Soybeans Fake out?Like what I am seeing here on Soybeans. We have a fake out indicated by the long wick at a very big support zone which can also be seen on the longer term charts.
This interests me because of the long downtrend with multiple waves we have been in. You can also say we have created a double top too. Waiting for a break of the lower high swing and also a flip zone at 8.51. Will provide more context and confluence for out trade.
Many will be inclined to stay away due to the US-China trade war. However, China NEEDS food. They have had their pig population decimated due to the flu and the government is subsidizing pork prices. They do have a food problem and even though tariffs may be implemented, China requires food. Brazil and Russia may be the agricultural winners here.
Soybeans
Possible outcomes for Soybeans tradingAs from the current chart configuration, soybeans show us 2 possible outcomes. OANDA:SOYBNUSD is downtrending since mid july and might continue. The 8.47 level have been acting as support and resistance way back july 2018. The level have shown interest again twice this year.
Knowing this, price should either break the level or bounced. in the scenario price break the support level, we expect it to hit the 8.079 level. Else, a bounce back to 8.748 level is the nearest possible long target.
So what do you think?
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Bearish Trend Coming on Soybeans by ThinkingAntsOk4H CHART EXPLANATION:
The 4H corrective movement was broke a few days ago, it was an Ascending Structure correcting the previous Downside impulse. Now it seems that price is trying to continue towards the Support Zone. If this one is broke then there are two Daily Support Zones at 8.10 and the other at 7.80.
MULTI TIMEFRAME VISION:
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-Weekly:
$ZL_F Failed bullish formation leading to bearish set up.I was entering long here not that long ago. The breakout did not develop into anything and I was stopped out with a few pips in profit. Right now however I see that failed bullish formation may turn into bearish pay. I often see this in the market, if underlying security failed to do one thing it will do the opposite. I would be cautious right now and get out fast if this does not go well but I think this can bring at least 50 pips.
Bearish Potential on Soybeans by ThinkingAntsOk4H CHART EXPLANATION:
At the beggining of May, price started a strong bullish movement towards the Weekly Descending Trendline. Once it faced the zone, it could not consolidate above and the trend became weaker. Then started moving sideways and it has recently formed a Triangle Patter, which was broke downwards yesterday. We expect a downside move towards the Multiple Support Zones.
MULTI TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS:
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-Weekly:
Are Soybeans Poised For a Run?Soybeans seem to defy all odds when it comes to rational and can often take things to the extreme, one side or another. This is very sweet when you are on the profitable side of this rational but equally as bitter when you are not.
During the beginning of May, I had a suspicion the market was very oversold and was due for a correction to the upside, but it seemed like the upside move would never come as the market continued to punish them. Finally, on 5/14 they came to life and gave me a good buy signal by busting the downward line of resistance. I estimated there was a 98% chance of a low and now had a move up to jump in on. It did prove to be a great one.
After clearing through $9.20 I foresee resistance around the $9.65. I believe the market will float around in between these two levels until 7/1. This will be after the Acreage report by the USDA which, many in the trade are anticipating will have fewer planted acres of soybeans than originally anticipated back in March. Also, the upward support line will start to squeeze the market into the $9.65 resistance level, I believe if the market does not move up through $9.65 prior to then it will have good technical reasons to then.
I am a bull on soybeans but will not add to my position now unless we retest the lows of $9.20. or break through $9.65.
In other words, I am sitting on my hands and remaining patient.
**Educational purposes only**
LOONIE (CANADIAN DOLLAR INDEX) (CXY) DAILY TIMEFRAME SHORTThe Loonie index is currently moving in a downtrend, as shown by the lower highs and lower lows on the daily timeframe. This is also in sync with the commodities markets (crude oil, well and even gold), which have been experiencing bear pressure lately. It is no secret that currencies like the Loonie (Canadian dollar), Aussie (Australian dollar) and the Kiwi (New Zealand dollar) are driven by commodities. The outlook of the commodities market can give us a bias towards these currencies especially if their movements are in harmony.
If the index can break above the 75 price level, then we could see a potential bull run. For now, our bias remains bearish with potential targets around the 72 price level.
Buy soya, as trump is hinting to subsidize itthis trade is based on trump's tweet:
"If we bought 15 Billion Dollars of Agriculture from our Farmers, far more than China buys now, we would have more than 85 Billion Dollars left over for new Infrastructure, Healthcare, or anything else. China would greatly slow down, and we would automatically speed up!"
This is with regards to american agricultural exports to china -> Soybeans
This is similar to subsidy, if government subsidies consumer, the price goes down,
in this case the producer is subsidised so the price will go up (government will buy no matter what..)
Soybeans: Sell opportunity towards the 0.5 Fibonacci.The price reversed the previous bullish sentiment on 1D and is currently neutral (RSI = 48.853, ADX = 28.377, Highs/Lows = 0.0000). The next long term direction should come after a lower test of (at least) the 0.500 Fibonacci retracement level. With 4H already on Lower Highs (Highs/Lows = -0.0750, B/BP = -1.5520) we have a TP = 8.637.
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