traders expecting more. Price has been mostly sideways. I saw the dip on Tuesday to Thursday as an opportunity to take a call option trade for Friday which had a great return. I see INTC ready to gain price and break out of the triangle. It has a P/E ratio much lower than some of the high flyers in its subsector making it attractive to value-seeking investors and traders who like to buy at the lows. Price is now above the long-term POC line where buying pressure should predominate. Having seen the rise on Friday, some short sellers may begin to buy to cover and close their positionons especially those with put options from which the time to realize profits is now.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by AwesomeAvani
NVDA to AMD Ratio Comparative ValueHere on a daily chart I have the ratio of shares of NVDA to AMD and so the market caps proportions. From September 2022 and for a year NVDA rose more than AMD and so the ratio rose. From September 2023 to January 2024, NVDA fell as compared with AMD perhaps because AMD's rate of rise on a percentage basis exceeded that of NVDA. Since the first of the year, the ratio is rising meaning NVDA is gaining share price faster than AMD. If a trader could switch between these, the ratio represents a way to determine which to sell and which to buy at any given time. Right now, NVDA is the buy until the ratio curve reverses.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by AwesomeAvani
SOXL / SOXS , this ratio analysis shows when to trade eachSOXL is the triple leveraged semi-conductor ETF while SOXS is its inverse. While SOXL is primarily up trending in its intermediate and full-time history, it does from time to time have a correction mainly when the technology sector gets challenged. I have found that plotting the ratio of the share values is a very accurate way of pinpointing those corrections and temporarily buy some SOXS to offset the downward price action and nullifying any loss. This is more or less insurance in case the overall position must be closed for one reason or another or transient hedging. As can be seen, these corrections last 1-5 days . This strategy is effective risk management as during the correction the SOXS gains some of what SOXL loses especially if the share dollars are equally balanced. Ever better is the same thing on a 2-3 hour time frame albeit it with more hedging trades. I have found that this strategy works on a variety of inverse ETF pairs. Most of them however do not have one side going up more or less continuously and instead oscillate rather than simple and shallow corrections like this pair. Please give a like if you this this could be helpful to your trading.
AMEX:SOXLLong
by AwesomeAvani
C3.AI - A Highly Volatile Fade With A Big RewardWhether you like it or not, the AI pump, even though it lasted for four months, has come to an end, because "artificial" has never been much of a compliment in the first place. Consider this: Artificial butter is called "margarine" and if you use it in pastries in France you'll go to prison Artificial milk is called "soy drink" and if you drink it then you'll get hormonal problems. An artificial bed is called a "couch" and you only sleep on it when you did something stupid and hurt your wife's feelings or have become poor. Regardless, C3.AI, just like Docusign, shows curious signs that it should rally and be a big bagger in the future, but the timing for it to do the go train doesn't make sense at present. I outline Docusign here: Docusign - In Theory, A Long-term Technical Multibagger for C3.AI, the evidence is made the most clear on the monthly bars, which is the big gear that dominates all the smaller time frames anyways. The point is this: 1. All price action in the four month pump was simply retracing a mid-2021 gap down liquidity void, as evidenced by the bodies of the candles and the move away from the level. 2. The big "omg ChatGPT" pump candle from May, which formed an outside reversal bar, has had the 50% level traded through on two monthly bars 3. The May low of $16.79 is still higher (and meaningfully so on a % basis) than the $13.37 level, which amounted to little more than a stop raid during the 2022 lows 4. These numbers and ranges are enormous in magnitude, but C3 is a very, very volatile stock and only worth $3.16 billion at current levels 5. The same idea for an upside gap play exists at $90, and a strong Q4 rally is extremely possible. So, let's say that the market makers are willing to take price on a 300%+ moon mission. Let me ask you a question, is it very likely that this will happen before, or after, some sort of manipulation to the downside that shakes out weak hands? The answer is obvious, and so the target is circa $15 in the remaining portion of September and/or October. The problem with going long the bottoms on the pump thesis is that the situation in Mainland China with the Spectre of Communism controlling the "Chinese" Communist Party is that the CCP is about to fall. The Yuan is in rough shape, property developers and commercial real estate are about to explode like they ate a crit from the rocket launcher in Quake 4, and cities are starting to appear empty as a result of Mainland China, the world's motherland, being made empty as a result of the Wuhan Pneumonia epidemic. And to think that all these problems are nothing more than a prelude to the real elephant in the room: the 24-year persecution and organ harvesting genocide against Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners launched by the CCP and former Chairman Jiang Zemin on July 20, 1999. The CCP, Xi, the remnants of the Jiang Faction, and the "International Rules Based Order" that smeared its hands participating in the persecution to court Shanghai and Tsinghua Marxist-Leninist vows for material benefits, can absolutely not escape the consequences of these crimes against humanity. Humans won't hold people responsible, but Heaven will. There will never be a Nuremburg 2.0, and there won't be a "Great Judgment," but there certainly will be a historic retribution for evil that will be passed down forever. And this makes long into January of 2024 as the market rallies extremely dangerous. I can only ask you to consider hedging with volatility when you see the VIX at a 9-handle in November and an 8-handle in December. When "That Day" really comes, everything will be over in a night. And it will be too late to cry. You'll be trapped on the greatest gap of all time.
