Is it time to SOXL again?Hardly excited after a pretty decent bullish bounce in the SPY, SOXL similarly bounced, although it appears to be lagging somewhat. Is it premature, or is it bouncing?
The SOXL daily chart shows the downside target just hit at about 12, at the beginning of September. Two days later a higher low was registered (this is clearer in the hourly chart). The bullish candle yesterday appears to suggest a possible trend change bounce; but risk management (especially for a leveraged ETF like this) prompts for more confirmation and better odds. Some boundaries are needed...
The current gap range needs to be closed clearer and an immediate resistance (above yesterday's high, green horizontal line) needs to be cleared. Then a break into the next gap range above the next resistance (thicker green line) is essential. In fact, a higher high would be much appreciated. These sound like a tall order, but it is opined to be necessary. Particularly since the daily technical indicators have not yet crossed over, so the downdraft might not yet be over.
Having said that, the red support line below the last (higher) low must be maintained. If broken down, price should easily go below 11. The breakdown probability is rather significant currently, although going below 11 is not yet a major risk.
Conclusion... potentially a bounce, perhaps equal probability to be at the start of some sort of consolidation zone, or less likely a pause to dip much further down.
Watch closely, be ready and nimble...
SOXL
SOXL reversal from bottom LONGAMEX:SOXL
On a 30-minute chart SOXL, a triple leveraged bull ETF for semiconductors is now in an early uptrend.
The semiconductor sector may be challenged but stable economics from its industrial customer bases may be
steadily rising.
The chart shows recent horizontal resistances from pivot points and an overlaid volume profile.
For the long trade, I will set a stop loss for a 3% risk while setting targets of $15.85 , below the Fib 0.5
$ 16.8 below the top of the high volume area of the profile and final take profit at $21.3 just below
the double top of August 5th and 12th. With tiered take profits, this looks to be about 30% upside
overall with a very safe ratio of risk especially if the stop loss is raised above the entry on the first leg
of the uptrend.
SOXL - window closes, brace for bounceFrom the last post, The daily technical indicators appear to be turning upwards and the early part of the coming week is expected to show a bullish hand, that probably leads to the rest of the projections into September where it should meet the weekly 55EMA. Watch for it!
The window closed rather immediately after
:|
The analysis projection totally did not happen for the week, and yesterday SOXL gapped down, after breaking below the daily 55EMA. The price action is enough to tell that there is a clear trend change, and the technical indicators support it. In addition, it appears that there is a triangle breakdown, and this projects a downside target of about 12. Immediate support is seen at 14.
Expect downside, watch the support lines and wait for it... again
SOXL - At a Buy Point? SOXL - WEEKLY LOG Mode
I know what you're thinking....... Don't shoot me I'm just the messenger.
This chart implies the sector deserves some near term consideration..... as hard as that may seem at this point.
Buy when there's blood in the streets...
Risk is well defined here. I would use the sub .786 Fib area as a stop point... See below.
Here is the DAILY :
SOXS at support for LONG SWING SETUPAMEX:SOXS
Reports are the semiconductor secotr is presently challenged with rising costs
and lower production orders.
SOXS is in a flat bottom triangle with price now at its base.
The RSI Oscillator is in mid-range suggesting price has upside.
The relative volume has been increased in the past two weeks.
I see this as a swing long setup with the target 30-40& above
the current market price in the mid-Fibonacci retracement range.
SHORT SEMICONDUCTORS ON NEWS- SOXSAMEX:SOXS
Semiconductors have been giving some cautious guidance suggesting a market downturn,
supply chain issues and the recession fears. Vehcicles are being shipped to dealers lacking
some "chips" ; in the meanwhile, the CHIP acts hopes to stabilize things.
SOXS a ETF shorting the semiconductor industry #X leverage as the inverse of SOXL
The 4H chart of SOXS shows an EMA ribbon divergence, a market low with a Double or
Triple Bottom and an Asymmetrical Inverse Head and Shoulders with a neckline trendline
Marking a breakout just above the current market price.
This appears to be a good swing long trade setup or call option entry ripe for the taking.
SOXL - the window opensAn update to the earlier SOXL post...
Previously identified as a potential, in what appeared to be a really nice technical wedge breakout. And there is more, much more as a reader gave some heads-up about the semiconductor bill.
