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SP-500/ Gold - How to Buy Shares 90% Off - ValueCyclesSP-500/ Gold - #ValueCycle Analysis *Note that the vertical price axis reflects the number of ounces of gold required to purchase 1 share of the SP-500 *I understand there is a lot going on with this chart, but bear with me as i walk you through it (see worked example below) Macro Analysis: Lower Chart - After the lunacy of the tech wreck in the late 90's into 2000 the ratio peaked at just shy of 5.5 oz to 1 share of the SP-500 (obviously this would be more pronounced if we were looking at the Nasdaq) - From the peak in 2000, the value of the SP-500 has plummeted largely unabated until 2009 - 2011, finally hitting a low of around 0.5 oz at the time of the financial crisis and the introduction of Central banking QE, - This means that had you utilized this pricing/ entry method you would have been able to sell your shares at 5.5 oz and buy them back for a 1/10 of the price (illustrated with the red arrow) - This eventual bottom also coincided with the 90% bubble fib retracement level (a useful level, few people utilize) 'Near-term Analysis: Upper Chart - As you can see the SP-500 has stalled at the 38.2% fib retracement (possibly a dead cat bounce on the way lower) - This, coupled with the broader macro economic outlooks (weaker economic data, weaker manufacturing and greater Geo-political tensions) makes a strong case for this to result in higher gold prices (thus a lower ratio of stocks to gold) - I think it quite likely that the Fed will have their hand forced and will resume QE or some other form of stimulus to prop these markets up, but the beauty of this system is that you are pricing the assets in a more stable, non-inflationary numeraire, one that under such QE/ central bank intervention would thrive (thus revealing the true depreciation in value of the underlying) Putting it all together: An example - E.g. Sell your 10 Shares of SPX at 5.5 oz (red arrow) = 55 oz ($250/ oz) = $13,750 - Re-enter stocks at the green arrow for 0.5 oz/ share = 110 share of SPX (55/ 0.5) = $104,500 (55 oz times $1900/ oz) - Convert your shares back to gold (2nd red arrow) at 2 oz / share = 110 shares times 2 oz/ share =220 oz = 220 oz times $1520/ oz = $334,400 Total return = 2432% But more importantly, you have been able to leverage your existing holdings to acquire a non-depreciating asset, in this case gold (but there are many, many different options available to those who can properly utilize this strategy). If you liked this idea, let me know, give me a follow, thumbs up and follow my Twitter so you never miss a trade/ investment idea a
SP:SPXLong
by Profit_Link
ES1! SPY SPX - S&P500 Channel TestSince August 2019, the S&P 500 has entered into a "Channel" formation between 2823-2946, with trading being quite choppy ever since. Despite the market's volatility throughout August, it appears that the S&P 500 is making strides in trying to exit this "Channel" pattern to the upside. Two indicators to support the S&P500's move higher is: 1) The S&P 500's rising RSI momentum ("Higher Lows and Higher Highs") indicating investors are steadily moving back into the index; and, 2) The S&P 500 is still above its green trend line indicating that the upward momentum is still intact. If these two trends hold, we could see prices making a move higher to 2980 - a Key Monthly Resistance Level (Blue)
SP:SPXLong
by EconomicsGlobal
SP500 Short Opportunity by ThinkingAntsOkThe Main reasons to think that a bearish movement is about to star are the next ones: A) Same situation than the bearish movement in October 2018 observe how the price made exactly the same formation that is doing now, we can use it as a guide to develop our setup on this current scenario. B)The current Technical situation on the 4hs Chart: -The price is facing a Resistance Zone -Volume decreasing ( Weakness of the bullish movement) -On the resistance zone, we can see a Pin bar on that area (reversal pattern) -On the 15minutes chart, we can see divergence on the last movement that is making. Based on this, we expect a bearish movement to start at any moment, if that happens we will be looking for short opportunities on the first Corrective structure out from the ascending trendline. We will cancel this idea if the price keeps rising above the current Resistance zone. Updates coming soon!
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by ThinkingAntsOk
S&P 500 Index Drops Below Support (Is This It?)Yesterday the S&P 500 Index (SPX) dropped and closed below EMA10 which is an indicator that marks strong support for this index. Trading below it gives it bearish potential. Today, the SPX tried to move up and was quickly rejected on growing bear volume. We believe this can go much lower. You can see all the signals and details of this drop before it happened here: Make sure to hit like to show your support. Thanks a lot for reading. This is not financial advice. Namaste.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by AlanSantana
2
S&P500 ALL TIME HIGH IS CLOSE!Hey! It's time for a brand new S&P500 analysis. S&P500 is having a very nice bull train going on and It will continue. All time high on S&P500 has been 2940 points but we will take it a little further. NOTICE: YELLOW LINE : Broken trendline in the middle of the other two. RED LINE : The bottom trendline which is the current support IF S&P500 falls. LIGHT LINE : Current resistance level. It shows that we will probably end up having 2950 points at least on S&P500. ORANGE LINE : The current goal for every trader there is. Usually when a secure brokes all time high It will go down. If we reach 2940-2950 points I would suggest to short S&P500. DARK BLUE : The current horizontal support level. ( This is more likely to happen rather than RED LINE ) The only indicator I'm having in this chart is EMA15 which comes from the lower part of the candle which means we're still bullish. Pst. Click that follow button by the way! ;) See you soon! -JJ-
SP:SPX
by UnknownUnicorn3848732
S&P 500 Index Will Crash To 2400 Sooner Rather Than LaterS&P 500 (SPX) has been maxed out for a while now, and I am quite bearish on this index as you might already know from my previous analyses. The reason I am bearish is because of the signals that I getting from the above chart. So come and read these signals with me, and later share in the comments section and tell me what you think... Let's get started! S&P 500 Index Prints Additional Weakness Our main focus for signals in past analyses was mainly a bearish divergence on the MACD and RSI, but now additional weakness is showing up: On the chart above we can see how the ~2815 level, marked with a purple dash line, has rejected the SPX over and over in a 1,2,3 sequence. On the 13 March, the SPX had its third (sixth) rejection from this resistance after the bounce. We can see decreasing trading volume, which is a signal that points to lack of momentum for the move that is in play. The daily candle for the 13 March hit a high at 2821.24, making it higher than the peaks of the 25th Feb. and 4th March. But when you look at the MACD, you can see it going lower and lower; here is the bullish divergence once more. The same can be spotted on the RSI. In a nutshell, we have a triple top, decreasing volume and strong bearish divergence. According to the signals above, the SPX will make a strong down move soon. For these signals to be invalidated, the SPX needs to print a high volume candle above 2821 and follow up by breaking its all-time high. What's your take on the next S&P 500 Index move? Hit like for more great content and to show your support. Thanks a lot for reading. Namaste.
SP:SPXShort
by AlanSantana
28