NYSE:AIShort
by LordWrymouth
1
$INTC - Rising Trend Channel [MID-TERM]🔹Between support 32.86 and resistance 37.24 in Rectangle Formation. 🔹In case of a NEGATIVE reaction, it has support at approximately 33. 🔹Technically POSITIVE for the medium long term. Chart Pattern: ◦ DT: Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴 ◦ DB: Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢 ◦ HNS: Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴 ◦ REC: Rectangle | 🔵 ◦ iHNS: inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢 Verify it first and believe later. WavePoint ❤️
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by wavepoint99
NVIDIA - Bears, This Is Your ChanceIn a previous post on NVIDIA following its earnings gap all time high, I posited that a bearish three drives was a real possibility, which would involve the stock actually going down and then driving up a few more times in accordance with the overall market topping: NVIDIA - A Scenario Few Are Considering. Few. Few. Few. That never panned out, and instead what we're looking at instead, as you can tell with all the insider selling, is a very likely bump and run reversal. But distribution patterns take a very long time to manifest, and one of the biggest tells with NVIDIA is despite it going from $366 to $440, it really has never targeted the sell side, not even rebalancing the original gap. As far as this company goes... well, when you come across something like this whose CEO is a Taiwanese dude prancing around in a leather jacket for every photo op while it's trading like a Chinese Communist Party pump and dump, a number of red flags beyond the 250x P/E it's trading at should emerge. Companies and their officers who have connections to the CCP are very dangerous, for the geopolitical situation is tense. Much is at stake right now with Mainland China and whether or not Xi Jinping is intelligent enough to get rid of the Party. If Xi can't get rid of the Party, then the International Rules Based Order will do it for him and will go to install their own people from Taiwan in the Mainland. Xi always has the option to weaponize the 24-year persecution of Falun Gong, started by the Jiang Zemin faction that's rooted in Shanghai, to take down the Party and defend China from the groups that wish to invade. Live organ harvesting isn't a sin that can survive public scrutiny, really. None of this is healthy for the markets, and if you're long on stocks at the top, some of them aren't coming back. The indexes might come back, but many companies definitely go to zero and will be replaced by a future generation. When you look at NVIDIA on the monthly, does this look like somewhere that you want to go long? A monthly "gap" like this will certainly always be filled, and it just happens to be right around the actual level we're looking to target. The weekly bars are severely ranged compressed, which tells us that a big move is coming I have a call on that Nasdaq that we're about to get a pretty violent and serious correction, but that it will really be a bear trap: Nasdaq - The Great Bear Trap You might feel right now that stocks ONLY GO UPPY. But considering you're in a bear market and these things have been mooning for like an entire quarter right now, you might want to check that notion before that notion wrecks you. The problem with NVIDIA going and making a new high right now is it's failed to do so twice. Friday's end of the day was a big rejection on everything Nasdaq. And this is a time when price stopped just 1.8% short of the high. So what it was really doing was covering the old range, and taking stops over the most subordinate high to the all time high. Another big tell is the SOXS and SOXL 3x leverage semiconductor ETFs are simultaneously setup on weekly and daily candles to breakout/retrace, and both started to do that in sync on the Friday dump. NVIDIA is the top component of the index underlying the ETF at roughly 9%. The most obvious place for it to retrace to to start taking out sell stops is the $395 gap. But this is only 5% at this point and not very scary. Meanwhile, all the bulls and all the bears start selling on a break of $366, because Discord and Reddit told them to and some books and guru videos told them to "because confirmation." Once the gap is finally balanced, I believe that Nasdaq is going to rip to something like 16,000 before we're done, and NVIDIA will actually finish its lifespan with a 5-handle. So for bears: here's your opportunity. But you better have realistic expectations. For bulls: here's your opportunity. But you better have patience in buying the dip, and you'll find you "made a lot of money getting out of the market too early." And for bulls and bears: stay away from ponzi companies and social distance from the CCP and all the Marxist-Leninist and atheist things. If you don't, you'll face more than the liquidation of your brokerage accounts, to say the very least.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by LordWrymouth
159
