SPY & QQQ Key Zone to watch- Does QQQ hourly oversold mark the bottom of the daily consolidation low or bear take it lower tomorrow?
- March 28 hourly oversold on QQQ marked the bottom of that consolidation and we had a large bounce.
- SPY closed around yesterdays lows which is in the resistance zone
- took profit on my SOXS this morning re-added on the hourly bounce. SMH/SOXX still weaker then QQQ
SOXS
SPY Daily Consolidation Resistance Zone 411-415- Yesterday's video i talked about SPY very likely having a pull back into this resistance zone
- now daily consolidation is on its way for SPY, will QQQ join
- looking to see if bulls will be buying up that hourly time frame oversold RSI, and market the low of the daily consolidation.
- Still holding my SOXX short - SOXS 3x leverage ETF
SPY Resistance Zone $411-415- $SPY and QQQ has been rotating around and currently not a lot of signs of bears.
- if money is rotating around sectors that means there's no fear and money isn't all leaving the market.
- But the market has ran up quite a bit so I am watching for a pull back and daily consolidation.
- taking a short on the SOXX/ SMH sector, added SOXS
$QQQ BULLS Continue but at KEY Resistance, PCE Data tomorrow- SPY QQQ gapped up again but ended up closing within todays trading range, unlike yesterday bulls have a strong follow through after open.
- PCE Data tomorrow morning 5:30am PST
- QQQ closed around key daily resistance.
- End of the quarter and month rebalancing tomorrow will bring lots of volatility
- Will XLF / KRE join team bull or QQQ / SMH join team Bear?
- i am slightly more bearish at this level but so far theres no red flags for the bulls at all for QQQ SMH SOXX
FOMC Price Reaction Analysis, Support & Resistance, $SPY/$QQQ- Looking for a hourly Bear flag on SPY and QQQ after this huge move down.
- XLF and KRE top watch to see if we break fear lows/52 week low. Fear would likely come back in if we do break the lows
- looking for SOXX/SMH to go from lead bull turning into lead bear
- Rate hikes is a head wind more for QQQ then SPY, so after Powell saying no rate cuts this year, we would likely see QQQ lead to the down side as well just like it lead to the upside.
- FOMC reaction day after is always the real move, so tomorrow we need to see if bears can follow through or todays just a small reaction move.
(WARNNG) Extreme Bear Volume in $XLF, Shorting next hourly LH- QQQ double topped with Tuesday top, had a 15m bull flag during consolidation with no red flags until mid morning.
- XLF increasing bear volume with zero bounce and very notable big money exiting. Fear creeped into the market
- VIX up 20%
- QQQ went from lead bull to bear when all sectors starting to drop at the same time after XLFs huge drop. dragging SPY down too.
- lots of negative news and sentiment regarding banks and how much they dropped SI down over 80% in just two days.
- Bears now in total control.
- huge drop in XBI & IWM as well.
SMH might go from lead bull to lead bear tomorrow
looking to short the next hourly or 15m lower high pretty much almost on any bounce if we get a bullish reaction to data tomorrow during PM will be shorting that bounce.
NVDA running out of juice - SOXS here we comeJohn was an avid investor in the stock market, and he had been closely following the semiconductor industry for some time. Lately, there had been a lot of hype around artificial intelligence, and this had caused stock prices in the industry to soar. The technical formation of the chart looked good, and John had seen his investment in the semiconductor industry go up quite a bit.
However, as time went by, John started to notice signs of exhaustion in the market. He realized that care needed to be taken to protect his investment, and so he decided to move up his stops or exit the position altogether. It wasn't an easy decision to make, but John knew that it was the right thing to do.
Do the right thing. Don't be greedy. We're right by the 61.8 and above the 50 from the high to the low.
The end.
Nvidia Sell SignalNvidia just put in a reversal signal on the Daily chart as it hit major resistance.
This semiconductor has been a powerhouse mover and has single handily been lifting the Semis sector higher.
Now that this stock may show some near term sell pressure we could see the sector as a whole pullback.
The only thing that Im being mindful of when it comes to NVDA is that it has yet to report earnings.
As a technical analyst I'm a bit dissatisfied that Nvidia came so close to filling the technical daily gap at 230.46 but never managed to fill it which leads me to think there may be a possibility it has 1 more gasp at a rally to fill the gap before rolling over.
None the less distribution is being observed in a time when yields and dollar may be spiking again.
SOXL Watching for Bounce at Resistance On the 15M chart, SOXL and price are approaching the resistance zone at 13- 14.5 While it is possible that resistance could break,
the pattern of the past two months is that it will not. Accordingly, instead, I will watch for a reversal bounce off resistance
for a swing trade short to the downside targeting the point of control line ( dark green ) inside the green support zone as the final
target with the anchored VWAP ( black line now at 9.25 with the first target being the VWAP ( black line ) and the second target
one standard deviation below VWAP ( light green line ); Overall taking off one-third of the position at each target and
expecting 30% overall over about two weeks. An alternative is put options with 4 weeks expiration at $14.00 and another
is to take a long trade on the inverse ETF SOXS.
this is what is tanking tech, and the marketits really plain that this chart is not bullish. the last time we retraced over half a bounce we fell to the lows and made new lows. that means new lows for the broader market. i see an upside of 4% and a downside of 11%. i like selling any rip on large cap semiconductors by buying soxs.
