When I began research for this post I expected to be giving the bull case for Pfizer. It's the type of stock I like - a household name oozing with quality and prestige, a strong moat, beaten up with strongly bearish sentiment with multiple factors pointing towards recovery, with short term technical support and long term positive fundamental outlook. I like to...
Per chart pattern, we are consolidating at the bottom. I see the market now in the last hour trading above the bearish red wave that you see in my chart, this is a trigger of a divergence from that bearish wave from last week. Long here a small position for a swing up
QQQ Volatility 02 June 2022 The current percentile of QQQ is around 72.22%. The current implied volatility is around 33.01 -> which translates into a daily movement of 2.08% At the same time, this translates in an aproximate +-6.5$ movement For this we can assume close to 85-90% probability of efficiency based on the last years data. Based on this our channel...
SPX/ES/SPY 25 May 2022 The current expected volatility movement for today, with around 85% chance, is that is going be below 1.85% In this case the channel for this asset is going to be: TOP ~4025 BOT ~3875 For SPY, you can take the current opening price of the asset and to make the top/bot you should add or rest 7.2 points Lets imagine the price will open on...
ES/SPX/SPY 23 May 2022 For today, based on the last 30 days, the current implied volatility is around 1.86% movement. So with a more than 71% chance we can estimate that the current daily channel made with 3910open candle value, is going to be: TOP 3910 + 73 -> aprox 3983 BOT 3910 - 73 -> aprox 3837 At the same time, if we want to increase our probability, we can...
SPY 23-29 May 2022 We can based on the last month analysis, that the current volatility is around 5.15% This is translated into 20$ from the current point. So lets imagine that SPY is going open Monday candle around 390 With that in mind, with close to 87% probability of pointing correctly the top and bottom places we are going to have: TOP 390 + 20 -> aprox...
ES SP500 Future 19 May 2022 Based on the HV measures from the last year candles our expected volatility for today is around 1.97% However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.25x multiplier => 2.46% This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 95.32 With this information our top and bottom , with close to 84%...
QQQ 18 May 2022 The current expected volatility is around 2.36% Based on a 70.6% chance, our asset is going to be compressed within the channel made from: TOP 313 BOT 299 At the same time yesterday, we had Jerome Powell on a hawkish attitude, so we can expect another bear rally in the near future. Based on all of this, at this very moment we can try as usual...
QQQ 9 - 13 May The weekly VXN-> Volatility Index for S&P 100 index / Nasdaq Implied = 37.4 In this we have to standard it for weekly session 37.4 / sqrt(52-> 52 weeks in a year) = 5.19% My historical product is telling me with 1.5x coficient that the expected movement for this week E Volatility = 38.02 / sqrt(52) = 5.27% With this data, from my calculations,...
Per chart we are bouncing off a bullish trending line as per usual. Here's another great entry on the bounce.
Hello Millennials, Game Over to US100- #SP100 SP100 Time for the Big Short!