Are we heading toward recession? To answer this question, I'm pulling the recession prediction indicator based on GDP provided by FED (ticker:JHGDPBRINKDX) which is the purple color on the bottom chart. It shows that we are on fairly low probability of recession (around 4%) as of end of Aug 2024. The FED indicates it will cut rate on end of Sep 2024. However, if...
The S&P 500 (Standard & Poor's 500) is a stock market index that tracks the performance of 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States. It is widely regarded as one of the best indicators of the overall health of the U.S. stock market and the economy. The companies included in the index span a wide range of industries, including technology,...
The crisis is gradually approaching... Global central banks are cutting rates at the fastest pace since the Covid era, according to BofA. The scenario might play out more slowly than shown on the chart, but the essence remains the same. The upcoming U.S. elections are unlikely to be quiet and peaceful—something big is bound to happen. I'm leaning more towards a...
Stock Index Futures Rise as Focus Shifts to Fed, U.S. ADP Jobs Report, and Meta Earnings S&P 500 Analysis: Consolidation Expected Today The market is poised for potential volatility as traders await the Federal Reserve's rate decision, the U.S. ADP jobs report, and Meta's earnings. The S&P 500 is expected to consolidate today, with key movements influenced...
Here's a detailed video on how to make use of market sentiment early on. If you are looking for value investor longs, you'd need sentiment to feed in further and drop the price of the SPX. For shorts, you'd need continued sentiment to support a downside case. More would need to follow post Fed Member Goolsbee regarding jobs/inflation.
S&P 500 Analysis: All-Time High or Reversal? The S&P 500 is exhibiting strong bullish momentum at the start of the second quarter earnings season. This bullish sentiment is expected to drive a general upward trend with potential rotations. Bullish Scenario: To sustain the bullish momentum, the price needs to stabilize above the pivot line at 5620, potentially...
S&P 500 Analysis: Navigating Volatility with Key Price Levels and Scenarios Stability under the pivot line which is 5525 means there will be a bearish trend toward 5491, but still has a bullish volume to get 5549. so above it means will start a new all-time high Bullish Scenario: Stability above 5525 means it will reach 5550 and should be stabilized above...
S&P 500 Index Technical Analysis Current Market Overview: The S&P 500 index recently reversed and stabilized within a bullish zone after closing a 4-hour candle above the critical level of 5491. This development suggests a potential bullish trend towards 5529 in the near term. Intraday Analysis: Today, it is expected that the price will remain stable...
S&P 500 Index Technical Analysis The S&P 500 (SPX) has maintained its bullish trend as anticipated and continues to move towards a new bullish area. Intraday Analysis: Today, the price may stabilize above 5502 to continue the bullish trend towards 5530 and 5550. Bullish Scenario: As long as the price trades above 5502, the bullish trend is likely to...
S&P 500 Index Technical Analysis The S&P 500 ( OANDA:SPX500USD ) has continued its bullish trend as anticipated, successfully reaching the projected targets. With the Consumer Price Index (CPI) result being released at 3.3% as we expected, the index tested its final resistance level of 5450. Intraday Analysis: Today, the price may stabilize within the...
SP500 Index Technical Analysis SPX Continues Its Bullish Trend The price successfully retested and pushed higher, reaching our previously mentioned target. Today's Outlook: The market is maintaining its bullish trend, aiming for approximately 5420. The release of the CPI data today will significantly impact the market. A CPI reading below 3.4% is...
SPX Continues Bullish Trend After Retest The SPX has completed its retest and subsequently pushed higher, maintaining its bullish trend. As long as the index trades above the key levels of 5347 and 5320, the bullish momentum is expected to continue. This week, the SPX is projected to reach the initial target of 5378, with the potential to advance further towards...
Technical Analysis of SPx The price dropped from the price we mentioned in the previous idea and already stabilized under the support line which is 5260, so it is possible to touch 5226 and 5193 as well, Bearish Scenario: As long as the price remains below 5260, it is likely to decline towards 5226. Bullish Scenario: For a bullish trend to emerge, the...
Stocks Poised to Open Higher Amid Increased Rate Cut Bets and Key U.S. Jobs Data U.S. rate futures indicate a 0.1% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed’s monetary policy meeting later this month and a 14.5% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the July meeting. The highlight of the upcoming week will be the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report for May....
Fastest Earnings Growers in the S&P 500 Energy Sector Nearly half the companies in the S&P 500 energy sector are expected to achieve double-digit annual earnings growth. Updated : ConocoPhillips announced its acquisition of Marathon Oil Corp. on Wednesday. Energy stocks are currently undervalued relative to expected earnings, even though the sector has been...
Technical analysis of SPx The price dropped from its resistance line at 5320 and is now consolidating between 5266 and 5226. Today, we anticipate significant market volatility with the GDP results expected at 1.2%. The price will likely touch 5266 before dropping towards 5226. If the price stabilizes below 5226, it will support a further decline towards 5192,...
SPx New Forecast The price of the S&P 500 reversed from its support line at 5266 and can now reach the resistance line at approximately 5305, with the potential to touch 5320 as well. If the price remains below 5305 and 5320, it will likely fall back to the support line at 5266. Breaking this level could extend the bearish trend towards 5226. Pivot Line:...
SPx New Forecast The price of the S&P 500 reached the resistance line, and breaking this resistance, will support the price to reach the next resistance line which is 5350, If the price remains below 5305 and 5320, it will likely fall back to the support line at 5266. Breaking this level could extend the bearish trend towards 5226. Pivot Line: 5305 Resistance...