Techncially, SOXL has been bullish, but is also susceptible to strong retracements, which took place over the week that just passed. The weekly chart maintains its bullish stance, despite the MACD not yet crossing over into bullish territory. The RPM is indicating a continued momentum as well.
Details in the daily chart are more specific on the price action, and after breakout, there was a shallow retracement, and then a quick rally up. Then the more significant retracement came, retraced to 61.8% Fibonacci level, and bounced off. What is interesting is that in doing so, it created a gap (from a gap down) as it broke below the daily 55EMA, and then gapped up to subsequently close the gap (bullish gesture here). This price action gave the weekly chart that nice long underside tail (green ellipse), suggesting bullish price action, and this bullishness to follow in the next couple of weeks.
Fibonacci, and other geometrical, projections have been updated and adjusted (higher!) with the upside target at 29.58, especially after breaking above 22.29.
The daily technical indicators appear to be turning upwards and the early part of the coming week is expected to show a bullish hand, that probably leads to the rest of the projections into September where it should meet the weekly 55EMA. Watch for it!
The window opens...
Heads up!
LABU LEVERAGED BIOTECH ETFThis Daily Chart plots LABU to LABD ratios over time. LABU is 3X Leveraged ETF of a variety of biotechnology
stocks while LABD is the inverse.
By plotting the ratio of LABU to LABD, what can be found is the precise end of the LABU downtrend (LABD uptrend)
and reversal into LABU uptrend ( LABD downtrend).
In this case, the reversal occurred about June 17th while the SPY reached its current market bottom.
This type of analysis can be used to make trade decisions regarding a contrasting pair of stocks or forex pairs.
It makes the decisions more informed. IF going down to a 1H or 4H timeframe, the accuracies will be higher
and the pivots more frequent also making potential profits higher.
This can be used with other ETF inverses such as
GUST /DRIP
BOIL /KOLD
JDST / JNUG
YINN / YANG
SOXL/ SOXS
FAZ / FAS
TMF /TMV
By setting up all of these also with alerts such as ratio decreasing or ration increasing
a trader with very little time to trade and diversify and automate his/her trading
resulting in risk stratification and mitigation and economy of time.
SOXS to SOXL ratio DAILY CHARTAMEX:SOXL
This chart strives to setup a trading plan where the SOXS and SOXL
are oscillated. They are 3X leveraged ETFs with great range.
SOXS was up 400% YTD at its peak. The new CHIPS
ACT is a catalyst for US semiconductor manufactures
Right now the ratio is on a downtrend, meaning Sell SOXS
or BUY SOXL or a combination of each.
I believe that this strategy could yield 5X annually
to investors or long-term swing traders with little effort
especially if an alert is employed to notify the ratio
is changing trend direction at a pivot.
The timeframe could be lower but then the number
of trades is likely to increase as is the amount
of profit. This could be backtested by those
familiar with the mechanics of doing so.
SOXL - a second bite at the cherryPreviously heads up, and with some very interesting feedback from NickQuick7 about the semiconductor Bill passed by Senate, SOXL continues to be of high interest in the watchlist.
The past three trading sessions have rebounded from the daily 62% retracement level, and is projected to move further to 23.50.
In the bigger picture, a target for 33 is mooted.
Weekly technicals are good, and daily technicals are wearing out a little...
Easy Long - THIS IS NOT ADVICE!!!congress providing fundamental promise with passing a bill that could influence markets to buy this ETF, Technicals are setup to look for a return to previous levels off the backs of a strong Bulldiv rally from oversold levels, setting a stop below the recent swing low allows for a technical trade plan that removes emotion. The simple R/R lines up with the bottom of the recent range making it conservative, too. if the position is large enough, it could be managed through selling calls and use the premiums to hedge against a drop, just close out any short calls before dumping shares and make sure any short calls are sold with a strike above entry.
NOT ADVICE, SIMPLY FOR FUN AND THEORY
Update on OXY and SOXL Two earlier propositions OXY and SOXL identified were taken, as shared.
The exuberance of the week prompted a close of the trade really quickly, particularly for SOXL.
OXY just ran out of steam the moment it reached the resistance, so not yet to break out.
White arrows denote the entry and exit points. You really need to see the intraday charts, 30 mins or 1 hour so view a clearer picture of why the trade close was prompted.
