SP-500I started trading in 2013 and I followed the American indices, SP-500, DOW-30, NASDAQ - 100 (they look about the same) .European indices DAX-30, IBEX-35, FTSE-100. And each of them shows the economic situation of the country .
I love Economics, but what I've seen over the years – it was a bubble blowing, a cycle. Now there are a lot of offers to invest in shares of companies, my vision, you need to run from the market! The whole market is overbought, and if everyone is already talking about stocks as the best investment at the moment, be careful. These are shouts from which you need to be protected and to keep a cool head.
I have a training schedule explaining the speed of information dissemination.
In addition to this, I know that one of the most important theories in the financial markets is the Elliott wave theory, which I showed on the chart. If the schedule really comes true, we will see a new financial crisis over the next 3-5 years.
The largest banks JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Fidelity and financial institutions are already preparing platforms, platforms in order to integrate even more into the digital economy with digital money in the form of cryptocurrencies.
ALSO DAX-30
Sp1
Can the S&P keep going up?On Monday S&P broke the history high once again and today's candle stick broke the previous trendline with a more aggressive hike.
RSI is in uptrend, but its already in the overbrought zone.
MACD is bullish.
I don't want to buy this market, because i think everything are too expensive to buy right now.
I am waiting for a clear signal to short this market.
Weekly update, 23.09.2018. SPX, SP1Weekly update on the major US equity markets using the S&P500 futures index.
Stay tuned! There should be more to come
Disclaimer:
The information of this post is ”general advice only” and does not take individual circumstances into account so do not trade or speculate based solely on the information provided. By viewing this video you fully accept and agree that it offers general advice only and that trading the financial markets is a high risk activity and that you understand that past performance does not indicate future performance and that the value of investments and income from them may go up as well as down, and are not guaranteed.
SP1! Still a Buy Dips Market - Long and Strong
S&P 500 Update SP1! Chart 12:36 Bst 07:36 Est 22nd September
The S&P has given back 8 or so points from the high reached
at 2945.
ideally it will come back to 2935 around the open and bounce
again from there to give another entry point.
This still looks positive whilst it holds at 2935 and above.
S&P 500 Update SP1! Chart 10:10 Bst 05:10 Est September 22nd
The S&P has continued its rally overnight and is now probing
the next (still sketchy) resistance level at 2945.
Still difficult to identify a stop level under this long shot as
there's still been no consolidation overnight.
Can either close out and take the 27 points profit from 2918
long or raise the stop to 2930 and let it run some more.
If you choose to close out the long rather than hang on to a
notional stop be ready to follow long again from lower down
towards 2930 if we see it later - otherwise be ready to follow
long again on a break above 2945 with stops 2 points lower
looking for a test of the upper parallel at around 2964 as the
next likely point of resistance above 2945, (amended).
Resistance potential: 2945, 2964/upper parallel, 3005, 3209.
18:32 Bst 13:32 est September 21st
A stellar day for the major markets has seen the S&P blast higher
all day - amazing if there's no profit taking towards the close.
Even if there is am staying long towards 2946 as we should
have a good day tomorrow - at least to begin with before
boiling over.
Some may prefer to close out because the stop has to stay
under the 2916 line otherwise as there's been no correction so
far to be able to raise the stop through the day.
This break is good and signals further upside to around 2945
initially. But has more in it to 3005 and then 3209 before the
year is out.
This is obviously best guess from here - we're in deep
uncharted waters - but this break looks good for the medium term.
13:06 Bst 08:06 Est September 21th
Long story short it's still a buy dips market - it was OK to get
long again once the 2913 line was broken to the upside a little
earlier today but the stop has to stay under 2910 for now if
so. Otherwise take profits at 2919 but be ready get long again
once 2920 is broken above.
If flat it's OK to wait for the next signal from here which looks
like a break above 2920 looking for 2946.
Recurring consolidation 4H patterns on S&P before a bullish leg?The current sideways pattern on 4H (ADX neutral = 20.362) is seen two times more in the previous month and always resulted in a bullish spike near 2,790 before declining sharply to or even below 2,650. The critical day is tomorrow. If 2,745 breaks then the pattern should repeat it self backed up by very bullish 1D RSI = 59.474, Highs/Lows = 13.3750, MACD = 16.130). Otherwise, we have to wait for 2,700 to break, in order to short.
Quick short trade on /ES miniFibonacci tells me it would go at least 38% retracement range of 2685..