Soxs is the ticket out of povertyDefended support, on high volume, trendline support,
Capitulation already took place, inverse head and shoulders break, semis are overpriced and garbage again after 40% rally. Come with me as we milk this one last time into vix 45
If this market keeps going up slowly or continues consolidating I will keep adding
3month and 10 year yields are inverted like hell and people are buying 2000 pe stocks into a recession god help us all
The fact that Bitcoin still has buyers sickens me
SOXL reversal from bottom LONGAMEX:SOXL
On a 30-minute chart SOXL, a triple leveraged bull ETF for semiconductors is now in an early uptrend.
The semiconductor sector may be challenged but stable economics from its industrial customer bases may be
steadily rising.
The chart shows recent horizontal resistances from pivot points and an overlaid volume profile.
For the long trade, I will set a stop loss for a 3% risk while setting targets of $15.85 , below the Fib 0.5
$ 16.8 below the top of the high volume area of the profile and final take profit at $21.3 just below
the double top of August 5th and 12th. With tiered take profits, this looks to be about 30% upside
overall with a very safe ratio of risk especially if the stop loss is raised above the entry on the first leg
of the uptrend.
SOXS at support for LONG SWING SETUPAMEX:SOXS
Reports are the semiconductor secotr is presently challenged with rising costs
and lower production orders.
SOXS is in a flat bottom triangle with price now at its base.
The RSI Oscillator is in mid-range suggesting price has upside.
The relative volume has been increased in the past two weeks.
I see this as a swing long setup with the target 30-40& above
the current market price in the mid-Fibonacci retracement range.
SHORT SEMICONDUCTORS ON NEWS- SOXSAMEX:SOXS
Semiconductors have been giving some cautious guidance suggesting a market downturn,
supply chain issues and the recession fears. Vehcicles are being shipped to dealers lacking
some "chips" ; in the meanwhile, the CHIP acts hopes to stabilize things.
SOXS a ETF shorting the semiconductor industry #X leverage as the inverse of SOXL
The 4H chart of SOXS shows an EMA ribbon divergence, a market low with a Double or
Triple Bottom and an Asymmetrical Inverse Head and Shoulders with a neckline trendline
Marking a breakout just above the current market price.
This appears to be a good swing long trade setup or call option entry ripe for the taking.
Is AMD due for a correction?NASDAQ:AMD
AMD had a good run into the earnings season however
news is that with the expected or present recession
semiconductors as a subsector will fall a bit heading
into the third quarter.
The chart shows buy order blocks as a support are
far less than sell order blocks.
The MACD , a lagging indicator, shows the K/D
lines crossing over the histogram.
My idea is to take a call option contract for
a strike 5% below the present price.
Setting a stop loss at 10% of the option price
taking profit when the AMD stock approaches
above the closest buy order block at about
$ 98.45.
Do you have call options to suggest?
LABU LEVERAGED BIOTECH ETFThis Daily Chart plots LABU to LABD ratios over time. LABU is 3X Leveraged ETF of a variety of biotechnology
stocks while LABD is the inverse.
By plotting the ratio of LABU to LABD, what can be found is the precise end of the LABU downtrend (LABD uptrend)
and reversal into LABU uptrend ( LABD downtrend).
In this case, the reversal occurred about June 17th while the SPY reached its current market bottom.
This type of analysis can be used to make trade decisions regarding a contrasting pair of stocks or forex pairs.
It makes the decisions more informed. IF going down to a 1H or 4H timeframe, the accuracies will be higher
and the pivots more frequent also making potential profits higher.
This can be used with other ETF inverses such as
GUST /DRIP
BOIL /KOLD
JDST / JNUG
YINN / YANG
SOXL/ SOXS
FAZ / FAS
TMF /TMV
By setting up all of these also with alerts such as ratio decreasing or ration increasing
a trader with very little time to trade and diversify and automate his/her trading
resulting in risk stratification and mitigation and economy of time.
SOXS to SOXL ratio DAILY CHARTAMEX:SOXL
This chart strives to setup a trading plan where the SOXS and SOXL
are oscillated. They are 3X leveraged ETFs with great range.
SOXS was up 400% YTD at its peak. The new CHIPS
ACT is a catalyst for US semiconductor manufactures
Right now the ratio is on a downtrend, meaning Sell SOXS
or BUY SOXL or a combination of each.
I believe that this strategy could yield 5X annually
to investors or long-term swing traders with little effort
especially if an alert is employed to notify the ratio
is changing trend direction at a pivot.
The timeframe could be lower but then the number
of trades is likely to increase as is the amount
of profit. This could be backtested by those
familiar with the mechanics of doing so.