NVDA - Rising Trend Channel [MID-TERM]🔹Breakout floor of a rising trend channel in the medium long term. 🔹Resistance at 470, which could potentially trigger a NEGATIVE reaction, but an upward breakthrough indicates a POSITIVE signal. 🔹Technically POSITIVE for the medium long term. Chart Pattern: 🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴 🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢 🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴 🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵 🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢 Verify it first and believe later. WavePoint ❤️
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by wavepoint99
AMD - Greed Doth Bad Habits BreedI've noticed that, especially in the last week, the trading community has really transformed into almost full bore greed. People are buying highs on almost anything, especially some of the most dubious of stocks, and getting rewarded with 5-15% gains every day. There's even a popular post on here that asks "As new highs approach, what is the bear case?" Whenever the climate is like this, you really, really have to take a step back and cool your head. If we were in a sustained bull market like we had in 2021, greed may ostensibly be fair enough. But when the Fed rate is at 5.5 percent and there aren't going to be cuts, with 6% enroute before year end, and TBond yields acting like they want to court with 4.5% or 5%, you're sort of in the Twilight Zone right now. If repricing to the downside really does occur, it's going to be fast and sudden. AMD is the company that floundered, and hard, after losing the arms race to Intel for a lot of years. Then it hired a Chinese CEO, who flew over to the Chinese Communist Party's land and did some courtship, and then all of a sudden AMD was worth a lot of money, and has been for a while. You have to really be very careful with anything connected to the CCP and China because of the geopolitical tensions between Xi Jinping and the International Rules Based Order. All the yammering about "Taiwan" is about the IRBO looking to plant a man from Taiwan in Xi's seat when the CCP falls in the exceptionally near term future. Yet Xi, a Chinese nationalist, can defend China's 5,000 year old Divinely-imparted culture, and himself, by weaponizing the 24-year persecution and organ harvesting genocide against Falun Gong that was launched by the Party and former Chairman Jiang Zemin on July 20, 1999. If any of the above really transpires, please use your head: Beijing's noon is New York's midnight. Whatever happens in China is going to happen outside of NYSE/Nasdaq hours, which means those enchanted by greed are one day going to enjoy the bitter fruit of a brutal breakaway gap that never comes back. So, AMD earnings are tomorrow post market. This is notable, because despite all the bull fever and delirium, I note that we really might be watching the markets top right now: SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg And if you take a look at a number of stock market calls I link below, you'll see there's a number of warning signals that are really worth considering, but still some pretty nice long opportunities. So with AMD, what I'd like to point out as we head into earnings are two things: 1. The market makers left a goalpost at $133, based on the monthly. Price action absolutely does not have to take this point out, but since it counts as "resistance" to retail traders, it stands to reason it will go at some point 2. Price action since the late-June dump is NOT bullish. It is a classic markdown-and-sell-a-lot-more pattern that traps all the people who bought over $120 and have been comfortably numb averaging down. On weekly charts, the red box is a place that price action is likely to return to, and the catalyst for this may very well be earnings. There's really a precedent for this, with Taiwan Semiconductor, which I think is a very high likelihood long-term long even as markets sell off, because it's not a member of the Nasdaq or the SPX: TSM - Taiwan, Your Semiconductor Long Hedge An important thing to note about TSM is that it's a very similar set up to AMD, but also a lot more bullish of a pattern, and yet it lost some 7% on earnings. Earnings plays are very hard because the fundamentals don't matter. You get major gap repricing and have to pay a high premium for leverage or for puts/calls to boot. Yet, a dump under $100 for AMD would likely be a real buying opportunity with a target over $135. While you might find it too good to be true, May was already a $50/65% month for AMD. Yet nobody wants to buy when there's big red. Instead, they want to buy on green and HODL, because you've been so perfectly conditioned, Pavloved, and trained by smart money. Alternatively, if earnings were to raid $135, it may very well be the sell of the year. Good luck. With the situation as it is, you should always ask yourself: "Are we really going to set new highs, or are we at the top of a bear market rally?"