In the longer mid-term, these two still appear to hold good opportunities, and will be under close watch, and waiting for a retracement to turn around.
SOXL - An interesting proposition TAKENGiven a heads up from a friend some time ago, SOXL was closely tracked and position taken at 14.80 (white arrow).
There was immaculate synchrony on the weekly and daily charts, as it fell in a falling wedge. The weekly technical indicators turned as the weekly candlestick hinted of a possible trend change.
The daily technical indicators similar in sync and a break above the HULL moving average also coincided to a breakout of the wedge.
Looking for a move to 32. A very good amount of space, over the next couple of weeks.
$SOXL Analysis, Key levels & Targets $SOXL Analysis, Key levels & Targets
This, without a doubt has been one of the most exhausting positions I have on right now…. But that is the nature of 3x leveraged instruments….
I have 310 shares, with an average of 21.61 and I am 34.72% down.
SO, for anyone that remembers this strategy from last year… the next add will be to double my position at 7.48. I don’t have the 7.48 order set yet, but I have alerts at $10 and once it hits 10 that order will be in…
From here my sell target is 35.74 —> looking for a 65.39% profit…. And of course that target will change if the 7.48 double target triggers….
Looking at stupid Willy, there is still room and I can see a real possibility of 7.48 hitting… but it doesn’t have to…. Looking at some semi companies, a lot of them are looking to test their 200MA on the weekly, but also they are hooking upward at their weekly 180EMA so I’m comfortable with my position here.
If you’re playing this one with me - now you know how insane my tolerance for volatility is….
Happy trading, y’all…
On a side note: what's your favorite Semiconductor company? I trade AMD and ON, and I track NVDA
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I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed.
GL and happy trading.
IF you need anything analyzed Technically just comment with the Ticker and I’ll do it as soon as possible…
semiconductors likely have some continued downsidesoxl is pretty much plummeting if we get a significant gap down and cant set a higher low 4hr the 15 minute trend will continue downwards until the 4hr is bullishly diverged stoch, rsi a lot of people are covering, and that may lead to some squeeze, but the over all trend is down if we close gap from either direction, and it looks like it is setting a lower high 4hr i would continue to sell semis. if we close gap from either direction and it looks like the test was sucessfuly holding some higher low around the thursday close its more bullish intermediate term but id imagine this is finding a daily lower high even if it recovers some or corrects sharply only to fall again.
22.04, 21.74, 21, 20.76, 20.22 key levels right now SOXL.
the 4 hr is at critical .5 level and oversold stochfib of bounce gives us about 50% retracement if there is some recovery to tighten in range we could look back up at 22.23-22.48 setting a daily higher low if market decides to gap up friday. if vwma keeps rising and trama flattens out we will have a bounce in semis. if these indicators keep bearish divergence we are likely continuing lower in broader markets. $23 is still a critical level for this trade. $20.96 is the next level if we continue this pop down. semis started this correction only they can get it out.
oversold semiconductors (SOXL)if critical support provides meaningful buy volume and we close the week near the highs then semiconductors, and the broader market could exhibit a bounce here towards lower 36s. if we see another wave of selling down at these levels were probably blowing through that support on the weekly trending toward upper 16s taking the market with it as semiconductors are a lead bear. keep TRAMA from sinking and come out of oversold STOCH and we could diverge bullishly. if things head for continuation it is likely more bearish.
SOXL close to a strong supportSOXL tracks the performance of the thirty largest U.S. listed semiconductor companies.
The semiconductor space is still hot, but the companies in the leveraged Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL) didn`t performed well against the inflation and raising interest rates recently.
I think SOXL is now close to the strong support of $21, pre-pandemic level, from which it can bounce to the $36 resistance.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$SOXL Key Levels, Analysis, & Targets $SOXL Key Levels, Analysis, & Targets
So this is a 3x semiconductor ETF by request for @xianloon
Buy targets are in green.
Sell targets are in red.
And I’d expect 30-44% for this trade. So if you average down into it just set your sell order for 30% above your average…
Structure of the Trade:
1 at 36.42
1 at 31.76
2 at 28
4 at 22
8 at 17.63
(Times your multiplier (x10, x100 etc)
I might play this one with you
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