I think a short trade placed at 2710 with stop loss at 2715 and profit target of 2685 would yield more than 1:4 risk to reward trade..
Disclaimer: this is no recommendation for any trade. I am using it to track my paper trade prediction performance
S&P 500 at major resistanceS&P 500 is at major resistance level. Stochastic is overbought. Opportunity to short
Take the chance to rebuy the S&P 500!hi :)
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By focusing on swing and short-term trading, Ichimoku Cloud which i modified is a safe and profitable deal driven by trend trading.
Ichimoku Cloud has modified the default values to make it easier for me to capture the trend.
Let's start today's technical analysis!
Let's take a look at the chart.
(Trend)
Buying trend
(Sub Trend)
Waiting for Buy
The reason for the buying trend is that Tenkansen, the current short-term trend, made a golden cross between middle term trend line called kijunsen.
However, we do not buy it immediately because it is a Golden Cross.
It is likely to be a whipsaw.
you can Buy safety when macd line after crossing the 0 line.
In the wave theory, it aims at " rising, then re-rising. "
Prices are steady at zero. Again, it is a safe buying interval when recombing the zero line with the volume of transactions coming out.
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ES1! Short Jun18 S&PThought I would move away from Oil for a bit ... but not too far away ...
... (expecting $68 top then reverse. May CL1! rolls this Friday, volume has already moved down 216K last week to Friday on CL2! while OI has increased by about half that. I expect down this week, then up into the new month. So short til Friday on new month. Then open new long on new month either as cover or position. Depends on "events");
But ES (June) appears to be showing a bearish wedge pattern.
There is considerable resistance overhead at 2670-80. This is where you can add to positions with good Risk Reward. Support lies at 2620 then 2600 then 2560.
The pattern suggests an ultimate, possible move to 2440.
If you choose to short, Entry is on break close below lower radian (2640+) or if you are more anxious (2660+). The Stop is above Swing High (say) 2685
Exits are at Support levels (say) 2560 first then sell again on the pull back (and retest) at 2600. If it bounces off 2600 grab a profit then re-establish your short at 2620. If you miss, then just add.
Remember to move your SL lower as you go!
Remember you are adults so do your own research and planning!
... just my 2c worth ...
SP500 short ideaMarkets SP1! have been headed higher for a long time. It may be time for a healthy correction. If this continues, an AB=CD style retrace out of a bear flag could happen. Be prepared.
$S&P 500 Wave 3 down trendSupport for S&P 500 Futures was just broken. Aggressive downtrend is expected. Most probably market should open with a gap down tomorrow. This downtrend should take the VIX to new 2018 high.
This would be wrong, if the market turns back and go over the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $2745.00.
A short will be happened to SPX500USD soon...Is it the beginning of "THE BIG SHORT"?
I am not personally convinced about as if it is going to be a crash but the short seems inevitable in near future as per chart. Let's see...
Disclaimer: This is just a trading analysis and for sure it is not any kind of recommendation of trade.
S&P500Rising_trend still active/ have a good opportunity to long position/ setup pending buy order on breakout the fractal_based line(red on chart)
SP1! Rate of Change Particularly NarrowThere's such little variance there's been no >1std deviation moves since October 11th.
DXY vs S&P: they live together and decline togetherJust a small research I made. Haven´t applied any advanced methodics though, just a simple comparison.
1. DXY and S&P move together on bullish times which means there is a strong demand on US Dollar to make profit from raising american market. The profit is double: growth of the stocks index and a convertion back from the USD to your own currency which, by that time, should be substantially cheaper than the USD.
2. In times of bearish cycle for the USD, S&P also goes down or, at least, it doesn´t grow. It is surely explained by a moreless stable domestic demand but a huge reduction in foreign demand, that prefer parking money in Gold or Japanese Yen.
2.1. Defensive strategies are applied on stocks market in times of a decline. E.g. www.investopedia.com
3. In times of a switch between bullish and bearish cycle there was a period when the SP1 Index has already begun to decline but the USD still kept up and renewed peack values. Probably this time we will see a slightly different picture: USD sell-off will start before the stocks market decline as these who invested in stocks will start going back to their home currencies and cancel home loans on an unprecedent low interest rates. On another side, the USD "Safe heaven" period should almost match with the euphoria on the stocks market: we have already seen a 70 bln Dollars capital inbound once the new US President was elected and there should be more to come as money will move from Europe and, specially, from Asia. Therefore, the USD outflow would also start before a definitive decline on stocks indexes and complete a bearish movement after the market hits new long-time lows.