NASDAQ:AMD
by LordWrymouth
Is NVDA done correcting? LONGNVDA shot up on earnings two months ago and more or less went sideways until mid July when it trended up for a week and then reversed downward. On the 2H chart, I have placed both a VWAP anchored to the earnings date as well as a volume profile. Price is currently above the 0.5 Fib level as well as at one standard deviation above the mean VWAP and above the POC line of the volume profile. The mean VWAP and POC are confluent at about 422. I suspect that it is at this level that volatility will be the highest and at where buyers will step in to open a trade shares of NVDA that have been oversold and are undervalued. Because of that, I will place NVDA on my watchlist for a long trade when it trends down approaching 422. The stop loss will be 418 or about 1% while targeting the recent double top of 475 and so a zone of horizontal resistance confluent with dynamic resistance in the red line of two standard deviations above the mean VWAP. Confirmation of an upcoming reversal is the histogram of the zero-lag MACD going red to green. NVDA has had a great run this year (220%) and its heavy presence in the AI megatrend bodes well for a good continuation.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by AwesomeAvani
25
AMSC 57% July rise AI tech ( chips) upcoming earnings LONGAMSC has had a great rise since the beginning of the AI revolution. From the overlay of the anchored VWAP this would be a VWAP breakout that closed the last trading day with a correction pullback and then a bounce off the POC line of the volume profile. The natural stop loss for a long trade is directly under the POC line. As a strong bull run stock, the MACD just showed another line cross above the histogram. Amplitudes are rising. This sector is scorching hot. Some will call it overextended and overvalued. Buy weakness - yeah for sure unless its going to get worse. Buy strength when you determine the probability that it will go higher. This long trade will not wait for me. I will take it and be watchful for signs of reversal. I do not think that I will see them anytime soon. With earnings coming this week and trader interest peaking. I will jump in here and watch for good action. To be safe I will take off part of the position before the earnings.
NASDAQ:AMSCLong
by AwesomeAvani
NVDA Breaking Out from Consolidatiom LONGNVDA has been in consolidation for two weeks. On the 1H chart, yesterday, the MTF RSI indicator shows that the lower TF RSIc rossed over the 50 level and then crossed over the higher TF RSI a clear and convincing sign of rapidly increasing relative strength. Price is in a VWAP breakout now having crossed from the mean VWAP anchored into mid- June and up crossing over the one and two standard deviation lines. The zero-lag MACD shows a line cross under the histogram occurred in the after-hours trading on Tuesday evening. Price has crossed over the POC line of the visible range volume profile yet another sign of bullish buying pressure and momentum. Overall, my analysis is that NVDA is set up for a long swing trade which I will take today.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by AwesomeAvani
5
AMD - Rising Trend Channel [MID -TERM]🔹Breakout short-term resistance be POSITIVE signal with support at 100 and resistance at 130. 🔹Price increases on high volume and decreases on low volume. 🔹Technically POSITIVE for medium-term long-term. Chart Pattern; 🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴 🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢 🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴 🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵 🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢 Verify it first and believe later. WavePoint ❤️
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by wavepoint99
ASML - Rising Trend Channel [MID -TERM]🔹Forming inverse head and shoulders pattern. 🔹Breaking resistance at 793 indicates further rise. 🔹POSITIVE signal from Rectangle formation breakout resistance at 668; Next resistance at 762. 🔹Technically POSITIVE for medium-term long-term. Chart Pattern; 🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴 🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢 🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴 🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵 🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢 Verify it first and believe later. WavePoint ❤️
NASDAQ:ASMLLong
by wavepoint99