"Top and Bottom Analysis" SOYBEAN by ThinkingAntsOk4H CHART EXPLANATION:
In 4H timeframe, we observe that price has broke the Descending Trendline with a strong movement. It has potential to reach the Resistance Zone. However, we need to be careful because the downtrend still active, so it can be just a correction to continue the down movement.
Updates comming soon!
MULTI TIMEFRAME VISION:
- Weekly:
- Daily:
SOY
Soubean Futures Bearish outlookAfter seeing such a steep recent decline I started looking for signs of a bullish bounce. Unfortunately, it looks brutal:
1. recently retraced more than 100% of previous up-move, which indicated additional consolidation / correction is needed.
2. While it is a little messy, I can make out a 5 wave down move from the 2012 highs. This would mean we are likely only slightly over half-way in the current correction.
3. The symmetrical triangle is also likely part of primary wave B (which often takes the form of a triangle) and it indicates continuation in this case.
If there wasn't significant selling pressure then wave (C) would normally surpass (A). The move could go to $270 if the primary wave C meets a 1:1 extension of wave A. If I end up trading this I will lock in profits along the way in case primary wave C doesn't meet a 1:1 extension.
I am not a financial professional. This is a 100% technical analysis and has not considered any fundamental factors. I prefer to present both views normally, but if there is a bullish case I can't see it from the price action alone.
Bearish Fundamental for SoybeansLong-term fundamental is bearish . US has big soybeans 0.23% stocks , export is falling. Harvest in Brazil and potentially big crop in South America adds bearish sentiment. Weekly chart shows rejection of VAH, price moves down inside balance, so I'm waiting the continuation of price falling.
Great Opportunity to buy farmland in South AmericaThis stock buys you land all over South America.
319,000 Hectares between Brazil and Paraguay, just to name a few (mostly in Brazil).
Exposure to an incredible emerging market.
Exposure to commodities long term (grain and sugar mostly, cattle as well)
Management is a powerhouse.
JP Morgan owns 7% of the float.
George Soros made this company happen.
Google Eduardo Elsztain - greatest Argentine real estate investor. He's LND's Chairman.
Commodity prices are depressed. As commodities rise in the future it will generate more income for farmland.
Brazilian currency has gotten crushed in the last 10 years. New strength in the Real will benefit Brazil's economy.
Company has no debt.
Excellent growth.
Farmland known for its fantastic risk/return profile (it's land in Brazil, Peru, Chile, Argentina, etc, not a technology fad).
Under $5 per share so institutions are not allowed to invest, yet. What happens when prices hover above $5 per share? Domestic institutions have this stock on their radar and capital flows one way.
Boo Ya.
Most importantly, we have a great looking chart.
Soybean Futures D CBOT Updated 7/6/16Price is coming off the high near 1200. I am thinking price may pause around 1000-1050 for a bit before going higher. Look for possible opportunity there.